Tag Archives: US Senate

The Senate will go forward with a review of NJ Democratic Senator Menendez….

Fresh from a hung jury in his corruption trial and the prospect of a conviction remote after the Supreme’s call on political corruption definitions ….It looks like the Jersey Senator is home free….The report is the jury was 10-2 for acquittal …..

The Republicans will now take a crack at him from within the Senate…Lindsey graham was a character witness for the guy during his trial…

After a nine-week trial, and nearly two weeks of jury deliberations, U.S. District Judge William Walls declared a mistrial, a huge legal victory for Menendez.

One juror told reporters afterward that there was a 10-2 split in favor of acquittal, saying prosecutors had “no smoking gun” for proving bribery between Menendez and Melgen.

Menendez, though, admitted in 2013 that he had taken flights on Melgen’s jet and failed to declare them, a potential violation of Senate ethics rules. Menendez later repaid Melgen $58,000 once the flights were reported by the media….

More…

Note ….

Last Senator to have his job taken away was almost a 100 years ago…

Share on Facebook

Rough waters for Democratic US Senate hopes….

Larry Sabato’s people game out the chances of Chuck Schumer getting Mitch McConnell’s job as Senate Majority Leader….

….from August….*(Sen .Corker IS Retiring….Sen. Collins is thinking hard about it)

Right now we have four Toss-ups: two held by Republicans, and two held by Democrats. If one assumes a 50-50 split on the Toss-ups, and every other seat goes the way we currently rate it, there would be no net change in the Senate. Given the map, that would be a substantial Democratic accomplishment and a missed opportunity for Republicans. But the election’s a long way off and the potential exists for Republicans to make gains next year, too, even if the president’s approval rating doesn’t improve. That would be an unusual result historically, but history is merely a guide. It guarantees nothing, particularly on a Senate map where Democrats are stretched historically thin.

One final point: It is highly unusual that there have not been any retirements so far*. Usually there are at least a couple of open seats, and typically more than that, according to the University of Minnesota Humphrey School of Public Affairs’ Smart Politics blog. This is just a guess, but there probably will be at least an open seat or two by the time we get to next fall. Maybe one of the long-rumored retirees, like Feinstein in California or Hatch in Utah, ultimately opts to retire after making moves in recent months to run again. Such a retirement would do little to the Senate bottom line because both of those states lean so heavily to one party. More impactful would be a shocker that truly changes the calculus in one of these states — like one of the Toss-up senators making the calculation later this cycle that they don’t have a path to another term, or that they don’t want another term….

More…

Much has been made of the fact that next year Senate Democrats are defending 10 seats in states Trump won in the presidential race, while Senate Republicans are defending only one seat in a Clinton-won state, held by Sen. Dean Heller (R-NV). These represent the vast majority of the 14 total “crossover” seats in the Senate, those held by a party different than the one that captured the state in the 2016 presidential race. The other three crossover-state senators are Sen. Gary Peters (D-MI), a Democrat in a Trump state up for reelection in 2020, and the aforementioned Gardner of Colorado and Collins of Maine, also up for reelection in 2020. So Republicans hold a 52-48 advantage right now despite holding only three seats in Clinton-won states, while Democrats have 11 Trump-state seats and are still in the minority.

That speaks to the GOP advantage in the Senate right now. Even though Trump lost the popular vote by two percentage points, he won 30 states in the Electoral College, while Clinton won only 20. Because all states are created equal in the Senate, the median state in the Electoral College gives us a sense of the GOP tilt of the states overall. In ranking all the states by presidential margin from most to least Republican, the median falls between Arizona and North Carolina, which Trump won by an average of about 3.6 points, so presidential performance in the median Senate seat is roughly 5.5 points to the right of the nation. That’s about the same Republican lean of the median House seat by presidential performance…..

More….

Update…

Race Rating Change: Flake’s Arizona Senate Seat Moves to Tossup

Ten Democratic senators are running for re-election in states President Donald Trump carried in 2016, yet Republican Jeff Flake looks like the most vulnerable senator in the country right now. Even though Trump won Arizona, Flake’s adversarial relationship with the president has caused him to be vulnerable in the primary and general elections. And Arizona’s emergence as a Democratic takeover opportunity complicates GOP efforts to hold and expand their majority….

More….

Share on Facebook

Defense Sec wants to keep Iran Nuclear deal….

Every 90 days President Trump’s Admin must let Congress know if Iran is sticking by the deal the Obama Admin and other countries did with Iran …..

Candidate Donald Trump campaigned on tearing up the deal and getting abetter one….

His Defense Sec doesn’t care about the campaign promise….he’s worried about adding another headache to the one the country has on the otherside of the world with North Korea. which is ten times worst than Iran….

So Sec Mattis has made no secret that he needs his boss to continue with the Iran agreement…And he’s made that point to American Senators in testimony before them…..

Image result for mattis/trump

Mattis IS the one cabinet member it seems that Donald Trump trust and respects….Amen…

(Trump is sure to find a way to spin this story in way that he gets the last word though …)

Days before President Trump has to make a critical decision on whether to hold up the Iran nuclear deal, Defense Secretary Jim Mattis openly split with him on abandoning the agreement, the second senior member of the president’s national security team to recently contradict him.

Mr. Mattis told senators on Tuesday that it was in America’s interest to stick with the deal, which Mr. Trump has often dismissed as a “disaster.”

“Absent indications to the contrary, it is something that the president should consider staying with,” Mr. Mattis told members of the Senate Armed Services Committee after being repeatedly pressed on the issue.

The comments were the latest example of how Mr. Trump’s instincts on national security — to threaten North Korea with destruction and tear up an Iran accord that most experts and allies say is working — are running headlong into opposition from his own National Security Council.

But rather than keep those arguments inside the White House Situation Room, where similar battles have played out over many presidencies, Mr. Trump’s key advisers are making no secret of their disagreements with their boss….

More….

image…jpost.com

Share on Facebook

US Senate green lights Defense Bill….

The US Senate has agreed on a preliminary $692 billion Defense spending bill joining the US House….

The next step is for members of both legislative bodies to sit down and work out the differences between both bodies bills…..

The spending is above the sequester cap that Congress had set during  President Obama’s terms …..

The Senate sidestepped controversy Monday and overwhelmingly passed a sweeping $692 billion defense policy bill for the new fiscal year.

Scrapped without votes were a handful of contentious proposals to prevent transgender troops from being kicked out of the military, eliminate across-the-board budget cuts, bar indefinite detention of U.S. citizens and launch a new round of military base realignments and closures.

The annual National Defense Authorization Act was passed 89-8, setting up what could be contentious negotiations with the House over a series of key policy differences on the must-pass legislation.

The House passed its version of the bill in July. And the two chambers are expected to soon form a joint conference committee to hammer out their differences and negotiate a final compromise.

Senate Armed Services Chairman John McCain, who managed the bill on the Senate floor, while undergoing treatment for brain cancer, had been pushing for votes on four key amendments dealing with defense spending, indefinite detention, Buy America requirements and restrictions on defense medical research. But with the chamber deadlocked on the issue, Senate leaders instead moved to finish the bill quickly……

More….

Share on Facebook

2018 Senate election results…Stays the same…Sabato…

Wouldn’t  the Democrats LOVE to come out with THAT result after next years elections….

We’re still more than a year though….

Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball: “Right now we have four Toss-ups: two held by Republicans, and two held by Democrats. If one assumes a 50-50 split on the Toss-ups, and every other seat goes the way we currently rate it, there would be no net change in the Senate. Given the map, that would be a substantial Democratic accomplishment and a missed opportunity for Republicans. But the election’s a long way off and the potential exists for Republicans to make gains next year, too, even if the president’s approval rating doesn’t improve. That would be an unusual result historically, but history is merely a guide. It guarantees nothing, particularly on a Senate map where Democrats are stretched historically thin.”

“One final point: It is highly unusual that there have not been any retirements so far. Usually there are at least a couple of open seats, and typically more than that… This is just a guess, but there probably will be at least an open seat or two by the time we get to next fall. “….

Politicalwire….

Share on Facebook

Chuck Schumer….Sure It’s getting better between me and Mitch….

Image result for schumer/mcconnell

With the Republican leadership finally coming to understand that they can’t get much done on their own (Democrats 2009?)…..They have begun to turn back how things should be in the Congress….

Working together sometimes ….

Schumer even seems to be making a pitch to get Trump’s ear on trade (and drive a wedge between Trump and the Republicans)….

Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer (D-N.Y.) says that relationships between Democrats and Republicans in Congress are improving, but said he feels the White House has not done enough to support lawmakers.

“We are actually working together in a pretty good way,” Schumer told radio host John Catsimatidis in an interview that aired Sunday. “I think this will happen more and more and more.”

“Our Republican friends, I think, want to work with us. I think sometimes the president gets in the way of that. But I think you are going to see us working together more and more,” he repeated. “I have even gotten [Sen. Mitch McConnell] to laugh at my jokes.”

Schumer pointed at U.S. trade policy with China as one issue that could bridge the gap between Democrats in Congress and the Trump administration.

The New York Democrat even remarked that he was “closer” to Trump on the issue than he was to former Presidents Obama or George W. Bush…..

More…

image…politico.com

Share on Facebook

The Senate locks Trump out of recess appointments…

This move requires EVERY US Senator to be on board…

Donald Trump just got dissed by the Senate that he has been knocking for weeks….

The Senate blocked President Trump from being able to make recess appointments on Thursday as lawmakers leave Washington for their summer break.

Sen. Lisa Murkowski (R-Alaska), doing wrap up for the entire Senate, locked in nine “pro-forma” sessions — brief meetings that normally last roughly a minute.
The move, which requires the agreement of every senator, means the Senate will be in session every three business days throughout the August recess.
The Senate left D.C. on Thursday evening with most lawmakers not expected to return to Washington until after Labor Day.
Senators were scheduled to be in town through next week, but staffers and senators predicted they would wrap up a few remaining agenda items and leave Washington early.
Trump isn’t the first president to face the procedural roadblock from Congress.
The Senate has used the brief sessions to block recess appointments for decades, including last year to keep President Obama from being able to fill a vacant Supreme Court seat.
But the current deal comes after Trump repeatedly lashed out at Attorney General Jeff Sessions, sparking speculation that he would fire the former senator and try to name his successor while Congress was out of town.
Senate Minority Leader Charles Schumer (D-N.Y.) warned last month that Democrats had “tools in our toolbox” to block a recess appointment….
Share on Facebook

Republicans will probably bail out the Healthcare Insurance payments…

Donald Trump has threatened to withhold the payments that back up Healthcare Insurers…

That’s NOT LIKELY  to happen…(It will be up to John Kelly his Chief of Staff to talk some sense into his boss)

It appears that saner minds in Congress are gonna make SURE that the Healthcare program stays stable until Congress gets around later to make ‘adjustments’….

In the end ?

There is little chance of the GOP promise to fully Repeal the law ever will occur…

The Republicans OWN it now….

Midterm elections are a little more than year ahead….

Lawmakers are facing off with President Trump over key ObamaCare payments that are in jeopardy after the collapse of efforts to repeal the healthcare law.

Trump is threatening to cancel the payments, known as cost-sharing reductions (CSRs), as part of his effort to make ObamaCare “implode.”

But he is running into opposition from key Republicans, including Senate Finance Committee Chairman Orrin Hatch (Utah) and House Ways and Means Committee Chairman Kevin Brady (Texas), who say they want to find a way to guarantee the payments, which reimburse insurers for giving discounted deductibles to low-income ObamaCare enrollees.

If the payments were cancelled, insurers have warned they would either have to spike premiums to make up for the lost money, or drop out of the market altogether, limiting people’s options for coverage.

Trump could announce that he is cancelling the payments as early as Tuesday.

Rep. Chris Collins (R-N.Y.), one of Trump’s top supporters on Capitol Hill, told CNN on Monday that he had encouraged Trump to announce the cancellation on Tuesday.

Trump has long warned that he could cancel the payments, though it is unclear if he will follow through.

In addition to a premium spike that experts estimate could reach 20 percent, Democrats warn that there would be a political fallout as well if people blame Trump for the chaos.

A Kaiser Family Foundation poll in May found that 63 percent of the public thinks Trump and congressional Republicans are responsible for problems with the Affordable Care Act going forward…..

More…

Share on Facebook

‘Skinny’ Senate Healthcare Repeal Bill effort FAILS ….

Image result for mcconnell

Three Republican Senators hand Mitch McDonnell (and Trump) a defeat….

The ending of the rules and last minute push was seen by pundits as McConnell getting a win…

The moving on Vice President almost assured it….

But it was NOT to be by a 49-51 vote against….

Sens. Susan Collins and Lisa Murkowksi. where joined by Sen. John McCain (Surprise!) to vote ‘Nay’ with the Democrats….

A good many Republicans Senators where unhappy with the push to vote on the bill and have things rearranged in the workout with House…They mortgaged their votes on a ‘promise’ by House Speaker NOT to use the language they where voting on as the final bill…Senators got to see the language of the bill a little more than 3 hours before they voted…In normal times they would have weeks to consider a bill….

Senate Republicans’ Obamacare repeal bill failed 49-51 in a key vote that was supposed to start to the vote-a-rama process that would culminate in a final vote. Majority Leader Mitch McConnell pulled the bill after the gavel dropped.

The Republican defections were Sens. Susan Collins, John McCain and Lisa Murkowksi.

The vote was the dramatic conclusion of Senate Republicans’ last-ditch effort to keep the repeal efforts alive for more negotiations with the Senate. They were voting on a so-called “skinny bill” which would have brought the process back to the House.

Murkowksi and Collins were considered tough vote for Republicans begin, particularly after they voted against a procedural motion to open debate on the bill on Tuesday.

McCain’s no vote at around 1:30 a.m. on Friday morning was a more of a surprise. He had been clearly irked by the process that Republicans were using to move the bill forward. After making a dramatic return to Washington, days after being diagnosed with brain cancer, to vote in favor in Tuesday’s procedural vote, he gave an impassioned speech imploring the Senate return to its institutional norms.

However, heading into the chamber a little after midnight Friday morning, he gave reporters no hint on how he was going to vote….

Source…

McConnell image…nymag.com

VP Pence image….Zach Gibson/Getty Images

Note…

…twitter….

Though they voted against their party, it’s possible Collins, McCain and Murkowski helped GOP political prospects.

Share on Facebook

‘Repeal Only’ Senate Bill would take 32 Million off Insurance….CBO

Numbers like this mean that the Real Only option just ain’t gonna go anywhere …..

A revived bill that would dismantle large parts of Obamacare without an immediate replacement would leave 32 million more people uninsured and double premiums over a decade, the Congressional Budget Office said in a report Wednesday.

The legislation — an update of the repeal measure nearly all GOP senators voted for in 2015 — is on track to reach the Senate floor early next week, where it likely would fail.

Republican leaders pledged to put the bill to a vote after their initial effort to repeal and replace Obamacare fell apart in stunning fashion, though a number of holdout lawmakers are meeting later tonight to try to salvage the effort.

If that fails, CBO’s analysis offers a stark look at the GOP’s remaining option for following through on their seven-year vow to repeal Obamacare.

The nonpartisan scorekeeper’s report projects that 17 million people would lose insurance in the first year after a partial repeal that includes ending Obamacare’s Medicaid expansion and repealing most of the taxes tied to the law. Premiums would jump 25 percent over that same period as insurers grapple with the effective elimination of Obamacare’s requirement that everyone purchase coverage….

More…

Share on Facebook

Democratic Left wants it’s party to jettison West Virginia Dem Senator Joe Manchin…

West Virginian used to be a Democratic stronghold….

It isn’t anymore….

Senator Manchin hold’s on by moving back and forth supporting Democrat’s, but also voting with Republican’s on certain things….

The back and forth does NOT sit well with the newly invigorated progressives in the Democratic party….

But Senate Democrats NEED Joe Manchin….

Senate Republican would sure like to get his votes also…

This whole things eems to work for the West Virginba Senator proving agains that ALL politics IS LOCAL…..

Image result for joe manchin

“Hey, hey—governor!” he said. “How ya doin’, buddy?”

It was Jeb Bush. The two have known each other for years. Bush was the governor of Florida at the same time Manchin was the governor of West Virginia, and “governors have a bond,” Manchin mused to Bush on the phone. But Bush had not called to catch up. He had called to lobby. One of Trump’s Cabinet nominees was in trouble—Betsy DeVos, his pick to be education secretary—and she would need help to win confirmation in the Senate. Two moderate Republicans would vote against her, and Manchin, perhaps the most conservative Democrat in Washington, was the likeliest candidate to break from his party and push DeVos over the line. He had already proved his willingness to back other nominees. Could he see his way to getting behind Trump’s education pick as well?

The former Republican presidential front-runner is not a voice most Democrats would expect to find on the line, or so clearly take in stride. But most Democrats don’t sit where Joe Manchin sits, in one of the most unusual positions in Washington today. The instant Trump won his surprise victory in November, all eyes turned to Manchin as maybe the most vulnerable senator on the 2018 electoral map. Trump had swept Manchin’s state by an astonishing 42 points. His home-state voters hadn’t just leaned away from the candidate he endorsed—they had rejected her more convincingly than any voters outside Wyoming.

But if Manchin is worried, he isn’t behaving that way. In fact, as Bush’s personal entreaty suggests, Manchin is being courted by both parties: He was tapped for the Senate Democratic leadership within days of the election, but that didn’t prevent him from making a visit to Trump Tower almost a month later, briefly putting his name in the mix for a Cabinet job. Nationally, the party needs him for his 48th vote in the Senate and also as a kind of translator for its ideas to Trump’s America. As for his home state, he seems almost relieved no longer to be tied to the liberal policies of a president his voters hated. And he doesn’t mind the attention from the new one. “I’ve had more personal time with Trump in two months,” he marveled, “than I had with [Barack] Obama in eight years.”…

More….

image…Politico

Share on Facebook

Polling Update for October 28, 2016….

Hillary Clinton drops a point  or so in most of polls , but is still 5% points ahead of Donald Trump….This is to be expected  coming up on the actual election day…

Everybody will be waiting to see what the numbers will be in few days due the FBI story….

Saturday, October 29

General Election: Trump vs. Clinton

LA Times/USC Tracking

Clinton 44, Trump 46    Trump +2

General Election: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

ABC News Tracking

Clinton 47, Trump 45, Johnson 4, Stein 2     Clinton +2

General Election: Trump vs. Clinton

ABC News Tracking

Clinton 49, Trump 46     Clinton +3

General Election: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

IBD/TIPP Tracking

Clinton 45, Trump 41, Johnson 7, Stein 2    Clinton +4

General Election: Trump vs. Clinton

IBD/TIPP Tracking

Clinton 46, Trump 41     Clinton +5

Florida: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

Emerson

Clinton 46, Trump 45, Johnson 4, Stein 0     Clinton +1

Ohio: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

Emerson

Trump 45, Clinton 45, Johnson 6, Stein 1     Tie

North Carolina: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson

Emerson

Clinton 48, Trump 45, Johnson 4     Clinton +3

Nevada: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson

Emerson*

Clinton 44, Trump 42, Johnson 3     Clinton +2

Wisconsin: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

Emerson

Clinton 48, Trump 42, Johnson 9, Stein 1     Clinton +6

Pennsylvania: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

Morning Call

Clinton 45, Trump 39, Johnson 8, Stein 2     Clinton +6

Minnesota: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

KSTP/SurveyUSA

Clinton 49, Trump 39, Johnson 5, Stein 2     Clinton +10

Florida Senate – Rubio vs. Murphy

Emerson

Rubio 49, Murphy 47     Rubio +2

Ohio Senate – Portman vs. Strickland

Emerson

Portman 49, Strickland 35     Portman +14

North Carolina Senate – Burr vs. Ross

Emerson

Burr 48, Ross 44     Burr +4

Nevada Senate – Heck vs. Cortez Masto

Emerson

Heck 48, Cortez Masto 44    Heck +4

Wisconsin Senate – Johnson vs. Feingold

Emerson

Feingold 49, Johnson 44    Feingold +5

Pennsylvania Senate – Toomey vs. McGinty

Morning Call

McGinty 41, Toomey 41        Tie

President Obama Job Approval

Gallup

Approve 53, Disapprove 44 Approve +9

…for more info on the above polls…Real Clear Politics.

Share on Facebook

Polling Update for October 27, 2016….Ton of Polls…Clinton Crusin….

Polls below for 17states…..Clinton leads in 12 of them….

Her Average in the popular Vote REMAINS around 5% to 6%…..

There are 12 Days untill the votes are counted….
Thursday, October 27

General Election: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

Pew Research

Clinton 46, Trump 40, Johnson 6, Stein 3    Clinton +6

General Election: Trump vs. Clinton

Pew Research

Clinton 50, Trump 43    Clinton +7

General Election: Trump vs. Clinton

LA Times/USC Tracking

Clinton 45, Trump 45 Tie

General Election: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

Rasmussen Reports

Clinton 45, Trump 44, Johnson 4, Stein 1    Clinton +1

General Election: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

ABC News Tracking

Clinton 48, Trump 42, Johnson 5, Stein 1    Clinton +6

General Election: Trump vs. Clinton

ABC News Tracking

Clinton 51, Trump 44    Clinton +7

General Election: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

Economist/YouGov

Clinton 46, Trump 41, Johnson 4, Stein 2    Clinton +5

General Election: Trump vs. Clinton

Economist/YouGov

Clinton 49, Trump 46    Clinton +3

General Election: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

IBD/TIPP Tracking

Clinton 43, Trump 41, Johnson 8, Stein 2    Clinton +2

General Election: Trump vs. Clinton

IBD/TIPP Tracking

Clinton 44, Trump 42    Clinton +2

General Election: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

CNBC

Clinton 43, Trump 34, Johnson 7, Stein 2    Clinton +9

General Election: Trump vs. Clinton

CNBC

Clinton 47, Trump 37    Clinton +10

North Carolina: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson

Quinnipiac

Clinton 47, Trump 43, Johnson 5   Clinton +4

Iowa: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

Quinnipiac

Trump 44, Clinton 44, Johnson 4, Stein 1   Tie

Georgia: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson

Quinnipiac

Trump 44, Clinton 43, Johnson 8    Trump +1

New Hampshire: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

UMass Amherst/WBZ

Clinton 43, Trump 38, Johnson 8, Stein 3    Clinton +5

Pennsylvania: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

NY Times/Siena

Clinton 46, Trump 39, Johnson 6, Stein 3    Clinton +7

Missouri: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

Remington Research (R)

Trump 50, Clinton 39, Johnson 4, Stein 1   Trump +11

Michigan: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

Detroit Free Press

Clinton 41, Trump 34, Johnson 9, Stein 3    Clinton +7

Michigan: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

FOX 2 Detroit/Mitchell

Clinton 48, Trump 42, Johnson 5, Stein 2    Clinton +6

Virginia: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

Quinnipiac

Clinton 50, Trump 38, Johnson 4, Stein 2    Clinton +12

Washington: Trump vs. Clinton

University of Washington

Clinton 53, Trump 39   Clinton +14

Louisiana: Trump vs. Clinton

SMOR*

Trump 50, Clinton 35    Trump +15

Massachusetts: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

Boston Globe/Suffolk

Clinton 57, Trump 25, Johnson 4, Stein 3    Clinton +32

California: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

PPIC

Clinton 54, Trump 28, Johnson 5, Stein 5   Clinton +26

Pennsylvania Senate – Toomey vs. McGinty

NY Times/Siena

Toomey 44, McGinty 47    McGinty +3

California Senate – Harris vs. Sanchez

PPIC

Harris 42, Sanchez 20    Harris +22

Washington Governor – Bryant vs. Inslee

University of Washington

Inslee 51, Bryant 45   Inslee +6

Missouri Governor – Greitens vs. Koster

Remington Research (R)*

Koster 47, Greitens 45     Koster +2

President Obama Job Approval

Pew Research

Approve 54, Disapprove 42 Approve +12

President Obama Job Approval

CNN/ORC

Approve 55, Disapprove 43 Approve +12

President Obama Job Approval

Economist/YouGov

Approve 48, Disapprove 51 Disapprove +3

President Obama Job Approval

Gallup

Approve 53, Disapprove 44 Approve +9

President Obama Job Approval

Rasmussen Reports

Approve 55, Disapprove 44 Approve +11

…for more info on the above polls….Real Clear Politics….

Politica Wire is reporting out more polls….

Texas: Trump 45%, Clinton 42%, Johnson 7% (UT/Texas Tribune)

Texas: Trump 45%, Clinton 38%, Johnson 7% (Austin American Statesman)

Florida: Clinton 43%, Trump 39%, Johnson 6% (University of North Florida)

New Mexico: Clinton 45%, Trump 40%, Johnson 9% (Zia Poll)

Share on Facebook

Polling Update for October 21, 2016…Democrats chances for the US Senate improve…

Thanks to big shifts in several key races, Democrats now have a 73 percent chance of winning the Senate, according to the FiveThirtyEight polls-plus forecast, and a 72 percent chance according to polls-only. Both those numbers are up by more than 15 percentage points from last week, when the polls-plus model gave them a 56 percent chance and the polls-only model 54 percent…..

More from Harry Enten@FiveThirtyEight…
Friday, October 21

General Election: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

IBD/TIPP Tracking

Clinton 40, Trump 41, Johnson 8, Stein 4    Trump +1

General Election: Trump vs. Clinton

IBD/TIPP Tracking

Clinton 43, Trump 41    Clinton +2

General Election: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

Rasmussen Reports

Clinton 41, Trump 43, Johnson 5, Stein 3    Trump +2

General Election: Trump vs. Clinton

LA Times/USC Tracking

Clinton 44, Trump 45     Trump +1

Indiana: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson

WISH-TV

Trump 43, Clinton 37, Johnson 9     Trump +6

Maine: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

MPRC (D)

Clinton 42, Trump 36, Johnson 9, Stein 4    Clinton +6

Florida: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

FOX 13/Opinion Savvy

Clinton 49, Trump 45, Johnson 3, Stein 2     Clinton +4

Georgia: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson

Landmark Communications

Trump 47, Clinton 43, Johnson 5     Trump +4

Georgia: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson

Atlanta Journal-Constitution

Trump 44, Clinton 42, Johnson 9     Trump +2

Georgia: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson

FOX 5/Opinion Savvy

Trump 50, Clinton 46, Johnson 3     Trump +4

Virginia: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

Christopher Newport Univ.

Clinton 45, Trump 33, Johnson 8, Stein 1     Clinton +12

Louisiana: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

FOX 8/Mason-Dixon

Trump 54, Clinton 34, Johnson 2, Stein 1     Trump +20

Maine CD2: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

MPRC (D)

Trump 37, Clinton 38, Johnson 11, Stein 4     Clinton +1

Maine CD1: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

MPRC (D)

Clinton 46, Trump 36, Johnson 8, Stein 4      Clinton +10

Florida Senate – Rubio vs. Murphy

FOX 13/Opinion Savvy

Rubio 46, Murphy 46     Tie

Indiana Senate – Young vs. Bayh

WISH-TV

Bayh 49, Young 43    Bayh +6

Georgia Senate: Isakson vs. Barksdale

FOX 5/Opinion Savvy*

Isakson 51, Barksdale 42     Isakson +9

Indiana Governor – Holcomb vs. Gregg

WISH-TV

Gregg 48, Holcomb 43    Gregg +5

New Hampshire 1st District – Guinta vs. Shea-Porter

WMUR/UNH*

Shea-Porter 44, Guinta 32    Shea-Porter +12

New Hampshire 2nd District – Lawrence vs. Kuster

WMUR/UNH*

Kuster 54, Lawrence 24    Kuster +30

President Obama Job Approval

Gallup

Approve 55, Disapprove 42    Approve +13

President Obama Job Approval

Rasmussen Reports

Approve 52, Disapprove 46    Approve +6

…for info on the above polls…Real Clear Politics….

Share on Facebook

Polling Update for October 20, 2016…

It’s just about 24hrs after the last debate as I put this together….

Hillary Clinton is still causing at aroun 5% to 6% ahead of Trump in the predictions for the popular vote RIGHT NOW and Clinton is forecasted to get around 325 to 340 Electoral votes RIGHT NOW….

These numbers are leading most people to conclude that Donald Trump has LITTLE chance to NONE in winning the President job come 19 days from now….

Thursday, October 20

General Election: Trump vs. Clinton

LA Times/USC Tracking

Clinton 44, Trump 44     Tie

General Election: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

IBD/TIPP Tracking

Clinton 40, Trump 41, Johnson 7, Stein 5     Trump +1

General Election: Trump vs. Clinton

IBD/TIPP Tracking

Clinton 43, Trump 41     Clinton +2

General Election: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

Rasmussen Reports

Clinton 40, Trump 43, Johnson 6, Stein 3      Trump +3  

Ohio: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

Suffolk

Trump 45, Clinton 45, Johnson 2, Stein 1     Tie

Oregon: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

The Oregonian

Clinton 46, Trump 36, Johnson 5, Stein 5     Clinton +10

Michigan: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

FOX 2 Detroit/Mitchell

Clinton 51, Trump 38, Johnson 6, Stein 2     Clinton +13

New Hampshire Senate – Ayotte vs. Hassan

WMUR/UNH

Hassan 48, Ayotte 39     Hassan +9

Ohio Senate – Portman vs. Strickland

Suffolk*

Portman 46, Strickland 31     Portman +15

Louisiana Senate – Open Primary

FOX 8/Mason-Dixon

Kennedy 24, Campbell 19, Fayard 12, Boustany 11,    Fleming 10, Duke 5     Kennedy +5

New Hampshire Governor – Sununu vs. Van Ostern

WMUR/UNH

Ostern 44, Sununu 38    Ostern +6

Oregon Governor – Pierce vs. Brown

The Oregonian

Brown 48, Pierce 34     Brown +14

President Obama Job Approval

Gallup

Approve 55, Disapprove 42     Approve +13

President Obama Job Approval

Rasmussen Reports

Approve 49, Disapprove 50     Disapprove +1

…for more info on the above polls…Real Clear Politics.….

Share on Facebook

Polling Update for October 18, 2016…..Clinton close in Texas….

Trump will probably win Texas. Earlier polls had shown a close-ish race there, but with a Trump lead in the high single digits. And as a hedge against the polls, our forecast still assigns a little bit of weight to our regression-based analysis, which is based on demographics and voting history. Thus, our model still has Trump ahead by 5 or 6 percentage points in Texas, and puts Clinton’s chances of an upset at 17 percent.1…

More Nate Silver….
Tuesday, October 18

General Election: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

FOX News

Clinton 45, Trump 39, Johnson 5, Stein 3    Clinton +6

General Election: Trump vs. Clinton

FOX News

Clinton 49, Trump 42     Clinton +7

General Election: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

Rasmussen Reports

Clinton 42, Trump 41, Johnson 7, Stein 2    Clinton +1

General Election: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

NBC News/SM

Clinton 46, Trump 40, Johnson 8, Stein 4    Clinton +6

General Election: Trump vs. Clinton

LA Times/USC Tracking

Clinton 43, Trump 45    Trump +2

Wisconsin: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

WPR/St. Norbert

Clinton 47, Trump 39, Johnson 1, Stein 3    Clinton +8

Oregon: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

Oregon Public Broadcasting

Clinton 43, Trump 36, Johnson 7, Stein 5     Clinton +7

Colorado: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

Magellan Strategies (R)

Clinton 40, Trump 35, Johnson 12, Stein 5    Clinton +5

Nevada: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson

Monmouth

Clinton 47, Trump 40, Johnson 7    Clinton +7

Texas: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

University of Houston

Trump 41, Clinton 38, Johnson 4, Stein 1    Trump +3

New Jersey: Trump vs. Clinton  

Fairleigh Dickinson

Clinton 51, Trump 40   Clinton +11

Massachusetts: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

WBUR/MassINC

Clinton 54, Trump 28, Johnson 7, Stein 3    Clinton +26

Nevada Senate – Heck vs. Cortez Masto

Monmouth*

Cortez Masto 42, Heck 45    Heck +3

Wisconsin Senate – Johnson vs. Feingold

WPR/St. Norbert

Feingold 52, Johnson 40    Feingold +12

Florida Senate – Rubio vs. Murphy

Quinnipiac

Rubio 49, Murphy 47    Rubio +2

Pennsylvania Senate – Toomey vs. McGinty

Quinnipiac

Toomey 49, McGinty 45    Toomey +4

Ohio Senate – Portman vs. Strickland

Quinnipiac

Portman 54, Strickland 41    Portman +13

Colorado Senate – Glenn vs. Bennet

Quinnipiac

Bennet 56, Glenn 38    Bennet +18

Colorado Senate – Glenn vs. Bennet

Magellan Strategies (R)*

Bennet 47, Glenn 32    Bennet +15

Oregon Governor – Pierce vs. Brown

Oregon Public Broadcasting*

Brown 46, Pierce 33     Brown +13

President Obama Job Approval

FOX News

Approve 50, Disapprove 46    Approve +4

President Obama Job Approval

Gallup

Approve 54, Disapprove 43    Approve +11

President Obama Job Approval

Rasmussen Reports

Approve 51, Disapprove 48     Approve +3

…for info on the above polls….Real Clear Politics….

Share on Facebook