Tag Archives: Polling

Second poll has Roy Moore TRAILING Democrat Doug Jones in Alabama Senate race…

This poll is a REPUBLICAN generated one…

And it has Moore behind by double digits…

It is the second poll out (The first) with Democrat Jones leading…

The Real Clear Politics average up to now, but NOT including the just released NRSC poll has Moore up +3%….With the spread from this new poll Moore’s average  is gonna drop….

Larry Sabato has moved this race to a tlean Democratic…

Increasingly?….. Some Republicans are thinking that the seat WILL switch parties….

Alabama GOP nominee Roy Moore is polling 12 points behind his Democratic opponent Doug Jones in the wake of allegations that Moore had initiated a sexual encounter with a minor, according to a poll from the Senate GOP’s campaign arm.

The National Republican Senatorial Committee’s (NRSC) poll, which was obtained by The Hill, found that Jones was leading Moore by a double-digit margin, 51 to 39 percent. The polling was conducted the day after The Washington Post reported on the allegations.

The survey also found that Moore’s favorability has dropped to 35 percent, compared to an NRSC poll from October that had him at 49 percent. Politico first reported about the poll….

More….

So have most voters in Alabama been racing to defend Moore?

“Maybe they’re not,” said Sen. Richard C. Shelby (R-Ala.), a 31-year veteran of the Senate and his state’s elder political statesman. Shelby suggested Tuesday that there were likely many voters that are “just as concerned” with Moore’s alleged behavior as there are staunch defenders of the former judge.

But Shelby said Republicans who believe the allegations are, for now, staying quiet.

In this regard, Shelby fears there is a silent majority opposed to Moore that will show up at the polls and soundly defeat him….

More….

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New Q Poll has voters AGAINST Trump/GOP Tax Cut plan by a wide margin…

From the November 15th , 2017 Quinnipiac poll….

24. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling – taxes?

                                                               WHITE......
COLLEGE DEG
Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
Approve              34%    75%     6%    31%    40%    29%    36%    47%
Disapprove           55     11     88     57     50     60     57     38
DK/NA                11     14      6     12     10     11      6     15
AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
Approve              31%    31%    36%    35%    48%    37%    42%     7%    19%
Disapprove           57     60     56     51     42     52     47     89     66
DK/NA                12      9      8     14     10     12     11      3     16

TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling – taxes?

                     App     Dis     DK/NA
Nov 15, 2017         34      55      11
Oct 11, 2017         37      49      14
May 11, 2017         34      54      13

30. Do you approve or disapprove of the Republican tax plan?

                                                               WHITE......
COLLEGE DEG
Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
Approve              25%    60%     4%    20%    30%    20%    25%    34%
Disapprove           52     15     81     54     49     55     54     38
DK/NA                23     26     15     26     21     25     20     27
AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
Approve              26%    25%    23%    24%    36%    25%    30%     7%    13%
Disapprove           52     56     54     49     42     49     46     78     57
DK/NA                22     19     23     27     22     26     24     14     30
ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME..........  ECONOMIC CLASS.......
30-    50-    100-                        Upper
<30K   50K    100K   250K   >250K  Wrkng  Middle Middle+
Approve              20%    23%    28%    24%    22%    24%    28%    21%
Disapprove           53     46     52     59     69     46     52     60
DK/NA                26     30     20     17      9     30     20     19

31. Do you think the Republican tax plan will increase your taxes, reduce your taxes, or will it not have much impact either way?

                                                               WHITE......
COLLEGE DEG
Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
Increase taxes       35%    16%    54%    33%    31%    40%    33%    27%
Reduce taxes         16     33      8     13     20     13     17     20
Not much impact      36     43     27     41     39     33     41     39
DK/NA                12      9     11     13     10     14      9     14
AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
Increase taxes       36%    35%    39%    31%    26%    33%    30%    56%    48%
Reduce taxes         13     17     18     14     23     15     19      5     14
Not much impact      37     40     31     41     42     38     40     30     21
DK/NA                14      7     12     14     10     14     12     10     18
ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME..........  ECONOMIC CLASS.......
30-    50-    100-                        Upper
<30K   50K    100K   250K   >250K  Wrkng  Middle Middle+
Increase taxes       32%    33%    36%    41%    45%    33%    37%    36%
Reduce taxes          8     16     19     14     24     16     16     17
Not much impact      44     37     34     37     28     37     36     37
DK/NA                16     15     10      8      3     14     11      9

32. Do you believe that the Republican tax plan will lead to an increase in jobs and economic growth, or not?

                                                               WHITE......
COLLEGE DEG
Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
Yes/Believe          36%    78%     8%    31%    43%    30%    38%    47%
No                   52     12     80     56     47     57     54     39
DK/NA                12     10     11     13     11     14      8     13
AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
Yes/Believe          30%    36%    36%    38%    50%    37%    43%     9%    20%
No                   53     57     51     50     41     51     46     79     57
DK/NA                17      7     13     12      9     12     11     13     22
ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME..........  ECONOMIC CLASS.......
30-    50-    100-                        Upper
<30K   50K    100K   250K   >250K  Wrkng  Middle Middle+
Yes/Believe          29%    35%    41%    32%    33%    39%    36%    32%
No                   53     48     50     60     62     45     53     59
DK/NA                18     16      9      8      5     16     10      9

33. Who do you think will benefit the most from this plan: low income Americans, middle class Americans, or wealthy Americans?

                                                               WHITE......
COLLEGE DEG
Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
Low income            6%    11%     3%     4%     7%     5%     5%     8%
Middle class         24     53      4     22     28     21     25     34
Wealthy              61     22     88     65     58     63     62     48
DK/NA                 9     13      4      9      8     11      8     10
AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
Low income            5%     7%     7%     4%     8%     5%     6%     -      7%
Middle class         23     24     23     25     34     27     30      4     10
Wealthy              62     66     60     59     50     58     54     88     73
DK/NA                 9      3     10     11      8     10      9      8     10
ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME..........  ECONOMIC CLASS.......
30-    50-    100-                        Upper
<30K   50K    100K   250K   >250K  Wrkng  Middle Middle+
Low income            8%     4%     5%     6%     8%     7%     5%     4%
Middle class         16     27     28     22     19     26     25     22
Wealthy              66     56     60     66     70     57     61     65
DK/NA                 9     13      7      6      3     10      9      8
More....
Note...
The poll also has extensive questions about gun control and the broad support it has....
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First Alabama Senate race tied poll yesterday…Now Jones leads poll is out….

Republican Roy Moore is in serious trouble down their in Red State Alabama ….

In the week since there surfaced reports that he spent time with a 14 year old?

It has become common knowledge that he aslo spent time with high school females….

Moore, who has been kicked off the judges bench a few times is known to be ‘different’ and in tounch regularly with ‘man up above’….

Republicans in his home state are used to the Moore antics and have his back, GOPer’s in Washington do NOT….

Image result for gones/moore alabama

While polling up to the revelations had Moore as the run away favorite in the December 12 Specail Election for the US Senate seat that Jeff Session gave up to become Attorny General?…..

That was then…

The new poll has Doug Jones, a Alabama Democrat, is ahead by 4% points with the undecided’s at 9%…..

A new JMC Analytics poll in Alabama finds Doug Jones (D) now leading Roy Moore (R) in the U.S. Senate special election run off, 46% to 42%, with 9% undecided.

Interesting: “While 38% of poll participants said they were ‘less likely’ to vote for Moore in the aftermath of the allegations, 29% said it made them ‘more likely’ to vote for him and 33% said it made ‘no difference.’

Politicalwire….

We still ahve a month to go …..

Moore has huncked down and will be on the ballot….

But the untinkable may just happen next month…

A Democrat could win in Red State Alabama….

And the Grand Ole partties majority in the US Senate for the enxt year could be down to 51/49…..

Politics sure can be interesting, eh?

Note….

The new RealClear Politics average is Moore +1.7 today 11/12/17….

image of Moore and Jones…al.com

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Alabama special Senate Race tied…Poll….

I don’t know how good this poll is…

But if there are more showing the race close?

Roy Moore is in trouble….

If Lutrher Strange mounts a write in?

Roy Moore COULD actually lose…

Embattled Alabama GOP Senate nominee Roy Moore is tied with Democrat Doug Jones in a new poll on Friday, one day after accusations surfaced that Moore had inappropriate sexual contact with a 14-year-old girl decades ago.

Moore and Jones are tied at 46 percent in the new poll by Decision Desk and Opinion Savvy, with 82 percent of respondents aware of the new allegations leveled by named accusers in The Washington Post.

In RealClearPolitics’s average of polls, which does not yet include the new poll, Moore is leading by 6 points. All of those polls were taken before the allegations of Moore’s sexual conduct were reported.

Since the lion’s share of respondents were aware of the allegations, it’s likely that the new revelations are in part responsible for tightening the race….

,,,

Despite that pressure, 54 percent of voters — and 73 percent of Republicans — do not think Moore should step aside as the party’s nominee….

More…

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Last major poll for Virginia Governor race has Democrat Northam ahead….

The race has closed in the last two weeks…..

Republicans will argue that the race should not be this close …..

A new New York Times/Siena poll in Virginia finds Ralph Northam (D) edging out Ed Gillespie (R) in the race for governor, 43% to 40%.

Said pollster Don Levy: “This is a classic barnburner election that will have both candidates and campaigns working hard until the polls close Tuesday night. Northam and Gillespie are both strong with their bases: Gillespie has the support of 88% of Republicans while Northam is supported by 89% of Democrats.”

The RealClearPolitics polling average shows Northam ahead by just 1.8%…..

Politicalwire…

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What if Nothing Happens after Mueller can prove Trump and Co. committed crimes?…Open Thread for 11/3/17

Vox is out with a piece that asks a question that SHOULD be asked….

Image result for mueller/Trump/ryan

What happens if the Republican majority in the House are MORE afraid of losing their jobs by voting to impeach a guy who 60% of America doesn’t approve, of and 49% are all right if they do bring him up on charges…… BUT….60% of Republicans do approve of the guy, not caring about his politics , or that he can remember what he said ten minutes ago …(Most American actually don’t seem to care about these doings because they do NOT affect them directly)

What happens if 60% of the Grand Ole party voters/supporters/party members poll that they do NOT care if Donald Trump starts a war with North Korea that could get tens of thousands of Korea’s killed and thousands of American soldiers also?

Image result for mueller/Trump/ryan

What happen’s if Donald Trump keeps coaxing his adopted party to KEEP TRYING to ‘steal from the poor and give to rich?’…..

All these things ARE FUCKING SCARY…..

But so far?

It seems that almost NOTHING is more important to most Republican lawmakers than  KEEPING their jobs….

Some of those who don’t like what going on have stood up and been greeted with applause….But most who question Trump out loud are subjected to abuse from some of their local vocal party members …..

They get to add that to Trump berating them in public…..

In reaction to THIS?

Some have announced they’re giving up and not running for re-election…

But most?

Most keep their heads down, swallow hard and vote to support Trump’s all over the place requests and proclaim their allegiance to Trump’s  wishes….

The specter of Donald Trump winning the GOP nomination and Presidency still haunts these party members….Heck, it still spooks the media which has always ignored the rightwingnuts…But now tries to front some of their crazy stuff….

Image result for mueller

If you get the time to read the Vox piece by David Roberts…..It IS good to understand NOT the law and legal part of Trump’s story for the last year…It sis also important to understand the political dynamic he is running on the American government…..And things unimaginable  COULD occur next year that could change the American way of governance and way of life if one parties lawmakers do NOT grow the ball’s to stand up be counted if  Robert Mueller and his investigators and prosecutors lay down a story of a cover-up’s , lie’s ,  money, laundering, conspiracy , obstruction and maybe even treason….

What if facts and persuasion just don’t matter anymore?

As long as conservatives can do something — steal an election, gerrymander crazy districts to maximize GOP advantage, use the filibuster as a routine tool of opposition, launch congressional investigations as political attacks, hold the debt ceiling hostage, repress voting among minorities, withhold a confirmation vote on a Supreme Court nominee, defend a known fraud and sexual predator who has likely colluded with a foreign government to gain the presidency — they will do it, knowing they’ll be backed by a relentlessly on-message media apparatus.

And if that’s true, if the very preconditions of science and journalism as commonly understood have been eroded, then all that’s left is a raw contest of power.

Donald Trump has the power to hold on to the presidency, as long as elected Republicans, cowed by the conservative base, support him. That is true almost regardless of what he’s done or what’s proven by Mueller. As long as he has that power, he will exercise it. That’s what recent history seems to show.

Democrats do not currently have the numbers to stop him. They can’t do it without some help from Republicans. And Republicans seem incapable, not only of acting on what Mueller knows, but of even coming to know it.

Maybe I’m wrong. Maybe US institutions have more life in them than I think. But at this point, it’s just very difficult to imagine anything that could bridge the epistemic gulf between America’s tribes. We are split in two, living in different worlds, with different stories and facts shaping our lives. We no longer learn or know things together, as a country, so we can no longer act together, as a country.

So we may just have to live with a president indicted for collusion with a foreign power….

More…

Top image…marketwatch.com

Middle image….bailtmoresun.com

Bottom image…latimes.com

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Americans Do NOT like Trump/Republican tax plan by a 17-point margin early on….

If Republicans actually pass something ?

It won’t look ANYTHING like what they just put out….

The word by some is that the tax plan will be MORE difficult for Republicans to pass than their efforts to repeal healthcare which hasn’t been successful at ALL….

Republicans seem to be hard pressed to try pass unpopular legislation that will endanger their members in the midterm election for next year which are only a year away….

Americans oppose the GOP tax plan by a 17-point margin, according to a new ABC News/Washington Post poll.

Half of Americans oppose the plan, a six-point increase from September. Only 33 percent support it. Among Democrats, 79 percent oppose the plan, while 75 percent of Republicans support it.

The survey was conducted from Oct. 29 to Nov. 1 among 1005 adults, just days before Republicans released the bill, meaning views of the tax plan could change.

Sixty percent of those surveyed said the plan primarily favors the wealthy. President Trump has touted the plan as beneficial for the middle class, but many critics of the bill have said that the corporate tax cuts and phase-out of the estate tax will benefit the richest Americans.

Even the majority of wealthy Americans agree – among respondents with incomes of $100,000 or more, 61 percent said the plan benefits the wealthy. And among the respondents who say it benefits the wealthy, only 10 percent say they support the plan.

More…

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Majority of Americans have Mueller’s back on Trump investigation…

The new WashPost/ABC poll reveals that contrary to Donald Trump’s rants?

58% of Americans believe the Special Consel ( Prosecutor) is doing his job and it isn’t just a ‘fake’ news story and effort….

In simple terms?

Image result for mueller/trump

People are behind Mueller’s effort ‘s to find answers to goings on that Trump has refused to reveal and that appear to disregard rules and laws that other peoiple wouild get in trouble for not following…

The poll has 49% of it’s respondennts thinking that Trump HAS committed crimes even before Mueller has producted evidence that he did….

This is NOT  a good look for a President who lost the popular vote to get his present job and whose approval rate is below 40% with the American public, as a whole right now….

More than twice as many Americans approve as disapprove of special counsel Robert S. Mueller III’s investigation of possible coordination between Donald Trump’s 2016 campaign and the Russian government, a new Washington Post-ABC News pollfinds, indicating that the conservative effort to discredit the probe has fallen flat as the case has progressed toward its first public charges.

A 58 percent majority say they approve of Mueller’s handling of the investigation, while 28 percent say they disapprove, the Post-ABC poll finds. People’s views depend in large part on their political leanings, but overall, Americans are generally inclined to trust Mueller and the case he has made so far.

Meanwhile, fewer than 4 in 10 Americans say they believe Trump is cooperating with Mueller’s investigation, while about half believe he is not.

A similar 49 percent think it is likely Trump himself committed a crime in connection with possible Russian attempts to influence the election, although more say this view is based on suspicion rather than on hard evidence….

More…

image…salon.com

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Support for Impeaching Donald Trump a hair below 50%…Biden ahead of him for 2020 ….Poll….

The Public Policy Polling poll also shows a trend that has NOT been a media favorite to talk about….

Support FOR Obamacare has risen above 50%

The poll also points to a 2020 re-election problem for Trump already ….If he’s around to and seeks to run again ?….Several Democrats are ALREADY looking like they would beat him….Joe Biden leads, with Sanders, Booker and Warren and others following in that order….

Image result for trump

PPP’s newest national poll finds a record level of support for impeaching Donald Trump. 49% of voters support impeaching him, to 41% who are opposed to doing so. This marks the 6th month in a row we’ve found a plurality of voters in favor of impeaching Trump, and it’s the closest we’ve found to a majority.

Trump’s approval rating has declined by a net 7 points in the last month. In September we found him at a -11 spread with 42% of voters approving of him to 53% who disapproved. Now he’s at -18 with 38% of voters approving of him to 56% who disapprove.

Trump claimed last week that he had accomplished more in 9 months than any President in American History, but only 25% of voters believe that claim to 66% who do not, although it’s a notable measure of the ‘Trump cult’ that 55% of those who voted for him do believe he’s the most accomplished to 32% who disagree. Voters actually put his first 9 months in a very different historical context- 49% already say they think he’s the worst President in American History, to 43% who dispute that notion. By a 54/40 margin voters wish Barack Obama was still President instead of Trump, and by a 48/42 spread they wish Hillary Clinton was in the White House rather than Trump.

Trump fares poorly on a number of metrics we tested in the poll. Only 37% of voters think he’s honest, to 56% who say he’s not. In fact a 52% majority come right out and say they think Trump is a liar, to 41% who disagree with that characterization. There are continued transparency concerns, with 60% of voters thinking he needs to release his tax returns to just 32% who don’t think it’s necessary for him to. And only 31% of voters think Trump has delivered on the core promise of his campaign to ‘Make America Great Again,’ to 60% who say he’s failed on that front….

More…

Note….

The Poll responders indicated that Trump was scarier than Ghosts, Vampires and other Halloween symbols…..

image…time

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Some Democratic Senators in Trump won states are NOT hurting in the Polls….

Surprise!

Democrats have more stateto defend next year…..But?

Even with those Senators voting WITH their party against Trump?

Their poll numbers remain high….

It seems that some of those states that Republicans thought they could contest easily aren’t  going that way a year out…

Three Democratic senators facing reelection bids in 2018 in states won by President Trump last year are maintaining high approval ratings, according to Morning Consult polling released Tuesday.

Sens. Heidi Heitkamp (D-N.D.), Joe Manchin (D-W.V.) and Jon Tester (D-Mont.) saw their approval ratings inch above 50 percent in their respective states in the third quarter of 2017.

Both major parties have expressed optimism heading into the 2018 midterm elections. Democrats are hopeful they can pick up seats in Congress, while Republicans are seeking to pad their majority. Heitkamp, Manchin and Tester are among the Senate seats considered most likely to flip.

In North Dakota, 55 percent of voters approve of Heitkamp, and 32 percent disapprove. The margin of error in the poll is plus or minus 4 percentage points.

In West Virginia, polling showed Manchin with a 53 percent approval rating, while 36 percent disapprove. The margin of error in that poll is plus or minus 2 percentage points….

More…

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Both Nassau County LI Executive candidates annouce they have polls showing them AHEAD…

Huh?

…from Jeff Singer @ Daily Kos…

Nassau County, NY Executive: We have our first two polls of next week’s race to lead this large Long Island County. Republican Jack Martins dropped a Clout Research survey giving him a 47-41 lead, while Democrat Laura Curran responded with a Global Strategy Group survey giving her a 43-39 edge.

Martins poll was in the field Oct. 25-26 while GSG’s survey was done Oct. 16-19, so make of that what you will. As we’ve noted before, we’re very much not fans of Clout Research, aka the pollster formally known as Wenzel Strategies. Clout notably performed very badly in the 2012 cycle, and while they haven’t produced any high-profile stinkers since they, they’ve otherwise displayed some strange habits. Of course, even if Clout is up to their old tricks, GSG indicates this is far from a slam dunk for Curran. While Nassau backed Clinton 51-45, Republicans still do well down-ballot here.

Source….

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Bob Corker drops Trump…His poll numbers drop also….

Yes, Most Republican ‘s supporters ARE in Donald Trump’s pocket….

Don’t matter if what he says doesn’t work, or changes with the wind, or he could have sold the country down the river to the Russian’s….

Donald Trump all Alternate Universe of him HAS support within his adopted party….

That while 60% of Americans in whole do NOT approve of what he’s trying to do in an office he wasn’t supposed to get in….

Image result for bob corker

Bob Corker has seen the light….

It doesn’t matter to a lot of people in his party….

Yet another Republican senator who dared to criticize President Trump has seen his numbers crater among Republicans.

Sen. Bob Corker (R-Tenn.), who recently announced his retirement and then went after Trump in unprecedented terms for a Republican, saw his overall approval rating decline just a bit in a new Middle Tennessee State University poll released Friday morning, from 52 percent in February to 45 percent today.

But a deeper dive into the poll’s findings show his feud with Trump has clearly alienated Republicans.

I asked the pollster to pull numbers on just Republicans, and it turns out Corker’s approval is now actually lower inside the GOP than in the state as a whole. Just 37 percent of Republicans say they approve of Corker, while 49 percent disapprove. That’s much worse than in February, when Corker’s approval was 61 percent among Republicans, versus just 21 percent who disapproved.

In other words, he was plus-40 before; now he’s minus-12….

More…..

image…nbc.com

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On that One poll that shows GOPer’s Gillispie ahead in the Virginia Governors race…….

It’s just one poll….

No other poll has  Republican Ed Gillespie ahead….

Democrat Ralph Northam is shown up 14  and 7 percentage points in the latest polling…

A Monmouth University poll released Tuesday generated a ton of headlines. It found Republican Ed Gillespie leading the Virginia gubernatorial race by 1 percentage point, 48 percent to 47 percent. Democrat Ralph Northam has led in most surveys of the race, and if Republicans win Virginia with President Trump so unpopular, you can expect a full-blown freakout among Democrats. Adding to the confusion: Quinnipiac University released a poll on Wednesday showing Northam up 14 percentage points, 53 percent to 39 percent.

So what the heck is going on in the Virginia governor’s race? Nothing. The split between the Monmouth and Quinnipiac results is big, but it’s not unnatural. In fact, it’s a sign that pollsters are doing their job.

Polling averages work best when pollsters are working independently. You have different pollsters using different methods and making different estimates of the electorate, and you get a more accurate picture of the race by averaging their results together than by looking at any individual poll. It’s kind of like the old “wisdom of the crowd” principle.

That doesn’t work if pollsters “herd” — which my colleague Nate Silver defined as “the tendency of polling firms to produce results that closely match one another.” When pollsters release results that are closer to each other than is statistically plausible, it may make individual polls more accurate, but it makes the average less so. That is, there should be a big spread among polls of the same race. Unfortunately, herding happens, particularly as Election Day approaches.

But it doesn’t seem be happening in Virginia. The October average of Virginia gubernatorial surveys has Northam leading Gillespie by 7 percentage points, 50 percent to 43 percent….

More….

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New Hampshire GOP voters wary of Trump second term in Oct. 2017…

It’s early….

But reflecting Donald Trump’s polling numbers acros the board?

His support among his adopted party supporters isn’t as strong as it could be in an early Republican primary state right now…

Less than half of likely New Hampshire Republican primary voters intend to back President Donald Trump in the state’s 2020 primary, according to a University of New Hampshire poll released Wednesday.

Forty-seven percent of likely Republican primary voters say they will vote for Trump in the next presidential primary, a significantly lower percentage than the 64 percent of likely Democratic primary voters who said in October 2009 they would vote for then-President Barack Obama in 2016. Nearly a quarter of likely GOP primary voters say they will vote for another candidate in 2020, and 30 percent say they are unsure.

Just 5 percent of likely Democratic voters in New Hampshire said around this time eight years ago that they would vote for a candidate other than Obama, and 30 percent had also said they were unsure at the time.

Trump won New Hampshire’s primary last year with 35 percent of the Republican vote…

Note ….

For Democrats it’s Sanders first with Biden behind him for 2020 this early….

More….

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Could Democrats grab a US Senate Seat in Alabama?

Oh Shit!

If this Special Election race to replace Attorney General Sessions went to the Democrats I think the media and Republican heads would explode ….

Looking for another poll on this race…

Could bad news about WTH out here Moore be sinking his chances of an expected win and give Democrats that unexpected seat?

Is the Steve Bannon angle the kiss of death for GOP candiadtes for office?

Republican Roy Moore (left) and Democrat Doug Jones.

A new Fox News poll in Alabama finds Roy Moore (R) in a dead heat with Doug Jones (D) for U.S. Senate, 42% to 42%, with another 11% unsure.

Among just the 53% of Alabama registered voters who are “extremely” or “very interested” in the race, Jones has a one-point edge over Moore, 46% to 45%….

More…

image…Republican Roy Moore (left) and Democrat Doug Jones.  (Associated Press)

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Daily Polling Numbers for October 17, 2017….Trump/Virginia Governor…Update!

Race/Topic   (Click to Sort) Poll Results Spread
Virginia Governor – Gillespie vs. Northam Christopher Newport Univ.* Northam 48, Gillespie 44 Northam +4
Virginia Governor – Gillespie vs. Northam Roanoke College* Northam 50, Gillespie 44 Northam +6
President Trump Job Approval CNN Approve 38, Disapprove 57 Disapprove +19
President Trump Job Approval Rasmussen Reports Approve 41, Disapprove 57 Disapprove +16
2018 Generic Congressional Vote CNN Democrats 54, Republicans 38 Democrats +16

RealClearPolitics….

Update…

…twitter….

New Monmouth poll of has Republican Ed Gillespie up over Democrat Ralph Northam by a margin of 48%-47%. They had Northam up 5 in Sept

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