Tag Archives: Montana

Montana May 2017…Snow…

lolo pass

A May snowstorm caused power outages and travel issues in Western Montana and a storm system hovering over Billings brought more than an inch of rain that continued into the night on Wednesday.

The Department of Transportation closed Interstate 90 over Homestake Pass east of Butte for a few hours due to jackknifed semi-trailers and poor travel conditions because of heavy, wet snow.

NorthWestern Energy says about 4,000 customers in the Missoula area lost power when tree limbs fell on power lines. Other scattered outages were reported west of Helena and in Cascade, Ulm and Great Falls….

More… 

image….Lolo Pass area, May 17. (Idaho Transportation Department, Townsquare Media)

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Polling Update for October 26, 2016….Media Cherry Picking polls….

The Media is highlighting the Bloomberg poll that Trump up +2 in Florida in a fourway ….But Real Clear Politics does NOT list THREE other Florida polls that have Hillary Clinton ahead….

Florida: Clinton 48%, Trump 45%, Johnson 2% (SurveyUSA)

Florida: Clinton 44%, Trump 41%, Johnson 4% (Associated Industries)

Florida: Clinton 46%, Trump 43%, Johnson 3% (Florida Atlantic University)

We ARE at the point in the campaign where Media outlets WILL cherry pick polls to advance THEIR point of view….

VIEWER BEWARE!
Wednesday, October 26

General Election: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

FOX News

Clinton 44, Trump 41, Johnson 7, Stein 3    Clinton +3

General Election: Trump vs. Clinton

FOX News

Clinton 49, Trump 44    Clinton +5

General Election: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

Reuters/Ipsos

Clinton 42, Trump 38, Johnson 7, Stein 2    Clinton +4

General Election: Trump vs. Clinton

Reuters/Ipsos

Clinton 43, Trump 37    Clinton +6

General Election: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

USA Today/Suffolk

Clinton 47, Trump 38, Johnson 4, Stein 2     Clinton +9

General Election: Trump vs. Clinton

USA Today/Suffolk

Clinton 49, Trump 39    Clinton +10

General Election: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

Associated Press-GfK

Clinton 51, Trump 37, Johnson 6, Stein 2    Clinton +14

General Election: Trump vs. Clinton

LA Times/USC Tracking

Clinton 44, Trump 45    Trump +1

General Election: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

IBD/TIPP Tracking

Clinton 42, Trump 41, Johnson 8, Stein 3    Clinton +1

General Election: Trump vs. Clinton

IBD/TIPP Tracking

Clinton 43, Trump 41    Clinton +2

General Election: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

ABC News Tracking

Clinton 49, Trump 40, Johnson 5, Stein 2    Clinton +9

General Election: Trump vs. Clinton

ABC News Tracking

Clinton 51, Trump 43    Clinton +8

General Election: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

Rasmussen Reports

Clinton 44, Trump 43, Johnson 4, Stein 1    Clinton +1

General Election: Trump vs. Clinton

Associated Press-GfK

Clinton 54, Trump 41    Clinton +13

Florida: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

Bloomberg

Clinton 43, Trump 45, Johnson 4, Stein 2    Trump +2

Nevada: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson

NBC/WSJ/Marist

Clinton 43, Trump 43, Johnson 10    Tie

New Hampshire: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

NBC/WSJ/Marist

Clinton 45, Trump 36, Johnson 10, Stein 4    Clinton +9

New Hampshire: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

Monmouth

Clinton 46, Trump 42, Johnson 7, Stein 1   Clinton +4

Texas: Trump vs. Clinton

Austin American-Statesman*

Trump 45, Clinton 38    Trump +7

Montana: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

Montana State U.

Trump 43, Clinton 27, Johnson 7, Stein 2    Trump +16

Florida Senate – Rubio vs. Murphy

Bloomberg

Rubio 51, Murphy 41   Rubio +10

Florida Senate – Rubio vs. Murphy

Bay News 9/SurveyUSA

Rubio 45, Murphy 41    Rubio +4

New Hampshire Senate – Ayotte vs. Hassan

Monmouth*

Ayotte 46, Hassan 46   Tie

Nevada Senate – Heck vs. Cortez Masto

NBC/WSJ/Marist

Heck 49, Cortez Masto 42    Heck +7

New Hampshire Senate – Ayotte vs. Hassan

NBC/WSJ/Marist

Ayotte 48, Hassan 47   Ayotte +1

New Hampshire Governor – Sununu vs. Van Ostern

Monmouth*

Ostern 48, Sununu 43   Ostern +5

New Hampshire Governor – Sununu vs. Van Ostern

NBC/WSJ/Marist

Ostern 47, Sununu 46    Ostern +1

Montana At-Large District – Zinke vs. Juneau

Montana State U.

Zinke 50, Juneau 31    Zinke +19

President Obama Job Approval

FOX News

Approve 53, Disapprove 46    Approve +7

President Obama Job Approval

USA Today/Suffolk

Approve 54, Disapprove 41    Approve +13

President Obama Job Approval

Associated Press-GfK

Approve 53, Disapprove 47    Approve +6

President Obama Job Approval

Gallup

Approve 52, Disapprove 44    Approve +8

President Obama Job Approval

Rasmussen Reports

Approve 55, Disapprove 45    Approve +10

President Obama Job Approval

Reuters/Ipsos

Approve 48, Disapprove 47 Approve +1

…for more info on the above polls…Real Clear Politics….

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Polling Update for October 16, 2016….

Look at that Utah post and tell us about the McMullen or even Clinton thing there?

Hillary Clinton keeping her solid poll numbers across the board….
Sunday, October 16

General Election: Trump vs. Clinton

ABC News/Wash Post

Clinton 50, Trump 46     Clinton +4

General Election: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

ABC News/Wash Post

Clinton 47, Trump 43, Johnson 5, Stein 2     Clinton +4

General Election: Trump vs. Clinton

NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl

Clinton 51, Trump 41     Clinton +10

General Election: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl

Clinton 48, Trump 37, Johnson 7, Stein 2     Clinton +11

General Election: Trump vs. Clinton

LA Times/USC Tracking

Clinton 44, Trump 45   Trump +1

Florida: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

Gravis

Clinton 46, Trump 42, Johnson 2, Stein 1    Clinton +4

Nevada: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson

CBS News/YouGov

Clinton 46, Trump 40, Johnson 4    Clinton +6

Colorado: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

Gravis

Clinton 44, Trump 39, Johnson 6, Stein 2    Clinton +5

Montana: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

Mason-Dixon

Trump 46, Clinton 36, Johnson 11, Stein 0    Trump +10

Virginia: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

Christopher Newport Univ.

Clinton 44, Trump 29, Johnson 11, Stein 2    Clinton +15

Utah: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein vs. McMullin

CBS News/YouGov

Trump 37, Clinton 20, McMullin 20, Johnson 7, Stein 1    Trump +17

Florida Senate – Rubio vs. Murphy

Gravis

Rubio 44, Murphy 36    Rubio +8

Nevada Senate – Heck vs. Cortez Masto

CBS News/YouGov

Cortez Masto 39, Heck 39     Tie

Colorado Senate – Glenn vs. Bennet

Gravis

Bennet 48, Glenn 38    Bennet +10

President Obama Job Approval

Gallup

Approve 55, Disapprove 41    Approve +14

…for more on the above polls….Real Clear Politics....

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Is Montana Democratic Senator Walsh done?

It has been revealed that Walsh plagiarized significant portions of a paper to earn his master’s degree in 2007 at the Army War College in Carlisle, Pennsylvania.

Democrats hoped to nail down his seat in efforts to hold their majority in the Senate this fall……

Montana Sen. John Walsh is engaged in internal deliberations with his political team about whether to stay on the ballot this year, sources said Tuesday, in the wake of a plagiarism scandal that has tarnished the appointed Democratic lawmaker’s standing.

Senate Democratic leaders in Washington and the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee are not playing an active role in the discussions, allowing the situation to be sorted out between Walsh and his Montana Democratic colleagues, according to people familiar with the matter. The talks come ahead of a key deadline on Monday, the last day for a candidate to withdraw from the race.

More….

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SE’s June 3rd 2014 AL, IA, MS, MT, NJ, NM, & SD Primary Preview

Alabama

AL Governor GOP: Governor Robert Bentley is favoured to win over State Correctional Officer and former Morgan County Commissioner Stacy George.

AL Governor DEM: Based soley upon name recognition, former Congressman and legendary turncoat(he started out Democrat before switching to Republican, to Independent, and back to Democrat again) Parker Griffifth is modestly favoured over former pro-Basketball player Kevin Bass, though an upset cannot be ruled out.

AL Secretary of State GOP: This race features former Montgomery County Probate Judge Reese McKinney, Crenshaw County Probate Judge Jim Perdue, and State Representative John Merrill. Based upon geography alone, McKinney would seem to have an edge, but I’ll cop to having no clue the true dynamics behind this one.

AL Auditor GOP: This race features colourful businessman Dale “cattle prod” Peterson, former Public Service Commissioner Jim Zeigler, former Assistant State Conservation Commissioner Hobbie Sealey, and Secretary of State Aide Adam Thompson. My hunch is that there will be a Runoff between Peterson, who has both enthusiasm and name recognition(for better or for worse) propelling his campaign, and Zeigler, who has mere name recognition behind his.

AL-5 GOP: Incumbent Republican Mo Brooks faces a challenge from former Athens, AL, City Councillor Jerry Hill. Brooks is heavily favoured going into tonight.

AL-6 GOP: The leading contenders for the seat of retiring Republican Spencer Bachus are Tea Party-backed Surgeon Chad Mathis, Corporate Executive Will Brooke, State Representative Paul DeMarco, and former State Senator and 2012 runner-up Scott Beason. This race will head to a certain Runoff, with Mathis and either DeMarco or Beason advancing.

AL-7 DEM: Incumbent Democrat Terri Sewell is facing a challenge from former Birmingham City Attorney Tamara Harris-Johnson. Sewell will win, but with maybe a little more difficulty than most expect.

IOWA

IA Senate GOP: This competitive Primary features State Senator Joni Ernst, Energy Executive Mark Jacobs, Radio Talk Show Host Sam Clovis, and former US Attorney Matt Whitaker. If no one candidate gets over 35% of the vote, the Primary will then be decided at a Convention, a scenario which is unlikely to transpire, as Ernst has the momentum and recent polling has her only just short of the pivotal 35% threshold. Prediction: Ernst 39%, Clovis 28%, Whitaker 17%, and Jacobs 14%.

IA Governor GOP: Governor Terry Branstad is heavily favoured over Conservative activist Tom Hoefling.

IA-1 DEM: This one is a multi-car pileup between former State House Speaker Pat Murphy, former US Labour Department Official and 1988 nominee Dave O’Brien, Cedar Rapids City Councillor Monica Vernon, State Representative Anesa Kajtazovic, and former State Utilities Board Member Swati Dandekar. Murphy has the narrowest of advantages going into tonight.

IA-1 GOP: This one’s a 3-way fight between 2008 Senate candidate and gun rights activist Steve Rathje, Software Company Owner Rod Blum, and Marshalltown School Board Member Gail Boliver. Rathje must be considered the favourite.

IA-2 GOP: This race appears to be a fight between State Representative Mark Lofgren and former State Public Health Director and 2008/2010 nominee Marianette Miller-Meeks. This one is very much a coin flip.

IA-3 GOP: The three main contenders for this race are State Senator and 2010 nominee Brad Zaun, Secretary of State Matt Schultz, and former Chief of Staff to Senator Chuck Grassley David Young. I give Schultz an advantage based on name recognition, though Zaun cannot be completely counted out.
MISSISSIPPI

MS Senate GOP: The battle royale of the night pits six term US Senator Thad Cochran against Tea Party-backed State Senator Chris McDaniel. Recent polling has shown both men exchanging narrow leads, whilst remaining mired in the low forties. In comes the third, and perhaps defining, factor: The candidacy of Realtor Tom Carey. While he is a sure loser tonight, he has been drawing a high enough level of support that he could trigger a Runoff. At this point, a Runoff seems very likely. Prediction: McDaniel 46%, Cochran 43%, Carey 11%.

MS Senate DEM: This is a decidedly low-key affair, but it has the potential to be interesting nonetheless. This race pits former Congressman Travis Childers against Tea Party Democrat, former Republican, and 2010/2012 MS-2 nominee Bill Marcy. This one could get interesting if there are enough Conservatives so disillusioned with both Cochran and McDaniel that they choose to vote for Marcy in the Democratic Primary. It is doubtful such will take place, though, and Childers is a solid favourite going into tonight.

MS-4 GOP: Centrist Republican Congressman Steven Palazzo faces a challenge from the Right in Hancock County Port Commissioner and former Democratic Congressman Gene Taylor. There is a decent likelihood that this race goes to a Runoff, as there are quite a few other Republicans running. Prediction: Taylor 47%, Palazzo 44%, Others 9%..

More….

SE- 779

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The Democrats start their campaign to keep the Senate…

While the media stories have been of the Republican growing hopes of taking the majority in the Senate from the Democrats….

There is also the story of how the Democrats are mounting a campaign to KEEP their majority by focusing on ten specific states where  Republicans are trying  work against them….

They are shifting to more data driven targeting from broad based TV ads….

As in the linked piece below….

They will try to emulate the effort done by the President in his 2012 successful re-election….

The Democrats’ plan to hold onto their narrow Senate majority goes by the name “Bannock Street project.” It runs through 10 states, includes a $60 million investment, and requires more than 4,000 paid staffers. And the effort will need all of that — and perhaps more — to achieve its goal, which is nothing short of changing the character of the electorate in a midterm cycle.

The Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee is preparing its largest and most data-driven ground game yet, relying on an aggressive combination of voter registration, get out of the vote, and persuasion efforts.

They hope to make the 2014 midterm election more closely resemble a presidential election year, when more traditional Democratic constituencies — single women, minorities and young voters — turn out to vote in higher numbers, said Guy Cecil, the committee’s executive director.

More…. 

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Montana, Mississippi and Minnesota Senate Races Preview…Election*Projection

…from The Blogging Caesar at Election Projection…..

Wednesday, January 8, 2014

Democrat Max Baucus was first elected to the U.S. Senate from the great state of Montana way back in 1978. After six terms and five re-election battles in which he was often a prime Republican target they could never defeat, …
Tuesday, January 7, 2014
There is one downside to having a string of easy re-election successes. The fundamentals of what it takes to win a grueling election can atrophe. That’s what six-term Republican incumbent Thad Cochran faces this year. …
Monday, December 23, 2013
Several factors can produce a competitive Senate race. An open seat tends to be more competitive than on in which an incumbent is seeking re-election. A senator in poor standing with his constituency will be more likely to face stiff competition than …
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Former Montana Gov. Brian Schweitzer (D) will NOT run for Montana Senate Seat….

Republicans have to be ecstatic….

Democrats have a problem on this one….

The stunning decision immediately puts the open seat in jeopardy for Democrats and makes the party’s hold of the majority in 2014 a heavier lift.

“I love Montana. I want to be here. There are all kinds of people that think I should be in the U.S. Senate,” Schweitzer told the AP. “But I never wanted to be in the U.S. Senate. I kicked the tires. I walked to the edge and looked over.”

Just a few days ago, he was expected to run. Earlier in the cycle, operatives believed he would have been the frontrunner if he sought the seat given his popularity as governor.

Republicans, who had already begun building an opposition research file on the former governor, are now even more optimistic of picking up the seat.

“We did our homework and there was a lot of rust under Schweitzer’s hood – a LOT of rust,” National Republican Senatorial Committee spokesman Brad Dayspring said. “Republicans will have a great candidate to ensure the Treasure State equal representation in the Senate.”

The GOP field currently includes former state Sen. Corey Stapleton and state Rep. Champ Edmunds. But it’s now highly likely that they will face stiff competition for the nomination.

Rep. Steve Daines, a freshman Republican who briefly ran for Senate last cycle, is considering a run and would be favored to win the primary. He raised $433,000 in the second quarter and had nearly $600,000 in cash on hand as of June 30.

“My focus is fixed on serving the people of Montana and doing the job they sent me to do,” Daines said in a statement on Saturday. “I will continue to give this decision the consideration it deserves, and am still taking time to talk with my family and the people of Montana about how I can best be of service to our state.”

This is an open-seat race to replace retiring Democratic Sen. Max Baucus, with whom Schweitzer had a frosty relationship at best. Schweitzer also had not spoken with Democratic Sen. Jon Tester since before the 2012 elections….

More….

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Remember the Keystone Pipeline?

Just a little update….

I stand by my forecast that the thing will get a ok…..

Right after November 6, 2012….

It doesn’t matter who is elected President that day….

The deal’s a lock…..

Anyways he’s another reason I’ll take the bet….

The route of the pipeline from Canada to Cushing , Oaklahoma has been changed….

But the states of Montana and North Dakotat have gotten concessions so they get in the deal…..

And send some of their product down the pipeline…..

Smart….

Just locking in more American jobs and money for the deal and getting MORE support from the MidWestern states….

And keeping the Canadian’s happy

Like a said….

A done deal….

The President ALREADY changed and signed off on the Southern part of the project….

TransCanada just has to wait few months more….

“I had meetings with oil guys. Everyone was telling me about their problems with TransCanada,” Schweitzer recalled. “I said, ‘I’m a rancher. And when you got a horse, a 4- or 5-year-old coming along pretty good, and you come to a point where it locks up, and it weighs 1,200 or 1,300 pounds, and I weigh only 210. Then you just saddle it up, put a bridle on, tie a front leg to a saddle horn and they’re standing there on three legs. Then you walk up and give them a push and they just about fall down. When that happens, they listen.’ ”

The lesson for the oil producers was this, Schweitzer said with relish: “I said, ‘Tell you what I’ll do to TransCanada. I’ll tie one leg up there and they’ll start listening.’ . . . That’s exactly what I did.”

Today TransCanada’s proposed Keystone XL, designed to carry petroleum from Alberta’s oil sands to Gulf Coast refineries in Texas, includes an on-ramp that could accommodate 100,000 barrels a day of oil from the Bakken oil boom. The pipeline itself does not cross North Dakota, but it would have a regional link in Baker, Mont.

Indeed, as controversy exploded last year about whether the Obama administration should approve the line, TransCanada was able to make the case that the pipeline would help relieve the transportation bottleneck in Montana and North Dakota, where oil is being carried out of the area in trucks and rail cars.

“Today, TransCanada would say the smartest thing they ever did was sign those on ramps,” Schweitzer said.

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Daily Kos…CSPAN Results in Iowa, Montana, New Jersey, New Mexico, S Dakota and Wisconsin….

Reposted from Daily Kos Elections by David Nir

Daily Kos Elections Liveblog Banner
Tonight we’re liveblogging the Wisconsin recall elections as well as primaries in six states:
California, Iowa, Montana, New Jersey, New Mexico and South Dakota.
Click here for our guide to all the key primaries, and stick with us as we cover all of tonight’s interesting races.

ResultsCalif. | Iowa | Montana | New Jersey | New Mexico | S. Dakota |Wisconsin

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The Baucus bill is a good start………

Senator Max Baucus of Montana has released the outline of a blue print for a healthcare bill (PDF) that was developed by a bipartisan group…….Already under fire ….The ten year porgram is cheaper than the Presidents proposal by almost $50 billion…..and provides for healthcare for an additional 30 million Americans…..Let the campaign begin……..

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