Tag Archives: Massachusetts

Democrats look for gains in Governorships for 2018…..

Can Democrats lososen the Republican hold on leaders of The States Houses?

Democratic Governors Association

Twenty-seven of the 38 governorships up in 2017 and 2018 are Republican-held, including many seats that will be open after eight years of GOP control. That means widespread opportunities for Democratic gains, as well as a critical chance for new ideas and new blood to emerge as the party seeks to identify its next generation of leaders and dig out from a low point after President-elect Donald Trump’s shocking White House win.

The sweeping gubernatorial map takes in virtually every national battleground state and segment of the electorate. Diversifying states where Democrats have struggled in recent midterms, like Florida, Nevada and New Mexico, will have open races in 2018. Unorthodox Republicans who carried blue states like Illinois, Maryland and Massachusetts in 2014 will face reelection challenges, too, while Democrats will also look to replicate recent successes in a handful of red states.

And critically, Democrats itching to prove they can still win in the Midwest will get the opportunity to test themselves by chasing GOP-held governorships in Iowa, Michigan, Ohio and Wisconsin.

“I don’t think there’s any question that 2018 will be a watershed year for the Democratic Party in the Midwest,”….

More….

image of Members of the Democratic Governors Association are seen from left: Vermont’s Peter Shumlin, the Virgin Island’s John de Jongh, Montana’s Steve Bullock, Colorado’s John Hickenlooper, New Hampshire’s Maggie Hassan, Washington’s Jay Inslee and Connecticut’s Dan Malloy ……AP

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Polling Update for October 27, 2016….Ton of Polls…Clinton Crusin….

Polls below for 17states…..Clinton leads in 12 of them….

Her Average in the popular Vote REMAINS around 5% to 6%…..

There are 12 Days untill the votes are counted….
Thursday, October 27

General Election: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

Pew Research

Clinton 46, Trump 40, Johnson 6, Stein 3    Clinton +6

General Election: Trump vs. Clinton

Pew Research

Clinton 50, Trump 43    Clinton +7

General Election: Trump vs. Clinton

LA Times/USC Tracking

Clinton 45, Trump 45 Tie

General Election: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

Rasmussen Reports

Clinton 45, Trump 44, Johnson 4, Stein 1    Clinton +1

General Election: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

ABC News Tracking

Clinton 48, Trump 42, Johnson 5, Stein 1    Clinton +6

General Election: Trump vs. Clinton

ABC News Tracking

Clinton 51, Trump 44    Clinton +7

General Election: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

Economist/YouGov

Clinton 46, Trump 41, Johnson 4, Stein 2    Clinton +5

General Election: Trump vs. Clinton

Economist/YouGov

Clinton 49, Trump 46    Clinton +3

General Election: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

IBD/TIPP Tracking

Clinton 43, Trump 41, Johnson 8, Stein 2    Clinton +2

General Election: Trump vs. Clinton

IBD/TIPP Tracking

Clinton 44, Trump 42    Clinton +2

General Election: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

CNBC

Clinton 43, Trump 34, Johnson 7, Stein 2    Clinton +9

General Election: Trump vs. Clinton

CNBC

Clinton 47, Trump 37    Clinton +10

North Carolina: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson

Quinnipiac

Clinton 47, Trump 43, Johnson 5   Clinton +4

Iowa: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

Quinnipiac

Trump 44, Clinton 44, Johnson 4, Stein 1   Tie

Georgia: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson

Quinnipiac

Trump 44, Clinton 43, Johnson 8    Trump +1

New Hampshire: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

UMass Amherst/WBZ

Clinton 43, Trump 38, Johnson 8, Stein 3    Clinton +5

Pennsylvania: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

NY Times/Siena

Clinton 46, Trump 39, Johnson 6, Stein 3    Clinton +7

Missouri: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

Remington Research (R)

Trump 50, Clinton 39, Johnson 4, Stein 1   Trump +11

Michigan: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

Detroit Free Press

Clinton 41, Trump 34, Johnson 9, Stein 3    Clinton +7

Michigan: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

FOX 2 Detroit/Mitchell

Clinton 48, Trump 42, Johnson 5, Stein 2    Clinton +6

Virginia: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

Quinnipiac

Clinton 50, Trump 38, Johnson 4, Stein 2    Clinton +12

Washington: Trump vs. Clinton

University of Washington

Clinton 53, Trump 39   Clinton +14

Louisiana: Trump vs. Clinton

SMOR*

Trump 50, Clinton 35    Trump +15

Massachusetts: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

Boston Globe/Suffolk

Clinton 57, Trump 25, Johnson 4, Stein 3    Clinton +32

California: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

PPIC

Clinton 54, Trump 28, Johnson 5, Stein 5   Clinton +26

Pennsylvania Senate – Toomey vs. McGinty

NY Times/Siena

Toomey 44, McGinty 47    McGinty +3

California Senate – Harris vs. Sanchez

PPIC

Harris 42, Sanchez 20    Harris +22

Washington Governor – Bryant vs. Inslee

University of Washington

Inslee 51, Bryant 45   Inslee +6

Missouri Governor – Greitens vs. Koster

Remington Research (R)*

Koster 47, Greitens 45     Koster +2

President Obama Job Approval

Pew Research

Approve 54, Disapprove 42 Approve +12

President Obama Job Approval

CNN/ORC

Approve 55, Disapprove 43 Approve +12

President Obama Job Approval

Economist/YouGov

Approve 48, Disapprove 51 Disapprove +3

President Obama Job Approval

Gallup

Approve 53, Disapprove 44 Approve +9

President Obama Job Approval

Rasmussen Reports

Approve 55, Disapprove 44 Approve +11

…for more info on the above polls….Real Clear Politics….

Politica Wire is reporting out more polls….

Texas: Trump 45%, Clinton 42%, Johnson 7% (UT/Texas Tribune)

Texas: Trump 45%, Clinton 38%, Johnson 7% (Austin American Statesman)

Florida: Clinton 43%, Trump 39%, Johnson 6% (University of North Florida)

New Mexico: Clinton 45%, Trump 40%, Johnson 9% (Zia Poll)

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Polling Update for October 18, 2016…..Clinton close in Texas….

Trump will probably win Texas. Earlier polls had shown a close-ish race there, but with a Trump lead in the high single digits. And as a hedge against the polls, our forecast still assigns a little bit of weight to our regression-based analysis, which is based on demographics and voting history. Thus, our model still has Trump ahead by 5 or 6 percentage points in Texas, and puts Clinton’s chances of an upset at 17 percent.1…

More Nate Silver….
Tuesday, October 18

General Election: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

FOX News

Clinton 45, Trump 39, Johnson 5, Stein 3    Clinton +6

General Election: Trump vs. Clinton

FOX News

Clinton 49, Trump 42     Clinton +7

General Election: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

Rasmussen Reports

Clinton 42, Trump 41, Johnson 7, Stein 2    Clinton +1

General Election: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

NBC News/SM

Clinton 46, Trump 40, Johnson 8, Stein 4    Clinton +6

General Election: Trump vs. Clinton

LA Times/USC Tracking

Clinton 43, Trump 45    Trump +2

Wisconsin: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

WPR/St. Norbert

Clinton 47, Trump 39, Johnson 1, Stein 3    Clinton +8

Oregon: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

Oregon Public Broadcasting

Clinton 43, Trump 36, Johnson 7, Stein 5     Clinton +7

Colorado: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

Magellan Strategies (R)

Clinton 40, Trump 35, Johnson 12, Stein 5    Clinton +5

Nevada: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson

Monmouth

Clinton 47, Trump 40, Johnson 7    Clinton +7

Texas: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

University of Houston

Trump 41, Clinton 38, Johnson 4, Stein 1    Trump +3

New Jersey: Trump vs. Clinton  

Fairleigh Dickinson

Clinton 51, Trump 40   Clinton +11

Massachusetts: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

WBUR/MassINC

Clinton 54, Trump 28, Johnson 7, Stein 3    Clinton +26

Nevada Senate – Heck vs. Cortez Masto

Monmouth*

Cortez Masto 42, Heck 45    Heck +3

Wisconsin Senate – Johnson vs. Feingold

WPR/St. Norbert

Feingold 52, Johnson 40    Feingold +12

Florida Senate – Rubio vs. Murphy

Quinnipiac

Rubio 49, Murphy 47    Rubio +2

Pennsylvania Senate – Toomey vs. McGinty

Quinnipiac

Toomey 49, McGinty 45    Toomey +4

Ohio Senate – Portman vs. Strickland

Quinnipiac

Portman 54, Strickland 41    Portman +13

Colorado Senate – Glenn vs. Bennet

Quinnipiac

Bennet 56, Glenn 38    Bennet +18

Colorado Senate – Glenn vs. Bennet

Magellan Strategies (R)*

Bennet 47, Glenn 32    Bennet +15

Oregon Governor – Pierce vs. Brown

Oregon Public Broadcasting*

Brown 46, Pierce 33     Brown +13

President Obama Job Approval

FOX News

Approve 50, Disapprove 46    Approve +4

President Obama Job Approval

Gallup

Approve 54, Disapprove 43    Approve +11

President Obama Job Approval

Rasmussen Reports

Approve 51, Disapprove 48     Approve +3

…for info on the above polls….Real Clear Politics….

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Polling Update for October 6, 2016…John McCain will Keep his day job looks like…Ohio Update…

Look at Arizona Sen. John McCain!

Has New Hamshire Sen. Kelly Ayotte had the voters come back to her?

Clinton getting the polls to creep back her way?…(Two in a row with her ahead of Trump…)

And President Obama is just sailing on above 50% in the approval department….
Thursday, October 6

General Election: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

Rasmussen Reports

Clinton 41, Trump 43, Johnson 8, Stein 3    Trump +2

General Election: Trump vs. Clinton

The Atlantic/PRRI

Clinton 47, Trump 41      Clinton +6

General Election: Trump vs. Clinton

LA Times/USC Tracking

Clinton 43, Trump 47    Trump +4

New Hampshire: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

Boston Globe/Suffolk

Clinton 44, Trump 42, Johnson 5, Stein 1    Clinton +2

Indiana: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson

WTHR/Howey Politics

Trump 43, Clinton 38, Johnson 11    Trump +5

Michigan: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

Detroit Free Press

Clinton 43, Trump 32, Johnson 10, Stein 3     Clinton +11

*Ohio: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

PPP (D)

Trump 43, Clinton 44, Johnson 5, Stein 2     Clinton +1

Florida: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

Emerson

Clinton 44, Trump 45, Johnson 4, Stein 3    Trump +1

Florida: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

Univ. of North Florida

Clinton 41, Trump 38, Johnson 6, Stein 3    Clinton +3

Nevada: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson

Emerson*

Clinton 43, Trump 43, Johnson 9   Tie

Arizona: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

Emerson

Trump 42, Clinton 44, Johnson 9, Stein 1     Clinton +2

Arizona: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

OH Predictive Insights

Trump 42, Clinton 42, Johnson 5, Stein 1    Tie

Tennessee: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

Vanderbilt University

Trump 44, Clinton 33, Johnson 7, Stein 1     Trump +11

Maryland: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

Wash Post/Univ. of Maryland

Clinton 63, Trump 27, Johnson 4, Stein 2    Clinton +36

Rhode Island: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

Emerson

Clinton 52, Trump 32, Johnson 5, Stein 5     Clinton +20

Massachusetts: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

Western NE University

Clinton 58, Trump 26, Johnson 7, Stein 4    Clinton +32

New Hampshire Senate – Ayotte vs. Hassan

Boston Globe/Suffolk*

Ayotte 47, Hassan 41    Ayotte +6

Florida Senate – Rubio vs. Murphy

Emerson

Rubio 47, Murphy 39    Rubio +8

Nevada Senate – Heck vs. Cortez Masto

Emerson

Heck 45, Cortez Masto 41    Heck +4

Arizona Senate – McCain vs. Kirkpatrick

Emerson

McCain 52, Kirkpatrick 36    McCain +16

Maryland Senate – Szeliga vs. Van Hollen

Wash Post/Univ. of Maryland*

Van Hollen 58, Szeliga 29     Van Hollen +29

New Hampshire Governor – Sununu vs. Van Ostern

Boston Globe/Suffolk*

Sununu 40, Ostern 36    Sununu +4

President Obama Job Approval

CNN/ORC

Approve 55, Disapprove 44     Approve +11

President Obama Job Approval

Rasmussen Reports

Approve 50, Disapprove 50     Tie

….for information on the abovce polls…Read Clear Politics.

  • Update….

Ohio PPP poll added after post first out….Ohio is just about the ONLY Obama 20008/2012 state that Obama carried that has NOT been polling for Hillary Clinton recently….

….from PPP on their Ohio poll….

PPP’s new Ohio poll finds that the race in the state continues to be very tight. Hillary Clinton’s at 44% to 43% for Donald Trump, 5% for Gary Johnson, and 2% for Jill Stein. If voters had to choose just between Clinton and Trump, Clinton’s advantage remains one point at 48/47.

Ohio’s emblematic of what we see in much of the country. Voters don’t like Hillary Clinton- she has a 42/54 favorability rating. But they like Donald Trump even less, with his favorability coming in at 38/56. To put Trump’s unpopularity in the state in perspective, we asked Ohioans whether they have a more favorable opinion of Trump or the University of Michigan- and ‘That School Up North’ beat out Trump 48/33.

One thing that could help Clinton win Ohio in the end is that voters in the state say they’d rather have four more years of Barack Obama as President than Trump, 51/45. If Clinton can effectively convince voters she would be the continuation of the country’s current direction that they prefer to the sharp pivot a Trump presidency would represent, it could put her over the top here….

More….

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Polling Update for Sepetember 26, 2016….TONS of POLLS!

Wow!

Clinton coming back in Iowa, Florida and North Carolina?….

North Carolina looks like a Democratic Governor….

There isn’t much Red in these polls, eh?

Monday, September 26

General Election: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

Bloomberg Clinton 41, Trump 43, Johnson 8, Stein 4     Trump +2

General Election: Trump vs. Clinton

Bloomberg Clinton 46, Trump 46     Tie

General Election: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

Quinnipiac Clinton 44, Trump 43, Johnson 8, Stein 2     Clinton +1

General Election: Trump vs. Clinton

Quinnipiac Clinton 47, Trump 46      Clinton +1

General Election: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

Monmouth Clinton 46, Trump 42, Johnson 8, Stein 2     Clinton +4

General Election: Trump vs. Clinton

Monmouth Clinton 49, Trump 46      Clinton +3

General Election: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

NBC News/SM Clinton 45, Trump 40, Johnson 10, Stein 3

Clinton +5

General Election: Trump vs. Clinton

NBC News/SM Clinton 51, Trump 44      Clinton +7

General Election: Trump vs. Clinton

LA Times/USC Tracking Clinton 42, Trump 46      Trump +4

Colorado: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

CNN/ORC Trump 42, Clinton 41, Johnson 13, Stein 3     Trump +1

Colorado: Trump vs. Clinton

CNN/ORC Trump 47, Clinton 49     Clinton +2

Pennsylvania: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

CNN/ORC Clinton 45, Trump 44, Johnson 6, Stein 3   Clinton +1

Pennsylvania: Trump vs. Clinton

CNN/ORC Clinton 50, Trump 47     Clinton +3

Pennsylvania: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

Harper (R) Clinton 45, Trump 43, Johnson 8, Stein 1     Clinton +2

Pennsylvania: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

Gravis Clinton 46, Trump 43, Johnson 3, Stein 3     Clinton +3

Pennsylvania: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

Mercyhurst Clinton 42, Trump 41, Johnson 4, Stein 3     Clinton +1

Florida: Trump vs. Clinton

FL Chamber* Clinton 45, Trump 42     Clinton +3

Minnesota: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

KSTP/SurveyUSA Clinton 46, Trump 39, Johnson 6, Stein 2

Clinton +7

Minnesota: Trump vs. Clinton

KSTP/SurveyUSA Clinton 49, Trump 43     Clinton +6

Iowa: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

Loras Trump 38, Clinton 38, Johnson 9, Stein 1     Tie

Iowa: Trump vs. Clinton

Loras Trump 42, Clinton 42     Tie

Virginia: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

Christopher Newport Univ. Clinton 39, Trump 33, Johnson 15, Stein 3 Clinton +6

Virginia: Trump vs. Clinton

Christopher Newport Univ. Clinton 48, Trump 38    Clinton +10

North Carolina: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson

High Point Trump 42, Clinton 43, Johnson 10      Clinton +1

North Carolina: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson

Gravis Trump 43, Clinton 44, Johnson 7     Clinton +1

Louisiana: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

JMC Analytics Trump 45, Clinton 35, Johnson 6, Stein 2    Trump +10

Massachusetts: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

UMass Amherst/WBZ Clinton 46, Trump 33, Johnson 8, Stein 2 Clinton +13

New York: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

NBC 4 NY/WSJ/Marist Clinton 52, Trump 31, Johnson 7, Stein 5 Clinton +21

Colorado Senate – Glenn vs. Bennet

CNN/ORC Bennet 53, Glenn 43     Bennet +10

Pennsylvania Senate – Toomey vs. McGinty

CNN/ORC McGinty 49, Toomey 46     McGinty +3

Pennsylvania Senate – Toomey vs. McGinty

Gravis McGinty 43, Toomey 39    McGinty +4

Pennsylvania Senate – Toomey vs. McGinty

Harper (R)* McGinty 42, Toomey 42    Tie

Pennsylvania Senate – Toomey vs. McGinty

Mercyhurst McGinty 42, Toomey 43    Toomey +1

North Carolina Senate – Burr vs. Ross

High Point* Ross 43, Burr 45     Burr +2

North Carolina Senate – Burr vs. Ross

Gravis Ross 48, Burr 39   Ross +9

Louisiana Senate – Open Primary

JMC Analytics* Boustany 15, Kennedy 11, Campbell 15, Fayard 12, Fleming 14    Tie

North Carolina Governor – McCrory vs. Cooper High Point* Cooper 50, McCrory 41    Cooper +9

President Obama Job Approval

Bloomberg Approve 49, Disapprove 48    Approve +1

President Obama Job Approval

Gallup Approve 54, Disapprove 41    Approve +13

President Obama Job Approval

Rasmussen Reports Approve 47, Disapprove 52   Disapprove +5

…for more info on the above polls.…Real Clear Politics….

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Polling Update for September 14, 2016…Hillary’s Bad Weekend?….

….”My best guess on the effect of the weekend’s news, based on what the model shows so far, is that the race is continuing to trend moderately toward Trump, when the momentum toward him might have stalled out if not for the events of the weekend. But we can’t rule out a more acute shift toward Trump or that the “Hillary’s bad weekend” meme is a false alarm — there isn’t quite enough data yet.’….

Nate Silver @ Five Thirty Eight….

Real Clear Politics Presidential margin+2.3% Clinton

Sam Wang Election Consortium Presidential margin...+3.2 Clinton

Election Projection Presidential margin...+2.2% Clinton

Five Thirty Eight

Clinton…64.2%

Trump…35.8%

The Upshot….

Clinton…78%

Trump…22%
Wednesday, September 14

General Election: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

Quinnipiac

Clinton 41, Trump 39, Johnson 13, Stein 4    Clinton +2

General Election: Trump vs. Clinton

Quinnipiac

Clinton 48, Trump 43    Clinton +5

General Election: Trump vs. Clinton

LA Times/USC Tracking

Clinton 42, Trump 47    Trump +5

General Election: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

Reuters/Ipsos

Clinton 39, Trump 39, Johnson 8, Stein 2     Tie

General Election: Trump vs. Clinton

Reuters/Ipsos

Clinton 40, Trump 39     Clinton +1

General Election: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

Economist/YouGov

Clinton 42, Trump 40, Johnson 5, Stein 3    Clinton +2

General Election: Trump vs. Clinton

Economist/YouGov

Clinton 46, Trump 44     Clinton +2

Florida: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

CNN/ORC

Trump 47, Clinton 44, Johnson 6, Stein 1     Trump +3

Florida: Trump vs. Clinton

CNN/ORC

Trump 50, Clinton 46     Trump +4

Ohio: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

CNN/ORC

Trump 46, Clinton 41, Johnson 8, Stein 2     Trump +5

Ohio: Trump vs. Clinton

CNN/ORC

Trump 50, Clinton 46     Trump +4

Ohio: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

Bloomberg

Trump 44, Clinton 39, Johnson 10, Stein 3     Trump +5

Ohio: Trump vs. Clinton Bloomberg

Trump 48, Clinton 43      Trump +5

Nevada: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson

Monmouth

Clinton 42, Trump 44, Johnson 8     Trump +2

Maine: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

Colby College/SurveyUSA

Clinton 42, Trump 39, Johnson 9, Stein 5    Clinton +3

Maine CD2: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

Colby College/SurveyUSA

Trump 47, Clinton 37, Johnson 8, Stein 5     Trump +10

Massachusetts: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

WBUR/MassINC

Clinton 54, Trump 28, Johnson 9, Stein 4     Clinton +26

Kansas: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

KSN News/SurveyUSA

Trump 48, Clinton 36, Johnson 8, Stein 2     Trump +12

South Carolina: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

Trafalgar Group (R)

Trump 53, Clinton 38, Johnson 3, Stein 1      Trump +15

Florida Senate – Rubio vs. Murphy

CNN/ORC

Rubio 54, Murphy 43    Rubio +11

Ohio Senate – Portman vs. Strickland

CNN/ORC

Portman 58, Strickland 37     Portman +21

Nevada Senate – Heck vs. Cortez Masto

Monmouth*

Heck 46, Cortez Masto 43     Heck +3

Kansas Senate – Moran vs. Wiesner

KSN News/SurveyUSA*

Moran 50, Wiesner 34     Moran +16

Maine 2nd District – Poliquin vs. Cain

Colby College/SurveyUSA

Poliquin 50, Cain 45      Poliquin +5

Maine 1st District – Holbrook vs. Pingree

Colby College/SurveyUSA

Pingree 57, Holbrook 37      Pingree +20

President Obama Job Approval

Gallup

Approve 53, Disapprove 44     Approve +9

President Obama Job Approval

Rasmussen Reports

Approve 51, Disapprove 48     Approve +3

President Obama Job Approval

Reuters/Ipsos

Approve 48, Disapprove 48     Tie

President Obama Job Approval

Economist/YouGov

Approve 48, Disapprove 50     Disapprove +2

…for more information on the above polls….Real Clear Politics

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Polling Update for September 7, 2016…

Real Clear Politics Presidential margin.+3.1 Clinton

Sam Wang Election  Consortium Presidential margin….+4.6 Clinton

Election Projection Presidential margin+4.6 Clinton

Five Thirty Eight

Clinton….67.3%

Trump……32.6%

The Upshot

Clinton…..83%

Trump…….17%
Wednesday, September 7

General Election: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

GWU/Battleground

Clinton 42, Trump 40, Johnson 11, Stein 3      Clinton +2

General Election: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

Economist/YouGov

Clinton 40, Trump 38, Johnson 7, Stein 5       Clinton +2

General Election: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

Reuters/Ipsos Clinton 40, Trump 38, Johnson 8, Stein 3     Clinton +2

General Election: Trump vs. Clinton

Economist/YouGov

Clinton 44, Trump 42     Clinton +2

General Election: Trump vs. Clinton

Reuters/Ipsos

Clinton 40, Trump 38    Clinton +2

Florida: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

PPP (D)

Clinton 43, Trump 44, Johnson 5, Stein 1       Trump +1

Florida: Trump vs. Clinton

PPP (D)

Clinton 47, Trump 46      Clinton +1

New Hampshire: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

Emerson

Clinton 42, Trump 37, Johnson 14, Stein 4      Clinton +5

Maine: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

Emerson

Clinton 44, Trump 35, Johnson 12, Stein 2      Clinton +9

Maine CD2: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

Emerson

Trump 41, Clinton 36, Johnson 14, Stein 1     Trump +5

Vermont: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

Emerson

Clinton 47, Trump 26, Johnson 13, Stein 7    Clinton +21

Massachusetts: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

Emerson

Clinton 50, Trump 33, Johnson 9, Stein 2     Clinton +17

Rhode Island: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

Emerson

Clinton 44, Trump 41, Johnson 8, Stein 4      Clinton +3

Connecticut: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

Emerson

Clinton 50, Trump 35, Johnson 9, Stein 4     Clinton +15

New Jersey: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

Emerson

Clinton 47, Trump 43, Johnson 5, Stein 2     Clinton +4

Arizona: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

Arizona Republic

Trump 34, Clinton 35, Johnson 7, Stein 2      Clinton +1

Florida Senate – Rubio vs. Murphy

PPP (D)*

Rubio 40, Murphy 37      Rubio +3

President Obama Job Approval

GWU/Battleground

Approve 51, Disapprove 47    Approve +4

President Obama Job Approval

Reuters/Ipsos

Approve 47, Disapprove 48      Disapprove +1

President Obama Job Approval

Economist/YouGov

Approve 50, Disapprove 48    Approve +2

President Obama Job Approval

Gallup

Approve 51, Disapprove 45     Approve +6

President Obama Job Approval

Rasmussen Reports

Approve 51, Disapprove 48       Approve +3

….for more info on the above polls…Real Clear Politics.

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Another weekend where Trump loses to Cruz in Delegates….

Ted Cruz and HIS people along with state party GOPer’s are STILL out hustling Donald Trump for delegates …..

While the media story is Trump’s Iit’s over….

It REALLY isn’t…..

Weekend Delegate Results. Non-Trump Kicks Trump’s Ass In the Delegate Chase 

More states chose delegates this weekend.

Topline Summary. Over 170 delegates were selected. Cruz took over 80 of them. Trump about 60. A dozen were committed. Kasich got about a dozen. Rubio got seven. If you look at the Cruz vs Trump counts it was merely bad for Trump. If you look at the battle as Trump vs. Not-Trump, it was a slaughter.

Alaska. Cruz took 12 delegates, Trump 11, and Rubio 5. This is in line with caucus results.

Arizona. This was another Trump bloodbath. He got two loyalists in two of 28 at-large delegate positions. Branch Trumpidian, former Governor Jan Brewer, was denied a slot as a delegate and she had a sad. Full story posted earlier today.

Arkansas. Trump took 6 delegate slots, Cruz took four, Rubio took two. This is in line with the primary votes.

Delaware. 13 delegates chosen by the state party. None of them have a stated allegiance.

Massachusetts. Trump won 23 of 27 delegate postions. How did the do that? By bringing in carpetbaggers:

Trump helped his cause most in Massachusetts, where a well-organized effort — aided by a cavalry of Trump supporters from New Hampshire — scored 23 of 27 delegate slots for the New York billionaire.

You do what you gotta do, but this is really a metaphor for the entire Trump campaign. He can’t win with the GOP voters in a state so he has to rely on Democrats, independents, or, in this case, ineligible voters to win.

Missouri. Cruz took 18 of 24 delegate position.

South Carolina. Three delegates were up for grabs. One went to a Cruz loyalist, the other two had no announced commitment though one leans toward Kasich…..

More….

Note….

While Trump says he’s over 1,000 delegates?

The Tally from AP does NOT have him quite there yet…

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Latest Polls 2/28/16….It looks like Cruz WILL win Texas…

ALL of the final polls out of Texas have Cruz beating Donald Trump by DOUBLE digits…

It also appears that Bernie Sanders is NOT gonna beat Hillary Clinton in Masacchttes like he hoped he would….

Clinton and Trump look like they own the Southern Primaries….

Tennessee Republican Presidential Primary

NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl

Trump 40, Cruz 22, Rubio 19, Carson 9, Kasich 6 Trump +18

Tennessee Democratic Presidential Primary

NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl

Clinton 60, Sanders 34 Clinton +26

Texas Republican Presidential Primary

NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl

Cruz 39, Trump 26, Rubio 16, Kasich 6, Carson 8 Cruz +13

Texas Democratic Presidential Primary

NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl

Clinton 59, Sanders 38 Clinton +21

Georgia Republican Presidential Primary

NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl

Trump 30, Rubio 23, Cruz 23, Carson 9, Kasich 9 Trump +7

Georgia Democratic Presidential Primary

NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl

Clinton 64, Sanders 30 Clinton +34

Virginia Republican Presidential Primary

CBS News/YouGov

Trump 40, Rubio 27, Cruz 22, Kasich 6, Carson 4 Trump +13

Virginia Democratic Presidential Primary

CBS News/YouGov

Clinton 59, Sanders 39 Clinton +20

Texas Republican Presidential Primary

CBS News/YouGov

Cruz 42, Trump 31, Rubio 19, Kasich 4, Carson 4 Cruz +11

Texas Democratic Presidential Primary

CBS News/YouGov

Clinton 61, Sanders 37 Clinton +24

Georgia Republican Presidential Primary

CBS News/YouGov

Trump 40, Rubio 22, Cruz 29, Carson 7, Kasich 2 Trump +11

Georgia Democratic Presidential Primary

CBS News/YouGov

Clinton 63, Sanders 35 Clinton +28

Massachusetts Democratic Presidential Primary

Suffolk University

Clinton 50, Sanders 42 Clinton +8

…for details on the above polls...RealClear Politics....

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Polling Update Feb. 22, 2016…Hillary and Trump…

Georgia Republican Presidential Primary

WSB-TV/Landmark

Trump 32, Cruz 19, Rubio 23, Carson 8, Kasich 8 Trump +9

Georgia Democratic Presidential Primary

WSB-TV/Landmark

Clinton 72, Sanders 20 Clinton +52

Massachusetts Republican Presidential Primary

Emerson

Trump 50, Rubio 16, Cruz 10, Kasich 13, Carson 2 Trump +34

Vermont Republican Presidential Primary

Castleton University

Trump 32, Rubio 17, Cruz 11, Kasich 10, Carson 3 Trump +15

Massachusetts Democratic Presidential Primary

Emerson

Sanders 46, Clinton 46 Tie

Vermont Democratic Presidential Primary

Castleton University

Sanders 83, Clinton 9 Sanders +74

North Carolina Republican Presidential Primary

SurveyUSA

Trump 36, Cruz 18, Rubio 18, Carson 10, Kasich 7 Trump +18

North Carolina Democratic Presidential Primary

SurveyUSA

Clinton 51, Sanders 36 Clinton +15

North Carolina Republican Presidential Primary

Elon University

Trump 28, Cruz 19, Rubio 16, Carson 10, Kasich 7 Trump +9

North Carolina Democratic Presidential Primary

Elon University

Clinton 47, Sanders 37 Clinton +10

Michigan Republican Presidential Primary

ARG

Trump 35, Cruz 12, Rubio 12, Kasich 17, Carson 9 Trump +18

Michigan Democratic Presidential Primary

ARG

Clinton 53, Sanders 40 Clinton +13

Illinois Republican Presidential Primary

The Simon Poll/SIU

Trump 28, Cruz 15, Rubio 14, Kasich 13, Carson 6 Trump +13

Illinois Democratic Presidential Primary

The Simon Poll/SIU

Clinton 51, Sanders 32 Clinton +19

For details on these polls go to RealClear Politics 

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New York State has a crooked politican problem….So do other States…

And we used look down at Illinois ?

The US Attorney for the Southern District of NY is charging the top of the political pyramid in the state with corruption after the NY Governor Cuomo (A former NY State Attorney General himself) investigated them but , then didn’t want to do anything …

The leaders of both houses of the New York legislatives bodies are under indictment ….Several of the previous ones have been charged , and several have been convicted , others have beat charges….

Of course it isn’t just New York and Illinois….

But these things do make one wonder about  the people we get together and vote for, eh?

Other states have plenty of corruption, but it’s hard to beat New York when it comes to sheer volume. The indictment Monday of Dean Skelos, the state Senate majority leader, and his son Adam came just three months after charges were brought against Sheldon Silver, then the Assembly Speaker. Having the top leaders in both chambers face indictment in the same session is an unparalleled achievement, but Skelos is now the fifth straight Senate majority leader in Albany to face indictment.

New York doesn’t so much have a culture of corruption as an entire festival. So far, Senate Republicans are standing by Skelos, but if they decide to make a change, they probably won’t turn to Thomas Libous, the chamber’s Number Two leader. He faces trial this summer on charges of lying to the FBI, while his son faces sentencing later this month on similar charges. All told, more than two dozen members of the New York state legislature have been indicted or resigned in disgrace over the past five years. “Albany for a long time has had a culture of self-interest, where private gains are woven in with public policy,” says Susan Lerner, executive director of Common Cause in New York.

Clusters of corruption and even convictions are not unique to New York. Silver was one of four state House Speakers to face indictment over the past year (Alabama, Rhode Island and South Carolina are home to the others). In Massachusetts, three Speakers prior to current incumbent Robert DeLeo all resigned and pleaded guilty to criminal charges. When Dan Walker died last week, it was hard for obituary writers not to note that he was one of four Illinois governors over the past five decades who ended up in prison. “While I’m a proud New Yorker and want my state to be ahead in everything, I’m not sure we’re ahead on corruption,” says Daniel Richman, a former federal prosecutor who teaches law at Columbia University.
Richman is kidding, but he makes a serious point. Give any U.S. attorney a year and 10 FBI agents and he or she can probably come back from the state capital with a passel of indictments.

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Mass Poll….Hillary LEADS Warren for President…

The Democratic left needs to come to their senses….

Elizabeth Warren says she does NOT want to run for President….

Hillary Clinton DOES….

And Clinton right now would win hands down…

More than three times as many Massachusetts Democrats would vote for Hillary Clinton if she ran for president in 2016 than would back the state’s senior senator, Elizabeth Warren, according to a poll released Monday by Suffolk University and The Boston Herald.

Clinton, the former secretary of state and first lady, would garner 55 percent of the vote among 400 Massachusetts Democrats likely to vote in next month’s gubernatorial primary, while Warren — who has repeatedly said that she is not running for president — would curry 17.25 percent. Vice President Joe Biden drew just 7.75 percent of the vote. Warren would be the second choice of 27 percent of those polled, while Biden would get almost 24 percent of the back-up vote.

Warren unseated former Republican senator Scott Brown in 2012, with a winning margin of 8 percentage points. On the same ballot, President Obama beat Mitt Romney, the state’s former governor, by 23 percentage points. Warren has disavowed on multiple occasions interest in running for president, but has not foreclosed entirely on the option…..

More….on the Polling…..

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Election*Projection Review of 2014 House Races….New Jersey, New Hampshire, Minnesota, Michigan, Massachusetts, and Maine…

…from the Blogging Caesar…..

Tuesday, April 29, 2014
New Jersey House Races Preview
Voting in New Jersey House races in 2012 is useful in illustrating a structural fact about winning a majority in the U.S. House. Democratic candidates here received 54.7% of all votes cast; Republicans accumulated just 43.6%. Yet, the makeup …

New Hampshire House Races Preview
There are two congressional districts in New Hampshire. When Charlie Bass won the District 2 election in the massive Republican year in 1994, the GOP held both Granite State U.S. House seats. They maintained control of both seats until …

Monday, April 28, 2014
Nevada House Races Preview
Heading into the 2012 elections, Nevada had three U.S. House districts. Thanks to reapportionment after the 2010 Census, Nevada’s delegation grew to four. A Democrat, Alexzander Horsford, won the seat from the newly-minted 4th District in …

Minnesota House Races Preview
Home to the Democrat-Farmer-Labor, Minnesota is more liberal than not. In 2012, the DFL was able to pry one seat away from Republicans when Rick Nolan bested freshman Congressman Chip Cravaack. With that victory, the DFL can claim …

Saturday, April 26, 2014
Michigan House Races Preview
The Republican majority in the Michigan state legislature drew congressional district lines to their favor before the 2012 elections. As a result, they were able to preserve the nine Republican seats in the House delegation while forcing a battle …

Massachusetts House Races Preview
An anchor of the liberal Northeast, the Bay State is one of the bluest states around. The House delegation is the sole playground Democrats who claim all nine seats here. They did lose a seat in 2012 – but not to …

Friday, April 25, 2014
Maine House Races Preview
There are two seats in the Maine congressional delegation and both have been occupied by Democrats since Republican Jim Longley lost to Tom Allen 18 years ago. The blue team has not only owned congressional races here since 1996; it has …

More..@ Election*Projection

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Elizabeth Warren confronts problems back home in Mass….

While the National progressive Left in the Democratic party is making all sorts of noise about having Elizabeth Warren run for President….MSNBC takes a look at her home state which is suffering from budget cuts in area’s that progressives are concerned about….

The Senator from Massachusetts is followed around as she looks at education  and local issues that have suffering from lack of funds as cuts kick in…..

Elizabeth Warren says inequality is a fundamental problem, and that it’s up to the government to do something about it. But her home state of Massachusetts—friendlier than most to an active and involved government—remains the site of some of the country’s starkest disparities.

Kicking off the first leg of her book tour at Harvard, Sen. Warren assured the Cambridge crowd that she has a plan to help Americans pay for college.

“I’m going to introduce a bill next month to refinance outstanding student loan debt to bring it down so that students have a better chance to get an education,” she announced proudly.

But 80 miles across the Mass Pike in Springfield—where the poverty rate is more than 2.5 times the state average—there’s an even more basic gap that needs to be bridged.

Genelle Domino, 24, dropped out of high school her junior year when she was stuck in foster care. Chronically unemployed in a place where the jobless rate still tops 11%, she decided to go back to school to get her GED—only to be told there was no room for her in any of the free public programs.

“It seemed like nobody was ever gonna call me,” says Domino, who sat at home “going crazy” in between odd jobs. “I was like, ‘I don’t even know—I don’t think I want to get back to school anymore.’”

Domino’s experience is hardly unique: In Massachusetts alone, there are more than 17,400 people currently on the wait list for the state’s adult basic education classes—and hundreds of thousands more across the country.

“You have all these people who want to work—who have really high success rates if they get into a program—but there’s no funding for them,” says Bob LePage, interim director of the Springfield Technical Community College Foundation. “So we have all these people who are left behind.”

Because of federal funding cuts and a tight state budget, it took almost two years for a spot for Domino to open up. In February, she finally got into an adult basic education course she hopes to finish this summer.

The broad federal cuts known as sequestration are still in effect for adult education—one of the few education and training programs that didn’t have its funding restored by Congress’s most recent budget, says Marcie W.M. Foster, a senior analyst for the Center for Law and Social Policy….

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Elizabeth Warren does a Book tour…The Only question she gets is ‘Will you Run’…

(Of course she gets asked SOME Other questions)

The Massachusetts Democratic Senator is a progressive icon…..

And while she pedals her new book, “A Fighting Chance’, the question coming at her over and over, is will she run for the 2016 Presidential nomination for the Democrats (from the left)?

She always smiles and repeats that she ‘is NOT running for President’…..

At the debut event of Elizabeth Warren’s book tour this week, the moderator at a Barnes & Noble off Manhattan’s Union Square asked what she said was the most-submitted question from the senator’s fans in the audience: “Will you please run for president?”
“Run, Liz, run!” one woman hollered, as the room broke out in cheers and applause.

When a smiling Warren responded, “I’m not running for president,” the audience collectively let out a disappointed, “Aww.”

It’s a question that the first-term Massachusetts Democrat is being asked over and over again as she promotes her newest book, “A Fighting Chance.” Here at the First Parish church in Cambridge, a member of the audience tried a slightly different tack: “You’ve said a number of times that you do not plan to run for president. What can we say tonight to change your mind?”
The first stops of her cross-country book tour this week in New York City and Cambridge offered a vivid snapshot of the intense, passionately liberal following Warren has amassed in the course of a few years, as she has become a national political celebrity. Her supporters are pledging that regardless of her decision on 2016, Warren will be a political force that any candidate in the Democratic field — including Hillary Clinton — will have to contend with….

More…..

Note….

Hillary Clinton releases her book ‘Hard Choices’ in about a month……Dan Balz writes about the difference between the two women, who are only two apart in age…..Here….

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Michigan, Massachusetts and Maine Senate Races Preview…Election*Projection

…from The Blogging Caesar at Election Projection…..

Friday, December 20, 2013

It happens every cycle. A safe bet for one party or the other becomes immediately competitive upon the announcement that the incumbent is going to retire. The Iowa Senate election is a good example. Senator Tom Harkin’s decision to forego another term …
Thursday, December 19, 2013
Former Senator John Kerry, who lost the 2004 presidential election to George W. Bush, held this seat in the Senate from January, 1985 until he resigned on February 1, 2013 to become U.S. Secretary of State in the Obama administration. Governor Deval Patrick chose William “Mo” Cowan to assume …
Monday, December 16, 2013
Before Olympia Snowe’s retirement in 2013, Maine was one of four states featuring two female senators. (California, Washington and, since 2010, New Hampshire are the remaining three.) And it was the only state with …
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