That is bad news for Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren….
Last year in the primaries Hillary Clinton kept the black vote to win the nomination from media darling Bernie Sanders….
Warren has never made much of inroads with blacks who probably don’t much know who she is….
Most black voters aren’t into hard left Democrats ….
Black voters are looking for a President that plays to THEIR basic needs….
Bill Clinton and Barack Obama owned their vote for two terms each…
Hillary Clinton had the black vote last November….But new analysis has shown that Hillary did NOT get that extra vote from blacks that went to her husband and Obama…
With Sanders and Warren NOT the idea politicians to get that extra black vote above the black vote that always goes Democratic?
Democrats should be searching for someone who CAN light the black, hispanic, main, and yes the left parts of the Democratic party if they want to mount a SERIOUS effort to get the Presidency back in 2020…..
Black voters have historically rallied behind one Democratic candidate. In 2008, Barack Obama’s ability to break Clinton’s lock on African-American voters was the main reason he upset the front-runner to become the Democratic nominee. Bill Clinton’s and Jimmy Carter’s personal history wooing Southern black voters were key factors in their out-of-nowhere nominations in 1992 and 1976. Back in the 1980s, Democratic candidates curtailed campaigning in black communities because Jesse Jackson’s campaign was so popular with African-Americans. Since 1976, the candidate backed by black voters became the Democratic nominee in seven of the nine contested nomination battles. (John Kerry comfortably won the backing of black voters in 2004, though he narrowly lost their support to John Edwards in South Carolina—when the nomination fight was still competitive.)
The lesson of recent political history is that the Democrats who are the darlings of white progressives—the so-called “wine track” candidates—usually fall short. In 2004, Howard Dean was unable to broaden his coalition beyond young voters and the most liberal elements of the party. He only won 108 delegates. Bill Bradley filled the progressive void against Al Gore in 2000, and didn’t win a single primary. Obama shattered that mold in 2008, but only by forging a rare alliance between “beer track” African-American voters and the more progressive elite wing of the party.
But the prospective 2020 field for Democrats is overwhelmingly white and unabashedly progressive. Democrats have all but ceded the South, with only three Democratic governors left in the region. And the party’s increasing progressivism doesn’t necessarily resonate with African-American voters, particularly the older generation who found little to like in Bernie Sanders’ insurgent candidacy.
Looking at 2020 polling is foolhardy, given how much could change before the campaign heats up, but it is interesting to see the early disparity between white and black Democratic voters in assessing leading progressive candidates. A Public Policy Polling survey conducted last December showed that the two progressive icons—Elizabeth Warren and Bernie Sanders —polled at 48 percent among white Democrats, but just 27 percent among African-Americans. Cory Booker, the only African-American candidate tested, got the backing of 10 percent of black voters and 4 percent of white Democrats.
Choosing a nominee who will excite African-American voters will be critical for the Democrats in the general election. With Obama off the ballot in 2016, African-American turnout declined markedly, even with the high stakes of last year’s presidential election. It’s a key reason why Clinton lost narrowly in Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. There’s no sign that African-American engagement will rebound in a post-Obama era, even as the Democratic base is agitating to be part of the anti-Trump resistance.
It’s hard to see some of the most-buzzworthy Democrats such as Sanders, Warren, and Al Franken fitting that bill. All hail from homogeneous states with small African-American populations….
I have been pushing Cory Booker as the lead in 2020 Democratic Presidential sweepstakes running….
If Bookers numbers among black and white Democrats does NOT improve?
He won’t be the answer….
Kamal Harrtis is being talked up….Although a lot of people do not know who she is….
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