Tag Archives: Democrats post Trump Win

Democrat Jon Ossoff ‘s win was beter than expected in GA-06 but there will be a run-off…

In Red State Georgia  Jon Ossoff was expected to get around 45 to 46% of the vote in the special election to replace Tom Price who went to Trump’s Admin….

Image result for jon ossoff win

Ossoff did  better….

But didn’t get the 50% of the vote he needed to win the Congressional House seat outright…

So there will be a run-off second election on June 20th….

Here’s the FiveThirty Eight look at this…

The result is consistent with a pro-Democratic national environment

There’s some chatter out there that Ossoff’s showing is a bad sign for Democrats. He didn’t clear 50 percent, they say, and he barely improved on Clinton’s performance in Georgia 6.

I think that’s a flawed argument.

For one, Clinton had already greatly improved on previous Democrats’ performance in Georgia 6. She lost to Trump there by only 1.5 percentage points. Former President Barack Obama lost the district by 23 points in 2012, as did Democratic congressional candidate Rodney Stooksbury in 2016.

So if you’re just looking at the 2016 presidential result as your benchmark you’re probably missing something. Instead, our best estimate of the partisan lean of a district is to take a weighted average2 of its past two presidential election results. By that measure, a Democrat would be expected to lose Georgia 6 by 9.5 percentage points in a neutral national environment (one in which the two parties fought to a tie nationally). Democrats did far better than that on Tuesday, losing by 2 points. The Democratic candidates combined took 49 percent to the Republicans’ 51 percent….

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image….fivethirtyeight.com

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Bernie Sanders may not be a Democrat but the party welcomes his help….

I have often repeated here the fact that Senator Bernie Sanders is NOT a Democrat…

Sure he hangs with Democrats in the Senate and Senate Minority Leader Schumer has appointed him something within the Democratic Senate Caucus…But ….The guy still isn’t registered with the party…He still hasn’t turned over his mailing list to the party….And he’s still talking about stuff that isn’t even gonna happen even with a Democratic President and Congress…

But ole Bernie has his followers IN the Democratic party…

As that party move past a painful lost last November it IS not shutting Sanders out of it’s efforts to regroup…

Sanders for his part is moving to work with the party regulars …

Of course, he will always make sure he gets some media attention by pushing  his socialist agenda…

As long as the party needs his followers they’ll feature him….

Why NOT?

It’s about rebuilding the Democratic Party…NOT Bernie Sanders….

Image result for sanders and perez

While misgivings remain about giving too much leadership to a politician who technically isn’t a Democrat, a clear warming trend is on the rise.

“It continues to drive me a bit nuts that he continues to register as an independent but the bottom line is that he is a good Democrat,” said Jim Manley, a Democratic strategist who supported Hillary Clinton during the Democratic primary and openly worried then about Sander’s allegiances to the party.

During the primary, some Democrats worried that Sanders, a self-described “Democratic socialist,” was pushing the party too far to the left.

Others mocked him for being a one-issue candidate who championed what they called “unrealistic” proposals like free college tuition.

And he angered some Hillary Clinton allies for staying in the race too long and cutting into her message and campaign coffers.

At least some Clinton supporters think Sanders deserves a part of the blame for Clinton’s loss to Donald Trump.

And in recent weeks, former President Bill Clinton told new Democratic National Committee Chairman Tom Perez that he didn’t want the Democratic Party “to be simply the party of Bernie,” according to a source familiar with that conversation.

An aide to Clinton refuted the characterization, saying the former president has always said the strength of Democratic Party is its inclusiveness. An aide for the DNC didn’t respond to a request for comment.

What ever bitter feelings exist, many other Democrats say Sanders is key to rebuilding the party.

“If you are concerned with labels, you might bristle at the notion of a registered Independent jockeying for control over the direction of the Democratic Party – and there were certainly some in the party apparatus that expressed precisely this sentiment during the 2016 campaign cycle,” said Lynda Tran, a Democratic strategist.

“But if you’re focused on policy ideas over party labels you might welcome the inclusion of his voice, and frankly other voices too, at a time when the Democratic Party is under intense attack and working on the path forward….

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image of Sanders and new DNC President Tom Pere who will go on the road together for Democrats…Democrats.Org

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If the Democrats win the Kansas 4th Congressional House Special Election?

The Media will play a Democratic win in a district that Trump won by almost 30% of the vote as referendum on the last 3 months of Trump and Republicans fummbing around and the sign of a energized Democratic base on the rise…

Even a narrow win by Republicans probably will be the narrative in the political media….

Last minute polling has the race going GOP by as little as 1% point….

On its face, a special House election in Kansas should be a walkover for Republicans.

Kansas Republicans control both U.S. Senate seats, all four House districts and the governor’s mansion and have massive majorities in the state House and Senate. It’s one of the most conservative states in the country and has been for a very long time. (The last time a Democrat represented Kansas in the U.S. Senate was 1938!)
And yet today’s special election in Kansas’ 4th district — where Donald Trump won by 27 points last November — is causing Republicans real concern. Texas Sen. Ted Cruz campaigned on behalf of Republican nominee Ron Estes on Monday and both Trump and Vice President Mike Pence have recorded phone messages urging Republicans to turn out and vote. And the House Republican campaign committee dropped $100,000 on TV ads in the district late last week.
 Trump tweeted about the race Tuesday morning, urging voters to get out and support Estes over his Democratic challenger….
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A special election in Georgia’s 6th district may be good for Democrats post Trump…

After five days of early voting in the special election for Georgia’s 6th congressional district, Democratic voter turnout has significantly outpaced that of Republicans.

That is a good sign for Democrats hoping that the surge in liberal enthusiasm after the election of President Donald Trump will be enough to elect 30-year-old candidate Jon Ossoff. The seat opened up when Trump named former Rep. Tom Price to be his Secretary of Health and Human Services.

Of the more than 8,100 people who have voted so far in the suburban Atlanta district, 44 percent were Democrats and 23 percent were Republicans, according to an analysis by Michael McDonald, a political science professor and election specialist at the University of Florida….

It is important to note of course that early voting is not a rock-solid indicator of final election outcomes. Early general-election voting patterns in North Carolina and Florida, for example, appeared to favor Hillary Clinton, but she ended up losing both states in November.

And early voting in Georgia’s 6th district continues until April 14. Election Day itself is April 18.

In Georgia’s jungle primary system, Ossoff faces many Democratic and Republican challengers. A candidate can win outright in the first round by capturing 50 percent of the vote. Short of that, the top two contenders proceed to a runoff election on June 20.

Democrats across the country have seized on the race as an early opportunity to inflict damage on Republicans after Trump’s election. Ossoff’s candidacy has attracted millions of dollars in donations, including $1 million alone from the readers of liberal news site Daily Kos…..

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When is Barack Obama gonna start helping his party get back in the game?

During his time in office his Democratic party lost TONS of political landscape….

With a nice book deal signed and no worries about money?

When is he gonna try to help the Democrats who sufferedYUGE loses during his time in office?

Image result for obama post election

Barack Obama is getting closer to making his public reappearance in politics, his friend and former Attorney General Eric Holder said on Tuesday.

Holder said he’s been talking to the former president about ways — including fundraising and interacting with state legislators — that could help the new National Democratic Redistricting Committee, which Obama asked Holder to chair last year.

“It’s coming. He’s coming,” Holder said, speaking to reporters at a briefing for the new group. “And he’s ready to roll.”

Throughout, Holder said, Obama “will be a more visible part of the effort.”

Holder also predicted that the usual pattern of the party in the White House losing state legislative seats in off-year elections would hold next year, but “I expect we’ll see that on steroids with President Trump.”

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image…Celebitchy…

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