Clinton handlers David Plouffe and Jim Messina talked to the Washington Post PLUM Line and gave their view that Hillary Clinton’s lead across the board in the STATES, where the Electoral votes are gained are what give’s Clinton a good lead….
Their views are of couse counters to the ‘horse race’ race that the Media always seeks to portray to keep readership high and ad dollars coming their way….
Their internal polling is showing them that Trump has a ceiling in most of the swing states he would need to win to actually get elected….Public polls show the race tightening in those states by Clinton still is ahead in the enough of those polls to continue to HAVE more than the 270 electoral votes needed to become President…Even during her rocky two weeks in the polls she NEVER fell below the 270 figure…
Both Clinton people acknowledge that Hillary will have to do well on the Trump show tonight and that could be tough because several media outlets are already moving to crown Donald Trump the winner as soon as he shows up….
DAVID PLOUFFE: Some polls closely capture where the race stands. But they’re very incomplete. The Clinton campaign is doing large samples for modeling surveys of everybody on the voter file. So you have a very good understanding of how you believe 100 percent of the electorate will be allocated on election day.
When you look at how 100 percent of the vote is likely to be allocated in Florida, I get very optimistic….I can get Donald Trump to within two or three in Pennsylvania, but I can’t get him to a win number. The same is true in Virginia and Colorado. I know everybody goes crazy about the latest Cheetos poll, but I feel very confident about both New Hampshire and Florida. So that puts her over 300 [in the electoral college]. Trump has to pull off a miracle in the electoral college.
PLUM LINE: Who do you think the undecided voters are?
PLOUFFE: My sense is that Trump has got more of his vote in the bank than Clinton does. There are still a decent number of Latinos who are undecided. She’ll win a vast majority of those. Almost every African American undecided voter will side with her. There’s a good chance that college educated voters — and this is where the debates are important — will break decisively in her favor.
The debates are a stage that should suit her more than the day-to-day campaigning. She has an opportunity to convince some of those undecided voters, but more important, to give people who might not be sure they’re going to vote — but who would support her — a little more passion. She’s got the opportunity to talk directly to people. Even millennial voters….
This race is being covered in a way that suggests it’s a dead heat. And it’s not. She’s got a small national poll lead. But more importantly, she’s got a decisive electoral college lead. The debates are a chance for voters to see her in a more unfiltered way….