Tag Archives: Ca

Tax Exodus States: Oh, Really?

Fox lies again:  People and Jobs Are Leaving in Droves!  (Or not..)    

Fox News is making much noise about a Fiscal Times article that has highlighted five states that Fiscal Times claims people are leaving due to high taxes.  I guess people who lean right are so used to being lied to by various right-wing news outlets that they don’t even question the data they read.  (Oh, life is so rosy in the red fog of the right!)  This particular story about people leaving these states in droves has no obvious sources.  Other than a reference to buy a survey on each of these states for $29.99.

There is talk about “out migration”, but it is unclear over what period of time people are supposedly “out migrating” and what they exactly consider “out migrating”.  For the five states out of which people are supposedly “out migrating” have all experienced increases in population.  So even if some are “out migrating”, obviously other people are taking their place.  And there is no obvious evidence that people are “out migrating” due to taxes.  Generally, people have been moving out of the Northeast and Midwest for decades now, but all of those states have more than enough people either being born in the state or “in migrating” from somewhere to increase the populations of these states significantly.

Here are the five horrid states:
You can read Fiscal Times’ detail HERE, but the five states that people are supposedly leaving in droves are these:
1.  Illinois, the home of Chicago, the home of Barack Obama, the state and the city that conservatives love to hate- and love to hold up as a bad example of… everything.  Illinois increased its state income tax temporarily from 3% to 5% two years ago.
2.  New York (actually tied with California according to the Fiscal Times).  I guess some rich guy feels that taxes are too high in New York, so he is taking off for Florida, wrote a letter to the New York Post, and that is all that anybody who reads the Fiscal Times needs to know.
3. California, another state that conservatives love to push around and discuss what a “shambles” it is.
4.  New Jersey, which has redeemed itself a bit since it elected a Republican governor.
5.  Ohio, as in “Let’s kick the old Rust Belt state around again”.  The author states:  “The interesting part about Ohio though, is that a constant stream has always existed out of the state. ”  Does the author mean “exited”?  Any editors spell-checking over there?

Rankings of These States in Terms of Job Growth

This will be a two-part post; today we’ll look at ranking of job growth or loss in these states as a percentage increase or decrease over the past two years; tomorrow we’ll look at numbers of people employed and unemployed, again as a percentage increase or decrease, in these states over the past two years.
Shouldn’t the number of jobs be declining compared to states full of milk, honey, low taxes, and Republicans?

Now, the article is about people actually packing up and leaving the state because, according to the author,  they can pay less taxes elsewhere….

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Bush Tax cut threshold negotiations will start at $500K…NOT $250K…..

I told you so on this…..

While most American’s would think $100,000 should be the top …..

The fact is there are a lot of two income families that earn between $250,000 and $500,000 a year……

Now I know the first thing that is gonna back at me is those people should be paying more taxes……

And Folks I agree…

But the fact of the matter is those people vote also…

And with the Republicans coming in as the majority in the House there isn’t a prayer of getting a House approval on the lower figure even if someone comes in with a poll saying these people wouldn’t mind a SMALL jump in they taxes they have to pay….

Also….

House members in area’s that have those working and living will vote against the tax increase…..

That would involve House members in NY, CA, TX, and FL…..do the math……

***

President Barack Obama said this week that he would make a new push to protect the middle class from the tax cuts’ scheduled expiration at the end of this year.

The new figures means a broader swath of Americans would be considered “middle class” during the negotiations.

“A higher threshold is more inclusive and doesn’t make an enemy out of households that may be slightly above $250,000, but are still firmly in the middle class,” a senior Hill aide explained. “It also simplifies the contrast message, by making it clear what Republicans are fighting for: a tax cut that is literally for millionaires.”

Democrats say that even if the figure went as high as $1 million, the result would still be very helpful to deficit reduction since the bulk of the cost of extending the Bush tax cuts is with those who make more than $1 million, not those between $250,000 and $1 million.

The aides also said that the administration wants to “decouple” the middle- and upper-class extensions, with a permanent extension for the middle class and a temporary extension for the top tier.

“Its big selling point is that, as long as middle-class and upper-income tax cuts are linked, GOP will always have leverage to extend the less popular upper income tax cuts by holding the very popular middle class tax cut hostage,” the aide said.

More……

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Polls for Thursday, October 28, 2010…WA, CA, FL, OH, CT, RI, MN, ME, LA, OR, OH, MI, DE, PA, VA, HA, NY, NC, NJ, GA, Gen Congress

From Realclearpolitics….*

Thursday, October 28

Race Poll Results Spread
Washington Senate – Rossi vs. Murray Rasmussen Reports Murray 47, Rossi 48 Rossi +1
California Governor – Whitman vs. Brown Field Brown 49, Whitman 39 Brown +10
California Senate – Boxer vs. Fiorina Rasmussen Reports Boxer 49, Fiorina 46 Boxer +3
Florida Senate – Rubio vs. Meek vs. Crist Quinnipiac Rubio 42, Crist 35, Meek 15 Rubio +7
Florida Governor – Scott vs. Sink Mason-Dixon Scott 43, Sink 46 Sink +3
Florida Governor – Scott vs. Sink Rasmussen Reports Scott 48, Sink 45 Scott +3
Florida Governor – Scott vs. Sink Quinnipiac Scott 41, Sink 45 Sink +4
Ohio Governor – Kasich vs. Strickland Rasmussen Reports Kasich 48, Strickland 44 Kasich +4
Ohio Governor – Kasich vs. Strickland SurveyUSA Kasich 49, Strickland 44 Kasich +5
Connecticut Senate – McMahon vs. Blumenthal CT Capitol Report/MRG Blumenthal 52, McMahon 44 Blumenthal +8
Rhode Island Governor – Chafee vs. Caprio vs. Robitaille NBC 10/Quest Research Chafee 35, Caprio 25, Robitaille 28 Chafee +7
Minnesota Governor – Emmer vs. Dayton vs. Horner Minn. Public Radio Dayton 41, Emmer 29, Horner 11 Dayton +12
Maine Governor – LePage vs. Mitchell vs. Cutler Rasmussen Reports LePage 40, Mitchell 26, Cutler 26 LePage +14
Louisiana Senate – Vitter vs. Melancon WWL-TV/Clarus Research Vitter 50, Melancon 38 Vitter +12
Oregon Senate – Huffman vs. Wyden Rasmussen Reports Wyden 53, Huffman 42 Wyden +11
Ohio Senate – Portman vs. Fisher SurveyUSA Portman 52, Fisher 37 Portman +15
Michigan Governor – Snyder vs. Bernero Detroit News Snyder 53, Bernero 35 Snyder +18
Delaware Senate – O’Donnell vs. Coons Fairleigh Dickinson Coons 57, O’Donnell 36 Coons +21
Pennsylvania Senate – Sestak vs. Toomey Morning Call Tracking Toomey 48, Sestak 40 Toomey +8
Pennsylvania Governor – Corbett vs. Onorato Morning Call Tracking Corbett 52, Onorato 37 Corbett +15
Florida 25th District – Rivera vs. Garcia Sunshine State News/VSS Rivera 44, Garcia 43 Rivera +1
Pennsylvania 10th District – Marino vs. Carney Times Leader/Critical Insights Marino 47, Carney 38 Marino +9
Pennsylvania 11th District – Barletta vs. Kanjorski Times Leader/Critical Insights Kanjorski 47, Barletta 39 Kanjorski +8
Virginia 5th District – Hurt vs. Perriello SurveyUSA* Hurt 51, Perriello 43 Hurt +8
Hawaii 1st District – Djou vs. Hanabusa Aloha Vote/MRG Hanabusa 50, Djou 45 Hanabusa +5
Washington 3rd District – Herrera vs. Heck SurveyUSA Herrera 50, Heck 46 Herrera +4
New York 23rd District – Doheny vs. Owens Siena* Owens 40, Doheny 37 Owens +3
North Carolina 2nd District – Ellmers vs. Etheridge SurveyUSA Ellmers 46, Etheridge 41 Ellmers +5
New Jersey 12th District – Sipprelle vs. Holt Monmouth University Holt 51, Sipprelle 43 Holt +8
Georgia 8th District – Scott vs. Marshall Landmark (R) Scott 53, Marshall 39 Scott +14
Minnesota 1st District – Demmer vs. Walz SurveyUSA Walz 50, Demmer 41 Walz +9
Connecticut 1st District – Brickley vs. Larson CT Capitol Report/MRG Larson 56, Brickley 38 Larson +18
Connecticut 2nd District – Peckinpaugh vs. Courtney CT Capitol Report/MRG Courtney 57, Peckinpaugh 38 Courtney +19
Generic Congressional Vote Bloomberg Republicans 47, Democrats 44 Republicans +3

*….Some improvements for Democrats here….Hanabusa in Hawaii leads …..Owens in NY-23 leads…..Sink in FL leads…..

And if you cuss the President in Rhode Island you give up your lead….He, he, he…..

Oh, yea……Gen Congress …the GOP down to a 3 point lead……

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Polls for Tuesday, October 26, 2010…CA, WV, PA, OH, CT, KY, NV, IL, NC, GA, NM, MD, IN, ID, FL, NY, SD, NJ

From Realclearpolitics.

Tuesday, October 26
Race Poll Results Spread
California Senate – Boxer vs. Fiorina FOX News/POR-Rasmussen Boxer 48, Fiorina 44 Boxer +4
California Senate – Boxer vs. Fiorina PPP (D) Boxer 52, Fiorina 43 Boxer +9
West Virginia Senate Special Election – Raese vs. Manchin FOX News/POR-Rasmussen Manchin 46, Raese 48 Raese +2
Pennsylvania Senate – Sestak vs. Toomey Reuters/Ipsos Toomey 46, Sestak 46 Tie
Ohio Governor – Kasich vs. Strickland Quinnipiac Kasich 49, Strickland 43 Kasich +6
Ohio Governor – Kasich vs. Strickland FOX News/POR-Rasmussen Kasich 47, Strickland 43 Kasich +4
Connecticut Senate – McMahon vs. Blumenthal Quinnipiac Blumenthal 54, McMahon 42 Blumenthal +12
Kentucky Senate – Paul vs. Conway FOX News/POR-Rasmussen Paul 50, Conway 43 Paul +7
Kentucky Senate – Paul vs. Conway PPP (D) Paul 53, Conway 40 Paul +13
California Governor – Whitman vs. Brown FOX News/POR-Rasmussen Brown 50, Whitman 41 Brown +9
California Governor – Whitman vs. Brown PPP (D) Brown 53, Whitman 42 Brown +11
California Governor – Whitman vs. Brown Suffolk University Brown 50, Whitman 42 Brown +8
California Senate – Boxer vs. Fiorina Suffolk University Boxer 52, Fiorina 43 Boxer +9
Nevada Senate – Angle vs. Reid Rasmussen Reports Angle 49, Reid 45 Angle +4
Illinois Governor – Brady vs. Quinn Chicago Tribune Brady 43, Quinn 39 Brady +4
Illinois Governor – Brady vs. Quinn FOX News/POR-Rasmussen Brady 44, Quinn 39 Brady +5
Wisconsin Senate – Feingold vs. Johnson Rasmussen Reports Johnson 53, Feingold 46 Johnson +7
Pennsylvania Governor – Corbett vs. Onorato Reuters/Ipsos Corbett 49, Onorato 43 Corbett +6
North Carolina Senate – Burr vs. Marshall Civitas (R) Burr 44, Marshall 34 Burr +10
Illinois Senate – Giannoulias vs. Kirk FOX News/POR-Rasmussen Kirk 43, Giannoulias 41 Kirk +2
Connecticut Governor – Foley vs. Malloy Quinnipiac Malloy 48, Foley 43 Malloy +5
Connecticut Governor – Foley vs. Malloy Rasmussen Reports Malloy 49, Foley 46 Malloy +3
Georgia Governor – Deal vs. Barnes Insider Advantage Deal 47, Barnes 41 Deal +6
New Mexico Governor – Martinez vs. Denish Rasmussen Reports Martinez 52, Denish 42 Martinez +10
Ohio Senate – Portman vs. Fisher Quinnipiac Portman 53, Fisher 36 Portman +17
Connecticut Senate – McMahon vs. Blumenthal FOX News/POR-Rasmussen Blumenthal 53, McMahon 42 Blumenthal +11
Connecticut Governor – Foley vs. Malloy FOX News/POR-Rasmussen Malloy 47, Foley 44 Malloy +3
Pennsylvania Senate – Sestak vs. Toomey Morning Call Tracking Toomey 48, Sestak 40 Toomey +8
Pennsylvania Governor – Corbett vs. Onorato Morning Call Tracking Corbett 50, Onorato 39 Corbett +11
Maryland Senate – Wargotz vs. Mikulski Baltimore Sun/OpinionWorks Mikulski 59, Wargotz 32 Mikulski +27
Maryland Senate – Wargotz vs. Mikulski Rasmussen Reports Mikulski 56, Wargotz 38 Mikulski +18
Indiana Senate – Coats vs. Ellsworth Downs Center/SUSA Coats 54, Ellsworth 32 Coats +22
Idaho Governor – Otter vs. Allred Mason-Dixon Otter 52, Allred 30 Otter +22
Idaho Senate – Crapo vs. Sullivan Mason-Dixon Crapo 64, Sullivan 20 Crapo +44
Florida 8th District – Webster vs. Grayson Sunshine State News/VSS Webster 48, Grayson 41 Webster +7
Idaho 1st District – Labrador vs. Minnick Mason-Dixon Minnick 44, Labrador 41 Minnick +3
New York 20th District – Gibson vs. Murphy Siena Gibson 51, Murphy 42 Gibson +9
South Dakota At-Large – Noem vs. Herseth Sandlin Argus Leader/KELO/Mason-Dixon Noem 45, Herseth Sandlin 43 Noem +2
New Jersey 3rd District – Runyan vs. Adler Monmouth University Runyan 48, Adler 43 Runyan +5
New Jersey 3rd District – Runyan vs. Adler Rutgers-Eagleton Runyan 45, Adler 46 Adler +1
New Jersey 6th District – Little vs. Pallone Monmouth University Pallone 52, Little 45 Pallone +7
California 20th District – Vidak vs. Costa SurveyUSA Vidak 52, Costa 42 Vidak +10
Maryland 1st District – Harris vs. Kratovil Baltimore Sun/OpinionWorks Harris 40, Kratovil 40 Tie
Kentucky 3rd District – Lally vs. Yarmuth SurveyUSA Yarmuth 50, Lally 46 Yarmuth +4


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Polls for Sunday, October 24th, 2010….OH, MA, CO, FL, CA, PA, ND, MD, MN

From Realclearpolitics….

Sunday, October 24
Race Poll Results Spread
Ohio Governor – Kasich vs. Strickland Ohio Poll/Univ of Cin. Kasich 49, Strickland 47 Kasich +2
Ohio Senate – Portman vs. Fisher Ohio Poll/Univ of Cin. Portman 58, Fisher 39 Portman +19
Massachusetts Governor – Baker vs. Patrick vs. Cahill Boston Globe/UNH Patrick 43, Baker 39, Cahill 8 Patrick +4
Colorado Senate – Buck vs. Bennet Denver Post/SurveyUSA Buck 47, Bennet 47 Tie
Colorado Governor – Maes vs. Hickenlooper vs. Tancredo Denver Post/SurveyUSA Hickenlooper 49, Tancredo 39, Maes 9 Hickenlooper +10
Florida Senate – Rubio vs. Meek vs. Crist St. Petersburg Times Rubio 41, Crist 26, Meek 20 Rubio +15
California Governor – Whitman vs. Brown LA Times/USC Brown 52, Whitman 39 Brown +13
California Senate – Boxer vs. Fiorina LA Times/USC Boxer 50, Fiorina 42 Boxer +8
Pennsylvania Governor – Corbett vs. Onorato Rasmussen Reports Corbett 50, Onorato 45 Corbett +5
Minnesota Governor – Emmer vs. Dayton vs. Horner Star Tribune Dayton 41, Emmer 34, Horner 13 Dayton +7
Indiana Senate – Coats vs. Ellsworth Rasmussen Reports Coats 52, Ellsworth 34 Coats +18
Pennsylvania Senate – Sestak vs. Toomey Morning Call Tracking Toomey 46, Sestak 43 Toomey +3
Pennsylvania Governor – Corbett vs. Onorato Morning Call Tracking Corbett 50, Onorato 41 Corbett +9
North Dakota Senate – Hoeven vs. Potter Rasmussen Reports Hoeven 72, Potter 25 Hoeven +47
Maryland Governor – Ehrlich vs. O’Malley Baltimore Sun/OpinionWorks O’Malley 52, Ehrlich 38 O’Malley +14
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Polls for Saturday, October 23, 2010….TX, IL, CA, MO, PA, SD, NJ, KY

From Realclearpolitics…..

Saturday, October 23
Race Poll Results Spread
Texas Governor – Perry vs. White Rasmussen Reports Perry 51, White 43 Perry +8
Illinois Senate – Giannoulias vs. Kirk Post-Dispatch/Mason-Dixon Kirk 43, Giannoulias 41 Kirk +2
Illinois Governor – Brady vs. Quinn Post-Dispatch/Mason-Dixon Brady 44, Quinn 40 Brady +4
California Governor – Whitman vs. Brown Rasmussen Reports Brown 48, Whitman 42 Brown +6
Missouri Senate – Blunt vs. Carnahan Post-Dispatch/Mason-Dixon Blunt 49, Carnahan 40 Blunt +9
Pennsylvania Senate – Sestak vs. Toomey Morning Call Tracking Toomey 45, Sestak 42 Toomey +3
Pennsylvania Governor – Corbett vs. Onorato Morning Call Tracking Corbett 49, Onorato 41 Corbett +8
South Dakota Governor – Daugaard vs. Heidepriem Rasmussen Reports Daugaard 55, Heidepriem 36 Daugaard +19
New Jersey 3rd District – Runyan vs. Adler Stockton/Zogby Runyan 40, Adler 37 Runyan +3
Kentucky 6th District – Barr vs. Chandler Mason-Dixon Chandler 48, Barr 44 Chandler +4
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Polls for Friday, October 22nd, 2010….CA, FL, PA, CO, ME, MN, MA, RI, NY, AR, MI, SD, WA, Gen Congress

From Realclearpolitics….

Friday, October 22
Race (Click to Sort) Poll Results Spread
California Senate – Boxer vs. Fiorina Rasmussen Reports Boxer 48, Fiorina 46 Boxer +2
Florida Governor – Scott vs. Sink Sunshine State News/VSS Scott 45, Sink 45 Tie
Florida Governor – Scott vs. Sink St. Petersburg Times Scott 44, Sink 41 Scott +3
Pennsylvania Senate – Sestak vs. Toomey Rasmussen Reports Toomey 48, Sestak 44 Toomey +4
Pennsylvania Governor – Corbett vs. Onorato Quinnipiac Corbett 49, Onorato 44 Corbett +5
Colorado Governor – Maes vs. Hickenlooper vs. Tancredo Magellan Strategies (R) Hickenlooper 44, Tancredo 43, Maes 9 Hickenlooper +1
Maine Governor – LePage vs. Mitchell vs. Cutler Critical Insights LePage 32, Mitchell 20, Cutler 19 LePage +12
Minnesota Governor – Emmer vs. Dayton vs. Horner Rasmussen Reports Dayton 44, Emmer 41, Horner 10 Dayton +3
Massachusetts Governor – Baker vs. Patrick vs. Cahill Western NE College Patrick 44, Baker 36, Cahill 8 Patrick +8
Rhode Island Governor – Chafee vs. Caprio vs. Robitaille Rasmussen Reports Caprio 28, Chafee 35, Robitaille 25 Chafee +7
New York Governor – Paladino vs. Cuomo Marist Cuomo 60, Paladino 37 Cuomo +23
New York Governor – Paladino vs. Cuomo Rasmussen Reports Cuomo 51, Paladino 37 Cuomo +14
New York Senate Special Election – DioGuardi vs. Gillibrand Marist Gillibrand 56, DioGuardi 38 Gillibrand +18
New York Senate – Townsend vs. Schumer Marist Schumer 63, Townsend 35 Schumer +28
Pennsylvania Senate – Sestak vs. Toomey Morning Call Tracking Toomey 43, Sestak 43 Tie
Pennsylvania Governor – Corbett vs. Onorato Morning Call Tracking Corbett 49, Onorato 40 Corbett +9
Arkansas Governor – Keet vs. Beebe Mason-Dixon Beebe 59, Keet 33 Beebe +26
Michigan 15th District – Steele vs. Dingell EPIC-MRA Dingell 53, Steele 36 Dingell +17
South Dakota At-Large – Noem vs. Herseth Sandlin Rasmussen Reports Noem 49, Herseth Sandlin 44 Noem +5
Washington 8th District – Reichert vs. DelBene SurveyUSA Reichert 52, DelBene 45 Reichert +7
Maine 1st District – Scontras vs. Pingree Critical Insights Pingree 45, Scontras 40 Pingree +5
Maine 2nd District – Michaud v. Levesque Critical Insights Michaud 49, Levesque 30 Michaud +19
Generic Congressional Vote Newsweek Republicans 45, Democrats 48 Democrats +3
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Less than 2 weeks…..Polling (A lot!) for Wednesday, October 20th, 2010…CA, WA, FL, OH, IL, AK, PA, WV, AR, MO, NY, AZ, MS, WI, NH,

From Reaclearpolitics….

Wednesday, October 20
Race Poll Results Spread
California Senate – Boxer vs. Fiorina PPIC Boxer 43, Fiorina 37 Boxer +6
Washington Senate – Rossi vs. Murray McClatchy/Marist Murray 48, Rossi 47 Murray +1
California Governor – Whitman vs. Brown PPIC Brown 44, Whitman 36 Brown +8
Kentucky Senate – Paul vs. Conway Mason-Dixon Paul 48, Conway 43 Paul +5
California Senate – Boxer vs. Fiorina SurveyUSA Boxer 46, Fiorina 44 Boxer +2
California Governor – Whitman vs. Brown SurveyUSA Brown 47, Whitman 40 Brown +7
Florida Senate – Rubio vs. Meek vs. Crist CNN/Time Rubio 46, Crist 32, Meek 20 Rubio +14
Florida Governor – Scott vs. Sink CNN/Time Sink 46, Scott 49 Scott +3
Florida Governor – Scott vs. Sink Rasmussen Reports Sink 44, Scott 50 Scott +6
Ohio Governor – Kasich vs. Strickland CNN/Time Kasich 47, Strickland 48 Strickland +1
Pennsylvania Senate – Sestak vs. Toomey Morning Call Tracking Toomey 41, Sestak 44 Sestak +3
Illinois Senate – Giannoulias vs. Kirk Rasmussen Reports Kirk 44, Giannoulias 40 Kirk +4
Illinois Senate – Giannoulias vs. Kirk PPP (D) Kirk 42, Giannoulias 40 Kirk +2
Alaska Senate – Miller vs. McAdams vs. Murkowski CNN/Time Miller 37, Murkowski 37, McAdams 23 Tie
Pennsylvania Governor – Corbett vs. Onorato Morning Call Tracking Corbett 47, Onorato 40 Corbett +7
Pennsylvania Governor – Corbett vs. Onorato PPP (D) Corbett 48, Onorato 46 Corbett +2
West Virginia Senate Special Election – Raese vs. Manchin Rasmussen Reports Manchin 43, Raese 50 Raese +7
Arkansas Senate – Boozman vs. Lincoln CNN/Time Boozman 55, Lincoln 41 Boozman +14
Ohio Senate – Portman vs. Fisher CNN/Time Portman 55, Fisher 40 Portman +15
Ohio Senate – Portman vs. Fisher Quinnipiac Portman 55, Fisher 34 Portman +21
Missouri Senate – Blunt vs. Carnahan Rasmussen Reports Blunt 52, Carnahan 43 Blunt +9
New York Governor – Paladino vs. Cuomo Siena Cuomo 63, Paladino 26 Cuomo +37
New York Senate Special Election – DioGuardi vs. Gillibrand Siena Gillibrand 60, DioGuardi 31 Gillibrand +29
New York Senate – Townsend vs. Schumer Siena Schumer 67, Townsend 28 Schumer +39
Arkansas Governor – Keet vs. Beebe CNN/Time Beebe 62, Keet 35 Beebe +27
Alaska Governor – Parnell vs. Berkowitz CNN/Time Parnell 62, Berkowitz 36 Parnell +26
Mississippi 1st District – Nunnelee vs. Childers The Hill/Penn, Schoen & Berland (D) Nunnelee 44, Childers 39 Nunnelee +5
Arizona 5th District – Schweikert vs. Mitchell The Hill/Penn, Schoen & Berland (D) Schweikert 45, Mitchell 42 Schweikert +3
Illinois 17th District – Schilling vs. Hare The Hill/Penn, Schoen & Berland (D) Schilling 45, Hare 38 Schilling +7
New York 19th District – Hayworth vs. Hall The Hill/Penn, Schoen & Berland (D) Hall 43, Hayworth 43 Tie
New York 24th District – Hanna vs. Arcuri The Hill/Penn, Schoen & Berland (D) Arcuri 47, Hanna 37 Arcuri +10
Pennsylvania 10th District – Marino vs. Carney The Hill/Penn, Schoen & Berland (D) Marino 41, Carney 41 Tie
Wisconsin 8th District – Ribble vs. Kagen The Hill/Penn, Schoen & Berland (D) Ribble 45, Kagen 44 Ribble +1
Illinois 14th District – Hultgren vs. Foster The Hill/Penn, Schoen & Berland (D) Hultgren 43, Foster 42 Hultgren +1
New Hampshire 1st District – Guinta vs. Shea-Porter The Hill/Penn, Schoen & Berland (D) Guinta 47, Shea-Porter 42 Guinta +5
Pennsylvania 8th District – Fitzpatrick vs. Murphy The Hill/Penn, Schoen & Berland (D) Murphy 46, Fitzpatrick 43 Murphy +3
Pennsylvania 4th District – Rothfus vs. Altmire Susquehanna Altmire 47, Rothfus 35 Altmire +12
Oregon 1st District – Cornilles vs. Wu SurveyUSA Wu 51, Cornilles 42 Wu +9
Generic Congressional Vote Associated Press/GfK Republicans 50, Democrats 43 Republicans +7
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Tossups looking blue. NV, WA, PA, IL, CA……Talkandpolitcs…

Close races – but Reid, Murray, Sestak, Guiannoulias, Boxer – they might pull it off.

Media has been pushing drama and right-leaning polls for a long time, but elections might become a huge surprise. Secret ads and loose tea party cannons could tip lots of independents.

Talkandpolitics gut feeling is Dems keeping both Houses, slightly.

More..

Talkandpolitics….

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Polls for Tuesday, October 19th, 2010…..CA, CO, WA, KY, PA, WV, WI, MD, OH, FL, OR, ME, MO, NY

From Realclearpolitics….

Tuesday, October 19
Race Poll Results Spread
California Senate – Boxer vs. Fiorina FOX News/POR-Rasmussen Boxer 48, Fiorina 44 Boxer +4
California Governor – Whitman vs. Brown FOX News/POR-Rasmussen Brown 48, Whitman 43 Brown +5
Colorado Senate – Buck vs. Bennet Reuters/Ipsos Buck 48, Bennet 45 Buck +3
Colorado Senate – Buck vs. Bennet FOX News/POR-Rasmussen Buck 46, Bennet 45 Buck +1
Washington Senate – Rossi vs. Murray PPP (D) Murray 49, Rossi 47 Murray +2
Kentucky Senate – Paul vs. Conway Rasmussen Reports Paul 47, Conway 42 Paul +5
Pennsylvania Senate – Sestak vs. Toomey PPP (D) Toomey 45, Sestak 46 Sestak +1
West Virginia Senate Special Election – Raese vs. Manchin FOX News/POR-Rasmussen Manchin 45, Raese 48 Raese +3
Wisconsin Senate – Feingold vs. Johnson WPR/St. Norbert Johnson 49, Feingold 47 Johnson +2
Maryland Governor – Ehrlich vs. O’Malley Gonzales Res. O’Malley 47, Ehrlich 42 O’Malley +5
Ohio Governor – Kasich vs. Strickland Quinnipiac Kasich 51, Strickland 41 Kasich +10
Ohio Governor – Kasich vs. Strickland FOX News/POR-Rasmussen Kasich 49, Strickland 43 Kasich +6
Colorado Governor – Maes vs. Hickenlooper vs. Tancredo Reuters/Ipsos Hickenlooper 46, Tancredo 35, Maes 14 Hickenlooper +11
Colorado Governor – Maes vs. Hickenlooper vs. Tancredo FOX News/POR-Rasmussen Hickenlooper 45, Tancredo 40, Maes 10 Hickenlooper +5
Florida Senate – Rubio vs. Meek vs. Crist Rasmussen Reports Rubio 43, Crist 32, Meek 20 Rubio +11
Florida Senate – Rubio vs. Meek vs. Crist Suffolk University Rubio 39, Crist 31, Meek 22 Rubio +8
Florida Governor – Scott vs. Sink Suffolk University Sink 45, Scott 38 Sink +7
California Senate – Boxer vs. Fiorina Wilson Research (R) Boxer 43, Fiorina 46 Fiorina +3
California Governor – Whitman vs. Brown Wilson Research (R) Brown 44, Whitman 45 Whitman +1
Georgia Governor – Deal vs. Barnes Insider Advantage Deal 45, Barnes 40 Deal +5
Oregon Governor – Dudley vs. Kitzhaber Daily Kos/PPP (D) Kitzhaber 48, Dudley 47 Kitzhaber +1
Wisconsin Governor – Walker vs. Barrett WPR/St. Norbert Walker 50, Barrett 41 Walker +9
Maine Governor – LePage vs. Mitchell vs. Cutler Pan Atlantic SMS LePage 33, Mitchell 28, Cutler 14 LePage +5
Missouri Senate – Blunt vs. Carnahan FOX News/POR-Rasmussen Blunt 49, Carnahan 43 Blunt +6
New York Senate Special Election – DioGuardi vs. Gillibrand New York Times Gillibrand 50, DioGuardi 25 Gillibrand +25
North Carolina Senate – Burr vs. Marshall PPP (D) Burr 48, Marshall 40 Burr +8
Michigan Governor – Snyder vs. Bernero Rasmussen Reports Snyder 54, Bernero 34 Snyder +20
Maryland Senate – Wargotz vs. Mikulski Gonzales Res. Mikulski 55, Wargotz 38 Mikulski +17
Nevada Governor – Sandoval vs. Reid Rasmussen Reports Sandoval 56, Reid 37 Sandoval +19
Oregon Senate – Huffman vs. Wyden Daily Kos/PPP (D) Wyden 56, Huffman 40 Wyden +16
New York Senate – Townsend vs. Schumer New York Times Schumer 61, Townsend 21 Schumer +40
Florida 2nd District – Southerland vs. Boyd Sunshine State News/VSS Southerland 50, Boyd 38 Southerland +12
New York 19th District – Hayworth vs. Hall Monmouth University Hall 49, Hayworth 48 Hall +1
Wisconsin 7th District – Duffy vs. Lassa WeAskAmerica Duffy 46, Lassa 39 Duffy +7
Maine 1st District – Scontras vs. Pingree Pan Atlantic SMS Pingree 49, Scontras 33 Pingree +16
Maine 2nd District – Michaud v. Levesque Pan Atlantic SMS Michaud 49, Levesque 29 Michaud +20
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Polls for Friday, October 15th, 2010….CA, FL, OH, CO, MN, VE, NY, DE, PA, NV, WV, MI, UT, NH, OR

From Realclearpolitics…..

Nice polls, huh?…….A LOT of blue there!

Friday, October 15
Race (Click to Sort) Poll Results Spread
California Senate – Boxer vs. Fiorina Reuters/Ipsos Boxer 46, Fiorina 45 Boxer +1
California Governor – Whitman vs. Brown Reuters/Ipsos Brown 48, Whitman 44 Brown +4
California Governor – Whitman vs. Brown Rasmussen Reports Brown 50, Whitman 44 Brown +6
Florida Governor – Scott vs. Sink Sunshine State News/VSS Sink 48, Scott 45 Sink +3
Connecticut Senate – McMahon vs. Blumenthal Rasmussen Reports Blumenthal 51, McMahon 46 Blumenthal +5
Ohio Governor – Kasich vs. Strickland Ohio Poll/Univ of Cin. Kasich 51, Strickland 43 Kasich +8
Connecticut Governor – Foley vs. Malloy Quinnipiac Malloy 49, Foley 42 Malloy +7
Colorado Governor – Maes vs. Hickenlooper vs. Tancredo Rasmussen Reports Hickenlooper 42, Tancredo 38, Maes 12 Hickenlooper +4
Minnesota Governor – Emmer vs. Dayton vs. Horner SurveyUSA Dayton 42, Emmer 37, Horner 14 Dayton +5
Vermont Governor – Dubie vs. Shumlin VPR/Mason-Dixon Dubie 44, Shumlin 43 Dubie +1
New York Senate Special Election – DioGuardi vs. Gillibrand SurveyUSA Gillibrand 54, DioGuardi 36 Gillibrand +18
New York Governor – Paladino vs. Cuomo SurveyUSA Cuomo 59, Paladino 33 Cuomo +26
Delaware Senate – O’Donnell vs. Coons Rasmussen Reports Coons 51, O’Donnell 40 Coons +11
Ohio Senate – Portman vs. Fisher Ohio Poll/Univ of Cin. Portman 58, Fisher 36 Portman +22
Pennsylvania Governor – Corbett vs. Onorato Rasmussen Reports Corbett 54, Onorato 40 Corbett +14
Nevada Governor – Sandoval vs. Reid LVRJ/Mason-Dixon Sandoval 52, Reid 37 Sandoval +15
West Virginia Senate Special Election – Raese vs. Manchin Marshall Univ/Orion Strategies (D) Manchin 48, Raese 38 Manchin +10
Michigan Governor – Snyder vs. Bernero Baydoun/Foster (D) Snyder 54, Bernero 33 Snyder +21
New York Senate – Townsend vs. Schumer SurveyUSA Schumer 63, Townsend 30 Schumer +33
Vermont Senate – Britton vs. Leahy VPR/Mason-Dixon Leahy 62, Britton 27 Leahy +35
Utah Senate – Lee vs. Granato Rasmussen Reports Lee 61, Granato 28 Lee +33
Virginia 9th District – Griffith vs. Boucher SurveyUSA Boucher 51, Griffith 41 Boucher +10
New Hampshire 2nd District – Bass vs. Kuster WMUR/UNH Kuster 43, Bass 36 Kuster +7
New Hampshire 1st District – Guinta vs. Shea-Porter WMUR/UNH Guinta 48, Shea-Porter 36 Guinta +12
Oregon 4th District – DeFazio v. Robinson CTA/Wilson Research Strategies (R) DeFazio 48, Robinson 42 DeFazio +6
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Polls for Tuesday, October 5th, 2010…CA, NV, WV, CT, OH, IL, NY, MO, CO, MD, FL, RI, TX AR, IN, HI, LA, DE, Gen Congress

From Realclearpolitics…….

Tuesday, October 05
Race Poll Results Spread
California Senate – Boxer vs. Fiorina Reuters/Ipsos Boxer 49, Fiorina 45 Boxer +4
California Senate – Boxer vs. Fiorina Rasmussen Reports Boxer 49, Fiorina 45 Boxer +4
California Governor – Whitman vs. Brown Reuters/Ipsos Brown 50, Whitman 43 Brown +7
Nevada Senate – Angle vs. Reid FOX News/POR-Rasmussen Reid 46, Angle 49 Angle +3
West Virginia Senate Special Election – Raese vs. Manchin FOX News/POR-Rasmussen Raese 48, Manchin 43 Raese +5
Connecticut Senate – McMahon vs. Blumenthal FOX News/POR-Rasmussen Blumenthal 52, McMahon 42 Blumenthal +10
Connecticut Senate – McMahon vs. Blumenthal CT Capitol Report/MRG Blumenthal 52, McMahon 45 Blumenthal +7
Ohio Governor – Kasich vs. Strickland Quinnipiac Kasich 50, Strickland 41 Kasich +9
Ohio Governor – Kasich vs. Strickland FOX News/POR-Rasmussen Kasich 49, Strickland 43 Kasich +6
Illinois Senate – Giannoulias vs. Kirk Rasmussen Reports Kirk 45, Giannoulias 41 Kirk +4
New York Governor – Paladino vs. Cuomo Siena Cuomo 56, Paladino 32 Cuomo +24
New York Governor – Paladino vs. Cuomo PPP (D) Cuomo 53, Paladino 38 Cuomo +15
Missouri Senate – Blunt vs. Carnahan FOX News/POR-Rasmussen Blunt 50, Carnahan 42 Blunt +8
Colorado Senate – Buck vs. Bennet Rasmussen Reports Buck 50, Bennet 45 Buck +5
Colorado Senate – Buck vs. Bennet PPP (D) Buck 45, Bennet 46 Bennet +1
Maryland Governor – Ehrlich vs. O’Malley Rasmussen Reports O’Malley 49, Ehrlich 41 O’Malley +8
Pennsylvania Senate – Sestak vs. Toomey Morning Call Toomey 45, Sestak 38 Toomey +7
Pennsylvania Governor – Corbett vs. Onorato Morning Call Corbett 47, Onorato 36 Corbett +11
Ohio Senate – Portman vs. Fisher FOX News/POR-Rasmussen Portman 53, Fisher 37 Portman +16
Florida Governor – Scott vs. Sink Sunshine State News/VSS Scott 44, Sink 42 Scott +2
Florida Governor – Scott vs. Sink FL CoC/POS (R) Scott 46, Sink 42 Scott +4
Florida Senate – Rubio vs. Meek vs. Crist FL CoC/POS (R) Rubio 40, Crist 33, Meek 16 Rubio +7
Rhode Island Governor – Chafee vs. Caprio vs. Robitaille Brown University Caprio 30, Chafee 23, Robitaille 14 Caprio +7
Connecticut Governor – Foley vs. Malloy FOX News/POR-Rasmussen Malloy 47, Foley 41 Malloy +6
Connecticut Governor – Foley vs. Malloy CT Capitol Report/MRG Malloy 48, Foley 45 Malloy +3
Texas Governor – Perry vs. White WFAA/Belo Perry 50, White 36 Perry +14
Arizona Governor – Brewer vs. Goddard Rasmussen Reports Brewer 55, Goddard 39 Brewer +16
Indiana Senate – Coats vs. Ellsworth WISH-TV/EPIC-MRA Coats 51, Ellsworth 33 Coats +18
Hawaii 1st District – Djou vs. Hanabusa Daily Kos/PPP (D) Hanabusa 48, Djou 47 Hanabusa +1
Louisiana 2nd District – Cao vs. Richmond Daily Kos/PPP (D) Richmond 49, Cao 38 Richmond +11
Rhode Island 1st District – Loughlin vs. Cicilline Brown University Cicilline 39, Loughlin 21 Cicilline +18
Delaware At-Large – Carney vs. Urquhart Fairleigh Dickinson Carney 51, Urquhart 36 Carney +15
Generic Congressional Vote ABC News/Wash Post Republicans 49, Democrats 43 Republicans +6
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Polls for Monday, October 4th, 2010….CA, CT, IL, CO, AR, NM, Gen Congress

From Realclearpolitics….

Monday, October 04
Race Poll Results Spread
California Senate – Boxer vs. Fiorina SurveyUSA Boxer 46, Fiorina 43 Boxer +3
California Governor – Whitman vs. Brown SurveyUSA Brown 47, Whitman 43 Brown +4
Connecticut Senate – McMahon vs. Blumenthal PPP (D) Blumenthal 53, McMahon 41 Blumenthal +12
California Governor – Whitman vs. Brown Rasmussen Reports Brown 49, Whitman 44 Brown +5
Illinois Governor – Brady vs. Quinn Suffolk Brady 37, Quinn 43 Quinn +6
Colorado Governor – Maes vs. Hickenlooper vs. Tancredo Rasmussen Reports Hickenlooper 43, Tancredo 35, Maes 16 Hickenlooper +8
Illinois Senate – Giannoulias vs. Kirk Suffolk Kirk 42, Giannoulias 41 Kirk +1
Arkansas Senate – Boozman vs. Lincoln Rasmussen Reports Boozman 55, Lincoln 37 Boozman +18
New Mexico 1st District – Barela vs. Heinrich Albuquerque Journal Heinrich 48, Barela 41 Heinrich +7
New Mexico 2nd District – Pearce vs. Teague Albuquerque Journal Pearce 45, Teague 44 Pearce +1
Generic Congressional Vote Gallup (LV Higher Turnout)* Republicans 53, Democrats 40 Republicans +13
Generic Congressional Vote Gallup (LV Lower Turnout)* Republicans 56, Democrats 38 Republicans +18
Generic Congressional Vote Rasmussen Reports Republicans 45, Democrats 42 Republicans +3
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Polling for Thursday, September 30th, 2010….WA, CA, WI, KY, FL, MA, NH, NV, NJ, VA, Gen Congress

From Realclearpolitics

Thursday, September 30
Race (Click to Sort) Poll Results Spread
Washington Senate – Rossi vs. Murray Rasmussen Reports Murray 47, Rossi 48 Rossi +1
California Senate – Boxer vs. Fiorina PPIC Boxer 42, Fiorina 35 Boxer +7
California Governor – Whitman vs. Brown PPIC Brown 37, Whitman 38 Whitman +1
Wisconsin Senate – Feingold vs. Johnson Rasmussen Reports Johnson 54, Feingold 42 Johnson +12
New York Governor – Paladino vs. Cuomo Marist Cuomo 53, Paladino 38 Cuomo +15
Kentucky Senate – Paul vs. Conway Rasmussen Reports Paul 49, Conway 38 Paul +11
Florida Senate – Rubio vs. Meek vs. Crist Quinnipiac Rubio 46, Crist 33, Meek 18 Rubio +13
Massachusetts Governor – Baker vs. Patrick vs. Cahill Rasmussen Reports Patrick 47, Baker 42, Cahill 6 Patrick +5
New Hampshire Senate – Ayotte vs. Hodes WMUR/UNH Ayotte 50, Hodes 35 Ayotte +15
Illinois Governor – Brady vs. Quinn PPP (D) Brady 42, Quinn 35 Brady +7
Nevada Governor – Sandoval vs. Reid Rasmussen Reports Sandoval 53, Reid 40 Sandoval +13
New Jersey 3rd District – Runyan vs. Adler Monmouth/Gannett Adler 42, Runyan 39 Adler +3
Virginia 9th District – Griffith vs. Boucher SurveyUSA Boucher 53, Griffith 38 Boucher +15
Generic Congressional Vote FOX News Republicans 44, Democrats 38 Republicans +6
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Polls for Wednesday, September 29th, 2010…..(incudes the CNN Polls )…NV, IL, OH, CA, MD, FL, PA, MN, ME, CO, NC, CT, IA, AL, NJ, VA

From Realclearpolitics.….

Wednesday, September 29
Race Poll Results Spread
Nevada Senate – Angle vs. Reid Rasmussen Reports Reid 48, Angle 47 Reid +1
Illinois Senate – Giannoulias vs. Kirk PPP (D) Kirk 40, Giannoulias 36 Kirk +4
Illinois Senate – Giannoulias vs. Kirk CNN/Time Kirk 42, Giannoulias 43 Giannoulias +1
Illinois Governor – Brady vs. Quinn CNN/Time Brady 40, Quinn 38 Brady +2
Ohio Governor – Kasich vs. Strickland Rasmussen Reports Kasich 50, Strickland 42 Kasich +8
Ohio Senate – Portman vs. Fisher Rasmussen Reports Portman 51, Fisher 42 Portman +9
California Governor – Whitman vs. Brown CNN/Time Brown 52, Whitman 43 Brown +9
California Senate – Boxer vs. Fiorina CNN/Time Boxer 52, Fiorina 43 Boxer +9
Maryland Governor – Ehrlich vs. O’Malley Washington Post O’Malley 52, Ehrlich 41 O’Malley +11
Alaska Senate – Miller vs. McAdams vs. Murkowski CNN/Time Miller 38, Murkowski 36, McAdams 22 Miller +2
Florida Senate – Rubio vs. Meek vs. Crist CNN/Time Rubio 42, Crist 31, Meek 23 Rubio +11
Florida Senate – Rubio vs. Meek vs. Crist Rasmussen Reports Rubio 41, Crist 30, Meek 21 Rubio +11
Florida Governor – Scott vs. Sink CNN/Time Scott 47, Sink 45 Scott +2
Pennsylvania Senate – Sestak vs. Toomey Franklin & Marshall Toomey 38, Sestak 29 Toomey +9
Pennsylvania Senate – Sestak vs. Toomey Susquehanna Toomey 45, Sestak 42 Toomey +3
Pennsylvania Governor – Corbett vs. Onorato Franklin & Marshall Corbett 36, Onorato 32 Corbett +4
Minnesota Governor – Emmer vs. Dayton vs. Horner Minn. Public Radio Dayton 38, Emmer 27, Horner 16 Dayton +11
New Mexico Governor – Martinez vs. Denish Daily Kos/PPP (D) Martinez 50, Denish 42 Martinez +8
Maine Governor – LePage vs. Mitchell vs. Cutler Critical Insights LePage 29, Mitchell 30, Cutler 9 Mitchell +1
Colorado Senate – Buck vs. Bennet Rasmussen Reports Buck 51, Bennet 43 Buck +8
North Carolina Senate – Burr vs. Marshall PPP (D) Burr 49, Marshall 36 Burr +13
Connecticut Governor – Foley vs. Malloy Quinnipiac Malloy 45, Foley 42 Malloy +3
Iowa Senate – Grassley vs. Conlin Rasmussen Reports Grassley 55, Conlin 37 Grassley +18
Alaska Governor – Parnell vs. Berkowitz CNN/Time Parnell 57, Berkowitz 38 Parnell +19
Florida 8th District – Webster vs. Grayson Sunshine State News/VSS Webster 43, Grayson 36 Webster +7
North Carolina 7th District – Pantano vs. McIntyre SurveyUSA Pantano 46, McIntyre 45 Pantano +1
New Jersey 3rd District – Runyan vs. Adler Rutgers-Eagleton Adler 41, Runyan 39 Adler +2
Virginia 5th District – Hurt vs. Perriello SurveyUSA Hurt 58, Perriello 35 Hurt +23
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Daniel…..CNN / Time Magazine / Opinion Research Corporation / Battleground State Surveys (AK, CA, FL, IL)

Hello Dog Pound and Good Evening!

If it’s Wednesday it means another Round of CNN / Time Magazine / Opinion Research Corporation Battleground State Surveys. Tonight these Surveys are coming from Alaska, California, Florida and Illinois.

Okay, let’s get started:

There are SOME Surprises!

In Alaska Murkowski is only two behind Miller.

CAUTION: CNN polled Murkowski as an Independent Candidate and NOT AS AN Write-In Candidate. Parnells lead in the Governor Race is expected.

In California CNN basically confirms other Pollsters with Brown & Boxer having the Advantage.

HOWEVER there was a Governor Debate LAST NIGHT and Instant Snap-Shot Polling by Survey USA reveals that Whitman may have gotten the better of Brown. There is also a Radio-Debate currently going on in the CA-SEN Contest between Boxer and Fiorina.

In Florida is ABSOLUTE POSITIVE NEWS for Republicans as Rubio has SURGED into an 11-Point lead over Crist. More surprising though is that Rick Scott has now pulled into a TIE with Florida’s CFO Sink.

Meanwhile in Illinois CNN confirms the Senate Race as a TOSS-UP with Giannoulias edging Kirk by just ONE Point.

However you could argue that the BIGGEST surprise comes from the Illinois Governor Race where Brady is just edging Quinn by 2 Points.

THE BIG CAVEAT though is that disgraced Scott Lee Cohen (who now runs as an Indies) has 14 % of the Vote AND I’m seriously doubting he can hold that kind of Support over the next 4 weeks.

Let’s get to the Details:

CNN / Time Magazine / Opinion Research Corporation Battleground Survey

Alaska Governor

General Election

Incumbent Governor Sean Parnell (R)  57 %
Former State House Minority Leader Ethan Berkowitz (D)  38 %
Undecided  5 %

Alaska U.S. Senate

General Election

Attorney Joseph W. Miller (R)  38 %
Incumbent Senator Lisa Murkowski (R, Write-In)  36 %
Sitka Mayor Scott McAdams (D)  22 %
Undecided  4 %

CNN / Time Magazine / Opinion Research Corporation Battleground Survey

California Governor

General Election

State Attorney General Edmund G. “Jerry” Brown (D)  52 %
Former Ebay CEO Meg Whitman (R)  43 %
Undecided  5 %

California U.S. Senate

General Election

Incumbent Senator Barbara Levy Boxer (D)  52 %
Former Hewlett-Packard CEO Carly Fiorina (R)  43 %
Undecided  5 %

CNN / Time Magazine / Opinion Research Corporation Battleground Survey

Florida Governor

General Election

Businessman & Health Care Executive Rick Scott (R)  47 %
State Chief Financial Officer Adelaide “Alex” Sink (D)  45 %
Undecided  8 %

Florida U.S. Senate

General Election

Former Florida House Speaker Marco Rubio (R)  42 %
Incumbent Governor Charlie Crist (Independent)  31 %
Congressman Kendrick B. Meek (D)  23 %
Undecided  5 %

Note: New Quinnipiac University Surveys for the Florida Governor & Senate Races coming on Thursday & Friday.

CNN / Time Magazine / Opinion Research Corporation Battleground Survey

Illinois Governor

General Election

State Senator Bill Brady (R)  40 %
Incumbent Governor Pat Quinn (D)  38 %
Scott Lee Cohen (Independent)  14 %
Attorney Rich Whitney (Green Party)  4 %
Undecided  4 %

Illinois U.S. Senate

General Election

State Treasurer Alexander “Alexi” Giannoulias (D)  43 %
Congressman Mark Steven Kirk (R)  42 %
Freelance Journalist LeAlan Jones (Green Party)  8 %
Undecided  8 %

The Full Breakdown of all 4 Surveys can be found here:

http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2010/images/09/29/topstate4.pdf

Daniel G.

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