Tag Archives: Biden

The waiting to see if Obama will throw his support to someone…

The Hill site has been steadily featuring Kamala Harris in its 2020 Democratic nomination Presidential coverage….

So it’s a bit of a surprise to see todays piece that would give one the impression that Barack Obama is leaning toward’s ex-Massachusetts Governor Deval Patrick for the nomination….

Turns out the author of the piece is actually talking about divisions in Obama’s former staff people….

Some want Patrick…

Some want Kamala Harris…

And Obama himself would be looked at to support Joe Biden if he actually decided to run for the 3rd time…

Conclusion?

Nobody actually knows who the ex-President will support in the end…

And it really isn’t gonna be up to him, even if he’ll probably have some sway in the final result….

As we saw the last time….

The fight should  be in political trenches…

“I want to see a wide open a process where there are no front runners,” said Democratic strategist Jim Manley. “The idea that anyone is out there pushing for one person or another is a mistake.”

While the 2020 election is still more than three years away, potential candidates must already prepare for the possibility of a race.

The fight for key staff members and donors will not be delayed.

One former aide to Clinton said there’s a danger with Obama heavyweights being seen as aligning with a candidate because it could deepen factions within the party.

Val fight between the Sanders and Clinton wings from 2016 has left scars, with supporters of both candidates blaming the other, at least to a degree, over President Trump’s victory.

Still, some strategists say even if the Obama allies have their favorites, it won’t matter much in the end.

“Party insiders don’t have a great track record of picking successful Democratic nominees,” said Simmons. “They didn’t pick Jimmy Carter, Bill Clinton or Barack Obama.”

“The best idea is to wait and see who Dem voters feel some affection for and rally around that person to help them win,”….

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2020 Democratic Presidential nomination Update….Sept 1, 2017

Image result for biden/booker/sander/warren/harris

The nomination campaign marathon race is out of the gate….

A quiet but consequential battle for staff and cash has begun among ambitious Democrats with their eyes on the 2020 presidential race. The party is likely to start with a bigger field — perhaps much bigger — than the unwieldy Republican batch that produced Donald Trump as the nominee.

  • Our conversations with well-wired Democrats produced a list of three dozen names that range from possible to plausible to probable. Other potential candidates seem certain to emerge, based on who looks strong after the 2018 midterms.
  • Several have begun to actively talk to potential staff members, and a few more have put out feelers, according to Democrats familiar with the conversations.
  • It’s of course unlikely that whoever we’re buzzing about 1,159 days before the election(“Bullish on Bullock!”) will be the correct answer.

Breaking the potential candidates into formal tiers at this point would be silly. But here are groupings that emerged with our conversations with veterans of past Democratic presidential campaigns, as well as younger operatives likely to be involved in the 2020 campaign:

  • Watched most closely: Sen. Elizabeth Warren (Mass.), Sen. Bernie Sanders (Vt.), Sen. Cory Booker (N.J.), Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand (N.Y.), Sen. Kamala Harris (Calif.), New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo.
  • The classics: Joe Biden, John Kerry, Al Gore, former Maryland Gov. Martin O’Malley.
  • Outsiders: New Orleans Mayor Mitch Landrieu, Los Angeles Mayor Eric Garcetti, Washington Gov. Jay Inslee, Colorado Gov. Hickenlooper
  • Has begun seeking staff: Montana Gov. Steve Bullock, Sen. Chris Murphy (Conn.), Rep. Tim Ryan (Ohio).
  • Many in Obamaworld like: former Massachusetts Gov. Deval Patrick, Rep. Seth Moulton (Mass), former Missouri SecState Jason Kander.
  • Many in Clintonworld like: Virginia Gov. Terry McAuliffe, former Ag Secretary and Iowa Gov. Tom Vilsack, former HUD Secretary Julian Castro….

More…

Note….

I would not include Gillibrand or Cuomo in the first tier….

I would include ‘classic’ Biden up front….For now…

image…foxnews.com

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The 2020 Democratic Presidential primary race has begun….

Iowa, New Hampshire and South Carolina are getting their drop-in’s from the early field Democrats testing the waters for the run for the 2020 Presidential Nomination…Unlike 2016?

The field is wide open…..(Though Biden, Warren, and Sanders are in the lead with Harris rising fast)

Just like that, the 2020 retail campaigning for president began right here in a strip-mall campaign headquarters Monday, when Los Angeles Mayor Eric Garcetti showed up for what he called “the most important race in the country.”

He was talking about the Manchester mayor’s election. Joyce Craig, the Democratic candidate, invited him to join her for an afternoon that also included a speech to the Manchester Young Democrats and a fundraiser. Garcetti worked the crowds, introduced himself as “Eric,” and took a bumper sticker and put it on the back of the black SUV he was driving around in.

“Pay no attention to the Virginia plates,” he said. “It’s a rental.”

On Tuesday, Rep. John Delaney (D-Md.), the only one to have already officially announced, will be here for a two-day trip, trying to get attention for his long-shot bid. On Labor Day, both Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) and Jason Kander, the Democrat who narrowly lost his U.S. Senate bid in Missouri last year, will be back.

And on Thursday, Sanders — who was in Indiana and Michigan last week — will be in Iowa, along with Sen. Amy Klobuchar of Minnesota. Sen. Jeff Merkley of Oregon will be there in October. Former Vice President Joe Biden, who made his own teasing stop here in Manchester at the end of April, is headed to South Carolina in September.

New Hampshire is the first in the nation primary, but even that’s 29 months away.

Like always, the chatter began the morning after the election, stunted a little by Democrats’ surprise at losing. Behind the scenes, big donors have been getting chased nonstop by candidates who like to deny that they’re anywhere near thinking about being candidates. Strategy sessions are quietly being held. Preliminary calls are going out about potential staff hires. That’s normal, though a little accelerated….

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2020 Politico Democratic Presidential choices….May 2017

It’s NEVER tooooo Early  to Early do start doing Democratic wish lists for the nomination….

But actually the serious ones HAVE to be getting their ducks in a row and setting up scheduled trips, position papers and honing their speeches…..Oh, and aiming for running money….

Most pundits would have Sanders and Warren on the top of their list but this Dog has keep his top as Cory Booker….

The lists will have on them those that will not be serious contenders , but will be happy to have been mentioned anyways…

democrats-5.jpeg

I can already hear your complaints: It’s too early to talk about the 2020 presidential primaries! But the prospective candidates don’t think so. Joe Biden’s teasing. Senators and governors are road testing. And with the Trump presidency perpetually mired in scandal, no one on the Democratic bench is hesitating.

The simple truth, as depressing as it might sound to the survivors of 2016, is that anyone who wants to be president must make moves now. Beyond building a network of donors and volunteers, over the next 3½ years, those hoping to make it to the White House need to sell themselves to primary voters as leaders. Leaders of principle. Leaders on issues. Leaders in partisan warfare. Leaders in building consensus.

How can they do that? Some have likened past primaries to an NCAA basketball tournament bracket, with candidates trying to elbow out competitors with similar bases of support. But with so much unsettled about the Democratic Party’s ideological future, in the wake of 2016’s bitter primary and shocking general election defeat, we can’t yet narrow the camps into four easily definable categories.

Instead of brackets, think of this preliminary phase of the 2020 Democratic presidential primary as a mad scramble to earn “badges” of distinction. With every badge, presidential aspirants win points from primary voters casting about for leaders they trust to both fight for what they believe in, and fight to win.

What badges are potential Democrats trying to earn, and who is best positioned to claim each prize? Here is how the nascent field is shaping up…..

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Day 3 @ the Democratic Presidential Nomination Convention…

… from twitter….

POLITICO ‏@politico
Philadelphia veered from a pro-@HillaryClinton pep rally to a @realDonaldTrump takedown http://politi.co/2arwoHN

Chuck Todd ‏@chucktodd
A truly emotional moment in this arena. Gabby Giffords had the entire place paying attn. She has really made great strides in her recovery.

POLITICO ‏@politico
Mother of Orlando shooting victim speaks out in support of @HillaryClinton http://politi.co/2arwwHA

POLITICO ‏@politico
Former Secretary of Defense Leon Panetta: “This is no time to gamble with our future.”

Chuck Todd ‏@chucktodd
It appears some delegates started a “no more war” chant in the middle of Panetta’s speech. Others tried to drown out with cheers and jeers

POLITICO ‏@politico
Panetta: “@HillaryClinton is the single most experienced and prepared person that has ever run for president.”

Chris Cillizza ‏@TheFix
Biden’s speech is very, very good. Behind Michelle O but in front of everyone else including Bill Clinton.Ezra KleinVerified account

‏@ezraklein
So Joe Biden would’ve been extremely good at running against Donald Trump.

Jared Rizzi ‏@JaredRizzi Philadelphia, PA
VP Biden: “We are Americans! We are second to no one! And we own the finish line!” #demsinphilly

Chris Cillizza ‏@TheFix
Tim Kaine is an able, competent politician. But, man, after that Biden speech and the expectation of the Obama speech, he is overshadowed.

WNYC ‏@WNYC
“I humbly accept my party’s nomination,” says @timkaine. Adding that “I never expected to be here.” #DemsInPhilly

WNYC ‏@WNYC
“We should all feel the bern and not want to get burned by that other guy.” -@timkaine #DemsInPhilly

The Boston Globe ‏@BostonGlobe
“If you’re looking for that party of Lincoln, we have a home for you here” -@TimKaine. http://bit.ly/2actjt3

Chris Cillizza ‏@TheFix View translation
Tim Kaine speaks Spanish?!?!?!

POLITICO ‏@politico
Kaine: “As he’s serving our nation abroad, I trust Hillary Clinton with our son’s life.

“The Boston Globe ‏@BostonGlobe
Kaine: “You cannot believe one word that comes out of Donald Trump’s mouth” #DemsinPhilly

Convention Radio ‏@SXMPOTUS
The crowd begins a “not one word” chant when it comes to how much they believe Donald Trump #DemsInPhilly

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Political Roundup for January 7, 2016…Trump = Putin…RRH Elections…

POTUS

Biden:  Vice President Joe Biden regrets not running for president every day, but admits it was the right decision for himself and his family.  Sadly I wish he ran as it would have sucked up some of the media’s non-stop coverage of Trump.

Cruz:  Senator Ted Cruz is pushing back hard on questions regarding whether he is capable of being elected president due to being born to US citizens living in Calgary, Alberta at the time.  Donald Trump brought this issue into the forefront recently and others have essentially started forming the Republican version of the PUMA movement that showed a lot of bluster towards President Obama in 2008, but did not have an impact.

Cruz-McCain: Senator John McCain, a strong enemy of Senator Cruz, has jumped on the trolling bandwagon.  It is quite comical to see McCain jump into the fray on this issue especially seeing people raised the same questions about his birth in the Panama Canal Zone.

Trump:  The New York Times looks at what is driving Donald Trump’s candidacy and they essentially come to the pretty reasonable conclusion that his supporters want their own authoritarian strongman in a society they perceive as disordered and lawless.  Essentially they want their own Putin.

Bush 43:  Bloomberg highlights supposed efforts in the works to bring out former President George W. Bush as a means of stopping Donald Trump.  I am not sure if anything would help his candidacy more than having the failed administration of Bush 43 on showcase….

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Presidential Polls…Oct. 20, 2015…..

2016 Republican Presidential Nomination

CNN/ORC

Trump 27, Carson 22, Rubio 8, Cruz 4, Bush 8, Fiorina 4, Huckabee 5, Paul 5, Christie 4, Kasich 3, Santorum 2, Jindal 0, Graham 1, Pataki 0 Trump +5
2016 Republican Presidential Nomination

NBC/WSJ

Trump 25, Carson 22, Rubio 13, Cruz 9, Bush 8, Fiorina 7, Huckabee 3, Paul 2, Christie 1, Kasich 3, Santorum 0, Jindal 0, Graham 0, Pataki 0 Trump +3
2016 Republican Presidential Nomination

Monmouth 

Trump 28, Carson 18, Rubio 6, Cruz 10, Bush 5, Fiorina 6, Huckabee 4, Paul 4, Christie 3, Kasich 1, Santorum 0, Jindal 1, Graham 1, Pataki 0 Trump +10
2016 Democratic Presidential Nomination

NBC/WSJ

Clinton 49, Sanders 29, Biden 15, Webb 2, O’Malley 1, Chafee 0 Clinton +20
2016 Democratic Presidential Nomination

ABC/Wash Post

Clinton 54, Sanders 23, Biden 16, Webb 1, O’Malley 1, Chafee 0 Clinton +31

…from Real Clear Politics…..

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Political Roundup for October 16, 2015…Biden filling dates…RRH Elections…

President:

Biden: How late can Biden enter the 2016 race? The first state filling deadline is Alabama’s (60 delegates) on November 6th. After that it is Arkansas (November 9), New Hampshire (November 20), and Florida (November 30). If Biden still hasn’t entered by the end of November, he’ll have given up on nearly 400 delegates. Eleven state deadlines fall in December so if he doesn’t enter the race by the end of the year Biden will have forfeited more than 1,000 delegates. The major filing deadline cutoff is January. An addition 15 states have January filing deadlines and any candidate who has not filed by January 15th will have forfeited 2,232 delegates, or about the number needed to become the nominee.

Paul: Sen. Rand Paul released a memo explaining why he is not dropping out of the presidential campaign. Having to release a memo explaining why you are not dropping out is generally not thought of as a sign of strength.

Ventura: Former Minnesota governor and wrestling great Jesse Ventura (I) hints at wanting to run for President as a Libertarian. While I am sure Ventura loves the attention his hypothetical is giving him most observers feel that the ideological based Libertarian Party would most likely decline Ventura’s offer to be their candidate. the major cutoff when it comes to filing deadlines is January, when another 15 states require candidates to register. According to an analysis by the Brookings Institution, by the middle of the month an undeclared candidate will have forfeited 2,232 delegates, or about the number needed to become the nominee.

Democrat Debate: The Democrat debate drew about 15.3 million viewers. An average of 11% of U.S. households with televisions turned in to the event, translating into a 11.2 household rating. The first two GOP debates garnered 25 million viewers and 23 million viewers…..

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First Democratic Presidential Primary Debate..After Report

Who Won?

Techniocally?

Hillary Clinton….Hands Down…

She was Strong, Prepared and On her Game ….

She gave Sanders a rough time on Guns…

She was loose and comfortable most of the night….

Her BIGGEST  ‘Get’?

She was able to go Directly at the emails and Benghazi issues that has dogged her for months…

She had a some rough sailing on Wall Street…

But for me?

She showed people that she is up for being the Democratic nominee…

With all that?

Bernie Sanders had a good night also…

Not as good and polished as Hillary…

But he had no falls….

And he actually helped out Hillary by ridiculing the media focus the Clinton email issue…

His strong point with Democrats from the left will be his Wall Street ‘take no prisoners’ approach…

Lincoln Chaffe ‘s attempt to play off making a vote on his first day in the Senate against Glass-Steagell

O’Malley came across as canned in stiff

Webb was there as the ole Marine , which won’t play at all for most of the Democratic base…

Anderson Cooper was moving fast and the other questioners really where just there…

Sanders, Chaffe and O’Malley  worked the Spin Room afterwards for CNN…Hillary didn’t have to….

Oh, and Joe Biden wasn’t mentioned …..

Not Once…..

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Political Roundup for October 9, 2015…Fiorina has Koch Bros Support…RRH Elections

President:

Hillary: Hillary Clinton’s private email server was repeatedly hit by attempted cyberattacks originating in China, South Korea and Germany in 2014. At least 5 attacks occurred and were blocked in October 2013. Clinton’s server operated without its threat monitoring protection system between June and October 2013. Clinton has not said what, if any, firewall or threat protection was used on her email server before June 2013. The FBI is investigating whether national security was compromised by Clinton’s unauthorized email arrangement.

Biden: Vice President Joe Biden himself leaked word to The New York Times’ columnist Maureen Dowd in August that his late son’s dying wish was for him to launch one last bid for President. It was that column that largely jumpstarted speculation that the 72 year old Biden would run for President.

Trump: Trump supporters dont do grammar good. Grammarly, a writing-enhancement website, looked at comments by the hopefuls’ supporters on the candidates’ official Facebook pages to find out who was making the most mistakes and who was making the fewest. Trump supporters fared the worst averaging 12.6 mistakes per 100 words.

Fiorina: The Koch brothers are adding Carly Fiorina to the list of GOP presidential candidates they could support. The Freedom Partners Chamber of Commerce, an umbrella organization that funds many conservative groups backed by Charles and David Koch, announced that Fiorina will be one of five candidates it backs. The group had previously backed Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker before he dropped out of the race in September. Fiorina will join Jeb Bush, Ted Cruz, Rand Paul and Marco Rubio on their list of backed candidates. This could open access to a new large pool of campaign funding for Fiorina….

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2016 Presidential Primary Q Polls Oct 7 and Oct 8, 2015….California, Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania…

Donald Trump’s numbers ARE receding and in some of the polls Joe Biden has jumped past Bernie Sanders….Hillary Clinton is ahead in ALL the polled states below….

October 8, 2015

California Republican Presidential Primary

Field

Trump 17, Carson 15, Fiorina 13, Rubio 10, Bush 8, Cruz 6, Paul 5, Huckabee 3, Kasich 2, Christie 2, Santorum 1, Jindal 0, Graham 1, Walker

 

October 7, 2015….

Florida Republican Presidential Primary

Quinnipiac

Trump 28, Carson 16, Bush 12, Rubio 14, Fiorina 7, Cruz 6, Kasich 2, Huckabee 1, Christie 1, Walker, Paul 2, Jindal 0, Santorum 0, Graham 0

Florida Democratic Presidential Primary

Quinnipiac

Clinton 43, Biden 19, Sanders 19, O’Malley 0, Chafee 0, Webb 0, Lessig 0 Clinton +24

Ohio Republican Presidential Primary

Quinnipiac

Trump 23, Carson 18, Kasich 13, Cruz 11, Fiorina 10, Rubio 7, Bush 4, Paul 3, Huckabee 2, Christie 1, Santorum 0, Graham 0, Walker, Perry

Ohio Democratic Presidential Primary

Quinnipiac

Clinton 40, Biden 21, Sanders 19, Lessig 1, O’Malley 0, Webb 0, Chafee 0

Pennsylvania Republican Presidential Primary

Quinnipiac

Trump 23, Carson 17, Rubio 12, Bush 4, Fiorina 8, Cruz 6, Christie 5, Kasich 3, Huckabee 4, Santorum 2, Paul 1, Jindal 1, Pataki 1, Graham 0, Walker

Pennsylvania Democratic Presidential Primary

Quinnipiac

Clinton 36, Biden 25, Sanders 19, O’Malley 1, Webb 1, Lessig 1, Chafee 0

California Democratic Presidential Primary

Field

Clinton 40, Sanders 31, Biden 15, O’Malley, Webb, Chafee

Maryland Democratic Presidential Primary

Goucher College

Clinton 43, Biden 23, Sanders 17, O’Malley 2, Webb 2, Chafee 0

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Carson LEADS Trump in Louisanna 10/2/15 Primary Poll…

Carson’s lead is above the MOE…..

Hillary has Biden following her by 37% pts and Sandets by 50% its…..

Louisiana Republican Presidential Primary

WWL-TV/Clarus

Carson 23, Trump 19, Bush 10, Rubio 9, Fiorina 7, Cruz 6, Huckabee 4, Jindal 3, Kasich 3, Christie 2, Paul 0, Santorum 0, Walker

Louisiana Democratic Presidential Primary

WWL-TV/Clarus

Clinton 57, Biden 22, Sanders 7, O’Malley 2, Webb 1, Chafee 0

Note….

800 registered voters….MOE 3.6%

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Political Roundup For October 1, 2015…Number of Republican Guys to be cut back…Debate RRH Elections…

Presidential News:

Michigan:  Ok, so Donald Trump is outpolling Jeb Bush in Michigan.  It’s only 5 points, but those are big points to make up.  The difference is a 42-42 tie between Clinton and Trump, compared to a 42-37 lead for Clinton over Bush.

Biden:  The Clinton campaign is subtly going after Biden already, comparing the former Secretary of State in a positive light to the Vice President.  Honestly folks, Biden and Clinton are the same candidates, with practically identical weaknesses on gaffes, Iraq, and the financial services industry.  Does no one else see very little difference between them?  I feel like I’m taking crazy pills.

Bush:  Despite the recent negative polling numbers, Bush got several big endorsements in Massachusetts, including former Governor Bill Weld.

Money:  Clinton raised $28 million.  Sanders raised $26 million, much of it from small donors.  Ben Carson raised $20 million, which is pretty good in a 15-way field.

Debates:  The newest rules announcement for the GOP debates is that candidates must be polling at an average of 3% (really, 2.5%) in order to be invited to the main stage in the debate, and at least 1% for an invitation to the kiddie table debate.  Depending on the polling sample used, this could eliminate at least Rand Paul, and possible Mike Huckabee, Chris Christie, and John Kasich for the main stage….

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Trump…Carson..Rubio…Clinton…Sanders…Biden…FOX 2/23/15 Poll…

Second poll that has Trump’s Presidential numbers dropping to the mid-20’s down from the 30% range…(He’s still the leader)

This one has Rubio in rising to 3rd place for the Republicans….

On the Democratic side?

Hillary still with a good lead over the other two guys….

The 2016 Republican Presidential Primary….

Trump 26, Carson 18, Rubio 9, Fiorina 9, Bush 7, Cruz 8, Huckabee 3, Paul 2, Kasich 4, Christie 5, Walker, Perry, Santorum 0, Pataki 1, Jindal 0

The 2016 Democratic Presidential Primary….

Clinton 44, Sanders 30, Biden 18, O’Malley 2, Webb 1, Chafee 0

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Clinton…Biden…Sanders….9/23/15 Poll…

New Bloomberg Poll finds all the Joe Biden talk elevating him in the 2016 Democratic Democratic primary race….

Hillary Clinton still has a good lead….

Clinton 33, Sanders 24, Biden 25, Webb 2, O’Malley 1, Chafee 0….

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Political Roundup for September 22, 2015…Walker comeback thru brokered Convention?…RRH Elections

Walker:  Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker (R) suspended his presidential campaign yesterday after the collapse of his campaign over the last few months.  Walker started the race seen as a candidate who could bridge the establishment and grassroots divide, but failed to make anyone happy in the end.

More Walker:  Walker supporters are floating around the asinine idea that Walker could be nominated through a brokered convention.  Considering the source, Buzzfeed, I am not sure why I am posting this other than to laugh at some people actually thinking this is even remotely plausible.  While we are at it, why not run Mitt Romney at a brokered convention?

Clinton/Biden:  Democratic insiders increasingly believe that Vice President Joe Biden (D) will run for the Democratic nomination.  Biden’s entry into the race will likely lead to former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton’s (D) anemic campaign to hemorrhage further support as Clinton has barely been able to contain losing support to insurgent socialist Senator Bernie Sanders (Socialist).  It is far from clear if Clinton has the ability to stop Biden if he enters or not at this point.

More Clinton / Biden:  Clinton operatives might resurrect the ghosts of the nomination of Supreme Court Justice Clarence Thomas and use them against Biden.  Biden ran the hearings where Republicans justifiably destroyed the credibility of Anita Hill.  This reference really highlights how old and career politician driven the Democratic Party has become.  Almost 40% of Americans were not even old enough to remember who Anita Hill was let alone what Biden did or did not do!

Christie:  The Washington Post has a borderline comical story on how the New Jersey National Guard is ran like everything else in New Jersey with mafia style cronyism.  Christie’s first two picks to lead the New Jersey National Guard had issues stemming from an affair and a weight problem respectively.  Come on Washington Post, you act like you are that surprised this occurs in New Jersey!….

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