Tag Archives: 2018 US House Races

Chaffetz is out for reelection in 2018

The strident Utah Republican House memebers won’t run for re-election…

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House Oversight Chairman Jason Chaffetz (R-Utah) will not run for reelection in 2018, he announced on Facebook Wednesday.

“After long consultation with my family and prayerful consideration, I have decided I will not be a candidate for any office in 2018,” he wrote. “I have made a personal decision to return to the private sector.”

Source…Politico

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Democrats signing up 2018 House candidates….

A LOT of them are militar veterans with some business experience….

Democrats are looking to turn the Donald Trump resistance movement into an army of candidates to try to take back the House in 2018.

Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee leaders have already met with 255 potential candidates across 64 districts, convinced that the shifting political environment has opened new opportunities that they’ll chase in next year’s midterms.

A rough profile of their ideal candidate has started to emerge: veterans, preferably with small business experience too. They’d like as many of them to be women or people who’ve never run for office before — and having young children helps.

With the 2018 Senate map tilted heavily in Republicans’ favor, House races may prove the first real test for how much 2016 was a realignment election, and how much Democrats are able to turn the energy in the streets against President Donald Trump into actually winning races.

“We are going to be on offense, we are going to take this fight to the American people,” said DCCC Chair Rep. Ben Ray Luján (D-N.M.) last week at an event taking a victory lap over the defeat of Obamacare repeal. It was held to tout a poll showing how badly the bill played in 54 swing districts.

While winning the majority would require a tidal wave in 2018, Democratic recruiters are giddy over the surge in energy and interest among potential candidates, and they are starting the process earlier than ever…..

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Democrats COULD do a bit better in the House than everyone thinks in 2018…Rothenberg

History , Donald Trump and the Republicans ‘owning’ most things Obama may work to the Democrats advantage more than most thing says politcal pundit Stu Roetenberg……

The combination of few competitive districts, polls in individual districts showing Republicans well positioned, and the Democrats’ narrow advantage in the national “generic ballot test” made it clear throughout September and October that the House would not flip without a dramatic, last-minute shift in public opinion. That shift, of course, never occurred, and Donald Trump’s victory further limited Democratic congressional gains to a mere six seats.

Those small gains mean that Democrats will need to net 24 seats in 2018 to take back the House, a daunting task considering the small number of Republicans sitting in Democratic districts and the paucity of competitive districts.

First, let’s start with the good news for Democrats — since they need some good news.

The party not holding the White House has gained seats in 18 of the past 20 midterm elections. That trend isn’t a mere coincidence. It follows from the fact that a midterm is almost always a referendum on the incumbent president — and the most disappointed and dissatisfied voters tend to turn out during midterms to send their message of disapproval about the president and his party…

Obviously, the outlook for the House in 2018 depends on many factors, including Democratic recruiting and the two parties’ fundraising. But the most important factor by far is how well Donald Trump performs in the White House and how satisfied or dissatisfied voters are when the 2018 midterm balloting rolls around…..

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