Tag Archives: 2017 Virginia Governor race

Ed Gillespie was Bannon’s guy….

Steve Bannon isn’t Superman…

He goes to the bathroom like everyone else….

And he can lose….

Image result for Bannon/Gillespie

In the immediate aftermath of Gillespie’s loss, Breitbart.com (Bannon’s outlet) blared headlines calling Gillespie a “swamp creature” and part of the “establishment.”

Joel B. Pollak, senior editor-at-large at Breitbart News, wrote that it would be wrong to view this race as a repudiation of Trumpism. Instead, he writes, “It would be more accurate to point out that, once again, the Republican establishment came up short. Someone in the Gillespie campaign actually thought it would be a good idea to campaign with Condoleezza Rice — who, for all her merits, is a relic of the George W. Bush administration.”

That’s what they’re saying now. But if Gillespie had won by running the exact same campaign playbook, they would be praising him as a populist hero, and touting this as a positive referendum on Trumpism.

This gives us a clue as to how Bannon operates. He swoops in and stakes his claim. If his candidate wins, he claims credit. If his candidate loses, it’s because they never really had enough revolutionary fervor. They are then airbrushed out of the pictures. Only successes end up on the resume.

Recently, Bannon latched onto Roy Moore after it was pretty clear he would defeat Luther Strange in Alabama’s Senate primary. This gave the impression that he was some sort of kingmaker. Bannon probably also helped scare Senators Bob Corker and Jeff Flake into an early retirement. But while he might be good at spotting, co-opting, and even enflaming these pre-existing conditions and populist uprisings, he is not leading them…..

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image…thedailybeast.com

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Can the Virginia Governors race finally be over for Democrats?

Despite all the chattering of teeth by Democrats and the feeling that this IS a close race?

If polls are anywhere near correct?

And….

Democrats can get out the vote?

Lt. Governor Ralph Northam will move up to the Governor’s Mansion come January 1st  2018….The numbers will be close….Ed Gillespie has been closing and…

It HAS been a messy campign folks….

A quartet of polls of Tuesday’s gubernatorial race in Virginia popped up on Friday, and they all show a close race between Democrat Ralph Northam and Republican Ed Gillespie, but unfortunately, none of them are from outfits we’re especially fond of. The numbers:

  • Øptimus (R): Northam: 40, Gillespie: 37
  • Rasmussen: Northam: 45, Gillespie 45
  • Roanoke College: Northam: 47, Gillespie: 47
  • The Polling Company (R): Northam 43, Gillespie 45

Both Øptimus and The Polling Company (which was owned by Kellyanne Conway until September) are Republican firms, and they have limited public track records. Rasmussen’s years-long crumminess, by contrast, is well-known.

As for Roanoke, they’ve frequently missed the mark in their home state. In the last gubernatorial election, most pollsters overestimated Democrat Terry McAuliffe’s standing, but Roanoke’s final poll was the wrongest, saying McAuliffe would win by 15 (he won by 2.5). They also overstated Hillary Clinton’s performance last year, figuring her a 9-point winner when she prevailed by 5. But Roanoke has also gotten it wrong in the other direction, most notably in 2012, when they said that Mitt Romney would carry Virginia by 5 points, even though he went on to lose by 4.

Any way you slice it, though, it’s a close race, and averaging recent polls puts Northam up around 3 points. Just a few more days ….

Daily Kos….

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A Republican Conservative tries to see in the Virginia Governors race a failure of Democrats to move on from 2016….

Andrew Sullivan argue’s that Democrats are deaf to the white-blue collar  economic fears ….Instead focusing on the REAL constand signs of the Republican right working to disenfranchise Black, Browns and poor white from benefits enacted to help them…

Sullivan, a Conservative blogger,  and right wing mouth piece seems to be trying to dress up Ed Gillispie in clothes that do NOT actually where dropped on him by HIS party….

….Even now, it appears, the Democrats have no practiced response to a GOP attack on this [ an ad last week that shows how much of the energy in the party is now dominated by the fight against “white supremacy.”] question. They don’t want to offend Latinos, and they don’t want to alienate whites. So they twist in the populist wind. Are they capable of focusing on economic populism and a defense of the working classes against GOP plutocracy? At this point, the answer is no.

This is not a good omen. If Gillespie wins, or the result is close, it means the Trump-transformed GOP is electorally viable in every swing district in 2018. That it could win in the state where actual white supremacists marched this past summer and when the president is 20 points underwater is a sobering reminder of the actual state of play in our politics. I can only hope it’s a wake-up call to the Dems. In 2017, they are either useless or actively counterproductive in the struggle to resist right-authoritarianism. They have learned nothing from 2016. Their intelligentsia seems determined to ensure that no midwestern whites ever vote for the party again. Their public faces are still Hillary Clinton, Chuck Schumer, and Nancy Pelosi. They still believe that something other than electoral politics — the courts, the press, the special counsel — will propel them back to power. They can’t seem to grasp the nettle of left-populism. And they remain obsessed with a Russia scandal that most swing voters don’t give a damn about.

They think they are “woke.” They are, in fact, in a political coma…..

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New Q-Poll has Northam with a 17-Point lead in Virginia Gov race….

All I can say is that the it appears the race is breaking in the last day’s heavily for Northam if this poll is correct….

With overwhelming support from non-white voters and double-digit leads among both men and women, Democratic Lt. Gov. Ralph Northam holds a 53 – 36 percent likely voter lead over Republican Ed Gillespie in the Virginia governor’s race, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. Libertarian Party candidate Cliff Hyra has 3 percent.

Today’s result compares to a 53 – 39 percent likely voter lead for Northam in an October 18 survey by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University.

Non-white likely voters back the Democrat 72 – 15 percent, with 2 percent for Hyra. White voters are divided 46 – 46 percent, with 4 percent for Hyra. Women back Northam 56 – 36 percent, with 1 percent for Hyra. Men go Democratic 51 – 37 percent, with 5 percent for Hyra.

Independent voters tip to the Democrat 47 – 42 percent, with 6 percent for Hyra. Democrats back Northam 97 – 1 percent, with less than 1 percent for Hyra. Republicans back Gillespie 86 – 8 percent, with less than 1 percent for Hyra.

Virginia likely voters disapprove 60 – 34 percent of the job President Donald Trump is doing, compared to a 62 – 35 percent disapproval rating October 18….

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Daily Polling Numbers for October 17, 2017….Trump/Virginia Governor…Update!

Race/Topic   (Click to Sort) Poll Results Spread
Virginia Governor – Gillespie vs. Northam Christopher Newport Univ.* Northam 48, Gillespie 44 Northam +4
Virginia Governor – Gillespie vs. Northam Roanoke College* Northam 50, Gillespie 44 Northam +6
President Trump Job Approval CNN Approve 38, Disapprove 57 Disapprove +19
President Trump Job Approval Rasmussen Reports Approve 41, Disapprove 57 Disapprove +16
2018 Generic Congressional Vote CNN Democrats 54, Republicans 38 Democrats +16

RealClearPolitics….

Update…

…twitter….

New Monmouth poll of has Republican Ed Gillespie up over Democrat Ralph Northam by a margin of 48%-47%. They had Northam up 5 in Sept

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Virginia Governor’s race Update…Is Trump a factor?

Republican Ed Giliespie is carrying Donald Trump on his back 

Democratic Lt Gov Northam is worried about his parties left leaners and how to deal with Trump also…

The constand attention on Trump will make him a factor, at least in the media’s eyes….For the voters…Who knows?

Northam continues to lead the race in the polling by more than 5% points…

….The Republican chafes at questions over whether he is adopting a Trumpian message and forgoing his own advice in 2006 that Republicans should resist the “siren song” of anti-immigration rhetoric, insisting he is running as “who I am and what I believe in.”

“The great thing about a governor’s race in Virginia is the people who vote in it are focused on roads and schools and jobs and the opioid and heroin epidemic,” Mr. Gillespie said.

But his advertising reflects what he thinks will actually move the electorate: He is spending the bulk of his money on commercials focused on the statues, which make no mention of his view that the South was “on the wrong side of history,” and illegal immigrants. One of his immigration ads features amply tattooed Salvadoran prisoners meant to be members of the menacing gang MS-13, a target of the president’s.

Asked if he still supported a pathway to legal status for illegal immigrants, which he once vocally championed, Mr. Gillespie unenthusiastically confirmed that he did, deflating his answer by noting that “the debate is 10 years old from my perspective.” (He did more readily note that he supported “accommodating those who were brought here as children illegally,” the so-called Dreamers.)

Mr. Northam, for his part, also does not quite seem sure how he should handle Mr. Trump. Appearing earlier this month at a Falls Church shopping center that is a hub for the Vietnamese community, he alluded to “bigotry” in last year’s campaign without mentioning Mr. Trump by name. But his remarks were tame compared to those by the state legislator who introduced him and called Mr. Trump’s election “the world’s largest nightmare” and scorned the president as a “draft dodger.”

After winning his primary partly on the strength of a heavily aired commercial in which he called the president “a narcissistic maniac,” Mr. Northam, who is running to succeed Virginia’s Democratic governor, Terry McAuliffe, used the first debate of the general election to call Mr. Trump a dangerous man who also “lies like a rug.”

But at the final debate last week, held in a pro-Trump enclave of Southwest Virginia, Mr. Northam, who will campaign here this week with former President Barack Obama, made no mention of Mr. Trump. And he has started airing a commercial in which he says to the camera that if Mr. Trump is helping Virginia, “I’ll work with him.”….

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Pence and Biden visit Virginia to stump for their parties Virginia Governor candidates…

Polling still shows Democrat Lt. Gov. Ralph Northam leading Republican Ed Gillespie…

The current and former vice presidents swooped into the Virginia governor’s race Saturday, with Vice President Mike Pence rallying for Republican Ed Gillespie in the state’s Trump-loving Southwest and Joe Biden hosting a low-key economic development roundtable for Democratic Lt. Gov. Ralph Northam in vote-rich Northern Virginia.

The events came with just over three weeks to go in one of the most closely watched statewide elections of 2017, highlighting the candidates’ paths to victory as their parties push for a win to herald ahead of next year’s midterm elections.

The two events could hardly have been more different. Northam and Biden campaigned before a crowd of about 100 in a co-working space on the 8th floor of a building in a mixed-use development in Reston, where two-thirds of adults have a college degree and the median household income tops $110,000. They bypassed political red meat and instead discussed Northam’s economic policies.

Pence, meanwhile, traveled to the Washington County fairgrounds, one of the few politically safe regions of the state to bring a Trump administration official. His rally with Gillespie in Abingdon, where the Republican presidential ticket took home 75 percent of the county vote, was expressly political. Pence repeatedly attacked Northam in front of the crowd of 400 people….

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Obama will campaign for Democrat Ralph Northam Virginia’s run for governor…

Barack Obama eases back into politics….

Former president Barack Obama is making his first campaign foray of 2017, agreeing to stump for Democrat Ralph Northam in his bid to be Virginia’s next governor.

David Turner, a spokesman for Northam, said the former president agreed this week to hit the campaign trail for Northam, but said he wouldn’t “go into any further detail about the private conversations that Lt. Gov. Ralph Northam had with President Barack Obama.”

An aide to Obama confirmed that the former president agreed to campaign for Northam during a congratulatory call, although no events have been planned.

The HuffPost first reported Obama’s plans to campaign for Northam.

The Virginia governor’s race, one of just two gubernatorial contests this year, is shaping up as the next high-profile electoral contest in the era of President Trump. It follows a couple of Democratic losses in high-profile special elections to fill congressional vacancies, including the House race in Georgia earlier this week that became the most expensive in U.S. history…..

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Democrat leads in Virginia Governor’s race….

Former GOP National Party head Ed Gillespie has a hill top climb that Democratic Lt. Governor Northam is on top of….

As in in other races recently?

Donald Trump isn’t popular….

But?

That has NOT stop Republicans from coming out to vote in recent Special House elections this year…

Democrat Ralph Northam begins the general-election phase of Virginia’s governor’s race with an 8-point lead over Republican Ed Gillespie, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released on Wednesday.

Northam, the current lieutenant governor, held a 47 percent to 39 percent lead over Gillespie, a former Republican National Committee chairman, in the first independent polling conducted after last week’s gubernatorial primaries.

The poll found Northam with strong leads among women and minorities, with Gillespie drawing more support from white voters. Independent voters were evenly divided between the two, with 40 percent backing Gillespie and 38 percent supporting Northam.

“Lt. Gov. Ralph Northam begins the general election as the favorite to become the Old Dominion’s next governor. But not an overwhelming one,” Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll, said in a news release.

The poll also showed the extent to which President Donald Trump could be a drag on Virginia Republicans in the closely watched election, one of only two governor’s races in 2017, along with New Jersey’s….

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