Donald Trump got the big October surprise. The momentum seems to be going his way. Hillary Clinton is again on the defensive, again over her emails. But in this enclave of white, upper-middle-class Republicans, the party’s presidential nominee still faces a barrier that will be difficult to clear.
“It’s a moral choice,” Dick Radder, a 68-year-old Republican, said as he cupped a black coffee outside a Starbucks here Tuesday. “I can’t get there. I can’t get to Trump. I’m a husband and a father. And I can’t convince myself to vote for a person who is weakening the fiber of the country.”
Most of the well-kept lawns here are dotted with signs for Sen. Ron Johnson (R) and for other down-ballot candidates, but support for Trump is less evident.
“You’re in a town that’s about going to college and raising a family. People are polished and hard-working. He’s not one of us,” said Andy Schwichtenberg, a 28-year-old stockbroker.
“I did try,” Schwichtenberg added with a sigh. “I went to a rally.” But he was not swayed and he was turned off by the crowd, which he noted was packed with men and women “who came there on Harleys.”…
Anybody who thinks this guy and his followers are equiped to deal with WHAT America IS TODAY is out of it….
Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump declared Saturday that “the silent majority is back,” as he predicted victory in a presidential race roiled by new questions of Democrat Hillary Clinton’s legal jeopardy over her use of a private email system.
Trump seized on FBI Director James B. Comey’s announcement Friday that he is at least temporarily continuing an inquiry he had previously declared closed. Democrats frantically demanded answers about the scope of Comey’s additional inquiry and questioned the timing and motives of his announcement.
“As you’ve heard, it was just announced yesterday that the FBI is reopening their investigation into the criminal conduct and the illegal conduct of Hillary Clinton,” Trump said.
That was a broad overstatement. Comey recommended in July that Clinton not be charged in the case and his letter to Congress on Friday said that it is unknown if the emails now being reviewed are significant….
Trump and his campaign have cited a rolling audit of his finances as the reason why he can’t disclose his tax returns. Though lawyers advise against putting out returns during an audit, they have also stressed that there is no legal prohibition from doing so.
Explanations aside, the decision to not make his returns public makes Trump especially guarded in the modern political era. Every major-party presidential nominee since Nixon has put out this information, save Ford, who released a summary when he ran in 1976. Hillary Clinton and her husband have put out returns every year since 1977. Even Pence put out 10 years of tax returns this cycle.
Trump is different. And while his campaign has argued that Clinton is secretive in other areas (they’ve demanded that she turn over all of her emails from her time as secretary of state, for example), it’s also true that Trump has now set a precedent of nondisclosure that future candidates can (and will) follow…..
The guy KNOWS he’s gonna LOSE the race for President in less than 2 weeks….
Why NOT start working on free ads for his ‘brand’ properties ?
As his poll numbers have declined in the closing weeks of the presidential race, Donald J. Trump has begun to engage in barely veiled promotions of his business brand off the campaign trail, dragging reporters to his marquee properties in between his campaign events.
On Tuesday, Mr. Trump added an abrupt appearance at the Trump National Doral, one of his gilded golf courses and resorts in Florida, ostensibly to demonstrate how many employees he has there and how much they admire him as a boss.
On Wednesday, instead of spending the morning in one of the battleground states where polls show him trailing Hillary Clinton, Mr. Trump planned to attend a ribbon-cutting at his elaborately remade hotel at the Old Post Office on Pennsylvania Avenue in Washington.
The stops are a remarkable display of personal promotion by a presidential nominee, raising questions about whether the businessman, who has lived by the mantra that “all publicity is good publicity,” is at least partly casting his eye past the 2016 race, and toward bolstering the brand that bears his name.
In a telephone interview, Mr. Trump rejected such questions and said he was demonstrating his credentials for the presidency at such events by showing the type of efficiencies he would bring to government.
“Today it was about jobs. Tomorrow it’s about being under budget and ahead of schedule,” Mr. Trump said, referring to the Washington hotel.
He’s close in several states a Republican should own…
Because they aren’t ‘nice ‘ to him he’s of course attacking them….
First on the LATimes Tracking poll and the rest of the field…
Julie Mason on POTUS Radio had Anna Greenberg, a woman pollster who has won awards for her work on her show talking about the state of the Presidential race polling right now….She points out something that SHOULD be mentioned…
Real Clear Politics, a place WE feature here
(And is quoted by EVERYONE in politics right now as gospel in numbers) Leans RIGHT…. Part the reason they INCLUDE the LATIMES/USC Tracking Poll which is plainly and outlier…
She advises that the higher margins in 538 and the Upshot are because they factor out polls like the LATIMES/USC Tracking poll which pull down Clinton’s average….
Now on Trump’s efforts to deny the reality of the rest of the polling BESIDE’S the LATimes Tracking poll…
With Hillary Clinton extending her lead nationwide and in key battleground states, the Trump campaign is toying with what might be called “poll denialism,” giving his supporters license to dismiss the discouraging data.
At the same time, Trump is continuing to tout unscientific online surveys that say he prevailed at last Sunday’s town hall debate. On Friday afternoon he said he “absolutely destroyed” Clinton, citing “every online poll, even Time magazine,” a news outlet that is “not exactly in love with me.”
A Time magazine spokeswoman confirmed that Time’s web site did not conduct a “who won?” survey after the debate. (Its most recent scientific poll was conducted in late September.)
Meanwhile, the Trump campaign and its allies are latching onto one of the few scientific polls that show him with almost as much as support as Clinton. “IT’S THISCLOSE,” The Drudge Report claimed Friday, linking to a USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times tracking poll. By the Times’ own admission, “the poll often is out of sync with other voter surveys because it uses different methodology.” On “Fox & Friends” Friday morning, Pence claimed that “these polls have been all over the map.”
Yup…(According to hundreds of twitter tweets….#Repeal the 19th …..Amendment)
It just gets worst and WORST ( and more Silly) as we close in Election day and Trump supporters realize that they are supporting a loser that has antagonized increasing numbers of women voters….
Donald Trump supporters just reared their ugly, misogynistic heads yet again.
On Tuesday evening, FiveThirtyEight published two polls showing what the outcome of the presidential election would look like if only women voted and what it would look like if only men voted. As you may have guessed, the outcome of the election would be very different if only one gender could vote.
According to FiveThirtyEight if only women voted in the 2016 presidential election, Hillary Clinton would win the presidency with 458 electoral votes and Trump a mere 80.
If only men voted in the presidential election, Trump would win the election with 350 electoral votes and Clinton only 188.
(Terrifying? Yes. Disappointing? Absolutely. Makes you question how many men in your life think you’re less-than because you’re a lady? BRB, crying.)…
Lot of us KNOW he isn’t gonna get near the American Presidency…
In order to do so?
He MUST get above the 30 %to 40% of support he seems to used to have…His numbers ARE dropping
Donald Trump’s True believers are begiing to understand this also…
As Trump bounces from one controversy to another and Hillary Clinton gains in the polls, there is a growing realization among some of his most devoted supporters that he could lose the election. They still hope he will win, as the idea of another President Clinton angers and scares them. They blame the Republican Party for not doing enough to support its nominee, the media for focusing on comments Trump made years ago and Democrats who, they say, rigged the system. But they also place a little blame on Trump.
As Frasca watched the second presidential debate Sunday night, she was glad to see that Trump seemed better prepared and that he apologized for his “toilet talk” in 2005 when he told an “Access Hollywood” host that he could grope women and force himself on them sexually because he was famous. She was delighted to hear Trump tell Clinton that she should be in jail, but she didn’t understand why he dragged along women who have accused former president Bill Clinton of sexual assault or harassment.
Donald Trump supporter Cathy Frasca handwrote a four-page letter with advice for the GOP nominee that said: “It is obvious that you could easily lose this election.” (Jenna Johnson/The Washington Post)
On Monday morning, Frasca put on a yellow T-shirt featuring a screaming Hillary Clinton, flames and the message, “Liar! Liar! Pants suit on fire.” She and a few friends from her retirement community in Sewickley traveled a few miles north to a high school gym in this suburb of Pittsburgh for a Trump rally. Frasca brought along a copy of the letter she mailed to Trump Tower, just in case she got to meet the candidate.
At rallies like these, Trump can live in a world where he is still winning. He was introduced as “the next president” and greeted by a screaming crowd of 2,500 while, he said, “thousands and thousands” more waited outside. There were no polls showing Clinton with a double-digit lead, no debate moderators grilling him on the Syrian conflict, no party leaders telling him to tone it down. Here, Trump declared himself the winner of the debate, berated the media and attacked Clinton without any interruptions from fact-checkers.
Crowds like these are Trump’s case for not dropping out of the race. Crowds like these are his evidence that he can still win. Crowds are his polls.
But Trump has already won these people over, and if he wants to win the election, he has to dramatically broaden his following….
Donald J. Trump is in the middle of ANOTHER self inflicted political storm….
He’ll make it thru….
While the pundits and media outlets are screaming about his demise?
Most of his supporters are STILL gonna cast their vote FOR the guy, warts and all…
For some of us….
This whole thing isn’t much of a surprise…
If you listened and remembered?
There where warning signs that Trump would have a TON opposition research stories dropped on him before the election…
Trump’s business failures and womanizing are hardly new….
Trump’s GRANDIOSE , larger than life persona , but reluctance to show his financial dealing could only invite even more curiosity from the media that he had used so much during the Republican primaries…
That same Media , cut off from him increasingly to favor just Fox News has become mockingly hostile….
You HAD to know this was coming….
(Most of the Grand Ole Parties establishment did)
In the end?
Even the Media owners and bosses had to be scared that someone of Donald Trump’s make IS NOT what America needs to become President…
Just as Hillary Clinton was brought down from high approval numbers before the campaign, so will Donald Trump …..
The secret has been the Clinton has been the front runner in the race from the beginning…
Donald Trump seems to be making sure that she gets better winning margins come election day…
A day later, it dawned on people that Tim Kaine’s strategy was not to talk about Tim Kaine or go after Mike Pence:
1. be aggressive in going after Donald Trump, even if it’s annoying, and get your points in
2. go after Donald Trump, make Pence defend Trump (or prove he can’t, and Kaine delivered with 100% success in execution)
3. ignore Pence, ignore his IN record. Go after Trump. Say everything Trump said. Remind people. And, by the way, don’t forget to go after Donald Trump.
Here is how VP debates work: if your base is bigger than theirs, and you are ahead, and your base is more pumped by the debate than theirs, you won. And the thing I like about Team Clinton is when they stick the stiletto between your ribs, you don’t know you’re bleeding until the next day.
During the debate, by my count, Tim Kaine reminded the national audience of Trump’s attacks on Mexican immigrants no less than five times. He revived Trump’s attacks on a Mexican-American judge twice. He criticized Trump’s misogynistic quotes twice and quoted Trump’s suggestion that women should be punished for abortions once. He blasted Trump’s birtherism three times, in one case flatly describing it as bigoted. And he aired Trump’s plans for mass deportations five times. All of that, of course, was designed to remind everyone of Trump’s sexism, bigotry, racist campaign, and cruel, pathologically abusive streak. Kaine also revived Trump’s displays of ignorance about international affairs and his quotes about nuclear weapons and Vladimir Putin to press the case that Trump is dangerously unhinged and unfit for the presidency.
It’s been widely observed that Pence either refused to defend many of Trump’s statements or simply pretended he hadn’t said them. This is being widely analyzed by Clinton supporters as proof that you can’t defend the indefensible and by neutral observers as a sign that Pence didn’t help Trump as much as he might have done.
But I think this gets at something else that’s important: it shows, in a roundabout way, how and why Trump may be currently on track to losing the election.
Donald J. Trump’s support has plunged across the swing-state map over the last 10 days, wiping out his political recovery from September and threatening to undo weeks of Republican gains in the battle for control of Congress.
For his party, Mr. Trump’s reversal in fortune comes at the worst possible moment: Having muted their criticism of Mr. Trump in hopes that he could at least run competitively through Election Day, Republicans must decide in the next few days, rather than weeks, whether to seek distance from his wobbly campaign.
Should Mr. Trump falter badly in his second debate with Hillary Clinton on Sunday in St. Louis, Republican congressional candidates may take it as a cue to flee openly from their nominee, said two senior Republicans involved at high levels of the campaign who spoke on the condition of anonymity because they were not authorized to discuss private party strategy….
What works in the Republican Primary does NOT get it in the General Election….
……“Donald Trump’s strategy in this campaign has been fairly clear from the beginning: Drive up Republican support among white voters in order to compensate for the GOP’s shrinking share among the growing nonwhite portion of the electorate. And Trump has succeeded in overperforming among a certain slice of white voters, those without a college degree.”
“But overall, the strategy isn’t working. Trump has a smaller lead among white voters than Mitt Romney did in 2012, and Trump’s margin seems to be falling from where it was when the general election began.”….
Donald Trump has, on twitter, savaged people who do not pay taxes, but Trump himself has gone about two decades without paying taxes.
Donald Trump praises the leaks from the DNC for exposing the Democrats, but blasts the leak of his taxes exposing him.
Donald Trump blasts companies for moving overseas for tax and business advantages, but has no problem using the American tax code to suit himself.
Trump blasts the Democrats’ lack of charity while giving no charity of his own.
He attacks Bill Clinton for affairs while trying to sign his wife up to pose in Playboy.
Every single attack Donald Trump has leveraged against others, he now whines about when it is shown he is guilty of it too.
Donald Trump, for almost two decades, paid nothing in federal taxes. He and his supporters can claim that shows he is a savvy businessman, but then they should shut up about the 47% of Americans who do not pay taxes. Trump does not either.
They can say Donald Trump employs thousands, but there are companies that employ tens of thousands who pay taxes. Trump, the savvy businessman, filed for bankruptcy multiple times and had a near billion dollar tax loss.
That does not sound so savvy.
He is a hypocrite and has turned his defenders into hypocrites….
The New York Times has obtained a look at Donald J Trump’s 1995 tax return….(3 Pages only)
The paper reports that Trump declared a $916M loss…
A loss that big could have Trump having the ability to NOT. Pay taxes for almost two decades….
it is reported that Trump is more than an hour and half late for his campaign rally tonight…
One would think that the candidate/business man might be concerned about The NY Times releasing this information, being that Trump has been strongly against anyone reviewing HIS taxes…
More to come on this fast moving story which could be REALLY BAD news for Trump,,,
Donald J. Trump declared a $916 million loss on his 1995 income tax returns, a tax deduction so substantial it could have allowed him to legally avoid paying any federal income taxes for up to 18 years, records obtained by The New York Times show.
The 1995 tax records, never before disclosed, reveal the extraordinary tax benefits that Mr. Trump, the Republican presidential nominee, derived from the financial wreckage he left behind in the early 1990s through mismanagement of three Atlantic City casinos, his ill-fated foray into the airline business and his ill-timed purchase of the Plaza Hotel in Manhattan.
Tax experts hired by The Times to analyze Mr. Trump’s 1995 records said that tax rules especially advantageous to wealthy filers would have allowed Mr. Trump to use his $916 million loss to cancel out an equivalent amount of taxable income over an 18-year period.
Although Mr. Trump’s taxable income in subsequent years is as yet unknown, a $916 million loss in 1995 would have been large enough to wipe out more than $50 million a year in taxable income over 18 years.
The $916 million loss certainly could have eliminated any federal income taxes Mr. Trump otherwise would have owed on the $50,000 to $100,000 he was paid for each episode of “The Apprentice,” or the roughly $45 million he was paid between 1995 and 2009 when he was chairman or chief executive of the publicly traded company he created to assume ownership of his troubled Atlantic City casinos. Ordinary investors in the new company, meanwhile, saw the value of their shares plunge to 17 cents from $35.50, while scores of contractors went unpaid for work on Mr. Trump’s casinos and casino bondholders received pennies on the dollar.
“He has a vast benefit from his destruction” in the early 1990s, said one of the experts, Joel Rosenfeld, an assistant professor at New York University’s Schack Institute of Real Estate. Mr. Rosenfeld offered this description of what he would advise a client who came to him with a tax return like Mr. Trump’s: “Do you realize you can create $916 million in income without paying a nickel in taxes?”