Tag Archives: 2016 Trump Presidential campaign

Yes…Some Republicans will NOT be voting FOR Donald Trump…

The Washington Post went out found some….

Donald Trump got the big October surprise. The momentum seems to be going his way. Hillary Clinton is again on the defensive, again over her emails. But in this enclave of white, upper-middle-class Republicans, the party’s presidential nominee still faces a barrier that will be difficult to clear.

“It’s a moral choice,” Dick Radder, a 68-year-old Republican, said as he cupped a black coffee outside a Starbucks here Tuesday. “I can’t get there. I can’t get to Trump. I’m a husband and a father. And I can’t convince myself to vote for a person who is weakening the fiber of the country.”

Most of the well-kept lawns here are dotted with signs for Sen. Ron Johnson (R) and for other down-ballot candidates, but support for Trump is less evident.

“You’re in a town that’s about going to college and raising a family. People are polished and hard-working. He’s not one of us,” said Andy Schwichtenberg, a 28-year-old stockbroker.

“I did try,” Schwichtenberg added with a sigh. “I went to a rally.” But he was not swayed and he was turned off by the crowd, which he noted was packed with men and women “who came there on Harleys.”…

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Donald Trump declared Saturday that “the silent majority is back” ……

Can you believe this Shit?

Anybody who thinks this guy and his followers are equiped to deal with WHAT America IS TODAY is out of it….

Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump declared Saturday that “the silent majority is back,” as he predicted victory in a presidential race roiled by new questions of Democrat Hillary Clinton’s legal jeopardy over her use of a private email system.

Trump seized on FBI Director James B. Comey’s announcement Friday that he is at least temporarily continuing an inquiry he had previously declared closed. Democrats frantically demanded answers about the scope of Comey’s additional inquiry and questioned the timing and motives of his announcement.

“As you’ve heard, it was just announced yesterday that the FBI is reopening their investigation into the criminal conduct and the illegal conduct of Hillary Clinton,” Trump said.

That was a broad overstatement. Comey recommended in July that Clinton not be charged in the case and his letter to Congress on Friday said that it is unknown if the emails now being reviewed are significant….

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No More Presidential candiadtes tax returns looks?

Donald Trump isn’t gonna release his…

Why would anyone else do so?

Trump and his campaign have cited a rolling audit of his finances as the reason why he can’t disclose his tax returns. Though lawyers advise against putting out returns during an audit, they have also stressed that there is no legal prohibition from doing so.

Explanations aside, the decision to not make his returns public makes Trump especially guarded in the modern political era. Every major-party presidential nominee since Nixon has put out this information, save Ford, who released a summary when he ran in 1976. Hillary Clinton and her husband have put out returns every year since 1977. Even Pence put out 10 years of tax returns this cycle.

Trump is different. And while his campaign has argued that Clinton is secretive in other areas (they’ve demanded that she turn over all of her emails from her time as secretary of state, for example), it’s also true that Trump has now set a precedent of nondisclosure that future candidates can (and will) follow…..

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Donald Trump goes back to showcasing his business ventures…

The guy KNOWS he’s gonna LOSE the race for President in less than 2 weeks….

So?

Why NOT start  working on free ads for his ‘brand’ properties ?

As his poll numbers have declined in the closing weeks of the presidential race, Donald J. Trump has begun to engage in barely veiled promotions of his business brand off the campaign trail, dragging reporters to his marquee properties in between his campaign events.

On Tuesday, Mr. Trump added an abrupt appearance at the Trump National Doral, one of his gilded golf courses and resorts in Florida, ostensibly to demonstrate how many employees he has there and how much they admire him as a boss.

On Wednesday, instead of spending the morning in one of the battleground states where polls show him trailing Hillary Clinton, Mr. Trump planned to attend a ribbon-cutting at his elaborately remade hotel at the Old Post Office on Pennsylvania Avenue in Washington.

The stops are a remarkable display of personal promotion by a presidential nominee, raising questions about whether the businessman, who has lived by the mantra that “all publicity is good publicity,” is at least partly casting his eye past the 2016 race, and toward bolstering the brand that bears his name.

In a telephone interview, Mr. Trump rejected such questions and said he was demonstrating his credentials for the presidency at such events by showing the type of efficiencies he would bring to government.

“Today it was about jobs. Tomorrow it’s about being under budget and ahead of schedule,” Mr. Trump said, referring to the Washington hotel.

His critics saw a different motive…

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Open Thread for October 15, 2016…Now Trump blames the the polls?

Except for the LA Tines/USC Tracking  poll?

Donald Trump is DOWN in ALL the National Polls…

They do NOT fit HIS idea of reality….

In the state polling?

He’s close in several states a Republican should own…

Because they aren’t ‘nice ‘ to him he’s of course attacking them….

First on the LATimes Tracking poll and the rest of the field…

Julie Mason on POTUS Radio  had Anna Greenberg, a woman pollster who has won awards for her work on her show talking about the state of the Presidential race polling right now….She points out something that SHOULD be mentioned…

Real Clear Politics, a place WE feature here

(And is quoted by EVERYONE in politics right now as gospel in numbers)
Leans RIGHT….
Part the reason they INCLUDE the LATIMES/USC Tracking
Poll which is plainly and outlier…

She advises that the higher margins in 538 and the Upshot are because they factor out polls like the LATIMES/USC Tracking poll which pull down Clinton’s average….

Now on Trump’s efforts to deny the reality of the rest of the polling BESIDE’S the LATimes Tracking poll…

With Hillary Clinton extending her lead nationwide and in key battleground states, the Trump campaign is toying with what might be called “poll denialism,” giving his supporters license to dismiss the discouraging data.

At the same time, Trump is continuing to tout unscientific online surveys that say he prevailed at last Sunday’s town hall debate.
On Friday afternoon he said he “absolutely destroyed” Clinton, citing “every online poll, even Time magazine,” a news outlet that is “not exactly in love with me.”

A Time magazine spokeswoman confirmed that Time’s web site did not conduct a “who won?” survey after the debate. (Its most recent scientific poll was conducted in late September.)

Meanwhile, the Trump campaign and its allies are latching onto one of the few scientific polls that show him with almost as much as support as Clinton. “IT’S THISCLOSE,” The Drudge Report claimed Friday, linking to a USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times tracking poll.
By the Times’ own admission, “the poll often is out of sync with other voter surveys because it uses different methodology.”
On “Fox & Friends” Friday morning, Pence claimed that “these polls have been all over the map.”

Political analysts dispute that…..

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Trump supporters wouldn’t mind EXCLUDING WOMEN from Voting?

Yup…(According to hundreds of twitter tweets….#Repeal the 19th …..Amendment)

It just gets worst and WORST ( and more Silly)  as we close in Election day and Trump supporters realize that they are supporting a loser that has antagonized increasing numbers of women voters….

Donald Trump supporters just reared their ugly, misogynistic heads yet again.

On Tuesday evening, FiveThirtyEight published two polls showing what the outcome of the presidential election would look like if only women voted and what it would look like if only men voted. As you may have guessed, the outcome of the election would be very different if only one gender could vote.

According to FiveThirtyEight if only women voted in the 2016 presidential election, Hillary Clinton would win the presidency with 458 electoral votes and Trump a mere 80.

If only men voted in the presidential election, Trump would win the election with 350 electoral votes and Clinton only 188.

(Terrifying? Yes. Disappointing? Absolutely. Makes you question how many men in your life think you’re less-than because you’re a lady? BRB, crying.)…

More with maps….

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When you support Trump and realize he isn’t gonna win…

Lot of us KNOW he isn’t gonna get near the American Presidency…

In order to do so?

He MUST get above the 30 %to 40% of support he seems to used to have…His numbers ARE dropping

Donald Trump’s True believers are begiing to understand this also…

As Trump bounces from one controversy to another and Hillary Clinton gains in the polls, there is a growing realization among some of his most devoted supporters that he could lose the election. They still hope he will win, as the idea of another President Clinton angers and scares them. They blame the Republican Party for not doing enough to support its nominee, the media for focusing on comments Trump made years ago and Democrats who, they say, rigged the system. But they also place a little blame on Trump.

As Frasca watched the second presidential debate Sunday night, she was glad to see that Trump seemed better prepared and that he apologized for his “toilet talk” in 2005 when he told an “Access Hollywood” host that he could grope women and force himself on them sexually because he was famous. She was delighted to hear Trump tell Clinton that she should be in jail, but she didn’t understand why he dragged along women who have accused former president Bill Clinton of sexual assault or harassment.

On Monday morning, Frasca put on a yellow T-shirt featuring a screaming Hillary Clinton, flames and the message, “Liar! Liar! Pants suit on fire.” She and a few friends from her retirement community in Sewickley traveled a few miles north to a high school gym in this suburb of Pittsburgh for a Trump rally. Frasca brought along a copy of the letter she mailed to Trump Tower, just in case she got to meet the candidate.

Crowds like these are Trump’s case for not dropping out of the race. Crowds like these are his evidence that he can still win. Crowds are his polls.

But Trump has already won these people over, and if he wants to win the election, he has to dramatically broaden his following….

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This Too Shall Pass….

Donald J. Trump is in the middle of ANOTHER self inflicted political storm….

He’ll make it thru….

While the pundits and media outlets are screaming about his demise?

Image result for donald trump

Most of his supporters are STILL gonna cast their vote FOR the guy, warts and all…

For some of us….

This whole thing isn’t much of a surprise…

If you listened and remembered?

There where warning signs that Trump would have a TON opposition research stories dropped on him before the election…

Trump’s business failures and womanizing are hardly new….

Trump’s GRANDIOSE , larger than life persona , but reluctance to show his financial dealing could only invite even more curiosity from the media that he had used so much during the Republican primaries…

That same Media , cut off from him increasingly to favor just Fox News has become mockingly hostile….

You HAD to know this was coming….

(Most of the Grand Ole Parties establishment did)

In the end?

Even the Media owners and bosses had to be scared that someone of Donald Trump’s make IS NOT what America needs to become President…

Just as Hillary Clinton was brought down from high approval numbers before the campaign, so will Donald Trump …..

The secret has been the Clinton has been the front runner in the race from the beginning…

Donald Trump seems to be making sure that she gets better winning margins come election day…

image…cnn.com

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The day after the VP debate was not kind to Donald Trump…

 By Greg Dworkin   @ Daily Kos….
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Open Thread for October 5, 2016…Trump doesn’t have enough white guys…

What works in the Republican Primary does NOT get it in the General Election….

……“Donald Trump’s strategy in this campaign has been fairly clear from the beginning: Drive up Republican support among white voters in order to compensate for the GOP’s shrinking share among the growing nonwhite portion of the electorate. And Trump has succeeded in overperforming among a certain slice of white voters, those without a college degree.”

“But overall, the strategy isn’t working. Trump has a smaller lead among white voters than Mitt Romney did in 2012, and Trump’s margin seems to be falling from where it was when the general election began.”….

Harry Enten @ Five Thirty Eight….

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Conservative Blog disses Trump….

Erick Erickson’s Resurgent Blog sends a vote of non-confidence out to its readers about the Republican candiadte for President….

The Hypocrisy of Donald Trump
By Erick Erickson @ Resurgent….

Donald Trump has, on twitter, savaged people who do not pay taxes, but Trump himself has gone about two decades without paying taxes.

Donald Trump praises the leaks from the DNC for exposing the Democrats, but blasts the leak of his taxes exposing him.

Donald Trump blasts companies for moving overseas for tax and business advantages, but has no problem using the American tax code to suit himself.

Trump blasts the Democrats’ lack of charity while giving no charity of his own.

He attacks Bill Clinton for affairs while trying to sign his wife up to pose in Playboy.

Every single attack Donald Trump has leveraged against others, he now whines about when it is shown he is guilty of it too.

Donald Trump, for almost two decades, paid nothing in federal taxes. He and his supporters can claim that shows he is a savvy businessman, but then they should shut up about the 47% of Americans who do not pay taxes. Trump does not either.

They can say Donald Trump employs thousands, but there are companies that employ tens of thousands who pay taxes. Trump, the savvy businessman, filed for bankruptcy multiple times and had a near billion dollar tax loss.

That does not sound so savvy.

He is a hypocrite and has turned his defenders into hypocrites….

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Donald Trump claimed a $916M loss on his 1995 Taxes…

The New York Times has obtained a look at Donald J Trump’s 1995 tax return….(3 Pages only)

The paper reports that Trump declared a $916M loss…

A loss that big could have Trump having the ability to NOT. Pay taxes for almost two decades….

it is reported that Trump is more than an hour and half late for his campaign rally tonight…

One would think that the candidate/business man might be concerned about The NY Times releasing this information, being that Trump has been strongly against anyone  reviewing  HIS taxes…

More to come on this fast moving story which could be REALLY BAD news for Trump,,,

Donald J. Trump declared a $916 million loss on his 1995 income tax returns, a tax deduction so substantial it could have allowed him to legally avoid paying any federal income taxes for up to 18 years, records obtained by The New York Times show.

The 1995 tax records, never before disclosed, reveal the extraordinary tax benefits that Mr. Trump, the Republican presidential nominee, derived from the financial wreckage he left behind in the early 1990s through mismanagement of three Atlantic City casinos, his ill-fated foray into the airline business and his ill-timed purchase of the Plaza Hotel in Manhattan.

Tax experts hired by The Times to analyze Mr. Trump’s 1995 records said that tax rules especially advantageous to wealthy filers would have allowed Mr. Trump to use his $916 million loss to cancel out an equivalent amount of taxable income over an 18-year period.

Although Mr. Trump’s taxable income in subsequent years is as yet unknown, a $916 million loss in 1995 would have been large enough to wipe out more than $50 million a year in taxable income over 18 years.

The $916 million loss certainly could have eliminated any federal income taxes Mr. Trump otherwise would have owed on the $50,000 to $100,000 he was paid for each episode of “The Apprentice,” or the roughly $45 million he was paid between 1995 and 2009 when he was chairman or chief executive of the publicly traded company he created to assume ownership of his troubled Atlantic City casinos. Ordinary investors in the new company, meanwhile, saw the value of their shares plunge to 17 cents from $35.50, while scores of contractors went unpaid for work on Mr. Trump’s casinos and casino bondholders received pennies on the dollar.

“He has a vast benefit from his destruction” in the early 1990s, said one of the experts, Joel Rosenfeld, an assistant professor at New York University’s Schack Institute of Real Estate. Mr. Rosenfeld offered this description of what he would advise a client who came to him with a tax return like Mr. Trump’s: “Do you realize you can create $916 million in income without paying a nickel in taxes?”

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image …A line from one of Mr. Trump’s 1995 tax returns obtained by The New York Times.

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U.S. intel officials probe Trump advisor’s Russian ties and promises…

It appears that a Trump insider is ALREADY trying to cut deals with the Russian’s using the influence of a possible Trump Presidency….

U.S. intelligence officials are seeking to determine whether an American businessman identified by Donald Trump as one of his foreign policy advisers has opened up private communications with senior Russian officials — including talks about the possible lifting of economic sanctions if the Republican nominee becomes president, according to multiple sources who have been briefed on the issue.

The activities of Trump adviser Carter Page, who has extensive business interests in Russia, have been discussed with senior members of Congress during recent briefings about suspected efforts by Moscow to influence the presidential election, the sources said. After one of those briefings, Senate minority leader Harry Reid wrote FBI Director James Comey, citing reports of meetings between a Trump adviser (a reference to Page) and “high ranking sanctioned individuals” in Moscow over the summer as evidence of “significant and disturbing ties” between the Trump campaign and the Kremlin that needed to be investigated by the bureau.

Some of those briefed were “taken aback” when they learned about Page’s contacts in Moscow….

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Donald Trump’s ‘stuff’ is getting old…..

A new poll done by Associated Press-GfK seems to point to a move by the voting public away from the way Donald Trump has handled himself less than 50 days from the Presidential election….

Hillary Clinton has high negatives…

But it seems that Trump’s negatives are rising up further than Clinton’s..

Image result for trump

Clinton’s naming Trump’s supporters as ‘deporables seems to hagve struck a cord with HER supporters ….New polling says Republicans are flocking to Trump…But the poll here seems to say NOT ALL Republicans are happy with how he conducts himself…Could some of those GOPer’s change their minds when they SERIOUSLY have to finally cast their vote?

….a new Associated Press-GfK poll finds that Clinton’s stumble didn’t have quite the impact that Trump and his supporters wanted. Instead, it’s Trump who’s viewed as most disconnected and disrespectful.

Sixty percent of registered voters say he does not respect ‘‘ordinary Americans,’’ according to the poll. That’s far more than the 48 percent who say the same about Clinton.

Clinton says she regrets casting ‘half’ of Trump supporters as ‘deplorables’

Hillary Clinton’s remark that half of Donald Trump’s supporters fit into a ‘‘basket of deplorables’’ prompted a swift and negative reaction.

Trump supporters had begun showing up at his rallies with shirts and signs riffing on the word ‘‘deplorable.’’ The hashtag #BasketofDeplorables began trending on Twitter, as the Republican nominee’s backers demanded an apology. At a rally last week in Florida, Trump walked out to a song from the play “Les Miserables.”

‘‘Welcome to all you deplorables!’’ he shouted, standing in front of a backdrop that read, ‘‘Les Deplorables.’’

But the poll findings underscore how Trump’s no-holds-barred approach may be wearing on the country. Despite efforts by his campaign to keep him on message, his image as an outspoken firebrand who brazenly skips past societal norms appears deeply ingrained among voters.

Nearly three in four do not view him as even somewhat civil or compassionate. Half say he’s at least somewhat racist. Those numbers are largely unchanged from the last time the AP-GfK survey was conducted in July…..

‘‘He’s a bully and he’s just made it acceptable,’’ said Patricia Barraclough, 69, a Clinton supporter in Jonesborough, Tenn. ‘‘Since he started running, civility has just gone down the tubes. The name-calling. The bullying. All of a sudden it’s like it’s OK to act on it.’’

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image…abcnews.go.com

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Polling Update for September 23, 2016…Clinton contiues to climb in the polling…

Three days out from the first 2016 Presidential Race debate  and Hillary Clinton contiues to climb back up in the national polling….

Clinton is Up in the Colorado, Pennsylvania,  Maine, Virginia, and N.H. RCP Polling average…

She trails in the Iowa, Ohio, Florida, Nevada in the RCP polling average….

By the way?….Barack Obama had a drop in HIS 2012 polling numbers VERY similar to what Hillary Clinton has experienced….

And HE had a climb back just Clinton is having now….

Friday, September 23

General Election: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

McClatchy/Marist

Clinton 45, Trump 39, Johnson 10, Stein 4     Clinton +6

General Election: Trump vs. Clinton

McClatchy/Marist

Clinton 48, Trump 41     Clinton +7

Georgia: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson

JMC Analytics

Trump 44, Clinton 38, Johnson 5     Trump +6

Arkansas: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

Talk Business/Hendrix College

Trump 55, Clinton 34, Johnson 3, Stein 1     Trump +21

Colorado Senate – Glenn vs. Bennet

Quinnipiac

Bennet 52, Glenn 43     Bennet +9

Georgia Senate: Isakson vs. Barksdale

Quinnipiac

Isakson 55, Barksdale 34     Isakson +21

Georgia Senate: Isakson vs. Barksdale

JMC Analytics*

Isakson 41, Barksdale 28     Isakson +13

Iowa Senate – Grassley vs. Judge

Quinnipiac

Grassley 55, Judge 43     Grassley +12

President Obama Job Approval

Gallup

Approve 52, Disapprove 44     Approve +8

President Obama Job Approval

Rasmussen Reports

Approve 47, Disapprove 52     Disapprove +5

President Obama Job Approval

McClatchy/Marist

Approve 51, Disapprove 44     Approve +7

…for more info on the above polling…..Real Clear Politics.

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Sabato on the Trump Surge or Clinton slide and who gets polled…

The Crystal Ball of Sabato gives its update of the Presidential race  and goes at why Clinton is leading….But why is Trump having climbing poll numbers….

And it isn’t just the candidates….

Some of has to do with polling itself….

First of all, Florida, Nevada, and North Carolina, three diverse, growing states, move from Leans Democratic to Toss-up. Polls have been close in all three for months….

Clinton disappeared for long stretches before Labor Day to do fundraising and failed to define any overriding positive message about what a Hillary Clinton presidency would mean. Then came the “basket of deplorables” gaffe (which some believe might actually help Clinton with her party base) and the lie by omission about her pneumonia, a serious condition that deserves scrutiny. Instead of transparency, there was a bold gambit by Clinton to avoid any health disclosure that might give credence to longtime, far-right theories that she was at death’s door. This ill-advised error reinforced the public’s view that Clinton is secretive and untruthful.

At the same time, two other developments helped Trump. His new (third) campaign team, especially Kellyanne Conway, seems to have been able to force some discipline on the unpredictable billionaire. The number of middle-of-the-night tweets has diminished, the use of scripts and the teleprompter is up, and Trump is doing events other than giant rallies filled with true believers who encourage his worst instincts — though he continues to make outrageous statements with some frequency, such as Friday’s suggestion that Clinton’s Secret Service team should be disarmed. (Almost any other candidate would be disqualified by the kinds of remarks Trump has offered. In this sense, there truly is a double standard in media coverage that benefits Trump.)

Second, and as important as anything else we’ve mentioned, the pollsters have switched from highlighting the trial heats of all registered voters to a more select group they themselves define, called likely voters. The composition of this group is influenced by the response rates of partisans and their enthusiasm, or lack of it, to vote in this election. It will surprise no one following this contest to learn that Trump supporters, and Republicans generally, are more committed just now. Clinton has not lit a fire under her supporters, and to the contrary, her missteps have disheartened them a bit. It is also true that Democrats frequently get engaged later in the campaign season, and as a result, we might expect the enthusiasm gap to decline somewhat in the seven weeks remaining until Nov. 8. Clinton’s best surrogates (Barack Obama, Michelle Obama, Bill Clinton, Joe Biden, Bernie Sanders, Elizabeth Warren, etc.) can help, but only Hillary Clinton herself can provide enough incentive for many voters to show up.

The third-party candidates aren’t helping Clinton either. Put together, Libertarian Gary Johnson and Green Jill Stein seem to be hurting Clinton more than Trump, particularly among the youngest voters — voters who have little use for Trump but also are hardly inspired by Clinton. Politico’s Steve Shepard found that one survey, from Fox News, showed about a quarter of voters under 35 backing Johnson or Stein. Another, from Quinnipiac, pegged third-party support amongst millennials at an eye-popping 44%.

Clinton tends to do a little better in most surveys with the one-on-one matchup with Trump than in the four-way polls, and it’s easy to see why…..

More….

Note….

Sabato and company joins us in offering that there IS a ‘Double Standard’ in Media coverage of Trump…

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