Clinton crowds Growing…Trump losing Women and Independent Voters…

He’s been campaigning AGAINST their support for a while….

This is the GENERAL election…Not the Republican Primaries Donald….

Trump has also been totally ignoring Republican Party leader Reince Priebus’s lesson learned from the 2012 GOP Mitt Romney loss….

Clinton is now playing to the large ENTHUSIASTIC crowds that Donald Trump USED to have come for him….

Image result for clinton crowds oct 2016

The second Presidential debate has done NOTHING for Trump….

Hillary Clinton has opened up a significant lead over Donald Trump in the race for the White House, imperiling down-ballot Republicans and potentially tipping several traditionally red states into the Democratic column.

Clinton has sprinted ahead of Trump nationally and in battleground states on the strength of her growing support among women and independents, emboldening Democrats who now think they can win states such as Utah, Arizona and Georgia, where they are not typically competitive.

Losses there for Trump would push the race into landslide territory and endanger the down-ballot Republicans who have been fighting election-year headwinds and constant controversy at the top of the ticket as they seek to hold onto majorities in the House and the Senate.

“If this thing moves another 2 or 3 points away from Trump nationally, then we’re talking landslide,” said Monmouth University pollster Patrick Murray. “We’re close to getting there.”

Trump was experiencing an erosion of support among women and independents even before Friday’s explosive release of a tape in which he talks about grabbing women by the genitals and attempting to seduce a married woman…



We ARE beginning to hear whispers of a Clinton ‘lLandslide Victory’ from some….


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Trump supporters wouldn’t mind EXCLUDING WOMEN from Voting?

Yup…(According to hundreds of twitter tweets….#Repeal the 19th …..Amendment)

It just gets worst and WORST ( and more Silly)  as we close in Election day and Trump supporters realize that they are supporting a loser that has antagonized increasing numbers of women voters….

Donald Trump supporters just reared their ugly, misogynistic heads yet again.

On Tuesday evening, FiveThirtyEight published two polls showing what the outcome of the presidential election would look like if only women voted and what it would look like if only men voted. As you may have guessed, the outcome of the election would be very different if only one gender could vote.

According to FiveThirtyEight if only women voted in the 2016 presidential election, Hillary Clinton would win the presidency with 458 electoral votes and Trump a mere 80.

If only men voted in the presidential election, Trump would win the election with 350 electoral votes and Clinton only 188.

(Terrifying? Yes. Disappointing? Absolutely. Makes you question how many men in your life think you’re less-than because you’re a lady? BRB, crying.)…

More with maps….

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Those Wikileaks Clinton Emails ain’t bad at all….

The more of the email leaks dumped out?

They more that show a campaign in the traditional sense moving thru issue and problems and solving them….

There has been NOTHING damaging to the Clinton campaign…

Indeed the leaks do Hillary Clinton a favor by showing her to NOT be devious ..But instead a cautious politican , who has a sense of what the reality of public and private politics is…It also has show a daughter keeping tabs on her father and Hillary Clinton warning bankers, the one who have given her campaign money, to get their act together….

These are NOT bad things ….

Jullian Assunge  (And his Russian connection it seems) have played themselves from relevance in this….

Here’s how Clinton put it in that 2013 speech, and be prepared, I’m going to quote her at length: “Politics is like sausage being made. It is unsavory, and it always has been that way, but we usually end up where we need to be. But if everybody’s watching … all of the backroom discussions and the deals … then people get a little nervous, to say the least. So, you need both a public and a private position. And finally, I think–I believe in evidence-based decisionmaking. I want to know what the facts are.” Clinton is speaking an essential, uncontroversial truth about how things work in a democracy. And yet, for much of the public–and too much of our media–her sentiments are perceived as shifty, further evidence that she can’t be trusted, as if a willingness to compromise were a sign of weakness, not a necessary strength.

As for the rest of the emails, there are the occasional screw-ups and embarrassing moments of candor, but–as with the WikiLeaks dump of the State Department’s diplomatic cables–the most striking thing about them is the careful, intelligent way in which the Clinton staff goes about the business of politics. There is substantive consternation about how to deal with Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren on Wall Street, a careful massaging of where to come down on Warren’s proposal for a new Glass-Steagall law to regulate banking. Clinton and her advisers believe that Sanders is being too simplistic…

Watching the deliberations unfold, I found myself thinking, Boy, Assange has done a public service. It’s good to know how policy develops in a political campaign.

Some on the left will find Clinton’s attempts to flatter and find common ground with her Wall Street audiences offensive–her willingness to take money for these speeches was a big mistake–but if you look at the content of the talks, Clinton is essentially warning the bankers about the public’s belief that they have behaved badly, while calling for more “transparency” and reform, a message her audiences may not have wanted to hear…..


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Could Hillary Clinton REALLY get Georgia Election Day?

I have said here at the PDog No Way….

But Kyle Kondik over Sabato’s Crystal Ball thinks I COULDt be wrong….

Are things even WORST for Donald Trump?

Donald Trump’s apparent slide in the polls is continuing, and with that more states seem to be coming into play. We already moved heavily Republican Utah to Leans Republican earlier this week, a decision that was backed up by a recent Deseret News poll showing Clinton and Trump tied at 26% apiece, with independent Republican candidate Evan McMullin, a Mormon who has been focusing on the Mormon-majority state, running a close third at 22%.

It now appears that Georgia, like Arizona, is also moving back into play. There have been several reports of close polls there and the Clinton campaign might try to make a move for this reliably Republican state. We’re moving it back to Leans Republican, from Likely Republican,….


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Breaking…US Navy fires on 3 Targets in Yemen after missle attacks….

Tomahawk Missile fired from United States Warship in war against ISIL/ISIS 

…from NBC News….

The U.S. military launched Tomahawk cruise missiles against coastal radar sites in Yemen early Thursday, following two incidents this week in which missiles were fired at a U.S. Navy ship from a rebel-controlled area of the country, a senior defense official said.

The missiles were launched at around 4 a.m. Thursday local time (9 p.m. Wednesday ET), and initial assessments were that all three sites in rebel Houthi-controlled areas were destroyed, the official said.

Pentagon press secretary Peter Cook said in a statement that President Barack Obama authorized the strikes on the recommendation of Secretary of Defense Ash Carter and Chairman of the Joint Chiefs General Joseph Dunford.

“These limited self-defense strikes were conducted to protect our personnel, our ships, and our freedom of navigation in this important maritime passageway,” Cook said. “The United States will respond to any further threat to our ships and commercial traffic, as appropriate, and will continue to maintain our freedom of navigation in the Red Sea, the Bab al-Mandeb, and elsewhere around the world.”

The Pentagon on Tuesday vowed to retaliate after a pair of missiles were fired at the Navy destroyer USS Mason Sunday as the ship was in international waters near the Bab el-Mandeb Strait….


image….Tomahawk missile being fired against ISIS(2014)….kalw.otg

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Open Thread for October 12, 2016….Donald Trump is in Deep Trouble….


Ezra Klein
Trump’s plan to beat Hillary Clinton:

– Attack Bill Clinton
– Attack Paul Ryan
– Sue the New York Times

See the problem?

David Boardman ‏@dlboardman 
David Boardman Retweeted Scott Bixby
Eight. …

Scott Bixby @scottbix
SEVEN ALLEGATIONS against Trump today:
– Buzzfeed News
– New York Times
– Guardian…

The Boston Globe ‏@BostonGlobe

Donald Trump “just came strolling” into dressing rooms, pageant contestants allege

Christopher Hayes
Anyone feel like we’re in one of those free-fall rides? Or, like, a bad dream where you’re in an elevator that fails?

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Polling Update for October 12, 2016

LA Times/USC Tracking is NOW actually showing Clinton Up by +0.4%…

Hillary Clinton is now up where she was right AFTER the First Presidential Debate and AFTER the Democratic Presidential Convention in early September….
Wednesday, October 12

General Election: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

Rasmussen Reports

Clinton 43, Trump 39, Johnson 7, Stein 2     Clinton +4

General Election: Trump vs. Clinton

LA Times/USC Tracking

Clinton 44, Trump 44    Tie

General Election: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein


Clinton 44, Trump 37, Johnson 6, Stein 2     Clinton +7

General Election: Trump vs. Clinton  


Clinton 44, Trump 37     Clinton +7

Wisconsin: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein


Clinton 44, Trump 37, Johnson 9, Stein 3      Clinton +7

Wisconsin: Trump vs. Clinton


Clinton 46, Trump 42    Clinton +4

Florida: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

Opinion Savvy

Clinton 47, Trump 44, Johnson 5, Stein 1     Clinton +3

Missouri: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein


Trump 46, Clinton 41, Johnson 5, Stein 2     Trump +5

Michigan: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

Detroit News

Clinton 42, Trump 31, Johnson 10, Stein 5     Clinton +11

Michigan: Trump vs. Clinton

Detroit News  Clinton 47, Trump 33      Clinton +14

Maine: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein


Clinton 44, Trump 36, Johnson 9, Stein 3     Clinton +8

Maine CD2: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein


Trump 40, Clinton 39, Johnson 10, Stein 2       Trump +1

Maine CD1: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein


Clinton 49, Trump 32, Johnson 7, Stein 3      Clinton +17

Utah: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein vs. McMullin

Y2 Analytics

Trump 26, Clinton 26, McMullin 22, Johnson 14, Stein 1      Tie

Wisconsin Senate – Johnson vs. Feingold


Feingold 48, Johnson 46      Feingold +2

Florida Senate – Rubio vs. Murphy

Opinion Savvy

Rubio 48, Murphy 44      Rubio +4

Missouri Senate – Blunt vs. Kander


Blunt 46, Kander 44      Blunt +2

Missouri Governor – Greitens vs. Koster


Koster 46, Greitens 43    Koster +3

President Obama Job Approval


Approve 54, Disapprove 42    Approve +12

President Obama Job Approval

Rasmussen Reports

Approve 52, Disapprove 46    Approve +6

President Obama Job Approval 


Approve 52, Disapprove 44     Approve +8

…for more info on the above polls…Real Clear Politics….

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More Women come forward with Donald Trump sexual complaints ….

We KNEW THIS would be coming…..

The Miss Universe case was NEVER gonna be the only one….

The New York Times is out with a bombshell report on two women who say Donald Trump groped them.

Jessica Leeds and Rachel Crooks spoke to the Times on the record about their encounters with the reality TV star. Both had told close friends of being assaulted by Trump, but neither had gone public with their story until Wednesday. A third woman, Mindy McGillivray, also accused Trump of groping her in a story published by the The Palm Beach Post shortly after the Times article appeared.

Leeds, now 74, said she was seated next to Trump on an airplane three decades ago when the businessman grabbed her breasts and attempted to reach up her skirt.

“He was like an octopus,” she told the Times. “His hands were everywhere.”

Crooks, who was working as a receptionist for a firm located in Trump Tower in 2005, said she met Trump outside an elevator in the building. According to Crooks, Trump shook her hand and would not let go, and then started kissing her on the mouth.

Read the full New York Times story here. 

More on this….

Newly surfaced footage from 1992 obtained by CBS News shows Donald Trump directing a suggestive remark at a 10-year-old girl.

Encountering a group of young girls at Trump Tower, the now-GOP nominee engages in small talk with one of the girls before saying, “I am going to be dating her in 10 years. Can you believe it?”



Hillary Clintonn is running for President….

Bill Clinton isn’t.

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One Person out of the LATimes/USC post that HAS Hillary Clinton now Leading…

All of the political junkies that follow polling use the Real Clear Politics websites polling average….

For the past several weeks RCP has been featuring the LA Times/USC Tracking Poll….

THAT poll has been CONSISTENTLY giving Donald Trump Higher numbers in the General Election Polling….

THAT has gotten so bad that most people have disregarded the polls numbers..They do NOT jibe with anything….

Today the poll had the Clintonb vs Trump numbers at a TIE earlier…..


Well it turns out that ONE person dropping out of sample group ….A Black male in Illinois (Who was a Trump supporter)….Has moved the poll from favoring Trump to +0.4% FOR Clinton)


Our Trump-supporting friend in Illinois is a surprisingly big part of the reason. In some polls, he’s weighted as much as 30 times more than the average respondent, and as much as 300 times more than the least-weighted respondent.


Alone, he has been enough to put Mr. Trump in double digits of support among black voters. He can improve Mr. Trump’s margin by 1 point in the survey, even though he is one of around 3,000 panelists.

He is also the reason Mrs. Clinton took the lead in the U.S.C./LAT poll for the first time in a month on Wednesday. The poll includes only the last seven days of respondents, and he hasn’t taken the poll since Oct. 4. Mrs. Clinton surged once he was out of the sample for the first time in several weeks.

How has he made such a difference? And why has the poll been such an outlier? It’s because the U.S.C./LAT poll made a number of unusual decisions in designing and weighting its survey.

It’s worth noting that this analysis is possible only because the poll is extremely and admirably transparent: It has published a data set and the documentation necessary to replicate the survey.

Not all of the poll’s choices were bound to help Mr. Trump. But some were, and it all combined with some very bad luck to produce one of the most persistent outliers in recent elections…..



Folks at least they could have admitted what everyone kinda figured out…That the pols filters and wighing makes it lean to Trump…

The LA Times has endorsed Hillary Clinton for President to boot!

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Sailing 35th America’s Cup: Christmas comes early for the Defender ORACLE TEAM USA

Evening all!

Christmas has come early for the Defender of the 35th America’s Cup ORACLE TEAM USA as the Americans received the components of their precious AC50 Boat which they will be racing in June next year in an attempt to defend the oldest Trophy in International Sport once more.

America’s Cup Class touches down in Bermuda

ORACLE TEAM USA took delivery of its America’s Cup Class boat this week in Bermuda. More accurately, two shi…

The Team will now assemble the Boat aiming to have the 1st Sail early next year.

Daniel G.

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Trump doubles down against Paul Ryan….

Trump is insinuating that the Republican House Speaker Paul Ryan  is working with Democrats against him…

Isn’t Trump running against Hillary Clinton…NOT Republican House Speaker Ryan?

Image result for trump/paul ryan

“Instead of calling me and saying, ‘Congratulations, you did a great job, you absolutely destroyed her in the debate like everybody said,’” Trump began, trailing off to boast about how Pat Buchanan called his performance against Hillary Clinton during Sunday’s debate “the single greatest debate performance in the history of presidential politics.”

“So wouldn’t you think that Paul Ryan would call and say, ‘Good going?’ In front of just about the largest for a second-night debate in the history of the country,” Trump said. “So, you know, you’d think that they’d say: ‘Great going, Don. Let’s go. Let’s beat this crook. She’s a crook. Let’s beat her. We gotta stop it.’”

But Ryan doesn’t do that, Trump lamented, floating a conspiracy about a backroom deal….



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Hillary Clinton and Paul Ryan Will need each other to govern…

Clinton, mindfull of President’s Obama problems with then GOP Speaker John Boenher may choose to help Current Speaker Paul Ryan in getting ANYTHING done in the next year or so….

Image result for hilary/paul ryan

Obama had to work to help Boehner against his hardcore rightwingnuts…

Clinton will probably have to do the same…

While she has advertised a 30 to 40 item goal in campaigning….She HAS to be mindful of her husbands trouble when he first got in office and Congress told him to slow down they simply could NOT digest a lot of things at once….(And the Trump lost is gonna have a lot of GOPer’s limited in helping Clinton do anything)

This year’s melodrama of a campaign has provided a window into the uneasy Trump-Ryan relationship, which appeared to reach its breaking point this week. What’s less clear is what a Clinton-Ryan relationship would look like.

“It’s fine,” Ryan said flatly, when asked about his relationship with Clinton at a late September breakfast hosted by the Economic Club of Washington. “I’ve only had two or three conversations with her. . . . I can’t really say I know her very well.”

The relationship would hinge on how Clinton decides to begin her potential presidency. She could claim an electoral mandate and launch a pitched battle to pass the more progressive parts of her agenda. Or she could start with a relatively incremental push on a menu of domestic issues on which she and Ryan have shared interests, including infrastructure investment, criminal justice revisions and anti-poverty measures.

“Do they want to begin it at loggerheads or with some signal to a very frustrated electorate that there is ground to be gained by focusing on the overlap between their two agendas?” asked William A. Galston, an official in President Bill Clinton’s administration and a senior fellow at the Brookings Institution….




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Clinton and Trump neck and neck in Utah…

It’s getting this crazy….

Amid flagging support nationally from Republicans, a poll conducted earlier this week puts Donald Trump in a virtual three-way tie in one of the country’s deepest red states: Utah.

The poll, first reported by the Deseret News and conducted by Salt Lake City-based Y2 Analytics, puts both Trump and Hillary Clinton at 26 percent with likely voters in Utah, just 2 percentage points ahead of independent conservative candidate Evan McMullin. Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson polled at 14 percent.


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Several GOPer’s who jumped ship on Trump swim back….

Republican politicians probably NOT agreeing with Donald Trump’s bull shit began deserting him BEFORE Sunday’s debate…

Right after the debate Trump went after those who gave him up….

So in the last few days several of them have come back to Trump afraid that they COULD lose their jobs because Hardcore Trump supporters don’t care what he says or does al long as he’s AGAINST Hillary Clinton….

THE BIG IDEA: Now that it has become crystal clear Donald Trump will not quit — that he has “unshackled” himself and plans to “limp” across the finish line — some Republicans who called on him to drop out over the weekend are reversing themselves.

The senior senator from Nebraska tweeted this on Saturday:

But yesterday during a radio interview, she announced that she will vote for Trump after all. “He decided he would not step aside. I respect his decision,” Deb Fischer told the Lincoln radio affiliate KLIN. “I support the Republican ticket, and it’s a Trump-Pence ticket…. To me, it’s not a tough choice.”

Darryl Glenn, the Republican nominee against Sen. Michael Bennet in Colorado, said Saturday that Trump must step aside. “America cannot have a man who speaks this way about women be the face of our country to the Free World,” he said in a statement.

But facing backlash from Trump supporters, Glenn — who already has no realistic path to victory — backtracked. He says watching the debate Sunday night changed his mind. “Donald Trump did what he absolutely had to do,” Glenn said on Fox News. “I think he reset this campaign.”….


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2016 Early Voting….

Daily Kos does a maps supported good look at early voting in the 2016 election…..

States that have various early or absentee voting options.

Election Day is just four weeks from Tuesday, but millions of Americans will cast their ballot before then—and hundreds of thousands already have. Overall, early votes and absentee ballots accounted for roughly 36 percent of all votes cast four years ago, and there’s a good chance that that proportion will increase this year, given the growing popularity of early voting and moves in several states to expand it since the last presidential election.

With so many early or absentee voters, candidates at all levels have a limited amount of time remaining to persuade voters to support them. While federal law mandates all states allow absentees for voters with a legitimate excuse, some states still don’t offer early voting or absentee ballots without an excuse, as you can see in the map at the top of this post. That means the time remaining for persuasion will vary from state to state.

And even states ostensibly in the same category have vastly different election rules and conditions. For instance, it’s easier to obtain an excuse for a mail absentee in some states than others; some states offer weeks of early voting and others just mere days; and three states—Colorado, Oregon, and Washington—even conduct their elections entirely by mail. It’s a dizzying array of alternatives, as you can see, so in this post, we’ll explore the broad contours of how and when early voting operates across the nation….


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Erick Erickson…Donald Trump has always been a Democrat…

The Conservative Blogger NEVER warmed to Trump….

And NOW saddles back up to attack Donald Trump as turncoat to Republicans….

…Yes, the people who claimed we all must support Trump because of judges, would put Nancy Pelosi in charge of the House and Chuck Schumer in charge of the Senate. They don’t really care about judges or values or restrictions on Democrats. They only care about Trump.

The reality, though, is that Donald Trump is going to lose. Hillary Clinton is well ahead and early voting has begun. More dirt will be coming out on Donald Trump this week to further suppress Christian voters by showing what an immoral lout he is.

Campaign 2016 is over in all but calendar days. Trump’s supporters are revealing their true nature. They are not principled, nor are they really opposed to Washington. They are in a cult of personality and only care about getting Donald Trump elected. With his defeat now a certainty they will put not only Hillary Clinton in the White House, but hand the Democrats both houses of congress and the Supreme Court.

Donald Trump has always been a Democrat. He was a Clinton donor and a Pelosi donor. Just a few short years ago, he called Nancy Pelosi “the greatest.” And now he has his supporters putting Clinton, Pelosi and the like in power…


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