Could Hillary Clinton grab Texas?

Real Clear Politics has moved the state to the tossup category ….

I REALLY do NOT see Hillary Clinton get a mjority vote out the DEEP RED state….

But it will probably be closer that ANYONE would thought when the vote gets counted….

The site previously classified the traditionally red state as leaning toward GOP nominee Donald Trump. But with the release of CBS tracking poll Sunday showing Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton down just 3 points in the Lone Star State.

The RCP average of polls showed Trump ahead of Clinton by 4.8 points on Sunday…


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The NY Times lists 281 People, Places and Things Donald Trump Has Insulted on Twitter…

Since he jumped inton the 2016 Presidential race Donadl Trump has amassed a HUGE list of insuits throw around when he goes on twitter…..

His handlers have tried in vain to get him to stop ….

The mixed martial arts fighter Ronda Rousey is “not a nice person.” The golf swing of the actor Samuel L. Jackson is “not athletic.” A lectern in the Oval Office “looks odd,” and the mobile carrier T-Mobile’s service “is terrible.”

These comments are not private thoughts, nor are they the result of an embarrassing hidden camera, an off-the-record comment or a document release. They are public statements made by Donald Trump to his 5.9 million Twitter followers.

We know this because we’ve read, tagged and quoted them all.

The end result is “Donald Trump’s Twitter Insults: The Complete List (So Far).” It’s not a sample of some insults, or just those about his political rivals — though plenty of those exist. It’s the full count — a 100 percent sample, in polling terms — representing our best effort to categorize more than 4,000 tweets Mr. Trump has made since he declared his candidacy in June 2015.

Of those, we found that one in every eight was a personal insult of some kind.

Perhaps most predictable is Mr. Trump’s propensity to insult other presidential candidates, both Republicans and Democrats. (In Mr. Trump’s words, John Kasich is a “dummy” and Rick Perry “should be forced to take an IQ test.”)

But what is particularly fascinating is just how personal these jabs are….



Trump’s Twitter following has more than doubled since the Times began tracking his insults, growing from 5.9 million followers to 12.1 million.

You can view the list here. The most recent insults ― tracked within the last 30 days ― are highlighted in yellow….


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Losing in the Polls….Trump attacks them…..

Things HAVE got THAT bad for ‘The Donald’….

The poll’s aren’t ‘nice’ to him so he’s attacking them…..

It fits his pattern of dealing with things that do NOT go HIS way….

“Major story that the Dems are making up phony polls in order to suppress the the [sic] Trump,” the Manhattan billionaire wrote on Twitter Monday morning. “We are going to WIN!”

Trump did not specify which polls he believed to be fake, nor did he offer any further clarity on which Democrats or Democratic institutions were concocting the “phony” polls. Widely respected and accepted polls have shown Trump trailing badly in recent days, including some that put Democrat Hillary Clinton up by double-digits. The former secretary of state holds a 5.8 percentage point lead in the Real Clear Politics polling average, 45 percent to 39.2 percent.

The allegation appeared to be a fresh approach to a common campaign-trail theme for Trump in recent days, that the presidential election will be rigged against him. Trump has suggested, without evidence, that voter fraud could hand the election to Clinton and has refused to guarantee that he will accept the results on Election Night….



It’s gonna be a rough two weeks as Trump twists in a losing wind….

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Voter enthusiasm for Trump is down….

While there has been stories and polling that shows down ballot Republicans COULD be holding their own?

Image result for trump vs Clinton

If Republican voters aren’t excited about Donald Trump, or if they start to get turned off by reports that Trump is gonna lose anyways?

They may not urn out to vote….

If they do NOT vote in increasing numbers guess what?

Down ballot Republicans don’t get the votes either….

The Clinton campaign and Democrats have a YUGE gound game flushing out the vote and numbers around the country in early voting states seem to confirm INCREASED early Democratic  ballots coming and LESS Republican ones….

The problem for Trump is that taken as a whole, his polls aren’t very good — and, in fact, they may still be getting worse. An ABC News national poll released on Sunday morning — the first live-caller poll conducted fully after the final presidential debate — showed Clinton leading Trump 50 percent to 38 percent. Clinton’s 12-point lead in that poll is toward the high end of a broad range of results from recent national polls, with surveys showing everything from a 15-point Clinton lead to a 2-point Trump edge. But the ABC News poll is interesting given its recency and given why Clinton has pulled so far ahead in it — Republicans aren’t very happy with their candidate and may not turn out to vote:

The previous ABC/Post poll found a sharp 12-point decline in enthusiasm for Trump among his supporters, almost exclusively among those who’d preferred a different GOP nominee. Intended participation now has followed: The share of registered Republicans who are likely to vote is down 7 points since mid-October.

I’d urge a little bit of caution here, given that swings in enthusiasm can be transient and can sometimes exaggerate the underlying change in voter sentiment. Our polls-only forecast has Clinton up by about 7 percentage points instead of by double digits — and our polls-plus forecast would still bet on the race tightening slightly.

But you can easily see how the worst-case scenario is firmly on the table for Trump and Republican down-ballot candidates, where the bottom falls out from GOP turnout….


Note …

ABC is out with a poll showing a 12 POINT lead for Hillary Clinton something that would rightly be a ‘Blow OUT’  vote and victory for Clinton…..

But we’re STILL 18 days from the vote count….

image…NY Times

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Can the Media survive Trump losing?

They’ll HAVE to…..

But it won’t be easy….

Image result for trump and the media

With race having been unoffically called for Hillary Clinton?

We ALREADY have Media editors assigning reporters to do ‘Trump will WIN’ stories to get things thru the next two weeks….

Gotta get the horse race narrative going AGAIN now that we KNOW Trump will lose….

Combined with the candidate’s own need for attention, and his skill at keeping all eyes riveted on him, it’s going to be a hard habit to break.

“Trump is catnip, especially to the cable news media. He is not going away,” predicted Jane Hall, a former Fox News contributor and now a communications professor at American University. “I doubt that he is going to let go of the adulation.”

And she said, depending on how his supporters react to a loss, continuing coverage could well be valid.

“Unfortunately, a lot of forces have been unleashed and they are going to deserve coverage,” Hall said.

Dan Roberts, the Washington bureau chief of British news giant the Guardian, sees it differently.

“The coverage of Trump himself will collapse. The minute the campaign is over, the value of that coverage drops,” he said.

Roberts thinks that there may be some residual Trump coverage, which he characterizes as “schadenfreude about the damage to his business” and “some interest in what he’s doing next.”….

The ugly truth is that the Trump/media relationship has worked for both, while doing damage to the nation. Adulation for the narcissist. Vast audiences for those who direct the spotlight.



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Hillary Clinton begins to think about running things as President….

While the candiadate  caution’s everyone to wait until November 9th to talk about this…..Clinton people ARE already beginning to think about after she wins the election….

There is two weeks until the votes are counted…

But the voting HAS BEGUN around the country with millions of ballot sheets already marked….

The polls ALL show Hillary Clinton with a single digit lead above the margin of error…..

The counting for Electoral votes has Clinton in the 300 to 350 range which is 30 above the required 270…..

Just about every Republican pollster and serious pundit has quietly agreed that Donald Trump is on his way to a LOSS…

Hillary Clinton has slowed down her direct references to Trump and hopes she can mend fences with some of Republicans supporting Trump….

Image result for hillary clinton winning the presidency

Hillary Clinton is devoting more attention to the postelection landscape, working to bolster Democratic numbers in Congress and trying to set voter expectations about what she could realistically achieve should she win.

Mrs. Clinton still talks about Republican rival Donald Trump on the trail, but she seems more resistant to directly engaging an opponent who has been losing ground in the polls.

The Democratic nominee told reporters she no longer wants to spend time parrying Mr. Trump, having stood on stage with him for three presidential debates. Aboard her campaign plane this weekend, she said: “I debated him for 4½ hours. I don’t even think about responding to him anymore.”

Still, wary of appearing overconfident, Mrs. Clinton and running mate Tim Kaine stress they aren’t assuming the contest is won.

“We’re going to hammer to do everything we can before the polls close the evening of Nov. 8,” Mr. Kaine said Sunday on NBC.

Asked about possible cabinet choices aboard her plane, Mrs. Clinton suggested it would be presumptuous to talk about filling a new administration. “I’m a little superstitious about that,” she said….



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Polling Update for Sunday, October 23, 2016

Sunday, October 23

General Election: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

IBD/TIPP Tracking

Clinton 41, Trump 43, Johnson 7, Stein 3    Trump +2

General Election: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

ABC News Tracking

Clinton 50, Trump 38, Johnson 5, Stein 2    Clinton +12

General Election: Trump vs. Clinton

IBD/TIPP Tracking

Clinton 42, Trump 43    Trump +1

General Election: Trump vs. Clinton

ABC News Tracking

Clinton 53, Trump 41    Clinton +12

General Election: Trump vs. Clinton

LA Times/USC Tracking

Clinton 44, Trump 44    Tie

Texas: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

CBS News/YouGov

Trump 46, Clinton 43, Johnson 5, Stein 1    Trump +3

Florida: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

CBS News/YouGov

Clinton 46, Trump 43, Johnson 3, Stein 2    Clinton +3

Florida Senate – Rubio vs. Murphy

CBS News/YouGov

Rubio 44, Murphy 42    Rubio +2

…for more info on the above polls….Real Clear Polling...

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The 6 States that Democrats are fighting to gain in the Senate….

Politico takes a look at the states that Democrats THINK they gain in the November election and put them back in the majority….

That majority woul;d make a President Hiullary Clinton’s life MUCH easier ….

After all the head fakes, the millions of dollars in ad reservations made and canceled and the pleas for help from underdogs to D.C. bosses, the battle for the Senate has winnowed to six races.
The Senate will be won, insiders say, in a half-dozen states that could go either way on Election Day: The traditional swing states of Nevada, Pennsylvania and New Hampshire, and the newly competitive states of North Carolina, Missouri and Indiana, which historically lean Republican.

By virtue of simple math, the outlook favors Democrats because they have far more paths to victory. They need to pick up four seats to win the majority if Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump loses, and they believe Wisconsin and Illinois are in the bag.
“A lot of them, which have been pretty tight for many months now, are moving in our favor,” said Sadie Weiner, the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee’s communications director. “And we’re sitting 2 ½ weeks out of the election with the wind at our back.”


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Clinton is only behind Reagan at this point in the race….


Ryan Struyk ‏@ryanstruyk
ABC poll: Clinton +12
2012: Obama +4
2008: Obama +7
2004: Bush +3
2000: Tie
1996: Clinton +8
1992: Clinton +6
1988: Bush +7
1984: Reagan +18

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Democrats close in Roy Blunt in Missouri with a candidate that assembles an AR-15 in his ads…

An ex-military guy who CAN break down an Assault Rifle(In a Political Ad) is who is gaining traction in the Missouri US Senate race….

Image result for jason kander AR-15 ad

For much of the year, Democrats viewed Jason Kander as a perfect Senate candidate running in the wrong state.

A charismatic former military intelligence officer and Missouri’s current secretary of state, Mr. Kander, 35, faced an entrenched Republican incumbent in a place where Donald J. Trump seemed destined to win.

Then Mr. Kander released a television ad last month in which he put an AR-15 assault rifle together blindfolded while reciting a script about gun rights, and started assailing his rival, Senator Roy D. Blunt, on his lobbyist ties.

Suddenly, it was game on. Mr. Kander’s poll numbers soared. So did the panic among Republicans trying to save Mr. Blunt, and possibly their Senate majority….

Mr. Kander has benefited from being a sui generis blend: At once, he is a gun-wielding Democrat, a veteran, a Georgetown-educated lawyer who wears the outsider label, and the opponent of an incumbent who is the embodiment of Washington longevity….


image…Washington Times

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The Chicago Cubs will be going to the World Series…

They haven’t been in this place for DECADES!….

These Cubs heading to the World Series are a mix of young and old, but talented no matter what. And young and old, they are impervious to the pressure of history with which they had nothing to do, a marvelous mental and emotional trait that will help them undo 108 years of agony.

In your lifetime, people. The Cubs are going to the World Series in your lifetime.

Does everyone understand the plan now?

Manager Joe Maddon, during the trophy presentation: “My first thought is, we did not suck.’’


Smack in the middle of the Cubs’ raucous celebration after clinching their first National League pennant since 1945 on Saturday night were some former players who didn’t get a chance to pop the champagne in the same situation.

“We got to play in this game but we just didn’t get to celebrate after,” said Kerry Wood, a member of the 2003 Cubs team that fell to the Marlins in the NLCS. “I’m extremely happy for the city. These guys set themselves in history and they’re going to be linked forever. But we have four more to go and it’s the right group to go with.

“It was a mind-blowing experience being out there with the crowd.”

Celebrating with Wood and celebrities such as Pearl Jam frontman Eddie Vedder and actor John Cusack at Wrigley Field was Hall of Fame outfielder Billy Williams, who played 14-plus seasons with the Cubs during the 1960s and ’70s and never reached the postseason with the team. Williams did play in the 1975 ALCS with the Athletics near the end of his career…..


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Polling Update for Oct.22, 2016…

Saturday, October 22

General Election: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

IBD/TIPP Tracking

Clinton 40, Trump 42, Johnson 7, Stein 4     Trump +2

General Election: Trump vs. Clinton

IBD/TIPP Tracking

Clinton 42, Trump 42     Tie

General Election: Trump vs. Clinton

LA Times/USC Tracking

Clinton 44, Trump 44     Tie

Michigan: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein


Clinton 41, Trump 36, Johnson 7, Stein 3     Clinton +5

..for more on the above polls….Real Clear Polling.

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The RNC pushes back against Trump poll watchers Requests…

 By Mark Sumner   @ Daily Kos…
BANGOR, ME - OCTOBER 15:  Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump speaks at a rally at Cross Insurance Center on October 15, 2016 in Bangor, Maine. Trump is spending the day campaigning in New Hampshire and Maine. (Photo by Sarah Rice/Getty Images)

Donald Trump has been calling on his followers to monitor polling stations.

Warning darkly of a stolen election, Donald J. Trump has called on supporters to turn out in droves on Election Day to monitor polling places, telling them they need to be vigilant against widespread voter fraud and a rigged outcome.

The call has turned into Trump supporters #CodeRed where red-wearing Trumpistas plan to surround polling places to intimidate voters and also enter them as “observers.” Trump is especially encouraging his red shirts to go into minority districts …

“Voter fraud is all too common, and then they criticize us for saying that,” he said at a rally Tuesday in Colorado Springs. “But take a look at Philadelphia, what’s been going on, take a look at Chicago, take a look at St. Louis. Take a look at some of these cities, where you see things happening that are horrendous.”

Though it’s unclear if any of his supporters are willing to bring their bigotry and racism to places where someone might … object.

While Donald Trump is constantly expounding on nonexistent voter fraud, the RNC has begun desperately calling on Republicans not to go through with it because there’s a deal in place that could be broken if Trump voters actually turn up to challenge voters, and overly zealous actions from Trump’s goon squads could end up costing Republicans more than just this election…..


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Trump just doesn’t get it about Women….

The guy is TRIPLING down on losing the Woman’s vote….

Donald Trump on Saturday said he will sue the women who have accused him of sexual misconduct after the election is over.
“Every woman lied when they came forward to hurt my campaign,” the Republican nominee said during a much-hyped rally in Gettysburg, Pennsylvania, in which he also rolled out his plans for his first 100 days in office. “Total fabrication. The events never happened. Never. All of these liars will be sued after the election is over.”

Trump continued to say that a phone call to news outlets “gets [the accusers] wall-to-wall coverage with virtually no fact-checking ever.”
Trump’s comments come on the same day that attorney Gloria Allred is scheduled to hold a press conference for another woman who has accused Trump of inappropriate sexual conduct….

More ….


Is this another confirmation that Donald Trump KNOWS he’s a loser?

Oh, and he hasn’t follow thru with suing the NY Tiomes like he said he WOULD….

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Open Thread for October 22, 2016…Reince Preibus WAS Right….

After  the 2012 loss of Mitt Romney to Barack Obama the Republican party took it upon itself to find out why….

Reince Preibus , the Republican party boss proudly announced the results after the report came out….

That WAS then….

Ted Cruz started his campaign NOT following the studies suggestions…..

Donald Trump threw the book away….

These days Preibus is trying to keep HIS party in one piece while Trump   NOT follow  his advice puts Trump’s adopted party in conflict….

Preibus WAS Right…..

Image result for reince priebus/trump

And he’s suffering because his voters choose Trump with  the hate and fear Preibus’s party have used to hold on those people in their grip….

America is about to get a 3rd term of Democratic Presidency and could very well have a fourth….Which would mean 16 years of Democratic President’s….

The Republican’s still have a say in Congress…

But the White House continues to escape them….


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It has Finally dawned on Donald Trump…He’s Gonna LOSE…..

0 for 3 in debates against a woman NO LESS….

10 women now saying that he has gropped or kissed them without their permission….

All the world getting to know about his tax dodges….

The media who loved him….Turning on him….

His admiration for Putin turned against him…

Several Civil suits ongoing against him…..

His threat to sue the NY Times scaring NO ONE….

His Bull Shiting reality going NOWHERE….

Image result for clinton vs trump

His inability to climb past 35% to 40% in the polls even though he once played to YUGE crowds…..

ALL thes things have NOT got him to be the place he THOUGHT was reserved for him after he beat 15 other people and the Grand Ole parties establishment to become the Republican Presidential nominee…

For the next 18 days he NOW knows that he will have make appaearnace before smaller crowds and  less media  to get to the end of the road and  an LOSS to a woman that used to be friend, but now has kicked his ass…..THREE TIMES…ON Stage …With Millions watching….

How could this hapopen to me I’ll guess the guy is asying to himself…..

OVER and OVER…and OVER….

His final debate performance this week was a bust, with him snarling that Clinton was “such a nasty woman” and gritting his teeth as he angrily ripped pages off a notepad when it was over. He is under fire from all quarters for refusing to say he will honor the election results if he loses, while 10 women have now come forward accusing him of groping or kissing them without consent. The capper to Trump’s bad stretch came Thursday night, when a ballroom full of New York City’s glitterati booed him as he gave remarks attacking Clinton at a charity roast.

The gloomy mood has extended to his signature rallies, which Trump used to find fun. During the primaries, he would bound onto rally stages bursting with energy and a sense of excitement that intensified as the crowds chanted his name and cheered his every word. He would regularly schedule news conferences, call into news shows and chat with reporters, eager to spar with them. He would say politically incorrect things and then watch his polling numbers soar. He used to be the winner.

But no more. In recent days, Trump has tried to explain away his slide in the polls as a conspiracy carried out by the media, Democrats and Republicans. If he loses, it will be because he was cheated, Trump has repeatedly told his supporters, urging them to go to polling places in neighborhoods other than their own and “watch.”…


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