Category Archives: The Economy

Folks?…Republicans still do NOT have the votes for the tax bill sewed up….

A LOT of deals made on this  which has moved closer to what the Senator’s wanted….But NOT all….

The media and Republicans are all strutting around like the tax bill is signed and sealed?

It isn’t….

There ARE loose ends floating around that could torpedo the bill next week….

The final vote will involve a small few Republican Senator’s either accepting what they didn’t get and voting ‘Aye’…or?….Those same Senator’s holding their noses and  voting ‘No’….

We’ll see next week…

He’s the Update from Bloomberg on Friday evening….

….’the final bill will follow the Senate legislation and include a two-year tax extended tax break for individuals with high medical expenses, according to two people familiar with the provision who described it on the condition of anonymity.

The provision lowers the amount people have to spend on health costs before they can deduct those costs, to 7.5 percent of their income, from 10 percent under current law. Its expansion was pushed for by Senator Susan Collins, the Maine Republican whose vote is crucial to passing the tax package.’…

….

Mike Lee of Utah is “undecided,” and — like Rubio — he’s working to make the child tax credit more generous, according to Conn Carroll, his spokesman.

Jeff Flake of Arizona, who has voiced concerns about tax cuts adding to the deficit, said Thursday he’s undecided as well…

Susan Collins of Maine has voiced opposition to cutting the tax rate for incomes above $1 million and has pushed for passage of two health-care stabilization bills that the House has been cold to. She hasn’t committed to supporting the final tax measure. “I am going to review the tax bill over the weekend,” she said. “There’s lots of rumors about what’s in it, what isn’t.”…

More….

Note….

The final bill is 500 or so pages….

People are gonna be reading thru it all weekend….

There are bound to be some surprises….

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Democratic clawback coming from the suburbs …..

It isn’t just the black vote…And it isn’t the Bernie Sanders people….

Increasingly it’s the suburbs of major cities in Blue and surprisingly Red state’s….

Democrats in Nassau County NY, the subburb where I live won victories countywide and borowide that put  sent Republicans packing from offices they though they owned…The boro/town of Hemstead did have a Democrat in office for decades !….

This movement has been forming BIGGER with Trump and the GOP , which is out to take away benefits that Obama had worked hard to provide…..

Republicans maybe sheepishly following Donald Trump and HIS base….But that base is slowly thinning around the edges and has cost Republicans increasingly in elections….

In Alabama, Sen.-elect Doug Jones (D) flipped or came close on Tuesday in suburban counties that Trump had won around Birmingham and Montgomery.

His victory offers the latest data points for a trendline that stretches back to April, when a special election in Kansas to replace Mike Pompeo — who gave up his House seat to become CIA director — was unexpectedly close because of Democratic strength and high turnout in the Wichita suburbs, specifically Sedgwick County.

In Virginia last month, Chesterfield County — which includes the suburbs around Richmond — backed a Democratic gubernatorial candidate for the first time since 1961. Several GOP state legislators unexpectedly went down in suburban districts that were not thought to be in play. Gov.-elect Ralph Northam (D) won the district held by Rep. Barbara Comstock (R-Va.) in the D.C. suburbs by 13 points. Four years before, Terry McAuliffe got 60 percent in Fairfax County. Northam pulled 68 percent.

The same night, Democrats flipped two county executive races in the New York suburbs of Westchester and Nassau. They also picked up GOP-held state legislative in the suburbs of Seattle, Tulsa and Atlanta.

These shifts alarm Republicans because many of their most vulnerable House incumbents represent suburban districts around places like Minneapolis and Philadelphia.Many college-educated white women who voted for Trump are swinging away, and traditional Democrats are highly motivated while Republicans are fractured.

“Throughout 2017, there has been a storm brewing in these suburbs, but on Tuesday night it got upgraded to a Category 5,” said Democratic strategist Jesse Ferguson, who cut his teeth in Virginia politics and worked on Hillary Clinton’s campaign last year.

There have been more than 70 special elections for state and federal legislative seats in 2017 so far. … Democrats have outperformed the partisan lean in 74 percent of these races,” Harry Enten tabulates on FiveThirtyEight….

More….

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A Majority of American’s think Trump should step down or be impeached…Poll

The poll was done  PublicPolicyPoilling (PPP) ….

The outfit is considered Democratic leaning….

Ok…

With THAT out of the way?

It’s not hard to understand the numbers…..

Donald Trump’s average disapproval has been steadily dropping in the last few weeks….

Two nights ago his gut, Roy Moore lost to a Democart in the  Red (Republican) state of ALABAMA….

Trump’s past sexual misconduct actions are back on the front pages of newspapers and news channels….

The Republicans are forging forward on a tax bill that is unpopular to a large amount of Americans who will probably see their taxes go up…..

The same group of law makers are also hell bent on knocking millions of Americans off healthcare coverage and cutting their socal safety net benefits….

Oh, and the guy keeps talking like he wants to get invcleved in World War III with North Korea?

Add to ALL of this farmers who are scared he’s gonna wipe out their export makerts and of course the BIG ONE!….

He’s increasingly being shown as a President who tried to stop an investiagtion of WTF he’s been trying so hard to get in bed with the Russian President who it appear had a massive effort to penetrate this countries upper government….

Image result for Trump/obama

The poll says voters would take Obama back by a 56/39% margin….

PPP’s newest national poll finds that a majority of voters think Donald Trump should resign from the Presidency because of the allegations of sexual harassment against him. 53% think Trump should step down to just 42% who think he should remain in office. 53% of voters believe the women who have accused Trump of harassment, to 31% who think they aren’t telling the truth….

In general Trump voters seem relatively unconcerned with his behavior toward women. Just 45% say they would disapprove of Trump sexually harassing women while 22% actually say they would approve of him doing so, and 32% express no opinion either way. Trump voters are also somewhat skeptical of the ‘Me Too’ movement, giving it just a 37/33 favorability rating, compared to 74/10 among Clinton voters. Overall voters agree with Time Magazine’s decision to give the ‘Me Too’ movement its Person of the Year award 51/35, but there is predictable disagreement on that too with Clinton voters saying 82/6 they support the honorees and Trump voters saying 75/15 it instead should have been Trump.

The reaction of Trump voters to the recent charges against Michael Flynn and Paul Manafort is…fire Robert Mueller and hate the FBI. 56% of them think Mueller should be fired to only 17% who are opposed to such a move. 53% say they disapprove of the job the FBI is doing, to just 24% who approve…

One thing that’s not helping the GOP is the tax bill- only 29% of voters support it to 49% who are opposed. And by a 23 point margin voters say they’re less likely to vote for a member of Congress next year who supports it- 49% say support for the tax bill makes them less likely to vote for someone, to only 26% who consider it a positive.

And the more tuned in to the tax debate voters are, the worse it gets for Republicans. Among those who say they’ve heard ‘a lot’ about the tax plan 62% oppose it, and that group of voters gives Democrats a 63-33 advantage on the generic House ballot. Only 26% of voters think the middle class and small businesses will be the primary beneficiary of the bill, with 61% thinking it will be the wealthy and large corporations….

-Only 38% of voters think he’s honest, to 57% who say he’s not. 55% flat out call him a liar, to only 39% who disagree with that characterization.

-62% of voters still want to see his tax returns, to 31% who say it isn’t necessary.

-51% of voters believe Trump is mentally unbalanced, to 44% who say they think he’s mentally stable.

-Just 37% of voters think he’s delivered on his core campaign promise to ‘Make America Great Again,’ while 57% say he hasn’t.

-For the first time we find a majority of voters- 51%- support impeaching Trump to 42% who are opposed….

Lots More Here…

image…nypost.com

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Republicans announce a Deal on a Tax Cut Bill….

We’ll see if this gets passed ….

The whole thing must get an ok from several GOP Senator ‘s that won’t get what they were promised….

In addtition, anything that is attached to the budget means Democrats will get their chance at it in the budget vote they have to be involved with….

The Republicans lose one critical senate vote come early January with Doug Jones taking his seat in less than a month…..

Stay tuned….

This has aways to go….

House and Senate Republicans have reached an agreement, in principle, on a consensus tax bill on Wednesday, keeping the party on track for final votes next week with the aim of delivering a bill to President Trump’s desk by Christmas, according to people briefed on the deal.

Senator John Cornyn of Texas, the majority whip, told reporters that Republicans will be briefed on the deal today, and that he is confident it will be approved next week.

Details on the deal were not immediately available. On Tuesday, Republicans said they were close to agreement on a package that included a cut in the corporate tax rate to 21 percent, from a high of 35 percent today, and reducing the top income tax rate for individuals to 37 percent from 39.6 percent.

It is not clear if Republican senators will roundly endorse the deal, which would allow provisions that Senators Susan Collins of Maine and Marco Rubio of Florida had raised concerns about earlier this week. Ms. Collins has said she’s not in favor of a lower individual rate and Mr. Rubio has pushed for a more generous child tax credit.

The Senate bill narrowly passed 51-49, with Senator Bob Corker, a Tennessee Republican, voting against the legislation, and other lawmakers, such as Ms. Collins, only getting on board once certain changes were made, such as expanding the medical expense deduction….

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The Democrats on this…

Buoyed by their upset victory in Tuesday night’s Alabama Senate race, Senate Democrats on Wednesday demanded that Republicans delay the final vote on a massive tax overhaul until Doug Jones, the party’s new senator-elect, can be sworn in.

Senator Chuck Schumer of New York, the Democratic leader, called on his Republican counterpart, Senator Mitch McConnell of Kentucky, to “hit the pause button” on the tax vote. It is highly unlikely that Mr. McConnell will do so….

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House Democrats won’t ok another stopgap Budget Bill…

House Democrat’s signal they will join their Senate party members in demanding action of several things that Republicans have put off in hopes of not dealing with altogether or cutting….

The Budget Bill has to have 60 votes in the Senate meaning the Democrats must go along with the overall final bill…

Even the just passed Defense bill MUST have clearance form the budget bill, or it is moot due to budget cuts requirments that must go into effect if they are not overruled ina new budget agreement…

Democrats will not support another clean continuing resolution that would allow Republicans to continue shirking their governing responsibilities, House Minority Whip Steny Hoyer said Tuesday.

Hoyer named several “must pass” bills Republicans have yet to get through Congress, including reauthorizations of the Children’s Health Insurance Program, Section 702 of the Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Act and the National Flood Insurance program, as well as the next disaster supplemental and legislation providing a path to legal status for young undocumented immigrants impacted by the end of the Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals program.

“There’s no more time to get these things done,” Hoyer said. Republicans “are not going to bludgeon us into ignoring issues just because they ignore issues,” the Maryland Democrat said. “And they think they have the votes. We’ll see.”

The two-week CR Congress passed last week expires Dec. 22. While 14 House Democrats voted for that CR, Hoyer said they would not have helped Republicans pass it if the GOP didn’t have the votes.

Senate Democrats helped get that CR through their chamber, but Hoyer said Senate Minority Leader Charles E. Schumer has said they won’t support another stopgap measure….

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The GOP tax cut bill effort slows….

Ya KNEW this was coming….

Rewriting the nation’s tax law has not be done in decades…..

It isn’t gonna be easy yo get it done this time either….

The whole thing rests on just a few Republican Senator ‘s…..And ALSO the Democrats….

The final Senate bill got passed with promises that GOP Majority leader Mitch McConnell made that won’t/can’t be done with the GOP House….

Donald Trump, Paul Ryan, Mitch McConnell

So the critical few Republican Senator’s will have decide what they are gonna do….

In addition?

There are things in the tax bill that are attached to the budget bill that comes back around in two weeks that Democrats HAVE TO support to fund the government….

All this means that the House and Senate have a VERY narrow path to tip-toe thru to get the votes they need….

And right now?

Things do NOT look promising for the tax bill…

The GOPer’s WANT the tax bill….

They MUST pass a spending bill….

Oh, yea….The polling on the tax bill is uniformly NEGATIVE by Americans…

“What we’re missing in the process is virtually the entirety of the process,” said Edward D. Kleinbard, a former chief of staff at the congressional Joint Committee on Taxation and now a professor at USC’s Gould School of Law.

Republicans, he said, are “voting for an ideology rather than a tax legislation.”

At one point it seemed the tax bill, after passing the Senate in the early hours of Dec. 2, might be quickly rushed for a House vote. But that momentum has slipped some, as staff and lawmakers, take a second look, making sure the final product is one Republicans can support. Polls so far have found most Americans don’t approve of the bill.

Leaders have little margin for error; they can lose only about 20 Republican votes in the House and no more than two in the Senate, and still be able to pass the bill along party lines.

A Christmas vote would give Republicans a legislative high note to end Trump’s first year in office.

“The desperation is palpable,” said Sen. Ron Johnson (R-Wis.), who continues to raise concerns about the tax treatment of pass-through businesses, and whose vote is not guaranteed.

As the final bill takes shape, GOP leaders must balance the votes of centrists, such as Sen. Susan Collins (R-Maine), whose support is contingent on healthcare votes to ease the tax bill’s repeal of the Obamacare requirement that all Americans have insurance, with deficit hawks such as Sen. Bob Corker (R-Tenn.), who opposed the earlier version for adding too much to the deficit.

Though GOP leaders say the tax cuts will pay for themselves through economic growth, the Joint Committee on Taxation has concluded that both versions would add about $1 trillion to the deficit, even after accounting for expected growth.

A Treasury report Monday sought to assure lawmakers that the cost of the $1.5-trillion package would be more than paid for by future economic growth. But the one-page report was widely criticized because it relied heavily on separate and as-of-yet unannounced future initiatives for infrastructure development and welfare reform.

Senate Minority Leader Charles E. Schumer (D-N.Y.) called the report “fake math.”

More…

image…(Evan Vucci / Associated Press)

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The Alabama that Roy Moore lives in….

The New York Times takes a look at things in Alabama today….

A lot of us have NO idea how the place is and why someone like Roy Moore could ganner votes…

Read the linked piece….

Makes ya scratch your head that the piece is about an American state…

The state is so often stellar in football, residents say ruefully, and not much else, a consequence of generations of bitter fights, political turbulence and eternal divides over race and class.

About 17 percent of Alabamians live in poverty — the fifth-highest rate in the country — and the state’s violence-wracked prisons are jammed to 159 percent of their intended capacity. With budget troubles a chronic fact of life, spending on Medicaid, which has not been expanded, lags. Standardized test scores are among the nation’s lowest. Heart disease and diabetes are endemic.

Last year, Marion, a rural city in central Alabama, suffered a tuberculosis outbreak so severe that its incidence rate was worse than that of many developing countries.

The infant mortality rate for 2016 rose to 9.1 deaths per 1,000 live births, the highest rate the state has seen since 2008. (The national rate was 5.9 deaths per 1,000 live births in 2015, the most recent year for which federal data is available.) The mortality rate was more than twice as high for black infants as white ones, and in some parts of the state, like Perry or Pickens Counties, the rate was 25.6 and 30.3.

“I think we really don’t know why it’s going up,” said Grace Thomas, the assistant state health officer for family health services with the state’s Department of Public Health, who called the rates a “key indicator of a health care system’s effectiveness” and said black, Hispanic and poor women were less likely to get the care they need.

Paris Daves, 24, said it took her several months after she found out she was pregnant last year to get on Medicaid, although she has since drawn support from an organization called Gift of Life, which works to prevent infant mortality in Montgomery. But as a young, single parent, there are other problems, too, like unreliable public transportation and low wages.

“Minimum wage here is $7.25,” said Ms. Daves, who earns a dollar more than that as a shift manager at McDonald’s. “That’s not enough to pay my rent or take care of my son.”

In Haleyville, northwest of Birmingham, the coming shutdown of the hospital looms over the city where, in 1968, the country’s first 911 call was made.

But you can pick anyplace in Alabama and find issues that feel somewhere between daunting and suffocating. In the Black Belt, named for its rich topsoil, but now a region of widespread rural poverty, people still wonder whether once-plentiful jobs will ever come back….

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Republicans want this country closed off and back to the 1950’s…Open Thread for Dec 8, 2017….

No more immigrants….

Hunt down those who came here illegally , cuff them and ship them out

No more abortions…

Black and poor people denied the right to vote….

Guns for everyone….

Give your money BACK to your boss…

Gays are denied their civil rights….

War….Not Peace….

More guns and tanks….

Get rid of social safety net programs…

Tell OTHER countries…They are on their own…

Tell American exporters….You can only sell in this country….

Threaten to take away a healthcare program that has enrolled almost 10% of Americans who had NO healthcare except the emergency room…

Added to all this is the idea that it’s all right to put people (guys) into office that lie, cheat and steal from those less fortunate…..

All that excitement about Barack Obama being the first black/mixed race President and a Democrat has made the Republicans hard pressed to ‘take back’ a country that IS  into second decade of the 21st Century….

In order for the above to be stopped?

Democrats and some Republicans are gonna have to NOT accept resignation and rise up and VOTE….In local , state and Congressional election next November and in 2020….

Image result for trump and republicans

They could get some help from the Robert Mueller final throw-down which will show a New York Real Estate guy who fell into the Presidency of the United State ill equipped to handle it and has tried to get in bed with a foreign power’s people that have done a masterful job of penetrating a start-up American Presidential admin and  tried to get even with American winning the ‘Cold War’…..

In addition ?

At what point does the fear of replacing an American President over come the fear of leaving the guy in to wreck just about everything he touches as he has with past business dealings?…

Donald J. Trump IS the Grand Ole Party these days…He stole it in broad daylight last year and continues make it follow his outlandish and ill conceived action’s…..

Those actions listed above, and more?

Done by guys who MOST America’s do NOT approve of or Support…

Point to a country looking to go BACKWARDS….

Not to contiune being ‘Great’….

 

image..abcnews.go.com

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The economy added 228,000 jobs in November, unemployment at 4.1 percent

That’s good….

But wages are NOT increasing for workers….

Comnpanies aren’t passing things along….

Not really a surprise in the age of Trump and the Republicans focused on making the bosses rich…Not the workers, eh?

The economy added 228,000 jobs in November, slightly outpacing analysts’ expectations, and unemployment held steady at 4.1 percent, federal economists reported Friday.

Workers’ average hourly earnings, meanwhile, grew by 5 cents, up 2.5 percent from this time last year, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics.

“These are really strong numbers, which is pretty exciting, since this is our first clean read after the volatility associated with the hurricanes,” said Josh Wright, chief economist at iCIMS, a hiring software firm.

Despite the wave of new positions, however, American workers still aren’t getting much of a raise, he added.

“Wage growth was the big disappointment,” Wright said. “It was lower than we expected. Everyone is scratching their heads.”….

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In the end…What does Senator’s Flake and Collins do?

The House Conservatives are NOT going into the budget and tax bill write-up supporting promises Mitch McConnell made to several senators to get them to vote yes to advance the tax cut/givaway bill in the US Senate….

If they get the door closed in their faces?

What di they do?…

Today, those promises are on shaky ground….

Collins told reporters this week that she’s “confident it’s going to happen before the end of the month,” citing “a very clear commitment” from Trump and Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell. But House Speaker Paul Ryan said he had no part of this deal. And House conservatives say they see no way these bills—which they’ve derided as “bailouts” for insurance companies—pass the lower chamber before the end of the year….

As for Flake, who told Time Magazine he has an “an iron-clad guarantee that we’ll get it done” regarding the fate of roughly 800,000 immigrants who were brought to the U.S. as children, he declined Wednesday to answer TPM’s questions about when a meeting will take place and what has been discussed so far.

“We’re negotiating, let me put it that way,” he said.

Though DACA officially expires next March, tens of thousands of young people have already lost their temporary legal protections and some have even faced deportation.

Bill Hoagland, a top staffer for decades on the Senate Budget Committee and now the senior vice president of the Bipartisan Policy Center, told TPM Flake “might be buying a pig in a poke.” ….

More…

Note….

If Flake and Collins join Sen Corker in opposing the tax cut/giveawy bill and the budget?

There ain’t gonna be a Senate vote….

And THAT could mean a Government shutdown until SOMEONE blinks.?…

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Congress won’t pay infrastructure bill…So Trump wants state’s to tax their own people for it….

The way states pay for large capital projects in America since the 1930s is to recoup their tax dollars BACK from the Federal government….

Donald Trump ran of a BIG program to help states get people to work by fixing roadways, airports and other mass transit project with infrastructure program….Democrats were happy to agree to this…..

Conservatives in Trump’s party want no part of it….

Trump now thinks he can sell the states and localities paying for this thru RAISING TAXES on their citizens?

Even as President Trump and Republicans in Congress seek to cut federal taxes, the White House has quietly come up with a very different plan for infrastructure: It wants to reward states and localities willing to raise taxes or other revenue to pay for new projects.

The dynamic is key to the Trump administration’s latest thinking on an infrastructure bill aimed at spurring a $1 trillion investment in the nation’s ailing roads, bridges, rail lines and airports. Originally touted by Trump as a first 100-days initiative — and one with the prospect for bipartisan support — it has stalled amid other bruising legislative battles.

The approach now being contemplated is considered innovative by some infrastructure experts but also carries considerable political and economic risks for Trump.

While some in his own party remain wary of any new spending, many state and local officials and Democrats in Congress would like to see a more robust federal investment. Washington would cover only $200 billion of the $1 trillion tab under the legislation being developed. Some also worry that taxes and fees raised at the local level could cancel out any potential benefits of a federal tax bill for their constituents….

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Polling the tax cut/giveaway plan….GOPer vs the American’s in general….

The message IS clear….

…twitter….

I’m not sure how much policy translates to votes these days, but it can’t *help* to choose two unbelievably unpopular ideas as your top priority in Congress…..

  1. The key to the midterms or something

    Two polls of GOP tax plan today with near identical results. Gallup: 29% approve, 56% disapprove

    Quinnipiac: 29% approve, 53% disapprove

    This is another place where the GOP tax plan is hurting Republicans- only 35% of voters support it, 47% opposed:

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U.S. trade gap soars as imports from other countries climb…

Donald Trump wanted to withdarw from international trade agreements….

He thought that in doing so?

American businesses would be able to mnake MORE money by going on their own….

THAT doesn’t seem likely….

All his idea’s seem to  have done is to have OTHER COUNTRIES seek to take advantage of Trump’s screwing his own countries exporters….

The U.S. trade deficit jumped 8.6 percent in October as imports from China and other suppliers hit a record high ahead of the holiday shopping season, a Commerce Department report released Tuesday showed.

The monthly trade gap totaled $48.7 billion, the highest level for a full month since President Donald Trump took office on Jan. 20.

Ahead of the election, a Trump campaign adviser asserted they could eliminate the deficit in one or two years. Instead, the 2017 deficit is on track to exceed the 2016 level of $505 billion.

Imports of goods and services hit a record high of $244.6 billion as the U.S. economy continued to strengthen and suck in more goods from abroad. Imports totaled $48.2 billion from China, $39.4 billion from the EU and $28.7 billion from Mexico — all record highs….

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Are the Republicans helping the Democrats regain their political footings?

By working on passing law’s that are already unpopular and will hurt Americans come payday….Are they sowing the seeds of the Democrats chances of gaining back a majority in the House and electing a President in three years that will help rollback the tax give back to the rich and help Americans keep more health insurance benefits?

Of all the horrors Donald Trump has (and has yet to) inflict upon the republic, a huge tax cut for the rich was the most inevitable. But it is also the most easily reversible. Lifetime court appointments, carbon pollution, the degrading of democratic norms — all of these will prove difficult or impossible to undo, and leave costs deep into the future. The Trump tax cuts will not.

Indeed, the passage of the Trump tax cuts will help lay the groundwork for their undoing by increasing the chances Democrats regain control of Congress. The moment Trump won his election last November, he immediately forfeited his most potent advantages: He no longer had the deeply unpopular Hillary Clinton as his opponent, and he lost the advantage of Democratic complacency (which tends to build up over time when their party holds the White House.) An anti-Republican wave of some size was always inevitable. But Trump compounded the problem by surrendering another potent advantage: his brand as an economic populist loathed by the financial elite and planning to raise taxes on rich people like himself.

Probably nothing has done more to erode Trump’s public standing than the consistently plutocratic cast of his domestic policy. The tax cut is the second-most-unpopular major piece of legislation in recorded history, behind only Trump’s other major domestic initiative, the health-care-repeal bill…

Democrats have nothing to fear from making repeal of the Trump tax cuts for the rich a defining party plank. On the contrary, they have a great deal to gain.

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The tax cut bill the Republicans like isn’t gonna make American’s happy…

In their rush to something…ANYTHING passed?

They are working to anger the very people they SAY they are trying help?

“Why are you going to lower their taxes?” Stephens said, naming some wealthy auto-titan families as examples as he waited for his turn to bowl Wednesday night. “The level of lifestyle that they have versus everyone else — why do they need that? It’s not that big of an impact for them, but for someone making $30,000 a year? That would have a huge impact on them.”

Here in the Detroit suburbs and across the country, many voters say they view the Republican tax plan as a giveaway for the rich that will benefit only a small number of people in the long run. Trump and prominent members of his party promise that the cuts will spur economic growth — leading to more jobs and better pay — but many voters say they are skeptical that will actually happen.

Polls consistently show that more Americans oppose the tax plan than support it — including, most recently, a Quinnipiac survey in November that showed that for every two people who disapproved of the plan, only one supported it. That poll found that fewer than 1 in 6 Americans expect their taxes to be reduced, while more than twice that many expect their taxes to go up. When it comes to just Republicans, a third expect to personally get a tax cut….

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Will there be a Government Shutdown?

Republican Senate Leader Mitc McConnell doesn’t think so….

Democratic leader Chuck Schumer isn’t so sure….

Mitch needs some of Chuck’s people’s vote….

Donald Trump has been attacking Schumers people….

Hmmmmm?

Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.) said Sunday that there will not be a government shutdown over the Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals (DACA) program, arguing “there is no crisis.”

“Look, there’s not going to be a government shutdown. It’s just not going to happen,” McConnell told ABC’s “This Week.”

McConnell argued that since President Trump has given Congress until March to work on a fix to DACA, there is no emergency that would require a shutdown.

“I don’t think the Democrats would be very smart to say ‘we want to shut down the government over a non-emergency that we can address any time between now and March,’” McConnell said “That’s a very untenable position.”

“I can’t imagine that they want to shut down the government over an issue that’s not an emergency,” he added….

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House Republican leaders are pursuing a two-step strategy to avoiding a government shutdown, but might have difficulty rounding up votes in the caucus for that approach.

Leaders want to vote on stopgap funding in two steps — one continuing resolution keeping government agencies operating through Dec. 22, and then another probably running into January, Rep. Charlie Dent said Friday.

“We obviously have to pass a CR. It looks like they are going to do it in two steps,” said Dent, R-Pa., a senior House appropriator, as he went into a GOP conference meeting to discuss fiscal 2018 spending.

Current stopgap funding expires Dec. 8, and congressional leaders are no closer to agreement on funding levels for the 12 fiscal 2018 appropriations bills let alone the hard slog of actually drafting an omnibus package. With little time remaining before the winter holidays, reality is setting in that at least one more CR will be necessary to buy more time….

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“I don’t think this thing passes,” Walker [R-NC] said. “I think they’re probably going to have to push something into January. At the same time you have defense and military issues when you do that. This is probably going to be a main topic of conversation going into next week.”

Walker confirmed that one option discussed was a CR lasting through December 30.

“We just think that in the throws of tax reform over the next two weeks and then trying to spin out of that and get something done in a day or two there right before Christmas, we just don’t think that puts us in the healthiest place,” he said.

Another member, speaking anonymously to discuss the internal conference deliberations, said the December 30 option was discussed as a way to get more Republicans on board but with the caveat that GOP leaders would not cave to Democrats’ demands on whatever spending bill comes after that….

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