Category Archives: Polls

Where can Democrats win House seats?

Nate_Cohn over at the NY Times gives eight types of Republican House districts to watch….

Democrats have debated extensively over whether their path to power goes through the white-working-class Rust Belt states or the diverse, well-educated Sun Belt. In 2018, this debate is moot. The Democrats don’t have the luxury of choosing where to compete in House races. They’ll have to target all of these areas.

The problem for Democrats is simple: There just aren’t many great opportunities for them to pick up seats in Democratic-leaning areas. Instead, they’ll have to compete in a lot of districts where they’re competitive but not favored.

There are probably 70 or so districts where Democrats have a better than 10 percent chance to win if the national political environment is especially favorable to them. To retake the House, Democrats will try to put as many of these seats into play as possible, and hope to end up with the 24 they need.

To illustrate, we’ve divvied up Republican House districts into eight groups to keep an eye on. The groups aren’t strictly based on competitiveness: Within groups, some members are far more vulnerable than others. There are a few districts that don’t fit neatly into any of the groups, and there are a few that fit into several. But the kinds of opportunities and challenges facing Democrats or Republicans in each group are pretty similar…..

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Young Republicans fall to left of their elders on Immigration/Gay Rights…Poll

Would these same young Republicans be considered the ‘moderates’ of the Grand Ole Party that are NOT supposed to exist anymore?

According to the PRRI [ Public Religion Research Institute] poll, 64 percent of all Americans, regardless of political affiliation and age, believe that immigrants in the U.S. illegally should have a path to citizenship if certain conditions are met; only 16 percent say they should be deported. Among Republicans of all ages, support for a path to citizenship is lower, at 55 percent. But when only Republicans between the ages of 18 to 29 are accounted for, that number rises to 62 percent.

The election of President Donald Trump, who pledged to deport millions of immigrants living in the country illegally during the campaign, did not diminish the young Republicans’ hope for a new stance by the GOP….

The age gap among Republicans also surfaces on gay rights: 54 percent of Republicans between 18 and 29 believe that gay and lesbian couples should marry, while half as many Republicans older than 65 agree. Younger GOP supporters are more closely aligned with the majority of Americans than their older counterparts: Overall, 58 percent of Americans support gay marriage. However, they are far from the average among young people of all political leanings: 74 percent of them support gay marriage….

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Boston Mayor Race early poll….Walsh ahead by 31% Points….

Mayor Martin J. Walsh (left) and opponent Tito Jackson gathered signatures last month in Dudley Square.

JOHN CETRINO FOR THE BOSTON GLOBE/FILE

Mayor Martin J. Walsh (left) and opponent Tito Jackson gathered signatures last month in Dudley Square.

Mayor Martin J. Walsh holds a commanding 31-point lead over his closest rival, Councilor Tito Jackson, in a new Suffolk University/Boston Globe poll that shows just how hard it will be to derail Walsh’s reelection bid even as voters are unhappy with the city schools and the cost of housing, and are divided over the state of race relations.

With 14 weeks to go before the Sept. 26 preliminary contest, more than 60 percent of voters surveyed said they view Walsh favorably and approve of the job he is doing as mayor. While many respondents said they also view Jackson favorably, he remains a virtual unknown to almost half of the city’s voters.

Walsh would trounce Jackson if the preliminary contest were held today, 54 percent to 23 percent, with more than 18 percent of registered voters undecided, according to the poll. The incumbent, who is white, came out on top by wide margins in every voter segment, besting Jackson, who is African-American, and two lesser known mayoral competitors.

“The poll shows that even among black voters and Hispanic voters, Walsh is beating Tito Jackson among all categories, race, gender, age, geography,’’….

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Green Party Jill Stein…Post Trump Election Win…

Turns out Stein had a ‘meet and great’ with Putin , just like Mike Flynn….

Oh, those third and fourth national party people!…

Democrats ain’t happy…

Image result for jill stein

So does Stein, with the benefit of hindsight, have any regrets? “I don’t think so,” she tells me by phone from her home in Lexington, Massachusetts. Decrying “fake news,” citing the “sabotage of Bernie Sanders” and talking up the “tremendous” campaign she could have run with more money, Stein is projecting a Trump-worthy level of defiance. “I consider it a great honor that the party and our prior campaign for president is suddenly being attacked outside of an election season,” she says.

Those attacks aren’t merely sour grapes from a party still reeling from its stunning defeat in November. Some Democrats would like to see Stein hauled in front of Congress to explain mysteries like what, exactly, she was doing at a 2015 Moscow gala thrown by a Russian state-owned broadcaster—the same RT event that got Trump’s former national security adviser, Michael Flynn, in such trouble.

“We’re certainly interested in any efforts the Russians made to influence our election,” says California Democratic Rep. Adam Schiff, the ranking member of the House Intelligence Committee, which is investigating Russia’s alleged meddling in the election. “There have been public reports, I think, that Jill Stein was also in Russia attending the RT function, so we’re going to need to look at any efforts the Russians made through whatever means to influence our elections.”

Stein didn’t just attend the gala—dressed in a shimmering silver shawl, she sat at the same table as Russian President Vladimir Putin, who has barely disguised his glee at the political chaos that what he calls “patriotic” Russian hackers have unleashed in the United States. And she recorded a video from Moscow’s famous Red Square, in which she talked about “the need to rein in American exceptionalism” and replace “a U.S. policy based on domination”—words that sounded like they were ripped from Putin’s talking points.

Stein isn’t sorry about any of it. She says she’d welcome the opportunity to testify before Congress and dismisses the idea that she was a spoiler or that her campaign was co-opted as a tool of Russian influence as Democrats’ “pathetic excuses” for losing the election….

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image…time.com

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Trump’s Russian Connection isn’t an issue to most Americans…

While the media spends headlines about Trump & Co’s entanglements with the Russians?

Most Americans could care less….

Actually?

Trump could probably sit down in a bar with Putin and most Americans could STILL care less…

Democratic leaders have figured out in the loss of the last 5 special House elections that attacking Trump HIMSELF does virtually nothing…

Americans Democrats and Republicans KNOW their President doesn’t stick to the facts, they know he gets few things actually done…

But Trump political strength seems to be the he rants against the status quo that most of us feel in dealing with our everyday lives in a country of 300 million plus, that has a LOT of ways to get in our paychecks….

Democrats tend to talk about the ideology of helping those who need government help….Trump has money and continues to make money off BEING President….

Middle Class people and Rich ones LIKE that…

Remember all those stories we did here and out in the media about how the demographics of America was changing?

Well, they ARE….

Trump and Republican efforts to close the door on the changes won’t stop them…

And voters of the above classes won’t change things either….

 

Democrats will have to do things the ‘old fashion way’ as the commercial used to say…

‘They will have to EARN IT’…

That means reaching for the hearts and minds of the Middle Class voters that left Hillary Clinton last year, and had started leaving Barack Obama 8 years ago…

And THAT means the economy and yea….’feel your pain’ stuff for people who actually vote…Not just have the time to protest…

“We can’t just talk about Russia because people back in Ohio aren’t really talking that much about Russia, about Putin, about Michael Flynn,” Rep. Tim Ryan (D-Ohio) told MSNBC Thursday. “They’re trying to figure out how they’re going to make the mortgage payment, how they’re going to pay for their kids to go to college, what their energy bill looks like.

“And if we don’t talk more about their interest than we do about how we’re so angry with Donald Trump and everything that’s going on,” he added, “then we’re never going to be able to win elections.”

Ryan is among the small group of Democrats who are sounding calls for a changing of the guard atop the party’s leadership hierarchy following Tuesday’s special election defeat in Georgia — the Democrats’ fourth loss since Trump took office. But Ryan is hardly alone in urging party leaders to hone their 2018 message.

Rep. Tim Walz (D-Minn.) has been paying particularly close attention to voters’ concerns because he’s running for governor in 2018. The Russia-Trump investigation, he said, isn’t on their radar.

“I did a 22-county tour. … Nobody’s focusing on that,” Walz said. “That’s not to say that they don’t think Russia and those things are important, [but] it’s certainly not top on their minds.”

Rep. Peter Welch (D-Vt.) delivered a similar message, saying his constituents are most concerned with two things: dysfunction in Washington and the Republicans’ plans to repeal ObamaCare. The controversies surrounding Trump, he said, don’t tally.

“We should be focused relentlessly on economic improvement [and] we should stay away from just piling on the criticism of Trump, whether it’s about Russia, whether it’s about Comey. Because that has its own independent dynamic, it’s going to happen on its own without us piling on,“ Welch said. …

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That also means that the party does NOT go running to the left on everything….

In the end?

Donald Trump is either gonna tweet himself out of a job?

Or….

Robert Mueller will pull the legs out from under him so that his party members in Congress abandon him…

But the Russian brake is coming from his OWN party members and Mueller with help from the Intelligence Community that he dissed without realizing that THEY where watching ALL the things he and buddies had be hiding from the public….

Payback, eh?

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Democrat leads in Virginia Governor’s race….

Former GOP National Party head Ed Gillespie has a hill top climb that Democratic Lt. Governor Northam is on top of….

As in in other races recently?

Donald Trump isn’t popular….

But?

That has NOT stop Republicans from coming out to vote in recent Special House elections this year…

Democrat Ralph Northam begins the general-election phase of Virginia’s governor’s race with an 8-point lead over Republican Ed Gillespie, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released on Wednesday.

Northam, the current lieutenant governor, held a 47 percent to 39 percent lead over Gillespie, a former Republican National Committee chairman, in the first independent polling conducted after last week’s gubernatorial primaries.

The poll found Northam with strong leads among women and minorities, with Gillespie drawing more support from white voters. Independent voters were evenly divided between the two, with 40 percent backing Gillespie and 38 percent supporting Northam.

“Lt. Gov. Ralph Northam begins the general election as the favorite to become the Old Dominion’s next governor. But not an overwhelming one,” Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll, said in a news release.

The poll also showed the extent to which President Donald Trump could be a drag on Virginia Republicans in the closely watched election, one of only two governor’s races in 2017, along with New Jersey’s….

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Charlie Cook’s people say Democrats STILL are in a good place for 2018 House Midterms…

Their view?

Democrats lose House races in GOP districts where there is a LOT of media attention that motivates the REPUBLICAN base….

In quiet races in GOP territory ?

Democrats do better….

And….

On the whole?

Democrats ARE actually over performing in House races in GOP districts….

They just need the Media to leave them alone while they work harder with better candidates…

If Democrats were to outperform their “generic” share by eight points across the board in November 2018, they would pick up 80 seats. Of course, that won’t happen because Republican incumbents will be tougher to dislodge than special election nominees. But these results fit a pattern that should still worry GOP incumbents everywhere, regardless of Trump’s national approval rating and the outcome of the healthcare debate in Congress.

Put another way, Democratic candidates in these elections have won an average of 68 percent of the votes Hillary Clinton won in their districts, while Republican candidates have won an average of 54 percent of Trump’s votes. That’s an enthusiasm gap that big enough to gravely imperil the Republican majority next November—even if it didn’t show up in “the special election to end all special elections.”……

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Will Democrats turn from Trump to Economics?

The loss of Jon Ossoff in the GA-06 and the continuing losing batting average for Democrats in Special House Elections has seemed to FINALLY woken up Democrats to the idea that running against Donald Trump isn’t gonna be enough if they want to start winning House races that will help them regain the majority in that legislative body….

Democrats are also back to questioning the leadership of Nancy Pelosi who raises a TON of money for her party members , but has lost the Speaker of the House spot and has presided over Democrats losing House races even in longtime Democratic districts…

Again?

Progressive and Left leaning policy will NOT work in getting the Democrats wins in the 20+ House races they need to take back from the Republicans….Democrats need to find a way to get ‘swing’ voters to cast their ballots for them…Not the Republicans…

“We need to show working men and women we understand their anxieties and fears,” she [ Representative Debbie Dingell of Michigan] said, “and show that Trump is treating them like just another politician.”

By fiercely contesting a congressional race in the conservative Atlanta suburbs, Democrats had hoped to make an emphatic statement about the weakness of the Republican Party under Mr. Trump. Their candidate, Jon Ossoff, raised about $25 million, mostly in small donations, and assertively courted right-of-center voters with promises of economic development and fiscal restraint.

That vague message, Democrats said Wednesday, was plainly not powerful enough to counter an onslaught of Republican advertising that cast Mr. Ossoff as a puppet of liberal national Democrats, led by Ms. Pelosi, an intensely unpopular figure on the right and a longstanding target of Republican attacks. While Mr. Ossoff made inroads by exploiting Mr. Trump’s unpopularity and a backlash against health care legislation approved in the House, Democrats said they would have to do more to actually win.

Representative Eric Swalwell of California, who is close to party leaders, said Democrats would “crystallize our message on jobs, on health care” in the coming months. The results in Georgia and other special elections, he said, should encourage Democrats to campaign across a huge map of districts. “We need to compete everywhere,” he said.

Representative Ben Ray Luján of New Mexico, the chairman of the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee, met Wednesday morning with a group of lawmakers who have been conferring about economic messaging, according to several people present who spoke on the condition of anonymity.

Mr. Luján told the group that his committee would examine the Georgia results for lessons, but he urged the lawmakers to portray the race in positive terms in their public comments, stressing that Democrats have consistently exceeded their historical performance in a series of special elections fought in solidly Republican territory.

It was in the meeting with Mr. Luján that Mr. Cárdenas, a member of the Democratic leadership, brought up Ms. Pelosi’s role in the Georgia race, calling it “the elephant in the room.” Ms. Pelosi was not present.

Mr. Ossoff’s supporters showed their dismay after results came in showing Karen Handel in the lead at a viewing party at the Westin Atlanta Perimeter North, on Tuesday night.CreditKevin D. Liles for The New York Times

A spokeswoman for Mr. Cárdenas, while acknowledging his comment, said he had invoked the leader in the context of “what can be done to stand up to those attacks in the future.”

Ms. Pelosi has consistently rejected calls to step down, and there was little indication that her leadership post was at risk. She responded to the election results in a “Dear Colleague” letter to Democratic lawmakers late Wednesday, underscoring the party’s improving performance in conservative areas and saying that “every effort was made to win” in Georgia.

But Ms. Pelosi also said it was time for Democrats to “put forth our message,” and promised an economic one that “we can all embrace and utilize in our districts.”….

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…twitter…

South Carolina source texted me last night: “People might not love Trump, but they really don’t like taxes.” Seems a good thing to remember.

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Republican Norman wins the SC-05 Special Election

Less money from national Democrats, and a concerted effort for the black vote helped Democratic Archie Parnell do better that most thought he would….But Republicans keep the seat for themselves…

Republican Ralph Norman has won South Carolina’s special House election to replace Office of Management and Budget Director Mick Mulvaney in Congress.

Norman defeated Democrat Archie Parnell in a closer than expected race for South Carolina’s 5th Distrct on Tuesday night. Norman had 52 percent of the vote to Parnell’s 48 percent when the Associated Press called the race with 89 percent of precincts reporting.

The district swung drastically to Democrats: Mulvaney defeated former Joe Biden aide Fran Person by 21 percentage points in November, and Trump won the district by 18 percentage points.

Norman, a conservative hardliner in the state legislature who won a primary runoff against a more moderate opponent with the help of the Club for Growth, has said he would join the House Freedom Caucus if elected.

Parnell, a former Goldman Sachs and ExxonMobil employee, did not attract the same grassroots attention that boosted Jon Ossoff in Georgia and Rob Quist in Montana in other House special elections this year. The national parties largely stayed out of the race in the Republican-leaning district. The DCCC spent just under $300,000 on the race, while the NRCC and Congressional Leadership Fund spent smaller amounts.

The DCCC’s money was aimed at turning out black voters, and much of the money went towards ads on African-American radio and canvassing in heavily black parts of the district. Other national Democrats, many with their eyes on an early 2020 primary state, also campaigned for Parnell, including former Maryland Gov. Martin O’Malley and Ohio Rep. Tim Ryan. Biden recorded a get-out-the-vote robocall…..

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Joe Biden is leading the Democratic 2020 Presidential field….

Ole’ Joe is hanging in there as the 2020 Democratic Presidential sweepstakes filed grows….

Image result for joe Biden

Sources close to Biden say he learned lessons from the 2016 election cycle that could prove helpful in a 2020 run.

He’s told people around him that Democratic nominee Hillary Clintonwasn’t a good candidate because she fell “out of touch” with parts of the Democratic base. It is a factor that cost her the election, he has bemoaned to friends time and again.

After seeing the blowback endured by Clinton and more recently former President Barack Obama, Biden is “purposefully” steering clear of paid speeches to corporations or taking on corporate work, as one Biden ally put it.

Biden, sources say, regrets not running for office in 2016, and if he does decide to run again, he doesn’t want unforced errors to hamper his chances.

“My sense from talking to him is that he would love the opportunity to do it,” one Democratic operative close to Biden said of a potential White House run. “He’s doing the things he needs to do, he’s stepping up to be a leader of the party — and the party needs it — and his poll numbers look good.”

A Morning Consult and Politico poll released on Monday shows Biden leading handily among other potential Democratic candidates, including Sen. Elizabeth Warren (Mass.).

While the poll could be interpreted in part as a measurement of Biden’s name recognition, the results still showed that 74 percent of Democratic voters have a favorable view of the former vice president, compared to 51 percent for Warren and 45 percent for Sen. Al Franken (D-Minn.). Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) was not included in the poll…..

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Here’s the poll….

  1. Biden
  2. Warren
  3. Franken
  4. Booker
  5. Kaine

The poll asked Registered DEMOCRATS…Bernie Sanders is NOT a Registered Democrat…He’s NOT on the list…..

image..cnn.com

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Nancy Pelosi is turning out to be a Democratic problem….

It appears that Republican negative ads against her ARE working with their base….

 In yesterdays GA-06 race?……

Image result for nancy pelosi young

Republican operatives say that 98 percent of voters in the 6th District already had an impression of Pelosi when they conducted their first internal poll, and she was 35 points underwater. When presented with the choice of whether they wanted a representative who would work with Paul Ryan or Pelosi, six in 10 picked the Speaker and three in 10 picked the minority leader…..

Source….

While national Republicans threw the kitchen sink at Ossoff, perhaps their most potent — and consistent — attack was linking him to House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi. Democrats have to admit they have a Pelosi problem, especially in red states and districts. Yes, she brings money and legislative savvy to the party. But if Democratic candidates like Ossoff are going to campaign on change, Republicans can quickly undercut that message by simply showing Pelosi. It’s a legitimate question Democrats must ask themselves: Can they win back the House with Pelosi promising to stay in power?…

Source….

House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi (D-Ca) maybe able to raise a LOT of money for the party….But she has become a lighting rod for the opposition to use to pick up votes…And that is something Democrats do NOT need….

image…cnn.com

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Political Roundup for June 21st, 2017…Holder 2020?….RRH Elections…

In case you missed it yesterday, Republican Karen Handel worked out an unexpectedly strong win in GA-6, and Republican Ralph Norman had an unexpectedly close win in SC-5. Republicans and Democrats each held a seat in the SC State House as well. What does it say about politics that the Democrats did better in the seat Clinton lost by close to 20 points that they basically ignored than the one she lost by 1 that they poured over $30 Million in? Maybe that going all-in on a political nobody who looks like he’s just finishing up his freshman year of college isn’t a good idea? Or perhaps,(more seriously) that the higher the special election turnout, the worse the result for the already-fired-up Democrats, as SC-5 saw something like 1/3rd as many votes as GA-6 did. Regardless, expect a day of Democrats spinning about how GA-6 didn’t really matter and Republicans spinning about how GA-6 meant everything.

Now, on to the news:

President:

CBS-Poll: A CBS poll has Trump down to his lowest numbers yet at 36% approval. His handling of the Russia probe seems to be his weakest point so far, as he’s not doing too bad on the other major issues tested. Also, Americans believe Comey over Trump by about 2:1, and slightly favor believing that the probe is a grave matter of national security over it being a political hatchet job.

2020: Morning Consultant did a poll of the favorability #s of just about every candidate seriously suggested for the 2020-Dem Nomination. The vast majority of them are unknown right now, with the exceptions being Warren (Slightly Positive) and Biden (Very positive). The only notable exceptions here are Sanders and of course Clinton 2020, because as they say the third time’s the charm!

Holder: Eric Holder, probably best remembered as the AG Obama replaced with Loretta Lynch, is apparently “re-entering the political fray” and is talking about running for President in 2020. Because at this point I think the Democrats saw the 17-candidate pileup of the 2016-GOP race and said “Hold my kale-smoothie–watch this”….

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Republicans hold GA-06…..

This was NOT a surprise….

The national political media made this a story about Donald Trump….

Apparently it wasn’t….

I did a post yesterday about a Washington Post reporter that went to ground in the district…He found out that Republican’s in the district didn’t really like how Trump was acting….

BUT?

They would vote for him again….

Why?

Because as crazy as he is?

He’s moving to stop the Democrats from giving stuff away that they have to work for…

Sound familiar?

It IS…

This the SAME comments that have come from voters on the right and  that defected from the Democratic party since Barack Obama won the Presidency in 2008….

Obama was able to hold on to enough of the black vote in the right places to get elected twice….

But he’s retired…

Now the Media is gonna makeup all kinds of shit tonight and for the next week or so but a couple of things are self evident to me….

All the media efforts to demonize Donald Trump is NOT gonna get Democrats much traction in next years Midterm elections ….

Like the Washington Post guy found out?

Yea Republicans think Trump is all over the place…

But he’s talking about THEM….

Democrats  and the Media REALLY do NOT have any use for the guy….

But he’s NOT going anyplace unless Robert Mueller announces he’s part of a conspiracy….

As of TONIGHT?

The Democrats are 0 and 5 in post Trump Special Elections…..

The Democrats just LOST the White House, the House and the Senate…..

The Democrats have lost TONS of state and local offices over the last eight years….

My party is BLEEDING politically….

ON top of that?

A old Socialist is trying to make sure they lose whatever they STILL have….

All this talk about Progressive/Left movement is NOT the answer….

The only thing it will get the party is more wins in places they ALREADY OWN….

The Democratic party needs to find a way to reach out for those people that Donald Trump has stolen from the Democrats…..

The Democratic party needs to find some down home selling points that will bring ‘swing’ voters back….

The Democratic party needs to stop holding it’s nose up and invite some more people that are in the MIDDLE OF THE political spectrum….

And for goodness sake?

Stop throwing money at candidates that simply aren’t up to the job….All the money in the world won’t get past a candidate that don’t have it….

Cause right now?

They are STILL BLEEDING……

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SC-05 also has a Special Election today….

Just 200 miles northeast of suburban Atlanta where local and national media are trailing Democrat Jon Ossoff, South Carolina Democrat Archie Parnell — accompanied by a sitting congressman — was passing out campaign literature at a fish fry here on Saturday with just one reporter in tow.

Parnell, the nominee in the special election for the Palmetto State’s 5th District, is doing the kind of retail politicking Ossoff gets credit for in Washington, D.C. Both candidates have made voter contact — not just by phone and mail, but by handshake — a top priority.

At a canvass launch in Chamblee, Georgia, on Sunday, Ossoff told volunteers that “the eyes of the world” are on the special election in 6th District. But the same can’t be said for the nearby special election in South Carolina, where voters go to the polls the same day.

In fact, not even many eyes in Washington are on South Carolina’s 5th District.

“Who’s Archie Parnell?” responded Florida Rep. Lois Frankel, a member of the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee’s leadership team, on Thursday when asked how she thought Parnell was doing in his special election…..

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…from FiveThirtyEight…..

Parnell’s best shot of coming within single digits of Norman (or winning) is if Republican voters in the district don’t turn out to vote. Democratic turnout in 2017 elections so far has been quite strong, and Republican voters may think Norman is a sure thing in a race that hasn’t received much attention. Democrat James Thompson nearly pulled off an upset in the special election in Kansas’s 4th Congressional District under similar circumstances in April. If Democrats in South Carolina 5 have high enthusiasm and Republicans are lulled into not voting, it may actually be good for Parnell that no public poll has shown a tight race…..

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image…(Simone Pathé/CQ Roll Call)

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GA-06…Republican Healthcare moves have more support there than the media paints it…

The special election IS TODAY....

The Washington Post’s 

Support for the Republican effort to change the Affordable Healthcare Law…..

While certain parts of it people want to keep?

Most Republicans are ok with changes to the program….

In addition, Republican  HHS head Tom Price was very popular as the House member from the district…

Hohmann writes that the polling stories do not show the situation actually on the ground in the district ….

the polling does not capture the full story. In dozens of interviews on the ground over three days, most Republicans and many independents who have concerns about the House bill stressed that they still detest Obamacare. Their expectations might seem unreasonable to anyone who is closely following the debate or is steeped in the complexities of public policy, but they believe Donald Trump can and should enact a replacement plan that will both reduce their costs and improve their quality of care.

No matter where people fall in the debate, virtually everyone cares deeply about the outcome. The Journal-Constitution survey, conducted the week before last, found that 81 percent of likely voters describe health care as an “extremely” or “very” important “priority” to them, larger than any other issue by far.

One reason a lot of Republicans in the suburbs north of Atlanta are willing to give Trump leeway is Price. After representing the district for 12 years, he is still highly respected by the grassroots. He won reelection by 23 points last November, even as Trump edged out Hillary Clinton by just one point….

— The bottom line: If Handel loses tonight, it will be almost entirely because of moderate unease with Trump and his agenda. The Journal-Constitution poll found that only about one-third of voters in the district approve of the president. Even one in four Republicans give him an unfavorable review….

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House Obamacare Repeal Bill ain’t popular in 3 key GOP Senator states…

Will the Senator’s in these state’s vote to help Trump get a campaign and party pledge when they get the chance?

Or?

Will the cover their own rears and vote AGAINST?

Public Policy Polling, a Democratic polling firm, conducted polls in three states where a Republican Senator will have a key swing vote on the GOP health care plan: Nevada, West Virginia and Alaska.

The revelations: The Senate plan isn’t out yet, but the repeal and replace plan that passed the House is deeply unpopular in all three states, and there are concerns about the secretive process through which the Senate plan is being crafted.

The findings:

  • In Nevada: 31% of all voters, 34% of independents and 61% of Trump voters approve of the AHCA.
  • In Alaska: 29% of all voters, 17% of independents and 59% of Trump voters approve.
  • In West Virginia: 35% of all voters, 27% of independents and 50% of Trump voters approve.
  • In all three states, majorities had either very serious or somewhat serious concerns about the lack of public hearings on the Senate plan, and lack of time for the public (and some members) to read and understand the bill…..

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GOP Senator in Nevada…Dean Heller….

GOP Senator in Alaska……Lisa Mukowski

GOP Senator West Virginia ….Shelley Capito

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