Category Archives: Polls

Update….Trump DEMANDS a Friday vote on Trump/Ryancare Bill….

HOT DAMN!…..

Gonna be a rough night for House Republicans….

They do NOT have the votes to pass the Trump/Ryancare Bill….

Image result for trump/ryan

One would assume that Trump is making his demand to pressure EVERYONE….

Gonna be a political bloddy mess if this gamble fails….

Who would Trump blame?…He’s NOT gonna blame HIMSELF for a defeat….Would it be his adopted GOP establishment or the Freedom Caucus, eh?

Who would be left?

Democrats?

UPDATE: 7:42 p.m.: President Donald Trump is demanding a vote Friday in the House on the Republican plan to repeal and replace Obamacare, White House Budget Director Mick Mulvaney said. If the bill fails, Trump is prepared to move on and leave Obamacare in place, Mulvaney said.

***

President Donald Trump and House Freedom Caucus members failed to strike a deal on the GOP Obamacare replacement Thursday, endangering the prospects of passage and all but assuring any immediate vote on the measure would fail.

Hours later, House leaders canceled a planned Thursday night vote on the legislation, dubbed the American Health Care Act. There was no immediate word when a vote might be rescheduled. The House Republican Conference is planning to meet at 7 p.m. Thursday about how to proceed, with procedural votes expected later in the evening.

Negotiations between Trump and the arch-conservatives opponents of the bill reached at least a temporary impasse after Freedom Caucus members were told recent concessions from the White House and GOP leadership represented a final offer. The group rejected that, wanting more.

The setbacks triggered a series of meetings later Thursday — between Trump and the moderate Tuesday Group, and separately between the Freedom Caucus and Speaker Paul Ryan (R-Wis.).

As it stands, Trump and Ryan find themselves playing see-saw with moderates and hard-liners. Lean too much toward one faction and they lose votes from the other. So far, they’ve been unable to find a sweet spot…..

More….

Note….

For Trump and Ryan it would seem this is no longer about other Americans…..

It’s about a political face saving, since there is NO Chance the Senate will pass whatever they come up with….

image…NBC News

Share on Facebook

Conservatives bargaining to get rid of basics like Prescriptions, New Born Care and Hospitalization….

Ya gotta KNOW WHAT Trump and Ryan are doing to get the Freeedom Caucus on board to get 24 Million to LOSE their healthcare Insurance coverage….

They want Americans to have the freedom to choose their insurance….

They do NOT want the Government to help those who cannot pay for it….

They also seek to deny service to those the more fortunate are helping with their payments into the system….

The cuts the House righwingnuts are abrgining with Trump for for their support would probably make the healthcare for tens of millions of American’s WORST than BEFORE Obamacare……

Trump NO longer cares about his promise for eveyone to keep their insurance…It is now about him getting a POLITICAL WIN.

As of this date MOST Americans do NOT want the Law Repealed….

Remember all that talk during the health reform debate about why men should have to pay for maternity care? What politicians were really arguing about was the “essential health benefits” provision in Obamacare.

In an attempt to make the insurance marketplace fairer and more viable, the law required insurance products sold in the individual market, the fully insured small-group market, and for people who got Medicaid through the state expansions to cover a list of 10 “essential health benefits.” The list included some pretty basic medical care — like pregnancy and maternity care, and lab tests.

Republican Congress members have been pretty consistent about their desire to get rid of this part of the law. It has driven the cost of premiums up, and, they argue, limited Americans’ freedom of choice. But you probably haven’t heard much about the “EHBs,” as they’re called among health wonks. That’s because the assumption has been that killing the provision wouldn’t be possible under the budget reconciliation procedure the GOP is using to rush the American Health Care Act through Congress. (As Vox’s Dylan Matthews explained, the procedure includes the Byrd Rule, which says reconciliation can’t be used to pass provisions that are “incidental,” or don’t change the overall level of federal spending or revenue.)

Now, it seems, that might be wrong. In an attempt to win more support from the party, the latest GOP plan to repeal and replace the Affordable Care Act would get rid of the law’s EHB requirement for the individual and small-group markets. (The previous draft of the American Health Care Act already did away with the EHB requirement for Medicaid expansion enrollees.)

They are about as basic as they sound. Here’s the full list, from Healthcare.gov:

Outpatient care without a hospital admission, known as ambulatory patient services
Emergency services
Hospitalization
Pregnancy, maternity, and newborn care
Mental health and substance use disorder services, including counseling and psychotherapy
Prescription drugs
Rehabilitative and habilitative services and devices, which help people with injuries and disabilities to recover
Laboratory services
Preventive care, wellness services, and chronic disease management
Pediatric services, including oral and vision care for children….

More…

Share on Facebook

Poll…3% of Trump voters regret their vote..That’s all…

Donald Trump IS holding his base with a little more than 60 days in office

But is losing everyone else as his overall polling numbers drop….

One also must remember that the base number and the overall vote numbers in Novembers lection put Trump’s base at about only 40%…..

Within weeks of the November 2016 U.S. presidential election, social media posts expressing voters’ second thoughts began trending. While some Donald Trump voters felt he was backtracking on initial hard-line positions, the Huffington Post and other websites reported on hashtags such as #Trumpgrets — used by voters irked that his campaign persona was not simply an act to win votes. A subsequent wave of regretful Trump voters tweeted about executive orders they perceived as misguided and dangerous.

Even more nuanced mainstream news stories included such headlines as “These Iowans voted for Trump. Many of them are already disappointed” or comments that “a significant segment of Trump’s coalition is not entirely enchanted with his actions or public persona.”

In contrast, polls seem to suggest that the 45th president enjoys historically high approval ratings among members of his party. Other journalists report continuing enthusiasm from the small towns that delivered his strongest electoral support.

….

The Mood of the Nation Poll shows clearly that media attention to the #trumpregrets phenomenon is very misleading. For Trump’s supporters, any news reports that his first weeks as president have been rocky, unpresidential or worse have hardly mattered. There is virtually no regret.

While his governance has galvanized opposition groups and his overall approval level remains low by historical standards, his electoral base is not only intact but enthusiastic and energized, providing Trump with a significant base of power……

More….

Share on Facebook

Trump/Ryancare Bill Update…Nope….

Appears that even after arm twisting and some concessions  by GOP House Speaker Paul Ryan and Trump ……there isn’t enough votes to pass their Repeal /Replace  legislation in the House….

As for the Senate?

Foregtaboutit….

At this rate it is possible that Ryan will pull the bill and move on, letting Trump have HHS head Price do whatever he can internally thru his power’s…..

House Republican leaders on Tuesday struggled to pick up votes for their ObamaCare repeal-and-replace bill, even after President Trump visited Capitol Hill to sell the plan.

With only a day before a scheduled vote on the House floor, the White House and Speaker Paul Ryan (R-Wis.) are facing an uphill fight to get the majority — 216 votes — needed to clear the lower chamber.

In a closed-door meeting with House Republicans, Trump warned that failure to pass the legislation might trigger a backlash for the GOP in the 2018 midterm elections. Republicans, the president said, could lose their seats next year, give Democrats the majority and derail Trump’s ambitious 2017 agenda if they fail to fulfill their campaign promise of repealing ­ObamaCare, said sources in the room.

But Trump’s dire warning didn’t appear to immediately change many minds. House Freedom Caucus Chairman Mark Meadows (R-N.C.), whom Trump singled out during the meeting, emerged from a private meeting with Vice President Pence Tuesday afternoon, insisting that he was still opposed and that he had at least 22 votes from conservative hard-liners to defeat the bill. Following the meeting, Reps. Jim Jordan (R-Ohio) and Walter Jones (R-N.C.) also said they remain opposed.

According to The Hill’s Whip List at press time, 22 House Republicans were firm “no” votes, with six more leaning no or likely no. Many other Republicans have not said how they will vote. Should all members vote and all Democrats — as expected — vote no, 22 defections would kill the legislation. The bill is scheduled to hit the floor at some point on Thursday…..

More….

Note….

How ironic….

House Democrats AND hardline Conservatives bonding together to stop their Republican House Speaker and their parties adopted President….

THIS IS GONNA HURT Republicans….(And probably make Obama and the Clinton’s smile)

Could the Freedom Caucus give cover to other Republicans to go home to their districts and say they would have voted against the bill?

Share on Facebook

Trump after FBI/NSA throw downs?…Lets talk about ANYTHING else….

Donald Trump did and ole fashion peep rally in Louisville Kentucky tonight to divert his attention away from the beatdown FBI Director Comey and NSA head Rogers dealt him in the House Intelligence hearing today on Russia,  him and his people and the Trump/Ryancare bill showdown coming in  two days…

170320-Donald-Trump-AP_17080023976656.jpg

On the precipice of the meatiest legislative fight of his young presidency, Donald Trump is increasingly talking about health care like the vegetables of his agenda — the thing he must begrudgingly finish in order to get to what he really wants: tax cuts, trade deals and infrastructure.

At a rally here in Louisville, Trump time and again framed the passage of a repeal and replacement plan for President Obama’s namesake health care law as a necessary step to achieve the rest of his ambitious agenda.

“We want a very big tax cut,” Trump said, “but we cannot do that until we keep our promise to repeal and replace the disaster known as Obamacare.”

The first big test for health care comes Thursday when the House has scheduled a floor vote. But on Monday, at a rally in the state of a senator, Rand Paul, who has been an outspoken skeptic of his health care proposal, Trump barely touched on the health care bill for the first 30 minutes of his speech. And when he did, he suggested it was the province of Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell, who was in the crowd.

“Mitch, hey Mitch are we going to be okay?” he said. “Good, thanks Mitch.”

Trump was on the ground in Kentucky for almost two hours but it was enough to boost his spirits after a day of swirling headlines in the nation’s capital about Russia, FBI investigations and his unfounded allegations of Obama-ordered wire-tapping. Fresh polls showed new lows for his approval rating, but inside the Louisville arena where attendees did the wave, Trump’s favorability was somewhere near 100 percent….

More…

Note….

It also appears the Trump is throwing House Speaker Ryan and Senate majority Leader McConnell under the bus in the event the Freedom Caucus people are right and the Trump/Ryancare Bill does NOT get the votes….

Trump has NOT got one single major piece of legislation done even though Republicans have majorities in the House and Senate and he ‘s living in the nations’ White House….

image…AP

Share on Facebook

2016 Vote Higher than 2012….

The turnout for 2008 , when Obama first won the Presidency, was higher than both 2012 and 2016….

More voters cast ballots in November’s elections than when President Obama won reelection in 2012, though the number of Americans who showed up to vote remains well below all-time highs set half a century ago.

About 139 million Americans, or 60.2 percent of the voting-eligible population, cast a ballot in November’s elections, according to data compiled by the U.S. Elections Project. That compares with 58.6 percent of eligible voters who turned out in 2012, but it’s below the 62.2 percent who turned out to help elect Obama for the first time in 2008.

Last year, President Trump won just shy of 63 million votes — enough to secure a majority of the Electoral College, even though he fell almost 3 million votes shy of his Democratic opponent, Hillary Clinton.

The states where Trump and Clinton battled most fiercely also tended to be those where voter turnout was highest. Nine of the 13 states where voter turnout was highest were battleground states….

More….

Share on Facebook

A Majority of Young American’s don’t accept Trump as their President…Poll

The man IS the sworn in 45th President of the United States….

But as in the popular vote?

Most Americans ARE NOT happy he’s in the White House…

His daily twitter rants isn’t helping the guy ….

And ALL the polls are showing his approval numbers DROPPING to new lows….

He may be keeping his support among his base…

But everyone else is turning thumbs down on the guy….

Especially Young America....

Jermaine Anderson keeps going back to the same memory of Donald Trump, then a candidate for president of the United States, referring to some Mexican immigrants as rapists and murderers.

“You can’t be saying that (if) you’re the president,” says Anderson, a 21-year-old student from Coconut Creek, Florida.

That Trump is undeniably the nation’s 45th president doesn’t sit easily with young Americans like Anderson who are the nation’s increasingly diverse electorate of the future, according to a new poll. A majority of young adults — 57 percent — see Trump’s presidency as illegitimate, including about three-quarters of blacks and large majorities of Latinos and Asians, the GenForward poll found.

GenForward is a poll of adults age 18 to 30 conducted by the Black Youth Project at the University of Chicago with The Associated Press-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research.

A slim majority of young whites in the poll, 53 percent, consider Trump a legitimate president, but even among that group 55 percent disapprove of the job he’s doing, according to the survey.

“That’s who we voted for. And obviously America wanted him more than Hillary Clinton,” said Rebecca Gallardo, a 30-year-old nursing student from Kansas City, Missouri, who voted for Trump.

Trump’s legitimacy as president was questioned earlier this year by Rep. John Lewis, D-Ga.: “I think the Russians participated in helping this man get elected. And they helped destroy the candidacy of Hillary Clinton.”

Trump routinely denies that and says he captured the presidency in large part by winning states such as Michigan and Wisconsin that Clinton may have taken for granted.

Overall, just 22 percent of young adults approve of the job he is doing as president, while 62 percent disapprove….

More…

Share on Facebook

Gallup Poll…Trump approval falls BELOW Obama’s…

Keep at it Donald.!….

Image result for Trump

President Trump’s approval rating has fallen to a new low of 37% since he took office in January, according to the latest Gallup poll.

While 37% of Americans approve of the job the President is doing, 58% disapprove. His approval rating stood at 45% last week, poll numbers showed.

The daily poll results are based on telephone interviews with 1,500 people nationwide and has a 3% margin of error.

Trump’s predecessor, Barack Obama, consistently polled approval ratings in the low 50s and his disapproval ratings were in the mid-40s all throughout March 2016, according to Gallup.

The latest poll comes after Republicans pitched their proposals to repeal and replace Obamacare. The health care plan could leave 24 million people uninsured by 2026, according to the Congressional Budget Office….

More…

image…Time

Share on Facebook

Trump’s UnPopular numbers Grow…Open Thread for March 18, 2017…

Donald Trump has been in office for about 56 days….

During THAT time he has managed make his support among Americans drop….

Trump is NOT getting the traditional ‘honeymoon bounce’ that American President’s tend to get…

But then Donald J. Trump isn’t ANYTHING like any modern day newly elected President is he?

Share on Facebook

Early Iowa poll has O’Malley ahead of Booker for 2020 Democrat’s….

It’s way tooooo early…..

But my money is on NJ US Senator Cory Booker actually being the front runner RIGHT NOW of Democratic  Presidential sweepstakes players……..

Image result for O'malley

Donald Trump is only in his second month in the White House, but already one Democrat is polling his party’s Iowa caucus-goers ahead of a possible 2020 run for the presidency.

The leadership PAC of former Maryland Gov. Martin O’Malley commissioned a Public Policy Polling survey of the first-in-the-nation caucus state earlier this month, according to a copy of the results obtained by POLITICO.

The poll, which shows O’Malley at 18 percent of Democratic caucus-goers in a field of nine potential candidates if the contest were held today, also asked the Iowans about New Jersey Sen. Cory Booker; former Secretary of Housing and Urban Development Julián Castro; New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo; Sens. Kirsten Gillibrand of New York, Kamala Harris of California and Amy Klobuchar of Minnesota; Facebook COO Sheryl Sandberg; and Starbucks CEO Howard Schultz. “Not sure” got 32 percent of the vote.

O’Malley — who ran against Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders for the 2016 nomination before dropping out on caucus night after earning less than 1 percent of the vote — was joined at the top of the poll by Booker, who was at 17 percent. Klobuchar, who represents a neighboring state and who’s been a frequent visitor to Iowa over the years, got 11 percent. All other candidates were under 10 percent.

A number of high-profile potential 2020 candidates were left out of the poll, including Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren, Ohio Sen. Sherrod Brown and Sanders…..

More…

image….the daily beast

Share on Facebook

House Trump/Ryancare Bill in Deep trouble….Only 24% of Americans support it…Poll

Efforts to woo Republican Conservatives to vote for the bill as it is currently drawn up is NOT working….

Changes to make the hard leaning Conservatives will drive other  Republicans in Democratic friendly districts away…

In addition, the rush in the way the whole thing is going on has alienated  an increasing number of Republicans House lawmakers who are looking over their shoulders’ at the increased  support for the Obama healthcare program…

House Republican leaders are coming under intense pressure to change their ­ObamaCare repeal-and-replace bill ahead of a possible floor vote next week.

White House spokesman Sean Spicer on Tuesday said the administration is working with House leadership on a manager’s amendment that would make changes to the legislation. Those changes, which GOP leadership offices declined to discuss, could be aimed at bringing conservatives on board.

Yet any changes to the bill could further alienate moderate members who are worried about lost coverage and price spikes for lower-income and older people. Their fears were heightened by a Congressional Budget Office (CBO) report, released Monday, that found the bill could result in 24 million people becoming uninsured over the next decade.

Rep. Ileana Ros-Lehtinen (R-Fla.), who represents a district won by Hillary Clinton in November, came out against the bill on Tuesday. Her opposition could signal movement against the bill, titled the American Health Care Act, among GOP centrists.

“I plan to vote NO on the current #AHCA bill,” Ros-Lehtinen wrote on Twitter Tuesday. “As written the plan leaves too many from my #SoFla district uninsured.”…..

More…..

Note….

A new Public Policy Polling survey finds just 24% of voters support the GOP health care bill as compared to 49% who are opposed.

Even among Republican voters only 37% are in favor of the proposal to 22% who are against it, and 41% who aren’t sure one way or another.

Share on Facebook

Democrats signal they’ll fight against Trump Border Wall funding…

Senate Minority Leader Schumer has chosen a place to fight where he could get a good amount of support against Trump’s campaign promise from Republicans even….

And the Mexican’s of course…

Senate Democrats are warning GOP leaders not to include funding for a wall along the U.S.-Mexico border in a funding bill to keep the government open, saying it could jeopardize the measure’s passage.

“We believe it would be inappropriate to insist on the inclusion of such funding in a must-pass appropriations bill that is needed for the Republican majority in control of the Congress to avert a government shutdown so early in President Trump’s Administration,” the Democrats said in a letter to Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.) and Senate Appropriations Committee Chairman Thad Cochran (R-Miss.).

The signers of the letter, released Monday, include Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer (D-N.Y.) and Senate Minority Whip Dick Durbin (D-Ill.), as well as Sens. Patty Murray (D-Wash.), Debbie Stabenow (D-Mich.) and Patrick Leahy (D-Vt.).

The government is currently being funded through April 28 by a stopgap spending bill that was passed in December.

Already, President Donald Trump’s secretary of Homeland Security has directed his agency to look for funding sources it might already have available as the administration looks for ways to fulfill one of the the president’s top campaign promises. A Morning Consult/POLITICO survey in January found 47 percent of Americans support construction of the wall, while 45 percent do not.

The Democratic senators said the wall could be expensive and “raises considerable issues that have not been resolved by the Congress or the Department of Homeland Security.”

Another Morning Consult/POLITICO survey in January showed that support for the wall dropped considerably when the issue of cost was raised….

More….

Share on Facebook

New Scottish Independence vote?

UK Prime Minister May has her hands full, eh?

Scottish leader Nicola Sturgeon announced Monday she will seek a new referendum on independence in a bold move of defiance even as British leaders forge ahead toward a full break from the European Union.

The bombshell decision adds to the stakes as Britain prepares to trigger the start of two years of negotiations with the European Union to hammer out the terms of its departure.

It also raised the possible head-spinning scenario of British leaders finalizing their E.U. split while also figuring out how to handle their own internal break up with Scotland, which then would likely ask Brussels for E.U. membership as Europe’s newest nation.

Voters across the United Kingdom — England, Wales, Scotland and Northern Ireland — voted 52-to-48 percent to leave the European Union last June. But a substantial majority of Scots — 62 percent — voted to remain….

More….

Share on Facebook

GOP Senator Cotton warns his party members in the House to vote AGAINST the Repeal/Replace Bill…

Smart man…

He KNOWS that with the increased support of Obamacare ?

Efforts to Repeal it and the increased cost for American’s healthcare coverage in Democratic strongholds as well as Republican strongholds will enable Democrats to gain advantages in in 2018 Midterm races….

Image result for sen tom cotton

Senator Cotton thinks , like many that the House Trump/Ryancare Repeal/Replace Bill has NO chance of passge in the US Senate….

Thus, it would be just be a way to get Republican House members on recond voting to strip people of healthcare coverage while running for election…..

Sen. Tom Cotton (R-Ark.) on Sunday urged House Republicans not to vote for House Speaker Paul Ryan’s (R-Wis.) Obamacare repeal bill, warning them that a vote in favor of the legislation could haunt them in the 2018 midterm elections.

“I’m afraid that if they vote for this bill, they’re going to put the House majority at risk next year,” he said during an interview with ABC’s “This Week.”

The Arkansas senator recalled how Democrats lost unified control of government in 1994 after House Democrats voted in favor of President Bill Clinton’s proposed BTU tax. The unpopular tax on energy did not end up getting a vote in the Senate, but House Democrats got stuck with it hung around their necks in the midterms anyway.

The lesson, Cotton said, is to avoid casting a politically suicidal vote on legislation that the Senate or the president may abandon in the future….

More…

image…The Washington Post

Share on Facebook

Trump/RyanCare Update March 9, 2017…NOT a GOOD Start…..

Lets start with the Senate, where there is virtually NO chance of passage as the bill is currently written…

There WILL be adjustments by the Republicans…..

Will those adjustment’s be enough for GOP conservatives and the Senate?

…twitter….

Tom Cotton‏
@TomCottonAR
1. House health-care bill can’t pass Senate w/o major changes. To my friends in House: pause, start over. Get it right, don’t get it fast.

Tom Cotton‏ @TomCottonAR

3. What matters in long run is better, more affordable health care for Americans, NOT House leaders’ arbitrary legislative calendar.

While different factions of the GOP wrangle over the details of the newly unveiled ObamaCare repeal-and-replace plan, vulnerable Republican lawmakers face another choice: whether to talk about it at all.

Republicans facing challenging reelection races in 2018 have so far been largely silent on the legislation, which has sparked backlash from Democrats and conservative Republicans alike.

Nevada’s Dean Heller, the most vulnerable GOP senator up for reelection, has yet to comment on the House bill even as pressure mounts on him from both sides of the aisle.

Heller is the only senator facing reelection in a state that chose Hillary Clinton for president in November. Democrats have already set their eyes on him as a top target in a year when their own party will mostly be on defense, with 10 senators up for reelection in states President Trump won.

Following the release of the GOP healthcare legislation, the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee (DSCC) called on Republican Senate candidates to break their silence and condemn the proposal.

“If Republican Senate candidates refuse to denounce this plan, it will be just another demonstration that they’re willing to push the agenda of the wealthy and well-connected at the expense of Americans who actually work for a living,” said DSCC spokeswoman Lauren Passalacqua.

Four GOP senators, including Cory Gardner (Colo.), chairman of the National Republican Senatorial Committee (NRSC), have already vowed in a letter to vote against any bill that affects the Medicaid expansion created by ObamaCare. The House GOP plan stops new enrollments in the Medicaid expansion in 2020….

More…

…from FiveThirtyEight…..

….perry: Exactly! I think Nate is right: This all looks terrible right now, but the bill could still pass. Is that the consensus?

micah: I think so, yeah. (I don’t think we’ve ever reached consensus in a chat before.)

natesilver: Look, Republicans will get their act a little bit more together, partisanship will help at the margins, and maybe Trump can intimidate a few wanderers into supporting the bill. On the other hand, there are some big public relations blows yet to navigate, like the CBO score and whatever pushback they get from constituents at the spring recess.

I think the modal (most likely) scenario is that the House passes a more conservative bill than what’s on the table now and it gets stymied in the Senate.

perry: I think I agree with this, while not being sure what “stymied” in the Senate looks like.

natesilver: Yeah. It could die with a bang rather than a whimper, get filibustered, get ruled out of order by the parliamentarian, or lose on a floor vote. Lots of ways it could die. Or the Senate could gut the bill and do something token-ish that was actually fairly popular and dare the House to pass it in order to save face.

micah: OK — any final thoughts?

harry: This is just the beginning. Remember how long it took for the ACA to pass? It was long enough for Democrats to have 60 votes in the Senate when it started and then need reconciliation to pass the final parts because Scott Brown won the special election in Massachusetts.

natesilver: To me, it’s interesting that Obamacare sort of spontaneously became more popular the moment that Trump won the election. That’s suggestive to me that there isn’t much of a mandate for what the House bill might do and certainly not what the House Freedom Caucus’s version of a bill might do.

If the House bill is polling at, I dunno, 35 percent favorable and 51 percent unfavorable, then how long is its lifespan going to be?….

More….

Update….

POLITICO Retweeted
POLITICO Playbook‏ @playbookplus
.@SenateMajLdr McConnell’s message to Republicans: ‘We need to deliver’ on Obamacare repeal http://politi.co/2mFjvB8 #PlaybookInterview

Share on Facebook

Hillary Clinton had a misdirected Ad campaign…

Hillary Clinton took in One Billion dollars….

Donald Trump half of that….

With all that money  Hillary Clinton got more votes by several million….

But she missed something even with AL:L that money….

POLICY…..

Hillary Clinton went after Trump, the person….

Trump went after policy much more than Clinton….

In a study by  Wesleyan Media Project…..

Evidence suggests that negativity in advertising can have a backlash effect on the sponsor (Pinkleton 1997) and that personally-focused, trait-based negative messages (especially those that are uncivil) tend to be seen as less fair, less informative and less important than more substantive, policy-based messaging (Fridkin and Geer 1994; Brooks and Geer 2007).

In stark contrast to any prior presidential cycle for which we have Kantar Media/CMAG data, the Clinton campaign overwhelmingly chose to focus on Trump’s personality and fitness for office (in a sense, doubling down on the news media’s focus), leaving very little room for discussion in advertising of the reasons why Clinton herself was the better choice.

Trump, on the other hand, provided explicit policy-based contrasts, highlighting his strengths and Clinton’s weaknesses, a strategy that research suggests voters find helpful in decision-making. These strategic differences may have meant that Clinton was more prone to voter backlash and did nothing to overcome the media’s lack of focus on Clinton’s policy knowledge, especially for residents of Michigan and Wisconsin, in particular, who were receiving policy-based (and specifically economically-focused) messaging from Trump….

More…

Share on Facebook