Category Archives: Healthcare

Any thing to do with Healthcare

Republican Super PAC is ramping up early to cover it’s party House members for next years Midterms…

The party with the president in office USUALLY loses a good amount of House seats as a result of the actions of the sitting president….

With Trump losing the popular vote last November and the risdiong support FOR Obamacare now?…and Resisrtance protests on going….

Republicans SHOULD be worried….

The party of the sitting president has lost an average of 25 seats in midterm elections since 1994 and lost majorities three times. With Republicans fighting among themselves over repealing the Affordable Care Act and President Donald Trump at historical levels of unpopularity, Republicans are focusing intently on House races where their 23-seat majority may be most vulnerable amid a tide of Democratic grass-roots energy.

To prevent the House from flipping, the Congressional Leadership Fund, the House GOP’s super PAC, plans to raise and spend $100 million during the 2018 election cycle—twice what it spent in 2016 and eight times what it spent in the 2014 midterm.

The political-action committee is placing paid staff in 20 competitive House districts with the goal of installing a clinical Republican turnout machine to protect incumbents yoked to a president who so far has a net unfavorability rating. It is spending $30,000 a month in each district on online ads like the one Mr. Bacon saw in church.

Mr. Bliss’s goal is to find people who voted for Mr. Trump but typically skip midterm elections and get them to vote for their Republican House member….

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House GOP leaders make changes in Trump/Ryancare proposal in hopes for more support…

Trump has also had a meeting with some of the conservatives not onboard claiming he has got them to come around to supporting the Repeal….

The Trump administration and House GOP leaders are making two significant changes to their ObamaCare replacement bill as they seek to add to their whip count ahead of a critical Thursday vote.

The White House on Friday won support from conservative Republican Study Committee (RSC) leaders by agreeing to give states the option to impose work requirements on Medicaid recipients and to block grant Medicaid instead of the cap system in the bill.

GOP leaders are using the RSC endorsement — and new words of support from President Trump — to try to build momentum for the measure.

But the far-right Freedom Caucus is still largely opposed to the measure, and there are still serious doubts about whether the bill has enough votes to pass yet….

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Republican House Speaker Ryan admits his Trump/Ryancare Bill won’t make it…

The bill will have to be made palatable for House Conservatives after which House members in Blue and Purple states will NOT vote for the bill which will NOT get anywhere in the Senate…..

Things do NOT look good….

Healthcare IS a tough Nut for Congress….Even one with a one party majority…..

Paul Ryan has finally owned up to his problem on this….Image result for paul ryan
House Speaker Paul D. Ryan said Wednesday that his health-care proposal must change to pass the House, marking a significant retreat from his earlier position that the carefully crafted legislation would fail if substantially altered.

Ryan acknowledged that changes would be made two days after an analysis issued by the Congressional Budget Office prompted a fresh round of criticism of his proposal. Among the report’s projections was that 14 million fewer Americans would be insured after one year under the Republican plan.

Speaking after a private meeting of GOP lawmakers, Ryan said leaders would “incorporate feedback” from the rank-and-file in response to the CBO findings. He did not repeat his previous comments calling support for the bill a “binary choice” for Republican lawmakers.

“Now that we have our score we can make some necessary improvements and refinements to the bill,” he said, referring to the CBO’s estimate of the impact on the number of those covered by health insurance and what the GOP proposal would cost.

Ryan did not detail what changes are under consideration to his plan….

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image…Gawker

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Breitbart Goes After Paul Ryan; Precursor To Trump Throwing The Speaker Under The Bus?…Red State…

by Jay Caruso @ Red State….

As I have said previously, Donald Trump sees failure as synonymous with being a “loser.” If you listen to him carefully, he never admits to failing. Even businesses that are defunct he counts as a “successful” for one reason or another. His bankruptcies are not failures. He considers them a success because he effectively uses bankruptcy laws for his benefit (the people who get stiffed on the other hand, are not his concern). It will be much of the same for his presidency.

Thus far, Trump has not “failed.” Nearly all of his cabinet choices are confirmed, and any that dropped out did so before any votes or hearings. The Obamacare replacement fiasco is on the road to failure. Trump, as I have written, will not take the blame if it happens. He is not going to be the “loser.” While he said he’d blame Democrats, the reality is, the GOP controls Congress.

At Breitbart, there is an article with audio of Paul Ryan saying he wouldn’t “defend” Donald Trump anymore. The news of this story broke last October, so it is nothing new outside of the audio itself. However, there are portions of the piece that appear to reveal the possibility of Trump dumping all of the blame on Speaker Paul Ryan.

Some of it requires additional thoughts:

Now, Ryan—still the Speaker—has pushed now President Donald Trump to believe his healthcare legislation the American Health Care Act would repeal and replace Obamacare when it does not repeal Obamacare.

Wait a moment. I thought Donald Trump was one of the most brilliant men on earth and Paul Ryan told us the President helped write the legislation. Boyle seems to be saying Trump was “duped” by Ryan into believing they were fully repealing Obamacare and then replacing it. That is absurd. The first page of the bill says they are amending Obamacare, not repealing it.

The article goes on:

This is the first major initiative that Trump has worked on with Ryan—and the fact it is going so poorly calls into question whether Speaker Ryan, the GOP’s failed 2012 vice presidential nominee who barely supported Trump at all in 2016, really understands how Trump won and how to win in general…..

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House Trump/Ryancare Bill in Deep trouble….Only 24% of Americans support it…Poll

Efforts to woo Republican Conservatives to vote for the bill as it is currently drawn up is NOT working….

Changes to make the hard leaning Conservatives will drive other  Republicans in Democratic friendly districts away…

In addition, the rush in the way the whole thing is going on has alienated  an increasing number of Republicans House lawmakers who are looking over their shoulders’ at the increased  support for the Obama healthcare program…

House Republican leaders are coming under intense pressure to change their ­ObamaCare repeal-and-replace bill ahead of a possible floor vote next week.

White House spokesman Sean Spicer on Tuesday said the administration is working with House leadership on a manager’s amendment that would make changes to the legislation. Those changes, which GOP leadership offices declined to discuss, could be aimed at bringing conservatives on board.

Yet any changes to the bill could further alienate moderate members who are worried about lost coverage and price spikes for lower-income and older people. Their fears were heightened by a Congressional Budget Office (CBO) report, released Monday, that found the bill could result in 24 million people becoming uninsured over the next decade.

Rep. Ileana Ros-Lehtinen (R-Fla.), who represents a district won by Hillary Clinton in November, came out against the bill on Tuesday. Her opposition could signal movement against the bill, titled the American Health Care Act, among GOP centrists.

“I plan to vote NO on the current #AHCA bill,” Ros-Lehtinen wrote on Twitter Tuesday. “As written the plan leaves too many from my #SoFla district uninsured.”…..

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Note….

A new Public Policy Polling survey finds just 24% of voters support the GOP health care bill as compared to 49% who are opposed.

Even among Republican voters only 37% are in favor of the proposal to 22% who are against it, and 41% who aren’t sure one way or another.

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GOP Speaker Ryan has a CBO Problem….

GOP House  SpeakerRyan has problems with Conservative Republicans, Democrats, Senate Republicans and Democrats, and Centrist Republicans in his own House….

House Republican leaders plunged into damage control mode Monday after a brutal budgetary assessment of their Obamacare replacement threatened to upend Senate GOP support and armed their critics on the left.

Speaker Paul Ryan’s team quickly pinpointed rosier elements of the report by the Congressional Budget Office, from cost savings to lower premiums. But the bottom line — that the number of uninsured Americans would climb by 24 million within a decade — threatened to upend the GOP leadership’s fragile efforts to unite congressional Republicans around the plan.

“Can’t sugarcoat it. Doesn’t look good,” said Sen. Bill Cassidy (R-La.). “The CBO score was, shall we say, an eye-popper.”

Senate Majority Whip John Cornyn of Texas sought to distance the Senate from the House bill, saying “we expect to do better” than the results that CBO showed.

“The House is going to continue to work on the bill to try and build support for it. But until they do, there’s not much for the Senate to do,” Cornyn said. Asked about conservative predictions this bill can’t pass the Senate, he said: “It’s premature to talk about that.”

That’s to say nothing of centrists spooked by the CBO results. Though conservatives have been the most vocally resistant to the plan so far, the new figures underscore the danger that moderate Republicans who hail from states that embraced Obamacare’s massive Medicaid expansion face if they support the bill. This contingent of House Republicans has been mostly muted about the bill so far and has been viewed by leadership allies as likely to fall in line.

The CBO score is a new obstacle for Republicans hoping to coalesce around a health care vision…..

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Trump/Ryancare would drop 24 Million Americans from Healthcare rolls…Congressional Budget Office report..

THAT is a loss of healthcare to almost 10% of Americans….

And 14 million would lose their insurance within  a year….

But House bill would save $337 Billion  projected out to ten years…

Oh, and healthcare insurance premiums could rise by 10 to 19% right away….

The White House called the report ‘Bogus’ …

It certainly has NOTHING to do with Donald Trump campaigning  on a promise that ‘NOBODY’ would lose their Healthcare Insurance….

The House Ryan crew focused on the budget savings without answering for the millions who would NOT have health insurance that Obamacare makes available…

The bill the way it is written will NEVER get the 60 votes needed in the US Senate. as several Republican Senators have come out against….

House Republicans’ proposal to rewrite federal health-care law would more than reverse the gains the Affordable Care Act has made in the number of Americans with health insurance, while curbing the federal deficit, according to a widely anticipated forecast by congressional analysts.

The analysis, released late Monday afternoon by the Congressional Budget Office, predicts that 24 million fewer people would have coverage a decade from now than if the Affordable Care Act remains intact, nearly doubling the share of Americans who are uninsured from 10 percent to 19 percent. The office projects the number of uninsured people would jump 14 million after the first year

But the GOP legislation, which has been speeding through House committees since it was introduced a week ago, would lower the deficit by $337 billion during that time, primarily by lessening spending on Medicaid and government aid for people buying health plans on their own.

The report predicted that premiums would be 15 percent to 20 percent higher in the first year compared with those under the Affordable Care Act but 10 percent lower on average after 2026. By and large, older Americans would pay “substantially” more and younger Americans less.

The 37-page report provides the most tangible evidence to date of the human and fiscal impact of the House GOP’s American Health Care Act. It also undermines President Trump’s pledge that no Americans would lose coverage under a Republican remake of the Affordable Care Act, which was enacted by a Democratic Congress in 2010.

The report’s arrival produced starkly different tacks from the White House and Capitol Hill — with top aides to the president immediately seeking to discredit it while the House’s Republican leaders praised the report for reinforcing their argument that the plan curbs federal spending and gives Americans the freedom to be insured or not — their choice…..

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Democrats try to find their sea legs….

The New York Times does a pice on the internal search the Democratic party has gone thru after the Presidential Election….

With a focus on the party’s defacto leader Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer (D-NY)….

Image result for chuck schumer

The piece points to how the party and supporters first dealt with a sense of shock with Trump’s wholly unexpected win…..Then moved a hard ‘NO’ movement in the streets supported by Sen. Warren and Sanders…..

But the piece points out that Democratic politicians  are NOT like the ones of the American Right….

They believe in NOT going at things by saying ‘NO’ to EVERYTHING….

They understand that precarious place they are in with the huge loses they have experienced during Obama’s run and want to be very careful not to shut themselves completely out in the USA Senate….

So while Chuck Schumer might be called out in the streets for voting for some Trump people…

He will continue to do so while working hard to make sure other Trump cabinet picks are held up…..

In Schumer’s defense?

The piece points to Trump calling Schumer early on to promise a working relationship, but Schumer being smart enough to name terms that he knew Trump could not hold as he worked more and more with the likes of House Speaker Paul Ryan …..

The seesaw between the party of ‘NO’ and pragmatics by Democratic lawmakers will continue ….

But the lawmakers have  joined chorus against Trump and the Republicans in the Media and in their own ways at work in Congress…..

The Tea party way has become the New Democratic templete to some extent…..

Who knew?

By mid-February, spirits in Democratic Washington had palpably lifted. You wouldn’t have described the mood as triumphal; it was more as if everyone had emerged from the basement after a tornado to discover that, while the car was upside down somewhere, at least the house was still standing. The travel ban remained marooned, at least temporarily, in the courts. (A redrafted executive order was issued on March 6, but it was unclear if it had fully resolved the legal issues of the first.) Trump’s nominee for labor secretary, the fast-food C.E.O. Andrew Puzder, backed out of consideration for the job in mid-February after the Republicans concluded that they did not have the votes to confirm him. The project of doing away with the Affordable Care Act was still tied up in committee amid disagreements among the Republicans themselves — an inevitable consequence, perhaps, of their eight-year all-or-nothing opposition effort that the Democrats were now studying. And the infrastructure bill that had threatened to divide Democrats against themselves never materialized; there was talk now of it being pushed back to 2018.

On Feb. 28, a few hours before Trump was due to give his first speech to Congress, I went to see Schumer in the minority leader’s chambers in the Capitol. The senator was sitting in a leather wingback chair in his shirt sleeves, and he seemed to be in a genuinely upbeat mood. “Things look much better for us and much worse for him than I ever imagined based on the first month,” he told me. The day before, three Republican senators — Ted Cruz, Mike Lee and Rand Paul — had held out for nothing less than full repeal of the Affordable Care Act. “That’s the three votes they need, even with 52!” Schumer crowed. (The following week, a replacement bill finally began to advance through committees in the House of Representatives, but Paul declared in a Fox News interview that it would be “dead on arrival” in the Senate.) He pointed to the crowds that Indivisible and other groups had turned out in the thousands at town halls across the country the previous week. “Trump is the enemy, and his Republican acolytes — not Democrats,” he said. “We’re already beginning to coalesce around that. It was very positive. They throw a few brickbats, fine. This energy is enormous…

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image….Politico

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GOP Senator Cotton warns his party members in the House to vote AGAINST the Repeal/Replace Bill…

Smart man…

He KNOWS that with the increased support of Obamacare ?

Efforts to Repeal it and the increased cost for American’s healthcare coverage in Democratic strongholds as well as Republican strongholds will enable Democrats to gain advantages in in 2018 Midterm races….

Image result for sen tom cotton

Senator Cotton thinks , like many that the House Trump/Ryancare Repeal/Replace Bill has NO chance of passge in the US Senate….

Thus, it would be just be a way to get Republican House members on recond voting to strip people of healthcare coverage while running for election…..

Sen. Tom Cotton (R-Ark.) on Sunday urged House Republicans not to vote for House Speaker Paul Ryan’s (R-Wis.) Obamacare repeal bill, warning them that a vote in favor of the legislation could haunt them in the 2018 midterm elections.

“I’m afraid that if they vote for this bill, they’re going to put the House majority at risk next year,” he said during an interview with ABC’s “This Week.”

The Arkansas senator recalled how Democrats lost unified control of government in 1994 after House Democrats voted in favor of President Bill Clinton’s proposed BTU tax. The unpopular tax on energy did not end up getting a vote in the Senate, but House Democrats got stuck with it hung around their necks in the midterms anyway.

The lesson, Cotton said, is to avoid casting a politically suicidal vote on legislation that the Senate or the president may abandon in the future….

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image…The Washington Post

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Open Thread for Mar. 11, 2017…Democrats see a Midterm opening with Trump/Ryancare Repeal push…

Why NOT?

While House  Republicans come under siege by the Trump White House and Speaker Ryan to vote for a Repeal and somewhat Replacement of Obama’s signature Affordable Healthcare program?

Democrats watch the support for the program climb and protests go on around the country….

The program that the Grand Ole Party ran AGAINST Barack Obama and the Democrats  has become a rallying cry  for those millions who would lose their coverage, while the rich who can afford  coverage  are in-line to receive more tax breaks….(Trump said NOBODY would lose coverage…He doesn’t say THAT anymore)

The 2018 Midterms are less than 2 years away….

And Democrats see a chance to leverage the potential loss of coverage into  gains in the House and even the Senate that where unthinkable a little while ago….

The Democrats’ confidence comes from two main sources. The first is the AHCA itself, which offers nothing that appeals either to the party’s base or to interest groups that backed the ACA, such as AARP. The second is Trump, who Democrats do not see as a force even in some states that he won. In the states that voted for Barack Obama twice then for Trump — Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin — the president’s favorable rating on Election Day was below 40 percent. In Iowa, the only one of those states polled recently, the Des Moines Register poll that accurately predicted a large Trump victory in 2016 found him last month with a wan 42 percent approval rating.

While it’s early in the cycle, Democrats have so far watched credible-seeming challengers in these states pass on 2018 bids. Rep. Tom Marino (R-Penn.), who had been approached by Republicans to challenge Casey, said last month that he would not. Rep. Sean P. Duffy (R-Wis.), who some Republicans wanted to run for Senate in 2018, also demurred, giving first-term Sen. Tammy Baldwin (D-Wis.) a bit more room to vote against the president.

“Donald Trump promised health care for all Americans — coverage for all Americans,” said Baldwin. “And this will threaten coverage for a lot of people.”….

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Earliest Medicaid rollback would be AFTER 2018 Midterms in the House Bill…

Conservatives wanted a cut in the Medicaid expansions for the states to come sooner….

No deal says the House leaders….

House Republican leaders on Friday dismissed conservatives’ calls for an earlier rollback of the Affordable Care Act’s Medicaid expansion.

“I think right now that’d be very difficult to do,” House Majority Leader Kevin McCarthy said of pulling back the expansion before the current date of 2020. McCarthy spoke at a press conference with Ways and Means Committee Chairman Kevin Brady (R-Texas), Energy and Commerce Committee Chairman Greg Walden (R-Ore.) and Budget Committee Chairman Diane Black (R-Tenn.).

The California Republican’s objection comes after CNN reported that the White House is open to appeasing GOP lawmakers who want to freeze expansion enrollment at the end of this year.

But Walden warned doing so could lead to coverage gaps, given that Medicaid programs vary from state to state. Sunsetting the expansion sooner could also alienate expansion-state Republicans who are worried about winding down the popular Obamacare provision….

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Could GOP House members making Trump and Ryan happy be their 2018 downfall?

The FACT is?

The current Trump/Ryancare Repeal/Replace bill will advesely effect a LOT of those who voted FOR Donald Trump last November….

Millions…..

The 2018 Midterm elections are less than TWO YEARS away….

The centrist group Third Way estimated in a report released Thursday that 2.2 million Trump voters will be worse off under Republican leaders’ proposed American Health Care Act. Many of those voters are rural and white.

Independent analysts see similar outcomes.

“Low-income people in rural areas would get hit particularly hard under the House GOP health care bill,” said Larry Levitt, a senior vice president at the Kaiser Family Foundation.

One way rural voters get hit is through the fact that tax credits proposed under the Republican health care plan are not as generous as those under Obamacare. For instance, in the Reno, Nevada, market, a 60-year-old person who earns $40,000 would get almost $2,000 less to buy health insurance in 2020, a Kaiser Foundation analysis found. Nationally, the average cost hike for that person is nearly $3,000, and in some locales, such as Mobile, Alabama, the difference is an eye-popping $6,000.

Another way lower-income white voters could be hurt is by Medicaid cuts that harm rural hospitals, many of which are already on shaky ground. The bill aims to give states more flexibility in how hospitals spend Medicaid, but it also caps spending growth at a rate lower than the inflation index for health care.

“Flexibility is one thing, but when it comes with fewer dollars, that constrains the ability of states to provide coverage and adequate financial protection for hospitals,” Levitt said. And with fewer people able to afford insurance, such hospitals would likely face greater uncompensated expenses treating people who can’t pay.

“The way we really won in Republican-leaning districts of the state legislature was talking about the specifics of health care … those same issues are, I believe, going to tear this party potentially apart if they don’t smell the coffee.”

Democrats predict a grim future for the GOP in which voters will punish them for taking away things they like….

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Trump moves embrace MORE House cuts in Healthcare…Trump/Ryancare Update 3/1017

As the effort mounts to get the Trump/Ryancare thru the US House by moving away from Donald Trump’s views to the Ryan views?

The proposed plan moves to the right, which will make the bill harder to get approved in the US Senate….

With THAT?

The thinking is that Trump may be seeting the stage for Trump to blame the Democrats for a failure to get a Repeal done….

President Trump, after a halting start, is now marshaling the full power of his office to win over holdout conservatives and waffling senators to support the House Republicans’ replacement for the Affordable Care Act.

There are East Room meetings, evening dinners and sumptuous lunches — even a White House bowling soiree. Mr. Trump is deploying the salesman tactics he sharpened over several decades in New York real estate. His pitch: He is fully behind the bill to scotch President Barack Obama’s signature domestic achievement, but he is open to negotiations on the details.

In so doing, Mr. Trump is plunging personally into his first major legislative fight, getting behind a bill that has been denounced by many health care providers and scorned by his base on the right. If it fails, Mr. Trump will find it difficult not to shoulder some of the blame.

“He understands the power he has as president to drive the legislative process,” said Representative Patrick T. McHenry, Republican of North Carolina and a top House vote counter, who was part of a meeting with Mr. Trump in the East Room on Tuesday….

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The White House is privately lining up behind conservative calls to roll back Obamacare’s Medicaid expansion sooner than the health care reform bill currently calls for, two senior administration officials and a senior House conservative aide told CNN on Thursday.

Nobody wants their name on the Republican health care bill
Nobody wants their name on the Republican health care bill
White House officials are beginning to urge House GOP leadership to include an earlier sunset of the Medicaid expansion funds authorized under Obamacare than the 2020 date set by the current bill. The change comes just days after the bill was unveiled and follows a blitz of activism aimed squarely at the White House and President Donald Trump, who has met with conservative leaders in recent days.

Such a move, however, could blow up the already fragile efforts to repeal the Affordable Care Act.

Ending the Medicaid expansion sooner could complicate prospects for the bill in the Senate. And it would likely infuriate Republican governors in states that accepted federal funds for the expansion, who face the prospect of many people losing coverage they gained under Obamacare….

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Trump/RyanCare Update March 9, 2017…NOT a GOOD Start…..

Lets start with the Senate, where there is virtually NO chance of passage as the bill is currently written…

There WILL be adjustments by the Republicans…..

Will those adjustment’s be enough for GOP conservatives and the Senate?

…twitter….

Tom Cotton‏
@TomCottonAR
1. House health-care bill can’t pass Senate w/o major changes. To my friends in House: pause, start over. Get it right, don’t get it fast.

Tom Cotton‏ @TomCottonAR

3. What matters in long run is better, more affordable health care for Americans, NOT House leaders’ arbitrary legislative calendar.

While different factions of the GOP wrangle over the details of the newly unveiled ObamaCare repeal-and-replace plan, vulnerable Republican lawmakers face another choice: whether to talk about it at all.

Republicans facing challenging reelection races in 2018 have so far been largely silent on the legislation, which has sparked backlash from Democrats and conservative Republicans alike.

Nevada’s Dean Heller, the most vulnerable GOP senator up for reelection, has yet to comment on the House bill even as pressure mounts on him from both sides of the aisle.

Heller is the only senator facing reelection in a state that chose Hillary Clinton for president in November. Democrats have already set their eyes on him as a top target in a year when their own party will mostly be on defense, with 10 senators up for reelection in states President Trump won.

Following the release of the GOP healthcare legislation, the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee (DSCC) called on Republican Senate candidates to break their silence and condemn the proposal.

“If Republican Senate candidates refuse to denounce this plan, it will be just another demonstration that they’re willing to push the agenda of the wealthy and well-connected at the expense of Americans who actually work for a living,” said DSCC spokeswoman Lauren Passalacqua.

Four GOP senators, including Cory Gardner (Colo.), chairman of the National Republican Senatorial Committee (NRSC), have already vowed in a letter to vote against any bill that affects the Medicaid expansion created by ObamaCare. The House GOP plan stops new enrollments in the Medicaid expansion in 2020….

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…from FiveThirtyEight…..

….perry: Exactly! I think Nate is right: This all looks terrible right now, but the bill could still pass. Is that the consensus?

micah: I think so, yeah. (I don’t think we’ve ever reached consensus in a chat before.)

natesilver: Look, Republicans will get their act a little bit more together, partisanship will help at the margins, and maybe Trump can intimidate a few wanderers into supporting the bill. On the other hand, there are some big public relations blows yet to navigate, like the CBO score and whatever pushback they get from constituents at the spring recess.

I think the modal (most likely) scenario is that the House passes a more conservative bill than what’s on the table now and it gets stymied in the Senate.

perry: I think I agree with this, while not being sure what “stymied” in the Senate looks like.

natesilver: Yeah. It could die with a bang rather than a whimper, get filibustered, get ruled out of order by the parliamentarian, or lose on a floor vote. Lots of ways it could die. Or the Senate could gut the bill and do something token-ish that was actually fairly popular and dare the House to pass it in order to save face.

micah: OK — any final thoughts?

harry: This is just the beginning. Remember how long it took for the ACA to pass? It was long enough for Democrats to have 60 votes in the Senate when it started and then need reconciliation to pass the final parts because Scott Brown won the special election in Massachusetts.

natesilver: To me, it’s interesting that Obamacare sort of spontaneously became more popular the moment that Trump won the election. That’s suggestive to me that there isn’t much of a mandate for what the House bill might do and certainly not what the House Freedom Caucus’s version of a bill might do.

If the House bill is polling at, I dunno, 35 percent favorable and 51 percent unfavorable, then how long is its lifespan going to be?….

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Update….

POLITICO Retweeted
POLITICO Playbook‏ @playbookplus
.@SenateMajLdr McConnell’s message to Republicans: ‘We need to deliver’ on Obamacare repeal http://politi.co/2mFjvB8 #PlaybookInterview

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Trump rushes to get Conservatives on board Trump/Ryancare…

Might work…

Might NOT…..

Conservative’s don’t much care about a Replacement ….

And the White House and Ryan don’t have the votes to get the bill done in the House OR Senate….

President Donald Trump is moving to quiet conservative opposition to the House GOP Obamacare replacement, drawing on his newfound bully pulpit to pressure but also coax rebellious lawmakers.

Trump on Tuesday night turned his massive Twitter following on one of the most vocal opponents of the repeal bill: conservative firebrand Sen. Rand Paul. The Kentucky Republican had blasted Speaker Paul Ryan’s Obamacare alternative as “Obamacare-lite.” But Trump tweeted, “I feel sure that my friend @RandPaul will come along with the new and great health care program because he knows Obamacare is a disaster!”

Trump also told a group of 20 House GOP whips that he would use all the powers in his Oval Office arsenal to get the GOP alternative over the finish line, and he vowed to summon to the White House opponents of the bill.

“This meeting was a confirmation from the president that he will do what’s necessary and will have our backs,” said Rep. Dennis Ross (R-Fla.), one whip in the meeting. “He basically said whatever we need him to do … he’ll do that, because it’s really, as Mike Pence said, is a binary choice: You vote to keep Obamacare or you vote to repeal it.”

“I think the message has been consistent throughout the day is that White House is willing to negotiate,” said Rep. Mark Meadows (R-N.C.), leader of the Freedom Caucus, after the meeting….

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The House Trump/Ryancare Bill won’t work…Most Healthcare Experts…

The Bill is in trouble from ALL ends….

They rarely agree on much, but health care experts on the left, right and center of the political spectrum have found consensus on the House GOP’s Obamacare replacement: It won’t work.

While their objections vary depending on their ideological goals, the newly introduced Affordable Health Care Act (AHCA) is facing an unrelenting wave of criticism. Some experts warn that the bill is flawed in ways that could unravel the individual insurance market.

The bill, experts said, falls far short of the goals President Donald Trump laid out: Affordable coverage for everyone; lower deductibles and health care costs; better care; and zero cuts to Medicaid. Instead, the bill is almost certain to reduce overall coverage, result in deductibles increasing, and will phase out Obamacare’s Medicaid expansion.

Several health care policy wonks cautioned that they’re waiting to see a report by the Congressional Budget Office, which is analyzing the bill to determine how many people would gain or lose coverage and how much it would cost…..

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