Category Archives: Government

Good news for Democrats in Florida 2018 Governor and Senate polling….

…from the  Orlando Political Observer…

Democrats have a chance to win the Gubernatorial race in Florida in 2018 for the first time since 1994. Adam Putnam currently edges out both Graham (32.5%-29.2%) and Gillum (30.4%-29.7%) in a two-person race.  Florida Speaker of the House Richard Corcoran trails both Graham (32.8%-23.6%) and Gillum (31.6%-22.7%).  Democrats caught a break in January when personal injury attorney John Morgan publicly ruled out a run for Governor as either a Democrat or an Independent.

Incumbent Democratic Senator Bill Nelson still holds a lead over his likely opponent, incumbent Governor Rick Scott. Nelson’s lead shrunk a bit from the previous poll from 44.2%-38.9% to 43.7%-39.8%.  The closeness of this race likely depends heavily upon the political environment….

More…

Running against Pelosi probabaly won’t help GOPer’s…

I guess the Republicans want to run against another Democratic woman?

In 2016 it was Hillary Clinton….

Another chapter in the Republican crusde against women in politics?,,,,,

But picking on a leadership Democratic woman in the Democratic heaven of California simply isn’t a good look…

Image result for nancy pelosi

Pelosi is the House minority leader at a time when Republicans control the House, Senate and White House. She is a public figure, certainly, but her role is not particularly high profile now, and she has little power on Capitol Hill. Trump, in contrast, dominates the political stage and occupies the most powerful position in the government. Given that, it will be challenging for Republican nominees around the country to make the midterm elections “about” Pelosi.

Trump’s ratings generally are no better than Pelosi’s. In the Jan. 13-17 NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll, only 36 percent of respondents said they had positive feelings for Trump, while 56 percent had negative feelings. (Obama’s ratings were 57 percent positive and 29 percent negative.)

Moreover, it’s surely the case that the voters with the strongest dislike for Pelosi are conservative Republicans, who have disagreed with her on politics and policy for decades and who are among the president’s strongest supporters. They are likely to turn out and vote Republican whether or not Republican campaigns feature Pelosi in TV spots.

Weaker partisans, swing voters and less ideological voters are less likely to be strongly anti-Pelosi, and it is difficult to believe that they will see the midterm election as a choice between Trump and Pelosi rather than as a referendum on the president and his party.

Who’s being judged?

History, after all, strongly suggests that midterms tend to be referenda on the man in the White House, not on House minority leaders….

More…

Note…

Yes…..

I added the side to this that the linked author did NOT….

image..nypost.com

People in Florida do NOT agree with their Senator Rubio on Gun Control…

Not just Florida residents are unhappy with the Florida Senator….

Image result for Rubio

He called it “heartbreaking” and said he was devastated. Dozens killed or injured in a shooting rampage that shook Florida and the nation — and “deeply impacted” him as he considered his political future.

Twenty months passed. Then, it happened again. Another mass killing.

Now, Marco Rubio has become the face of congressional inaction on tougher gun restrictions, especially to the students who survived the deadly Valentine’s Day shooting at a Florida high school.

The 46-year-old senator drew special attention after declaring the 2016 Orlando nightclub shooting to be a life-altering event that he followed with an about-face run for reelection. But since then, Rubio has largely adhered to orthodox GOP positions on guns, resisting several efforts to tighten laws.

In the hours after the Parkland, Fla., shooting, Rubio stood on the Senate floor and said that most of the tougher gun restrictions that others have proposed wouldn’t have prevented it. The state’s highest-profile Republican lawmaker has faced an intense backlash from Americans demanding new regulations on firearms….

More….

image…independent.co.uk

High School Students go to the Street’s for Gun Control…Will it Matter?

Update….

via twitter…scene at Tallahassee…..

As I type this post I see on TV student’s on stage in Florida calling for a ban on assault weapons…

There will be a march in Washington next month by more students supporting measures to stop gun violence with assault weapons bans, more background checks and more money for mental health treatment….

This as Florida lawmakers just defeated a bill to curb assault rifles 24 hours ago….

This as some are accusing the student of being actors hired to perform against gun violence….

Trump has instructed his Attorney General to ‘develop a possible’ regulation against bump stocks….

The media is hard on this tory…

But the history is that Republicans ride this type of pressure out time and again…

And do nothing to change the laws….

We shall see if anything is gonna be different again…

As innocent American’s continue to be gunned down….

NY Daily News…

Mueller has his eye on Jared Kushner’s desperate search for money—and one very odd meeting

White House senior adviser Jared Kushner listens as President Donald Trump speaks during a cabinet meeting at the White House, Wednesday, Dec. 20, 2017, in Washington. (AP Photo/Evan Vucci)

…by By Mark Sumner  @ Daily Kos

Donald Trump may be able to claim he has no relationship to the people in the indictments that Robert Mueller handed down last Friday. He’ll have a little more trouble should the paperwork turn in a new direction.

Special counsel Robert Mueller’s interest in Jared Kushner has expanded beyond his contacts with Russia and now includes his efforts to secure financing for his company from foreign investors during the presidential transition, according to people familiar with the inquiry.

Kushner put himself, his family, and his entire company over a barrel with a miserable deal on the property at 666 Fifth Ave. The deal extended Kushner’s borrowing power past the breaking point, and even his reluctant partners on the deal … are pretty much done with deal.

Kushner had bought the property in 2007 in a mostly debt deal valued at a record $1.8 billion. … The office tower shoulders more than $1.4 billion in debt, according to a report Vornado released in March.

Banks wanted money. Jared Kushner was desperate, and something really strange happened …

The White House and a Russian state-owned bank have very different explanations for why the bank’s chief executive and Jared Kushner held a secret meeting during the presidential transition in December.

It might be expected that the White House would disclaim any connection to the meeting. But that’s not what happened. Vnesheconombank said the meeting was about Kushner’s real estate company, but Trump claimed the meeting wasn’t personal at all. It was about ‘diplmatic outreach.’

Why would the Trump White House want to claim a meeting with a bank deeply connected to the Kremlin and Putin? That’s a really, really good question. One that also seems to interest special counsel Robert Mueller…..

More…

Hundreds of companies face prospective fines for violating Obamacare’s employer mandate

Seems that Trump and the Republicans haven’t gotten rid of the regulation….

BTW?

If the Republicans in the House, or Trump  stop the IRSfrom collecting the fines?

They will havr to find another $146 Billion to replace the fines revenue to the government over the next decede

The enforcement actions cover potential violations in 2015, the first year the mandate was supposed to be applied, after the Obama administration suspended fines in 2014. The Obama administration never tried to collect fines for 2015 before it left office in early 2017. Thanks in part to the time lag in tax filings, the first penalty notices just started to roll out in November, enforcing an unpopular requirement heading into the midterm election. Trump’s IRS has similarly enforced the health law’s requirement that most individuals carry insurance.

The covered firms argue the process is critically flawed, in large part because they never received legally required warnings from Obamacare exchanges at that time. As a result, companies say the government didn’t follow the law and they shouldn’t face the fines….

“This is a 2015 problem, but guess what? This is also a 2017 problem because no notifications have gone out for 2017,”….

More…

Trump asks his Atty Gen to draw up plans to stop the sale of ‘bump stocks’….

Ok lets get a grip on the above….

Donald Trump didn’t say he’d ban the auto rifle firing devices….

He merely asked for a write up for banning the devices….

Let me remind people out there…

Donald Trump changes his mind on MOST major issues….

He’s the guy who said he’d sign anything on immigration and was the guy to deep six any kind of a deal last week…….

Having Jeff Sessions do the writing assure Trump that he has a guy who isn’t gonna produce ANYTHING that will cause Trump heartburn….

Of course if the whole gun control thing dies out in a month or two?

Who thinks Sessions isn’t gonna put Trump’s request in an in an  inactive file in the basement of the Justice building filed under ‘do something…but make sure it’s NOTHING?’……

President Trump announced Tuesday afternoon that he has signed a memorandum directing Attorney General Jeff Sessions to propose regulations to ban “bump stocks” and other devices that turn semiautomatic firearms into “machine guns.”

The device was used by the shooter who opened fire on a country music festival in Las Vegas in October, killing dozens and immediately prompting calls for lawmakers or the administration to ban such devices through legislation or regulations. At the time, the White House and the National Rifle Association made clear that they were open to the idea. The Justice Department and the Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, Firearms and Explosives announced in December that they had begun the process to possibly change federal regulations and outlaw bump stocks, which involves posting a public notice and soliciting comments from those with an interest. As gun-control issues are once again being discussed nationally, following a mass shooting at a high school in Florida last week, Trump was pushed to act.

“I expect that these critical regulations will be finalized … very soon,” the president said during a medal ceremony at the White House on Tuesday afternoon….

More…

Note….

Under pressure to actually produce?

Look for a finished product that has enough holes in it to drive cement truck thru…

Democrats gain a State Legislative Seat In Kentucky…

Slowly but Surely?

Democrats are making gains across the board in places they where wiped out from the Obama days….

The most significant thing is a good amount of the gains are places where Donald Trump won by wide margins….

In most contests?

Democrats ran on local issues…..

Not just against Donald Trump….

It seems that Republicans do not have the national coattails to get weak candidates over the finish line in some of these contests….

These wins are also being viewed nationally as a psostive indication that Democrats are getting ready to have a ‘wave’ election in 8 months to sweep a good amount of Republicanbs out of office across the country…

Linda Belcher won the special election in Bullitt County on Tuesday night to replace Rep. Dan Johnson, who died by suicide amid sexual abuse allegations. 

Belcher secured 68.45 percent of the vote, according to the Bullitt County Clerk’s office. Rebecca Johnson, Dan Johnson’s widow, secured 31.55 percent. There were 4,947 votes cast.

“Cloud nine about describes it,” Belcher said. “Our strategies worked. We ran a very positive campaign and we were trying to reach out and touch the people of Bullitt County and we did. I have to thank them for listening to our message.” …

More…

Democrats may Lead the current Generic Congressional Vote by as much as 15 Points

I say may….

According to todays (2/20/18) RealClear Politics listing of polls the average is a + 7.6% average Democratic advantage in the way voters are saying they’ll vote between the parties in the fall congressional elections….

The +15% is from the newest poll in the average from Quinnipiac…..

If we see some more polls with the margin for Democrats up above 10% and that holds for the next 8 months?

The House is gonna have a Democratic majority come January 2019….

FiveThirtyEight polling average shows Democrats with a 48.3% to 39.7% leadwhich comes out to a +8.6 lead for Democarts…

 

Trump helps Putin gain popularity with American Republicans….

Overall he isn’t popular among Americans…

But the Russian leader does better with Trump people…

Image result for trump/putin

Russian President Vladimir Putin’s favorability among Americans is at its highest point since 2003, with Republicans behind his gains, according to a new Gallup poll released Tuesday.

Twenty-one percent of Americans have a favorable view of the Russian president in the survey — up from 13 percent in 2015 — while 72 percent have an unfavorable view.

Putin’s favorability is up 20 percentage points among Republicans, with 32 percent holding a favorable view of him today, compared to 12 percent in 2015.

Ten percent of Democrats have a favorable view of Putin today, compared to 15 percent in 2015. The Russian leader’s favorability among independents is up 11 percentage points, with 23 percent having a favorable view of him today compared to 12 percent two years ago.

Some 28 percent of Americans have a favorable view of Russia itself, while 70 percent hold an unfavorable view of the country….

More…

image…thehill.com

Note

This poll is a year old…There are NO current polls on this question that I could find….

 

Trump is now a Conventional Republican…Forget the draining the swamp stuff…

With firebrand Steve Bannon gone and his buddy Stephen Miller under the thumb of John Kelly?

Donald Trump has had to slow his roll….

Added to that is the realization that Trump HAS TO work WITH his parties conservative wing to get anything done….

And what do you get?

You get a typical Conservative guy in the nations White House…

Image result for Trump/mcconnell/ryan

Whatever middle to left leanings that Donald Trump displayed before he got his new job (or even that slip out from time to time) have been erased….

The same guy who ran against the Republican Establishment now lies in bed with them…..They are one….

If they squint hard enough, Republicans looking at President Trump can almost see George W. Bush.

Government spending and the debt are soaring, provoking grumblings about fiscal recklessness. Taxes were slashed at the expense of balanced budgets. Thousands of additional troops have been deployed into war zones half a world away. And with the exception of some highly specific tariffs, international trade remains free and unfettered.

For all the ways Mr. Trump has defied and flouted the norms of his office, many policies that he has approved are downright ordinary by the standards of modern Republican administrations. It is a far cry from the mold-shattering approach he talked about before he became president, insisting he would punish China for “ripping us off,” pull out of Afghanistan because “we waste billions there” and slash the debt because it was “bad for the country.”

Many Republicans say that what has unfolded so far is not the Trump administration they were expecting.

“The biggest metaphor for this is that in Trump World, Steve Bannon is a smoldering ruin while the president has a good working relationship with Mitch McConnell and Paul Ryan,” said Rich Lowry, editor of National Review. “A year ago, I think very few people would have thought that.”….

More….

image…yellowhammernews.com

Mueller’s office charges Gates lawyer with lying to them…

Ya gotta tell them the truth went they ask ya questions…

They are serious about that…

Special counsel Robert Mueller’s prosecutors have filed a new charge against a man they say lied to federal investigators in the Russia probe.

A charging document filed in federal court in Washington on Tuesday accuses Alex Van Der Zwaan of one charge of making false statements. The information was filed ahead of a plea hearing scheduled for later Tuesday.

The court filing says Van Der Zwaan lied to investigators about his interactions with Rick Gates. Gates, a former Trump campaign aide, was indicted last year on charges of conspiracy to launder money and acting as an unregistered foreign agent….

More…