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Nobody likes you Donald. Well, except for non-college whites. How long will that firewall hold?

 By kos  @ Daily Kos

WASHINGTON, DC - FEBRUARY 15: U.S. President Donald Trump (R) reacts to a reporter shouting a question as he departs with Israel Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu (L) following a joint news conference at the East Room of the White House February 15, 2017 in Washington, DC. President Trump hosted Prime Minister Netanyahu for talks for the first time since Trump took office on January 20. (Photo by Win McNamee/Getty Images)

Can the incompetent asshole hold on to his core base?

The popular-vote loser is a supremely unlikeable person. Sure, he snuck into the White House thanks to an antiquated electoral system designed to protect the interests of slaveholders, but he didn’t get off to a rousing start. He got no honeymoon period. And somehow, he’s finding new depths of unpopularity to explore, with Pew clocking his favorabilities at 39-56. Of those, 46 percent disapprove “strongly,” which is higher than anything President Barack Obama saw, ever.

Now, lest anyone think that Trump is an anomaly, and not really representative of the GOP (an argument we’ll hear more and more in the months and years ahead), there’s this, “84 percent of Republicans and Republican leaners approve of the way he is handling his job as president.” He’s unambiguously their president.

Now it’s clear that there’s a dramatic racial divide in our nation’s politics, but there’s a dramatic difference among whites based on whether they have a college degree or not:

Approve Disapprove
White 51 48
Black 12 80
Hispanic 25 72
White, College 38 61
White, non-college 57 41

And that white, non-college-educated cohort is Trump’s firewall. He’ll bleed support among all those other groups, but there’s relatively not much room to drop. So if he’s going to end up in the low 30s or even high 20s, very possible within six months, it’ll be because non-college whites start abandoning him. And if Trump loses those guys, there’s nothing else propping up the GOP. And 2018 will be a political bloodbath.

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Political Roundup for February 15, 2017…Obamacare Repeal Not so fast…RRH Elections…

President/National

Flyover Country:  In case some of our readers were wondering as they are worrying about President Trump from their homes on the respective flanks of the country, Trump is still popular in middle America.

Obamacare:  As I predicted months ago, the Republicans are running into serious internal issues regarding the repeal of Obamacare.  If a repeal happens at all, you got to wonder if it will take as long as it took the Democrats to pass Obamacare.

DNC:  Tom Perez claims to have enough votes to win the race for DNC Chairman.  A Perez win would continue Obama control of the DNC.

SBA:  Linda McMahon was confirmed as SBA Director.  She received strong support from both parties by today’s standards.

MI-Sen:  With a dearth of interested candidates, Republicans in Michigan are floating the idea of Kid Rock running for US Senate.  Crazy to think that Kid Rock as a candidate is not that far outside the realm of possibility….

More….

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Betsey DeVos confirmed as Education Sec on VP Pence tiebreaker Senate vote…

WASHINGTON, DC - JANUARY 17: Betsy DeVos, President-elect Donald Trump's pick to be the next Secretary of Education, arrives for her confirmation hearing before the Senate Health, Education, Labor and Pensions Committee in the Dirksen Senate Office Building on Capitol Hill January 17, 2017 in Washington, DC. DeVos is known for her advocacy of school choice and education voucher programs and is a long-time leader of the Republican Party in Michigan. (Photo by Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images)

Betsy DeVos

For the first time in American history, a vice president had to vote in the Senate to break a tie on a Cabinet nominee, and Betsy DeVos was confirmed as Donald Trump’s education secretary. DeVos has no experience as an educator, or even as a public school student or parent of public school students, but she sure does donate a lot of money to Republicans.

Republican Sens. Susan Collins and Lisa Murkowski could have stopped DeVos in committee, but instead they voted for her there, waited to ensure she would have enough votes, then took the opportunity to grandstand about how they couldn’t vote for her. Democrats were united against DeVos, and senators were flooded with calls opposing her nomination, but in the end, there weren’t three Republicans to vote against an unqualified, unpopular nominee. Republicans whose offices were getting so many calls against DeVos that voters couldn’t get through or even leave voicemails nonetheless voted for her.

Republicans own Betsy DeVos and all her works. They tried to hide her from the public, burying her speedy confirmation hearing in the evening. They blew off massive numbers of their constituents who let them know she was unacceptable. They brought Mike Pence in to cast a historic (not in a good way) vote to confirm her. She’s theirs.

Unfortunately, now she’s in a position to ruin American public education…..

image…Chip Smodevilla/Getty Images

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Republicans hide while Democrats advance the Resistance….

Senate Democrats rush to talk to constituents, Republicans run and hide

Three constituents try to meet with Tom Cotton's staff

Sen. Tom Cotton (R-AR) leaves a note on the door telling folks he doesn’t want to talk to them.

This week broke all the records for phone calls to the U.S. Senate as America rises up to reject Popular Vote Loser Donald Trump, his basket of deplorable cabinet nominees, and his plans to repeal Obamacare. That’s got Republicans on the run in Virginia (more than one there), and Illinois and Arkansas and Ohio and Idaho, and, well, everywhere. Meanwhile, this is what’s happening in Senate Democratic offices:

Sen. Bob Casey (PA):

He was having such a good time with it that he just couldn’t stop talking to people. Sen. Mazie Hirono (HI) took her turn as well:

Sen. Bob Menendez (NJ) steps up:

Now, none of these folks is what you’d call a liberal firebrand. But here they all are, proud members of the resistance. And, you know, actually representing us. The people. So keep your calls to your senators going. If you live in a blue state, you might even get to talk to them. If you live in a red state, well, they really need to hear from you.

And when you’re not busy on the phone or hanging out in front of your senator’s locked office door, please take a little time to thank the Democrats for standing with us.

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Trump has another ‘new plan’ that was used by the Nazis against Jews in the 1930s…Daily Kos…

 By Walter Einenkel   @ Daily Kos….
Donald Trump and Steven Bannon with antisemitic Nazi newspaper Der Stürmer

Der Stürmer will just be called “The New York Post” or “Breitbart” or “Fox News.” Something catchy like that. 

On the White House website, inside of the press releases concerning Trump/Bannon executive actions you will find this “Executive Order: Enhancing Public Safety in the Interior of the United States.” In it, a list of immigrant crimes to be made and updated regularly and given to the public for consumption is ordered.

(b)  To better inform the public regarding the public safety threats associated with sanctuary jurisdictions, the Secretary shall utilize the Declined Detainer Outcome Report or its equivalent and, on a weekly basis, make public a comprehensive list of criminal actions committed by aliens and any jurisdiction that ignored or otherwise failed to honor any detainers with respect to such aliens.

Democracy Now’s Amy Goodman interviewed author Andrea Pitzer about her upcoming book concerning Hitler and the history of Concentration Camps in the world.

ANDREA PITZER: Well, this weekly report that he has called for recalls a number of things from the past that we have seen before, which is this move to isolate and identify and then vilify a vulnerable minority community in order to move against it. When he—I just went back last night and reread his speech from when he declared his candidacy, and the Mexican rapist comment was in from the beginning, and so this has been a theme throughout. And we see back in Nazi Germany there was a paper called—a Nazi paper called Der Stürmer, and they had a department called “Letter Box,” and readers were invited to send in stories of supposed Jewish crimes. And Der Stürmer would publish them, and they would include some pretty horrific graphic illustrations of these crimes, as well. And there was even a sort of a lite version of it, if you will, racism lite, in which the Neues Volk, which was more like a Look or a Life magazine, which normally highlighted beautiful Aryan families and their beautiful homes, would run a feature like “The Criminal Jew,” and they would show photos of “Jewish-looking,” as they called it, people who represented different kinds of crimes that one ought to watch out for from Jews.

So this preoccupation with focusing in on one subset of the population’s crimes and then depicting that as somehow depraved and abnormal from the main population is something we’ve seen quite a bit in the past, even in the U.S. Before Japanese-American internment, you had newspapers like the San Francisco Chronicle running about the unassimilability of the Japanese immigrants and also the crime tendencies and depravities they had, which were distinguished from the main American population….

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Political Roundup for February 2, 2017…Cruz debates Sanders on Obamacare…RRH Elections…

President/National:

Price/Mnuchin: Senate Republicans have changed the rules in the Senate Finance Committee to allow HHS Secretary nominee Tom Price (R) and Treasury Secretary Nominee Steve Mnuchin to be sent out of committee n a party-line vote. The decision was necessitated by Dems on the committee staging a walkout in an attempt to deny a quorum.

DeVos: Education Secretary Nominee Betsy DeVos (R) now looks like the Trump cabinet nominee in the most danger after Sens. Susan Collins (R) and Lisa Murkowski (R) announced yesterday that they would vote against her. DeVos now needs every other Republican to stay on board to be confirmed by a 50-50 tie vote.

DNC Chair: Former US Labor Secretary Tom Perez (D) scored a major coup in his bid to become DNC chair when he picked up the endorsement of Joe Biden. Perez is considered one of the two front-runners for the job, along with Minnesota Rep. Keith Ellison (D), with South Bend, IN Mayor Pete Buttgieg (D) also having a base of support.

Media Circus: You thought the 2016 campaign was behind you? Think again. Sens. Bernie Sanders (I/D) and Ted Cruz (R) will engage in a fantasy presidential debate to stroke their egos debate the future of Obamacare next Tuesday….

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FiveThirtyEight does the poling review of Trump’s Muslim refugee/visa ban…

Foreign Policy is NOIT about poll numbers…

But…

Here IS a FiveThirtyEight polling review…

……Here’s what we do know….

1. In the context of terrorism, at least a plurality of Americans are OK with immigration bans.

The Trump administration has argued that this is not a ban on Muslims. Rather, they’ll likely argue, as the order itself does, that the policies are meant “to protect the American people from terrorist attacks by foreign nationals admitted to the United States.” It’s not at all clear these policies will actually improve national security, but the American people have been more supportive of immigration restrictions in the name of counterterrorism. In a Quinnipiac University poll conducted in January, 48 percent of voters supported “suspending immigration from ‘terror prone’ regions, even if it means turning away refugees from those regions.” Forty-two percent were opposed. And a December Politico/Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health poll found 50 percent of Americans were in favor of “banning future immigration from regions where there are active terrorist groups.”

2. But a majority of Americans oppose a religion-based immigration ban.

Just 41 percent of Americans supported a temporary ban on Muslims entering the country who are not U.S. citizens, according to an August 2016 ABC News/Washington Post poll. A slight majority (52 percent) were opposed. A July CBS News/New York Times survey, which asked a similar question, found only 35 percent of voters thought the U.S. should temporarily ban Muslim immigration.

It’s possible, however, that these polls understate support for Trump’s plan. The surveys by ABC News and CBS News were conducted by live interviewers and called cell phones — generally the most accurate way to conduct a poll. But given that banning Muslim immigrants could be seen as a politically incorrect position, some Americans may feel uncomfortable voicing support for a ban to a stranger in a telephone poll. Morning Consult and YouGov, which conduct surveys over the internet, found a small plurality of Americans support temporarily banning Muslims from entering the U.S.

How long these policies are left in place could also play a role in how the public responds to them. Trump’s immigration and refugee restrictions, at the moment, are only temporary. But his executive order opens the door to more bans in the future, which could prove more unpopular. In the December Politico poll, just 18 percent were in favor of “banning future immigration of people who are Muslim.” The longer Trump’s immigration restrictions remain in place, the more pushback he might encounter.

3. Americans seem OK with lowering the number of refugees accepted by the U.S., but outright bans are not likely to be popular.

Americans think the U.S. accepts too many refugees, whether Syrian refugees specifically or all refugees. In July 2016, when the U.S.’s goal was to allow 10,000 Syrian refugees in per year, an Associated Press/GfK Knowledge Networks poll found that 53 percent of Americans thought the U.S. should allow fewer Syrian refugees to enter the country. Only 11 percent thought we should accept more, and 33 percent thought that level was about right….

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Republicans mute on Trump’s Muslim country bans…

Democrats are going at Trump with guns fully ablaze over the president’s new executive order blocking all refugees from entering the U.S., but where are Republicans? Aside from Paul Ryan, who’s desperate to keep Trump happy so that he can secure the tax cuts for the ultra-wealthy that are his raison d’etre, just about the entire GOP is nowhere to be found:

The majority of Republicans in Congress were silent on the order Saturday. Calls and emails to more than a dozen top GOP lawmakers were not returned.

As Trump sets fire to the world, his party goes into hiding—including many of the same senators who voted to rebuke Trump’s Muslim ban when he first proposed it in 2015. But while Republicans can pretend like they accidentally had their phones set to silent all weekend, come Monday, they’re going to have to answer questions—and then they’ll get to reveal just how cowardly they are.

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Anti-Immigration wingnuts are mad at President Trump already?

No Wall done yet?

No Deportation troopers?

No IMMEDIATE crackdown’s?

No immedate stop to work permits for illegal under “Deferred Action for Childhood Arrival” /DACA

Nope….

President Donald Trump’s deputies have yet to stop the Department of Homeland Security from printing more of President Obama’s work permits for younger illegals who claim they were brought into the United States when they were younger than 16.

This inaction is in violation of one of Trump’s most prominent campaign promises, and it also gives away bargaining power that Trump needs to make the GOP-led Congress implement his popular campaign promises on immigration reform, warns Mark Krikorian, head of the Center for Immigration Studies.

“It is an explicit betrayal of a promise he made — Point number five in his Phoenix speech” on immigration policy, Krikorian told Breitbart News. “That is a red line they have crossed less than three days into their administration.”

In his August speech in Phoenix, Ariz., Trump promised to immediately stop Obama’s amnesty and work permit programs, saying..

More….(From Trump’s inside guy Bannon’s Breibart)

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On Clinton vs Sanders and the Democratic Party Future….

Kos @ Daily Kos puts Populism above the two above….

Movements work when people feel empowered to take charge of their own destiny. My wife and 9-year-old daughter had a blast yesterday coming up with a slogan for the sign they’ll carry at this Saturday’s Women’s March in Oakland (I’ll be at a soccer game with my son, regrettably). There was no notion of sitting around waiting for someone to tell them what to say, or showing up at the protest expecting someone to hand them the sign. And sure, it means there’ll be some nutpicking, like we did with tea party protesters and their frequent lunacy (“Government hands off my Medicare” or “Get a brain Morans”), but when people are empowered, they can accomplish amazing things. That has always been an organizing principle of the Netroots—don’t look for people to lead you, take charge yourself! It worked really well for Occupy until they decided they didn’t want to engage electorally, thus making it safe for the powers-that-be to ignore them. And it’ll work great for the Trump Resistance Movement.

Too many people are still caught up in the Clinton vs. Sanders bullshit from back during the primaries….

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Russian crime bosses kept Trump empire afloat?

Presumptive Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump speaks at the Trump Soho Hotel in New York on June 22, 2016. / AFP / KENA BETANCUR (Photo credit should read KENA BETANCUR/AFP/Getty Images)

In 2008, Donald Trump Jr. attended a real estate conference, where he stated that

Russians make up a pretty disproportionate cross-section of a lot of our assets. We see a lot of money pouring in from Russia.

As it turns out, that may have been an understatement. Human rights lawyer Scott Horton, whose work in the region goes back to defending Andrei Sakharov and other Soviet dissidents, has gone through a series of studies by the Financial Times to show how funds from Russian crime lords bailed Trump out after yet anther bankruptcy. The conclusions are stark.

Among the powerful facts that DNI missed were a series of very deep studies published in the [Financial Times] that examined the structure and history of several major Trump real estate projects from the last decade—the period after his seventh bankruptcy and the cancellation of all his bank lines of credit. …

The money to build these projects flowed almost entirely from Russian sources. In other words, after his business crashed, Trump was floated and made to appear to operate a successful business enterprise through the infusion of hundreds in millions of cash from dark Russian sources.

He was their man.

Yes, even that much seems fantastic, and the details include business agencies acting as a front for the GRU, billionaire mobsters, a vast network of propaganda sources, and an American candidate completely under the thumb of the Kremlin.

It reads like the a B-grade spy novel, a plot both too convoluted—and too bluntly obvious—for John le Carré. The problem is it may not be a conspiracy theory. It may be a conspiracy.

 Horton’s analysis comes from piecing together information in three Financial Times “deep reports.” One of these focused on Sergei Millian, the head of the Russian American Chamber of Commerce in the US at the time of Trump Jr.’s “money pouring in from Russia” claim….

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Note…

There are reports that President trump will make his first trip out of the country to Iceland to meet with Russian President Putin….

Update….

I guess that was too much…

The report has been denied....

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The GOPer’s will be repealing a program that has actually INCREASED Healthcare Insurance to Americans…

Makes Sense ?

Republicans are looking to CANCEL Healthcare Insurance for tens of MILLIONS of Americans….

That because President Obama has his name on the program?

When congressional candidates last hit the campaign trail in 2014, one word seemed to be at the top of the agenda for virtually every Republican: Obamacare. But that was before most of the law’s provisions took effect. Two years later, the health law seems to have faded as a campaign issue.

New data released this month might give a hint as to why: The uninsured rate — the share of the population without health insurance — dropped in every congressional district in the country between 2013 and 2015, according to the American Community Survey.

casselman-barry-jester-uninsurance-1

Obamacare’s troubles are far from over. Recent months have brought a spate of headlines about big insurers pulling out of the law’s health insurance marketplaces, and (somewhat misleadingly) about soaring insurance premiums. The law, formally known as the Affordable Care Act, remains as polarizing as ever: Two-thirds of Democrats say they have a favorable view of the law, and 76 percent of Republicans view it unfavorably, according to an August poll from the Kaiser Family Foundation, which researches health care policy.

But on one metric, at least, the law seems to be working: More people are getting coverage. According to other Census Bureau data released last week, 4 million people gained insurance last year. About 29 million Americans still don’t have insurance, 13 million fewer than before the law took effect….

More….

Note….

The program does need adjustments….

But a total repeal just doesn’t make much sense….

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Bernie Sanders will help Democrats rally against Medicare/Medicaid cuts

 By Meteor Blades   @ Daily Kos
ESSINGTON, PA - JULY 27:  Senator Bernie Sanders exits the stage after addressing the New Hampshire, Maine and Vermont delegation breakfast at the Democratic National Convention (DNC) on July 27, 2016 in Essington, Pennsylvania. The convention officially began on Monday and is expected to attract thousands of protesters, members of the media and Democratic delegates to the City of Brotherly Love.  (Photo by Jeff J Mitchell/Getty Images)

Bernie Sanders doing the Democratic Party job of persuading congressional colleagues to help organize nationwide pre-inaugural protest rallies over potential cuts in Medicare and Medicaid, as well as other health matters Republicans are likely to take up in Congress come January.

In what Tim Fernholz at Quartz calls the Democrats’ “first major gesture of opposition” to the incoming Trump regime, Senator Chuck Schumer, Rep. Nancy Pelosi, and Senator Bernie Sanders have put their signatures on a letter to congressional colleagues Wednesday that might have come as a surprise to many of them. It encourages them to join with Sanders to help organize pre-inaugural rallies in their states to rouse opposition to a Republican-driven budget bill “that will severely undermine the health needs of the American people.” Leftover money from the Sanders campaign will fund the organizing effort.

The expected budget bill provisions, as you see in the full letter below, are a direct attack on Medicare and Medicaid, the three say, and will likely include hikes in prescription drug prices and a threat to nursing home care for millions of Americans.

Called “Our First Stand: Save Health Care,” the resistance rallies are slated for Sunday, Jan. 15. Here’s Fernholz:

Sanders, whose run for the Democratic presidential nomination this year emboldened the left wing of the Democratic party, has seen his cachet rise in a party looking for leadership following Hillary Clinton’s defeat in November. Amidst the recriminations and a messy race to head up the party’s national committee, it hasn’t been clear who would be the face of Democratic opposition to Trump. Now, we have an answer.

While Sanders’ harsh critique of the millionaire and billionaire class turned off professional Democrats who benefit from the global economy during his primary run, the election results have convinced party leaders that they need to better articulate how their economic policies will lead to broadly shared prosperity.

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Merry Christmas from Politicaldog101……

Merry Christmas

To

All!


May Santa be

GOOD to

You

Today and the Rest of the

Year!


Thank You for your support and attendance here

At the

Politicaldog101.Com

The Dog

Originally posted in 2010 and that’s good enough for 2016!….

Enjoy!

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‘We the People’ Concert to counter to Trump Swearing-In?

The ‘Resistance will continue…..
By Walter Einenkel   @ Daily Kos

RIO DE JANEIRO, BRAZIL - FEBRUARY 08: A performer dances during Mangueira performance at the Rio Carnival in Sambodromo on February 8, 2016 in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. Despite the Zika virus epidemic, thousands of tourists gathered in Rio de Janeiro for the carnival. (Photo by Raphael Dias/Getty Images)

Maybe not this “awesome,” but equally so in a different way… 

Politico’s Playbook is reporting that a concert promoter is putting together a “we the People” concert to compete with Donald Trump’s inauguration.

MARK ROSS, a concert promoter and the son of the late Time Warner CEO Steve Ross, is in the process of putting together a large-scale concert called “We the People” to DIRECTLY compete with Donald Trump’s inauguration. The organizers are looking to hold the event in Miami on Inauguration Day. “The talent is banging on our doors to do this,” according to a source familiar with the planning, although not a single act has been revealed as of yet. Ross is in the midst of lining up funding, according to a source.

If true, it would definitely make Donald Trump sad. The bad news is that it might speed up his administration’s plans to ban public gatherings. Of course, that fight seems to have already begun.

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Chelsea Clinton For 2018

……from the Oligarch Kings..

chelsea

An Oligarch coming to a seat near you 2018

A last hope for the Democrats?  A sign of resurgence?  Or yet another example of zombie oligarchies at their worst?  That surely must be the thoughts of many who realised earlier this week that despite the collapse of Hillary’s campaign we were far from done with the ambitions of the Clinton Political Family.

Oh no.  There is Chelsea being set up for accelerated entry in the mid-terms of2018.

Sure Chelsea has changed a lot over the years.  Gone is the frizzy unmanageable hair and that authentic British dentistry look.  All now replaced during Hillary’s campaign by a young woman who was methodical, deliberate, cautious, detail-oriented, and disciplined.  Chelsea tries to keep an iron grip on her own narrative.  She has her mother’s gift for detail and control, as well as Hillary’s fear that journalists pose a constant threat to that control.

Chelsea deserves her shot at elevated Public Office doesn’t she.  Let’s choose a nice easy seat shall we?  I mean after all she is a Clinton, so why should dear Chelsea have to engage in that grubby business of working one’s way up through the ranks of District Councils, and then thole the joy of a town or city council.  Why should she have to prove her worth to slave away at the thankless task of slogging through the State Legislature.  And as for having to get her hands dirty being a Mayor I mean she is a Clinton.  No you are quite right she should just get to go to the house first shot.

If you needed to know what oligarchy looks like it is this.  Leapfrogging your way to the seats of power pushing aside other doubtless more worthy candidates.

It seems that NY 17th Congressional District may be coming free by 2018, as the incumbent Nita Lowey is now aged 79 and looking like she can be shoved aside – er sorry, encouraged to retire.  Chelsea and her husband have already bought a house in the constituency so they qualify for running.  I mean it’s not as if it looks like a done deal does it?

Not, of course,  that her married name and family do not have um, how may I put this, “connotations” in the New York area.  If she does run it will be with some baggage.  But then I suppose it couldn’t be a Clinton run without trolley loads of encumbrances.  Old man Bill still attracts his enemies like magnets, and Hills is like marmite.  To top it all off the Genealogical background for her hubby is also problematic……

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