All posts by jamesb101

I started blogging about three years ago on Politics1……and……. I owe a deep gratitude to Ron Gunzburger for his site…….along with all the guys and gals there who have helped me to come out and play in a brave new world……..I have always tried to tell things as I see it…..after all these years …….you won’t see things the way everyone else does….but that is good…….because me…….I have a lot to learn…….I have been in the presence of a quite a few of the old time ( 1970s to 1990s ) politicians, and you know what?…they all struck me as human beings, with a mission…..today, I see that same thing in the local ones…….so not much has changed…….I salute you all…. political junkies and others…..thanks for a great ride…..

Dear Lefty Media: Democrats Are Still Unpopular In The Suburbs…

Why is it that every time the Democrats suffer a defeat, the media rushes to their aid, giving us the “it’s merely a flesh wound!” prognosis, and telling us here’s how the GOP is actually going to have its clocked cleaned any minute now. Any minute.

So it is with this well-written, well-researched, and wrong piece from Politico Magazine, titled: “The GOP’s Suburban Nightmare.”

Giving credit where it’s due, this writer does his homework in attempting to craft a convincing argument that Trump’s poor(er than Reagan) showing in suburban America is a sign of the impending doom of the GOP — even as early as the 2018 midterms.

It’s a good piece from the perspective of: it’s readable, engaging, has lots of interesting information, etc. It’s a fun read. It’s just wrong.

And here’s how I know.

It uses Atlanta and the Ossoff/Handel race as its jumping off point, making the fast argument that Trump only barely beat Hillary Clinton in the suburbs during the 2016 election. 49% to her 45%, the article says. Then it says this:

Karen Handel’s Georgia special-election victory Tuesday enabled the GOP to kick the can down the road, but not for long. The same Atlanta suburbs that once produced Republicans like Newt Gingrich voted for Clinton in November. They followed up a few months later by nearly sending a 30-year-old, first-time Democratic candidate to Congress. Republicans may be gloating now, but it’s an ominous sign for the 2018 midterm elections, when control of the House is likely to hinge on roughly two or three dozen suburban districts currently held by the GOP.

“Nearly.” I’m from Atlanta and we have a saying in the South: almost only counts in horseshoes and hand grenades…..

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Obama goes public in knocking Senate Healthcare bill proposal…

The former President has asked members of Congress to exhibit courage in pushing back against Republican ‘meaness’ in efforts to take away coverage for ten’s of millions of Americans….

Barack Obama sharply condemned the healthcare plan unveiled by Senate Republicans on Thursday as a “massive transfer of wealth” to the rich, at the expense of poor and middle-class Americans.

In a Facebook post hours after the Republican bill was made public, the former president made some of his most pointed comments since leaving office in defense of what remains the most signature accomplishment of his two terms.

“The Senate bill, unveiled today, is not a healthcare bill,” Obama wrote. “It’s a massive transfer of wealth from middle-class and poor families to the richest people in America.”

“Simply put, if there’s a chance you might get sick, get old, or start a family, this bill will do you harm,” he added, while highlighting some of the more contentious provisions within the legislation, such as tax breaks to top earners and drug and insurance companies, and the potential gutting of coverage for pre-existing conditions, pregnancy and mental health.

“Small tweaks over the course of the next couple of weeks, under the guise of making these bills easier to stomach, cannot change the fundamental meanness at the core of this legislation.”

Obama has largely kept out of the political fray since his departure from the White House – weighing in on just a handful of Donald Trump’s actions through written statements, such as his successor’s travel ban on refugees and several Muslim-majority countries, and the decision to withdraw the US from the Paris climate accord.

But Obama’s personal stake in the healthcare debate, and his concern that Trump and Republicans will dismantle the Affordable Care Act, has transcended the other matters that have dominated Washington under the new administration….

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Supreme’s rule 9 to Zip limiting Government reason’s to deport Naturalized Immigrant Seekers…

The court seems to recognize that people CAN mistakes….

The Supreme Court ruled Thursday that a naturalized immigrant can’t be stripped of their citizenship for making false statements during the naturalization process that are irrelevant to an immigration official’s decision to grant or deny citizenship.

A unanimous court said the government must establish that an immigrant’s illegal act during the naturalization process played some role in acquiring citizenship. When the underlying illegal act is a false statement, the justices said a jury must decide whether the false statements altered the naturalization process and influenced the immigration official’s decision.

In delivering the opinion of the court, Justice Elena Kagan said immigrants seeking citizenship are confronted with all kinds of questions, including “Have you ever been in any way associated with any organization, association, fund, foundation, party, club, society or similar group?” and “Have you ever committed a crime or offense for which you were not arrested?”…

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There is NO Comey/Trump Oval Office tapes….

Donald Trump admits he tried to intimidate James Comey….

It didn’t work….

Replying to

…whether there are “tapes” or recordings of my conversations with James Comey, but I did not make, and do not have, any such recordings.

“With all of the recently reported electronic surveillance, intercepts, unmasking and illegal leaking of information, I have no idea whether there are ‘tapes’ or recordings of my conversations with James Comey, but I did not make, and do not have, any such recordings,” Trump tweeted.
The statement ended speculation about whether the President recorded conversations in the Oval Office. Comey, who Trump fired last month, said he had hoped there were recordings of their conversations.
Trump, perhaps attempting to insulate himself from blame, suggested in Thursday’s tweets that some surveillance could be happening, but that he was not aware of any such attempts. Multiple government agencies, through interviews and Freedom of Information Act Requests, told CNN no such official recording devices existed…..
Note….
Can his denial be believed???
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Canada’s Trump Strategy: Go Around Him…

Dealing with Trump….

Prime Minister Justin Trudeau’s strategy for managing Mr. Trump is unlike anything tried by another ally. And he has largely succeeded where even experienced leaders like Angela Merkel of Germany have fallen short.

More than perhaps any other country, Canada relies on the United States, which accounts for 70 percent of its trade. Its sizable manufacturing industry is tightly integrated with American production, meaning even a slight hardening of the border or prolonged trade negotiations could put its economy at risk.

Laid in the first days after Mr. Trump’s election win, the plan even enlists Brian Mulroney, a former Conservative prime minister and political nemesis of Mr. Trudeau’s father, who had also been prime minister. Mr. Mulroney knows Mr. Trump and his commerce secretary, Wilbur Ross, from social circuits in southern Florida, where all three keep vacation homes.

Mr. Mulroney’s former chief of staff and ambassador to Washington, Derek Burney, said they urged Mr. Trudeau’s government to “cultivate access, but not just within the White House. To work the American system as never before.”

By organizing a grass-roots network of American officials, lawmakers and businesses, Canada is hoping to contain Mr. Trump’s protectionistand nationalist impulses. Though emphasizing the benefits of harmony, the Canadians are not above flexing muscle, with a provincial government at one point quietly threatening trade restrictions against New York State.

“We don’t have the luxury that the Germans have of an ocean between us,” Mr. Burney said. “And we don’t have a Plan B.”….

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Democrat leads in Virginia Governor’s race….

Former GOP National Party head Ed Gillespie has a hill top climb that Democratic Lt. Governor Northam is on top of….

As in in other races recently?

Donald Trump isn’t popular….

But?

That has NOT stop Republicans from coming out to vote in recent Special House elections this year…

Democrat Ralph Northam begins the general-election phase of Virginia’s governor’s race with an 8-point lead over Republican Ed Gillespie, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released on Wednesday.

Northam, the current lieutenant governor, held a 47 percent to 39 percent lead over Gillespie, a former Republican National Committee chairman, in the first independent polling conducted after last week’s gubernatorial primaries.

The poll found Northam with strong leads among women and minorities, with Gillespie drawing more support from white voters. Independent voters were evenly divided between the two, with 40 percent backing Gillespie and 38 percent supporting Northam.

“Lt. Gov. Ralph Northam begins the general election as the favorite to become the Old Dominion’s next governor. But not an overwhelming one,” Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll, said in a news release.

The poll also showed the extent to which President Donald Trump could be a drag on Virginia Republicans in the closely watched election, one of only two governor’s races in 2017, along with New Jersey’s….

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House Budget plan cuts Social Programs while increasing Defense Spending…

In typical Republicans fashion…..

The reward Defense contractors at the expense of those need the money to live…..

The House Budget Committee is planning to unveil a long-awaited budget resolution next week calling for a spending boost to the Pentagon alongside cuts to domestic programs, despite lingering disputes within the GOP conference.

House budget writers reached a tentative agreement this afternoon to move ahead with a resolution that would set spending levels at $511 billion for domestic programs and $621 billion for defense, two lawmakers confirmed. Compared to current law, that would amount to a $72 billion boost for defense and a $4 billion cut for domestic spending.

The budget resolution would also instruct GOP committees to cut $150 billion from mandatory programs over a decade. Those cuts, while not specified in the budget, would be intended to target anti-poverty programs, like food stamps and disability insurance, according to members.

“We’d like to mark up next week, next Wednesday,” senior member Rep. Tom Cole (R-Okla.) said, acknowledging the committee still has “a few i’s to dot and t’s to cross.”

The mandatory spending cuts — which, unlike the rest of the budget proposal, would actually become law — have been among the most controversial pieces of this year’s GOP budget. The cuts would be included as reconciliation instructions, alongside tax reform, which means the legislation could dodge the Senate’s filibuster…..

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Charlie Cook’s people say Democrats STILL are in a good place for 2018 House Midterms…

Their view?

Democrats lose House races in GOP districts where there is a LOT of media attention that motivates the REPUBLICAN base….

In quiet races in GOP territory ?

Democrats do better….

And….

On the whole?

Democrats ARE actually over performing in House races in GOP districts….

They just need the Media to leave them alone while they work harder with better candidates…

If Democrats were to outperform their “generic” share by eight points across the board in November 2018, they would pick up 80 seats. Of course, that won’t happen because Republican incumbents will be tougher to dislodge than special election nominees. But these results fit a pattern that should still worry GOP incumbents everywhere, regardless of Trump’s national approval rating and the outcome of the healthcare debate in Congress.

Put another way, Democratic candidates in these elections have won an average of 68 percent of the votes Hillary Clinton won in their districts, while Republican candidates have won an average of 54 percent of Trump’s votes. That’s an enthusiasm gap that big enough to gravely imperil the Republican majority next November—even if it didn’t show up in “the special election to end all special elections.”……

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College Basketball star Lonzo Ball has a daddy problem…

Image result for lonzo ball/lavar ball

Lonzo Ball is going to the ‘League’….National Basketball League…

But he is carrying his dad on his back…

And his dad won’t stop talking….And TALKING …..

Lonzo Ball sat behind a microphone inside a midtown Manhattan hotel Wednesday afternoon, reporters from around the world pointing tape recorders and video cameras in his direction and peppering him with questions. Given how camera-friendly Ball’s father, LaVar, has become in recent months, one could be forgiven for assuming his son would be similarly loquacious.

In the span of about three minutes, however, 16 questions were asked and answered by the former UCLA star. Most of his answers were roughly 10 words or less. All of his responses were polite, offered with a slight smile. The 19-year-old exhibited a polish rarely seen among even seasoned interview subjects — let alone among a room of teenagers on the eve of one of the biggest days of their lives.

Of course, LaVar was a popular topic.

“To tell you the truth? I don’t know,” Ball said with a smile and a shake of his head Wednesday, when asked how many times he’s been asked about his father. “Too many times.

“I’d like it to be [just about basketball]. But, living in reality, probably not.”…..

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image…bleacher fan.com

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Trump wants Immigrants to wait 5 Years for Welfare Benefits…

Trump turns to his tried and tested idea of knocking those who cannot pay their way…

It WILLplay well to his base and counter a Bernei Sanders policy of Robin Hood …Taking from the rich and middle class to help the poor….

And he renews attacks on immigration to America…Illegal or even Legal…

(Does this mean those immigrants would NOT have to pay welfare taxes?)

His proposal is probably NOT legal and would never see the light of day…But he’s put it out in the media….Sounds like Trump is back in campaign mode?

“I believe the time has come for new immigration rules which say that those seeking admission into our country must be able to support themselves financially and should not use welfare for a period of at least five years,” Trump said at a campaign rally in Cedar Rapids, Iowa on Wednesday. “And we’ll be putting in legislation to that effect very shortly.”

Trump campaigned on promises of a crackdown on undocumented immigrants in the U.S. and signed an executive order shortly after taking office in January that has led to increases in deportations across the country, according to immigrant advocates. However, he has also targeted refugees and other legal immigrants, proposing to reduce the number who enter the country and establish new standards that would weed out people without high skills or much education.

“We want to get our people off of welfare and back to work,” Trump said. “We also want to preserve our safety net for struggling Americans who truly need help. We want to help them. But others don’t treat us fairly.”….

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Will Democrats turn from Trump to Economics?

The loss of Jon Ossoff in the GA-06 and the continuing losing batting average for Democrats in Special House Elections has seemed to FINALLY woken up Democrats to the idea that running against Donald Trump isn’t gonna be enough if they want to start winning House races that will help them regain the majority in that legislative body….

Democrats are also back to questioning the leadership of Nancy Pelosi who raises a TON of money for her party members , but has lost the Speaker of the House spot and has presided over Democrats losing House races even in longtime Democratic districts…

Again?

Progressive and Left leaning policy will NOT work in getting the Democrats wins in the 20+ House races they need to take back from the Republicans….Democrats need to find a way to get ‘swing’ voters to cast their ballots for them…Not the Republicans…

“We need to show working men and women we understand their anxieties and fears,” she [ Representative Debbie Dingell of Michigan] said, “and show that Trump is treating them like just another politician.”

By fiercely contesting a congressional race in the conservative Atlanta suburbs, Democrats had hoped to make an emphatic statement about the weakness of the Republican Party under Mr. Trump. Their candidate, Jon Ossoff, raised about $25 million, mostly in small donations, and assertively courted right-of-center voters with promises of economic development and fiscal restraint.

That vague message, Democrats said Wednesday, was plainly not powerful enough to counter an onslaught of Republican advertising that cast Mr. Ossoff as a puppet of liberal national Democrats, led by Ms. Pelosi, an intensely unpopular figure on the right and a longstanding target of Republican attacks. While Mr. Ossoff made inroads by exploiting Mr. Trump’s unpopularity and a backlash against health care legislation approved in the House, Democrats said they would have to do more to actually win.

Representative Eric Swalwell of California, who is close to party leaders, said Democrats would “crystallize our message on jobs, on health care” in the coming months. The results in Georgia and other special elections, he said, should encourage Democrats to campaign across a huge map of districts. “We need to compete everywhere,” he said.

Representative Ben Ray Luján of New Mexico, the chairman of the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee, met Wednesday morning with a group of lawmakers who have been conferring about economic messaging, according to several people present who spoke on the condition of anonymity.

Mr. Luján told the group that his committee would examine the Georgia results for lessons, but he urged the lawmakers to portray the race in positive terms in their public comments, stressing that Democrats have consistently exceeded their historical performance in a series of special elections fought in solidly Republican territory.

It was in the meeting with Mr. Luján that Mr. Cárdenas, a member of the Democratic leadership, brought up Ms. Pelosi’s role in the Georgia race, calling it “the elephant in the room.” Ms. Pelosi was not present.

Mr. Ossoff’s supporters showed their dismay after results came in showing Karen Handel in the lead at a viewing party at the Westin Atlanta Perimeter North, on Tuesday night.CreditKevin D. Liles for The New York Times

A spokeswoman for Mr. Cárdenas, while acknowledging his comment, said he had invoked the leader in the context of “what can be done to stand up to those attacks in the future.”

Ms. Pelosi has consistently rejected calls to step down, and there was little indication that her leadership post was at risk. She responded to the election results in a “Dear Colleague” letter to Democratic lawmakers late Wednesday, underscoring the party’s improving performance in conservative areas and saying that “every effort was made to win” in Georgia.

But Ms. Pelosi also said it was time for Democrats to “put forth our message,” and promised an economic one that “we can all embrace and utilize in our districts.”….

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…twitter…

South Carolina source texted me last night: “People might not love Trump, but they really don’t like taxes.” Seems a good thing to remember.

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The first glimpse of the GOP Senate Healthcare bill…..

The Republicans are releasing their version of what the Healthcare Repeal should be….

The released version coming out WILL be open for more changes as Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell makes a try at getting his Conservative and Moderates to 50 votes for passage….

By the way?

Trump has said out loud that he doesn’t want the Congress to come up with something ‘mean’….

Both the House and Senate bill will NOT completely Repeal the Affordable Healthcare Act on the books…

Polling reads the House Bill as being very unpopular…

But Republicans ARE gonna try to pass SO(METHING so they can say they Repealed Obamacare….Anyhing they DO pass is bound to cut tens of millions of Americans away from the Healthcare coverage they currently have…And cut coasts for rich people…

Senate Republicans on Thursday plan to release a health-care bill that would curtail federal Medicaid funding, repeal taxes on the wealthy and eliminate funding for Planned Parenthood as part of an effort to fulfill a years-long promise to undo Barack Obama’s signature health-care law.

The bill is an attempt to strike a compromise between existing law and a bill passed by the House in May as Republicans struggle to advance their vision for the country’s health-care system even though they now control both chambers of Congress and the White House.

The Senate proposal largely mirrors the House measure with significant differences, according to a discussion draft circulating Wednesday among aides and lobbyists. While the House legislation would peg federal insurance subsidies to age, the Senate bill would link them to income, as the Affordable Care Act does. The Senate proposal would cut off expanded Medicaid funding for states more gradually than the House bill but would enact deeper long-term cuts to the health-care program for low-income Americans. It also would eliminate House language aimed at prohibiting federally subsidized health plans from covering abortions, a provision that may run afoul of complex Senate budget rules.

But on the eve of the bill’s release, Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.) faced the prospect of an open revolt from key conservative and moderate GOP senators, whose concerns he has struggled to balance in recent weeks. Republicans familiar with the effort said Senate leaders have more work to do to secure the 50 votes needed to pass the measure, with Vice President Pence set to cast the tiebreaking vote, from the pool of 52 GOP senators. No Democrats are expected to support the bill…..

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Update….

Here’s the text…..

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AG Sessions hires a personal lawyer…

U.S. Attorney General Jeff Sessions has become the latest senior Trump administration official to hire a private attorney, a Justice Department spokeswoman said on Tuesday.

Sessions has retained Washington-based lawyer Charles Cooper, whom spokeswoman Sarah Isgur Flores described as a long-time friend of the former senator.

She did not say when Cooper was hired or whether he would be Sessions’ defense lawyer in the federal probe into alleged Russian interference in last year’s presidential election and possible collusion by Trump’s campaign team….

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Republican Norman wins the SC-05 Special Election

Less money from national Democrats, and a concerted effort for the black vote helped Democratic Archie Parnell do better that most thought he would….But Republicans keep the seat for themselves…

Republican Ralph Norman has won South Carolina’s special House election to replace Office of Management and Budget Director Mick Mulvaney in Congress.

Norman defeated Democrat Archie Parnell in a closer than expected race for South Carolina’s 5th Distrct on Tuesday night. Norman had 52 percent of the vote to Parnell’s 48 percent when the Associated Press called the race with 89 percent of precincts reporting.

The district swung drastically to Democrats: Mulvaney defeated former Joe Biden aide Fran Person by 21 percentage points in November, and Trump won the district by 18 percentage points.

Norman, a conservative hardliner in the state legislature who won a primary runoff against a more moderate opponent with the help of the Club for Growth, has said he would join the House Freedom Caucus if elected.

Parnell, a former Goldman Sachs and ExxonMobil employee, did not attract the same grassroots attention that boosted Jon Ossoff in Georgia and Rob Quist in Montana in other House special elections this year. The national parties largely stayed out of the race in the Republican-leaning district. The DCCC spent just under $300,000 on the race, while the NRCC and Congressional Leadership Fund spent smaller amounts.

The DCCC’s money was aimed at turning out black voters, and much of the money went towards ads on African-American radio and canvassing in heavily black parts of the district. Other national Democrats, many with their eyes on an early 2020 primary state, also campaigned for Parnell, including former Maryland Gov. Martin O’Malley and Ohio Rep. Tim Ryan. Biden recorded a get-out-the-vote robocall…..

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Joe Biden is leading the Democratic 2020 Presidential field….

Ole’ Joe is hanging in there as the 2020 Democratic Presidential sweepstakes filed grows….

Image result for joe Biden

Sources close to Biden say he learned lessons from the 2016 election cycle that could prove helpful in a 2020 run.

He’s told people around him that Democratic nominee Hillary Clintonwasn’t a good candidate because she fell “out of touch” with parts of the Democratic base. It is a factor that cost her the election, he has bemoaned to friends time and again.

After seeing the blowback endured by Clinton and more recently former President Barack Obama, Biden is “purposefully” steering clear of paid speeches to corporations or taking on corporate work, as one Biden ally put it.

Biden, sources say, regrets not running for office in 2016, and if he does decide to run again, he doesn’t want unforced errors to hamper his chances.

“My sense from talking to him is that he would love the opportunity to do it,” one Democratic operative close to Biden said of a potential White House run. “He’s doing the things he needs to do, he’s stepping up to be a leader of the party — and the party needs it — and his poll numbers look good.”

A Morning Consult and Politico poll released on Monday shows Biden leading handily among other potential Democratic candidates, including Sen. Elizabeth Warren (Mass.).

While the poll could be interpreted in part as a measurement of Biden’s name recognition, the results still showed that 74 percent of Democratic voters have a favorable view of the former vice president, compared to 51 percent for Warren and 45 percent for Sen. Al Franken (D-Minn.). Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) was not included in the poll…..

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Here’s the poll….

  1. Biden
  2. Warren
  3. Franken
  4. Booker
  5. Kaine

The poll asked Registered DEMOCRATS…Bernie Sanders is NOT a Registered Democrat…He’s NOT on the list…..

image..cnn.com

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Nancy Pelosi is turning out to be a Democratic problem….

It appears that Republican negative ads against her ARE working with their base….

 In yesterdays GA-06 race?……

Image result for nancy pelosi young

Republican operatives say that 98 percent of voters in the 6th District already had an impression of Pelosi when they conducted their first internal poll, and she was 35 points underwater. When presented with the choice of whether they wanted a representative who would work with Paul Ryan or Pelosi, six in 10 picked the Speaker and three in 10 picked the minority leader…..

Source….

While national Republicans threw the kitchen sink at Ossoff, perhaps their most potent — and consistent — attack was linking him to House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi. Democrats have to admit they have a Pelosi problem, especially in red states and districts. Yes, she brings money and legislative savvy to the party. But if Democratic candidates like Ossoff are going to campaign on change, Republicans can quickly undercut that message by simply showing Pelosi. It’s a legitimate question Democrats must ask themselves: Can they win back the House with Pelosi promising to stay in power?…

Source….

House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi (D-Ca) maybe able to raise a LOT of money for the party….But she has become a lighting rod for the opposition to use to pick up votes…And that is something Democrats do NOT need….

image…cnn.com

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