Election Day 2017….

Image result for voting

It’s the voters turn today….

Not the pundits….

Not the polls….

The national media will define the results in turns of Donald Trump….

But for most voters it won’t be that at all…

All politics is local….

And it will be the emotional tag a particular candidate drops on the person doing their ballot receives…

Of course the BIG WILLY race is the Virginia Governors race which has turn to nasty shrill in the final days…

But there are other races around the country….

The New Jersey Governor’s race and tons of other state and local races out there….

Democrats hope to start to make gains they can build on to add to their chances in next years midterms….They also hope to look ahead on the state and local level where they suffered the last few elections….

Republicans will try to hold on to their narrow, but strong voter base….

We’ll see the results later today….

Update from Daily Kos with a graphic of most of todays elections results….HERE

Good news for Democrats

image…NY Times.Com

Scott p
Guest

Also regarding gun control an NRA backed Republican was defeated in conservative SW VA by a Democratic nominee whose girlfriend –a news anchor–was shot to death on TV.

Keith
Guest

I was going to say something similar Zreebs, my work schedule allowed me to help yesterday. Katie Hall of the Hall Winery set up a phone bank down in St. Helena. 40 lines with constant calling for 9 hours. It was fun.

bdog
Guest
I don’t know if psychoanalyzing Trump is a great idea… I do know that: 1. Democrats had a good showing last night and now they need to build on that momentum into next year, which a win certainly helps you do that. 2. For the congressional elections next year the money will flow two ways, anti-Trump and pro-Trump…the lines are drawn…I think it is too late for Republicans to turn against him because a majority of their base strongly supports him still…and fracturing the party… Read more »
Scott p
Guest

Yeah I agree on Trump’s insecurities and terrible treatment by his father. It’s tragic that his brother drank himself to death. It’s admirable that Donald recognized the danger of also becoming addicted and avoided going down the same path. But he still has issues he has not dealt with and now we all have to be part of it.

CG
Guest

I think Trump’s issue from childhood is more that he was tormented by his father and thus always has to put up a “front.” At some level he might have profound insecurities about everything, but will try to avoid an inkling of that ever appearing.

The same sort of treatment drove his older brother to the bottle and an early death.

Scott p
Guest
James at 10:26 last night you posted “It DOES appear that Trump realizes he was a problem for Gillespie and is trying as usual to get ahead of the media curve” I disagree. Trump doesn’t realize shit. He honestly thinks he can do no wrong. And his cult like minions agree. I’ve already had discussions online with a couple of them this morning. It might be bullshit but Trump honestly believes it’s true because he’s been spoiled and delusional his whole life. That people buy… Read more »
🍎Zreebs
Guest

James, considering Keith is self-employed, he doesn’t make a salary. So He might be willing to bet his salary that there is life on the sun.

Keith
Guest

Of course he ran on gun control and against the NRA, and lost the gun owner vote while still winning in a landslide.

So, with this success, expect more Democrats to champion gun control.

Keith
Guest
Except, if I recall last night, Larry called Virginia a “mid-Atlantic State” and it’s in the South. You know the Capitol of the Confederacy and Robert E. Lee. I knew in 2004 that Virginia was turning blue, that’s why I got so heavily involved in the 2006 Jim Webb Senate race. (Remember when George Allen was predicted to be our next Republican President?) I contributed to Danica’s campaign Zreebs and phone banked yesterday to voters in her district. Hillary contributed too I’m told, she knows… Read more »
My Name Is jack
Guest

I agree with Larry Sabatos succinct analysis above.

Scott p
Guest

Murphy’s margin turned out to be 13 pts. pretty much what was expected.
Allso Northam’s victory margin was the biggest for any Democrat in a VA governor’s race since 1985.
So much for yesterday’s question of “what happened to Democrats in VA since Mark Warner won?”

🔴Zreebs
Guest

The Republican that Danica Roem defeated was first elected in 1991. See, Keith, a strong white woman CAN win elections!

🔴Zreebs
Guest

I’m still excited over the unexpected Democratic wave last night. If I’m not mistaken, this was the first Democratic wave since 2008. it looks like the Democrats took the Virginia
House, and gained in the state legislature in NJ – which was already controlled by Democrats.

This can only help recruiting, fundraising and probably GOP retirements. 2018 is looking pretty good as of right now.

Go Danica!

🔴Zreebs
Guest

Murphy also touted his NRA “F” rating and proposed multiple gun control measures.

Keith
Guest

Oh, and Northam was vocally in favor of gun control in the State that houses the NRA headquarters, an organization that dropped a butt load of money trying to defeat him.

Keith
Guest
So the Republicans got their collective asses kicked tonight. Republicanism without Trump doesn’t seem to work so well, now does it. Every Republican running in 2018 is crapping in their pants at the moment. If you recall, and, yes, I will play “I told you so,” I offered the opinion that if the Democrats flipped a significant number of seats in the Virginia House of Delegates this year (seats that were specifically drawn to protect a Republican majority), then the Republicans in Congress are in… Read more »
CG
Guest

Don’t get greedy james. The Republican won that race, just as they have every party contested U.S. House special election this year.

John Curtis is a Never Trump Republican (who used to be a Democrat) but a Republican nonetheless and he won big. It’s funny watching Trump fans try to be happy about that ne win tonight, even though the guy is very anti-Trump.

CG
Guest

Anyone remember Vin Gopal from Politics1? Apparently, he helped Ron run the site. I vaguely remember now but I must have forgotten his name years ago. But apparently, he (as a Democrat) has won election to the NJ Senate tonight. Congrats.

CG
Guest

On my NJ post earlier that Scott made reference today, I was speaking in regards to what CNN showed as an “estimate” of that race being a 6 point spread based on all votes.

CG
Guest

Fox News is always a bit light on Election Night coverage as compared to CNN and MSNBC, but tonight they seem to be ignoring this whole thing.

CG
Guest

Northam talking about his campaign trips-

“We listened to a lot of 80s music and sometimes we bumped it up to the 90s.”

A man after my own heart, I have to say. Also a subtle sign that deep down he may still be a Reaganite?

CG
Guest
It’s been ugly. I have been the one pushing for the political Civil War to happen, because it is going to needs to happen sooner or later. The Virginia result is very good for Democrats. It proved that an anti-Trump sentiment can be a motivating factor to turn people out to vote and there might also be signs of Trump fans not voting for an establishment Republican, but what does not appear too obvious is that the Democrat does not seem to have won 2016… Read more »
Scott p
Guest

Yep Trump has already Tweeted that Gillespie lost because “he didn’t embrace me or my issues”. This is gonna get ugly in the GOP.

Scott p
Guest

The Murphy-Gaudagno race got no national attention. So she’ll lose by 10 points instead of 15. That and a few bucks will get her a cup of coffee.

Scott p
Guest
Right wing sites I’ve seen show no backing down of Trump. Virginia is run by Northern VA libruls on the govt feet afraid of the swamp draining. NJ? That’s because Christie was an “Obastard butt boy”. Classy. The Cult of 45 isn’t going anywhere in the GOP. I’m sure they’d have some choice words for you too CG. The inmates were teased with being able to run the asylum for 30 years. They aren’t giving the keys back to the wardens who were foolish enough… Read more »
CG
Guest
While the Virginia win will be larger than I expected for Democrats, I also appeared to have overestimated the win they would have in NJ. I thought for sure that would be double digits, maybe even approaching 20 points. Guadagno is doing better than I expected. It’s like that night where there House special elections in Georgia and South Carolina. The GA race was of course the nationalized one that everyone was watching and it broke heavily one way at the end while the SC… Read more »
CG
Guest
Over at another site, some of Trump’s fans, or at least those who felt like they had no choice but to embrace him after he won and act as apologists for him are genuinely surprised, especially by the margin, as it appears that Northam did win because late deciding anti-Trump voters came out in heavy numbers. After months of them talking about how he is “cruising to reelection”, and watching overconfident Democrats fail miserably in those Congressional elections, they are now concerned that Republicans might… Read more »
CG
Guest

Trump is already bashing Gillespie on Twitter for not embracing him or what he stands for.

Cautionary tale to every Republican candidate in the country, to be sure.

CG
Guest

“Around the country?”

Virginia is one state and it’s one that Hillary won solidly last year.

If there would be a comma after “Democrats”, it would be acceptable.

Scott p
Guest

Democrats also on track to take control of VA legislature.

Scott p
Guest

Yeah strange as it may sound this will be the first time a Democrat has been reelected mayor of NYC in 32 years.

CG
Guest

Hey, if you count NYC Mayor, Dems are going to go 3 for 3 on this night (we can ignore the Congressional race in Utah) for the first time in forever!

You are all going to know how I felt on Election Night 1993! (One of the earliest highlights of my teenage years)

CG
Guest

You suck Chris Christie. Thanks for ruining the party there, you selfish Fat Judas.

(I doubt he is actually one of the thousands of secret readers here)

CG
Guest
All the Trump fans will do is blame Paul Ryan, Mitch McConnell, etc. and the “GOPe” They will blame Gillespie for not cozying up to Trump. They will say that if Republicans lose in 2018, they will deserve it for not supporting Trump and that if Trump moves to the left to “make America Great again”, that it will be the fault of the useless Republicans. For me, this race comes down to an historical trend about the party out of the White House losing… Read more »
Scott p
Guest

Trump is gonna be pissed. He’s going to demand loyalty going into 2018 just wait.

CG
Guest

It’s funny that a little more than a decade ago, Northam and Gilespie were both Bush Republicans.

Also, 30 years ago, Roy Moore was a Democrat and Elizabeth Warren was a Republican.

I guess if we live long enough, jack might be a Republican and I could be…?

CG
Guest

Let’s hope Northam puts his money where his mouth is and uses his political capital to move those statues down, even though exit polls showed that a strong majority of the state would be opposed to doing so.

Scott p
Guest

“Republican candidates in 2018, in areas that Trump lost are probably going to have to do even more to distance themselves from him”

Or quit.

CG
Guest

Gillespie is running better in the “pro-Trump” parts of the state that are traditionally Democrat than he did in his close 2014 Senate loss but worse in Northern Virginia than he did in that race among upscale voters.

That certainly looks like a sign that anti-Trump sentiment hurt him statewide.

Scott p
Guest

Last I saw from the state site with 24% in Northam has gained the lead 51% to 48%.
Northern Virginia has not come in yet. It might not be close at all.

CG
Guest
It looks like Northam is going to win by about 5 points, possibly even more. Democrats can come off the ledge. They really needed this one. If Trump would have shut his mouth about this race, the result might have been different, but he might have been enough to drive upscale white voters, who might have been inclined to vote Republican otherwise, to Northam. Gillespie was the underdog from the start and based on what happened in the primaries did better at the end than… Read more »