The next Governor of Jersey is probabaly going be a Democrat….

Chris Christie has done his party NO favors…..

GOP gubernatorial hopeful Kim Guadagno‘s campaign was hit with a bucket of cold water by a new poll Monday, less than a week after a separate survey suggested her rival’s lead over her to succeed Gov. Chris Christie wasn’t that wide.

A new survey on the race shows Democratic hopeful Phil Murphy with a nearly 20 percent point lead — 44 percent to 25 percent — over Guadagno, Christie’s second in command, according to the Suffolk University/USA TODAY Network Poll. Among “very likely voters,” Murphy’s lead drops a percentage point: 45 percent to Guadagno’s 27 percent.

Late last week, a Fox News poll showed Murphy’s lead at only 13 percentage point — representing the smallest gap between the two.

But that was short lived.

Making matters worse, Christie could be one of the largest factors hurting Guadagno’s chances.

Is Murphy's lead over Guadagno that wide?

A new poll from Fox News also shows 62 percent of voters are not happy with how things are going in New Jersey.

After “don’t know,” “Chris Christie” was the first word or phrase that came to mind when people heard Guadagno’s name, according to the poll. Fifteen percent thought of Christie, followed by 7 percent “Republican” and 6 percent “lieutenant governor.”….

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One thought on “The next Governor of Jersey is probabaly going be a Democrat….”

  1. There’s been a very slight, fairly-recent trend for New Jerseyans to elect a Governor from the party opposed to the sitting President: not so strong as Virginia’s was until Terry McAuliffe’s election under Obama in 2013, but parallel perhaps to New York City’s partial tendency to elect such Mayors. (Those are the three most prominent offices to come up for election the year after a presidential election.)

    [For years where some sort of pattern can be seen:]

    Governors of Virginia

    Jan. 1977 Jimmy Carter – D
    Jan. 1978 John Dallton – R

    Jan. 1981 Ronald Reagan – R
    Jan. 1982 Chuck Robb – D
    Jan. 1986 Gerald Bailes – D

    Jan. 1989 Geo. H.W. Bush – R
    Jan. 1990 Doug Wilder – D

    Jan. 1993 Bill Clinton – D
    Jan. 1994 George Allen – R
    Jan. 1998 Jim Gilmore – R

    Jan. 2001 Geo. W. Bush – R
    Jan. 2002 Mark Warner – D
    Jan. 2003 Tim Kaine – D

    Jan. 2009 Barack Obama – D
    Jan. 2010 Bob McDonnell – R
    Jan. 2014 Terry McAuliffe – D

    Governors of New Jersey

    Jan. 1989 Geo. H.W. Bush – R
    Jan. 1990 James Florio – D

    Jan. 1993 Bill Clinton – D
    Jan. 1994 Christie Todd Whitman – R

    Jan. 2001 Geo. W. Bush – R
    Jan. 2002 Jim McGreevey – D
    Jan. 2006 Jon Corzine – D

    Jan. 2009 Barack Obama – D
    Jan. 2010 Chris Christie – R

    Mayors of New York

    Jan. 1953 Dwight Eisenhower – R
    Jan. 1954 Robert Wagner – D

    Jan. 1961 John F. Kennedy – D
    Jan. 1962 Robert Wagner – D

    Jan. 1965 Lyndon Johnson – D
    Jan. 1966 John Lindsay – R

    Jan. 1969 Richard Nixon – R
    Jan. 1970 John Lindsay – Liberal
    Jan. 1974 Abe Beame – D

    Jan. 1977 Jimmy Carter – D
    Jan. 1978 Ed Koch – D

    Jan. 1981 Ronald Reagan – R
    Jan. 1982 Ed Koch – D

    Jan. 1989 Geo. H.W. Bush – R
    Jan. 1990 David Dinkins – D

    Jan. 1993 Bill Clinton – D
    Jan. 1994 Rudy Giuliani – R

    Jan. 2001 Geo. W. Bush – R
    Jan. 2002 Michael Bloomberg – R

    Jan. 2009 Barack Obama – D
    Jan. 2010 Mike Bloomberg – R/Ind.
    Jan. 2014 Bill de Blasio – D

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