Trump would lose the 3 state’s that got him the Presidency today….Poll…

Hillary Clinton won the popular vote last November….

That was one contest…

But not THE CONTEST…..

You get the job as American President by winning the Electoral vote….

THAT Donald Trump won….

But 7 months after he managed to do something we ALL thought he couldn’t?

Trump has lost the faith of those who enabled him to beat the odds and pundits….(He STILL HAS strong Republican support in those states though, not OVERALL )

In the 2016 presidential election, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin accounted for a combined 46 electoral votes which helped propel Donald Trump into the White House.  But, how do residents of these Rust Belt states think President Trump is doing now?

In each of these states, majorities disapprove of the president’s job performance.  His approval rating hovers in only the mid-thirties.  In Michigan, 36% of residents statewide approve of his job performance, and 55% disapprove.  In Pennsylvania, 33% approve of how President Trump is doing in his post, and 52% disapprove.  Among Wisconsin residents, the president’s score is similarly upside down, 33% to 56%.

“For residents of these three critical electoral states, the reaction to the first round of the Trump presidency is decidedly negative,” says Dr. Lee M. Miringoff, Director of The Marist College Institute for Public Opinion.  “Residents are clearly dissatisfied in how candidate Trump transitioned into President Trump.”

Many Republicans and Tea Party supporters are in the president’s camp.  Still, notable proportions of Tea Party supporters in Michigan, 24%, and Pennsylvania, 24%, have doubts about how the president is executing his job.

Trump still has the support of most of those who backed him in the 2016 election.  Most Trump supporters in Michigan, 84%, Pennsylvania, 81%, and Wisconsin, 77%, approve of the president’s job performance.

Among white residents without a college education, President Trump outperforms his overall job performance rating in each of these states.  However, he fails to achieve 50% among this group, many of whom were his most ardent supporters in the 2016 election.  In fact, in Michigan and Wisconsin, the plurality of these residents now disapprove of how the president is doing his job.

By at least two to one, more residents in Michigan, 38%, Pennsylvania, 39%, and Wisconsin, 42%, strongly disapprove than strongly approve of how the president is doing his job…..

More… 

Note…

Remember Trump won the above states by SMALL margins….Those margins in the OVERALL vote are gone according the Marist poll…..

And Barack Obama IS STILL strongly favored in the above states and would easily beat Trump in a had to race if was possible…

otto
Guest
Because of state-by-state winner-take-all laws, not mentioned, much less endorsed, in the Constitution. . . Policies important to the citizens of the 38 non-battleground states are not as highly prioritized as policies important to ‘battleground’ states when it comes to governing. “Battleground” states receive 7% more presidentially controlled grants than “spectator” states, twice as many presidential disaster declarations, more Superfund enforcement exemptions, and more No Child Left Behind law exemptions. Compare the response to hurricane Katrina (in Louisiana, a “safe” state) to the federal response… Read more »
otto
Guest

If Democrats “own the large cities,” then Republicans almost equally “own” the rural states.

16% of the U.S. population lives outside the nation’s Metropolitan Statistical Areas. Rural America has voted 60% Republican.

16% of the U.S. population lives in the top 100 cities. They voted 63% Democratic in 2004.
The population of the top 50 cities (going as far down as Arlington, TX) is only 15% of the population of the U.S.

My Name Is jack
Guest

How’s it going Zreebs?

Missed you.

🍎Zreebs
Guest

The auto bot has probably never faced a debate competitor like James – so it is faced with repeating itself – just like the rest of us who engage James. The only difference is that Otto likely repeats with the exact same words that it said two years ago.

Otto might rank in the top twelve contributors of pdog. And Of course he is just one of James’ millions of followers.

otto
Guest

I said

“From 1932-2008 the combined popular vote for Presidential candidates added up to Democrats: 745,407,082 and Republican: 745,297,123 — a virtual tie.”

Over 76 years, a 100,000 vote difference IS a “virtual tie,” as I said.

My Name Is jack
Guest

Yes.

It was quite a sight.

We had one here in 1970 when I was in college.

Scott p
Guest

Jack, you were also in the totality of the eclipse yesterday correct?
Did the weather there cooperate? We had mostly clear skies, though it was incredibly hot. The zone of totality started just a few blocks south of my house. It was incredible to see!

My Name Is jack
Guest

DSD was right to correct me .

I did know that .I left out the word “but” before the word “once” in my post of yesterday’s @12:05 .

And he is correct that there is no “Otto.”It is just an automated responder.You are arguing with a machine James.

Democratic Socialist Dave
Guest
But the fundamental point remains; The Republicans won three presidential elections to the Democrats’ four in the Electoral College, but lost the popular vote six times to only one popular victory. (Only 14% of the popular election pluralities, but 43% of the presidential terms, spanning 28 years, from 1993 to 2021.) Similarly the (racist and reactionary) Democrats won more votes than the Republicans in half (five) of the the ten presidential elections from 1856 to 1892, but sent only three of their candidates to the… Read more »
Democratic Socialist Dave
Guest
otto is that damned chat-bot again; you can’t talk to him/it because it just churns out the same unvarying boilerplate when reading the same key words on line. And Jack is wrong; George W. Bush won an absolute majority of the popular vote in 2004 (more than 50% though less than 51%; but then only four Democrats have ever won more than 51% of the popular presidential vote: Jackson, FDR, LBJ and Obama, and only four others have won over 50%: Van Buren, Pierce, Samuel… Read more »
otto
Guest
Voters in the biggest cities in the US are almost exactly balanced out by rural areas in terms of population and partisan composition. 16% of the U.S. population lives outside the nation’s Metropolitan Statistical Areas. Rural America has voted 60% Republican. None of the 10 most rural states matter now. 16% of the U.S. population lives in the top 100 cities. They voted 63% Democratic in 2004. The population of the top 50 cities (going as far down as Arlington, TX) is only 15% of… Read more »
otto
Guest
The precariousness of the current state-by-state winner-take-all system of awarding electoral votes is highlighted by the fact that a difference of a few thousand voters in one, two, or three states would have elected the second-place candidate in 5 of the 16 presidential elections since World War II. Near misses are now frequently common. There have been 8 consecutive non-landslide presidential elections since 1988. After the 2012 election, Nate Silver calculated that “Mitt Romney may have had to win the national popular vote by three… Read more »
otto
Guest
From 1932-2008 the combined popular vote for Presidential candidates added up to Democrats: 745,407,082 and Republican: 745,297,123 — a virtual tie. Newt Gingrich summarized his support for the National Popular Vote bill by saying: “No one should become president of the United States without speaking to the needs and hopes of Americans in all 50 states. … America would be better served with a presidential election process that treated citizens across the country equally. The National Popular Vote bill accomplishes this in a manner consistent… Read more »
Manila Calling!
Guest

I threw my TV out.

We are on our way!

My Name Is jack
Guest

Yeah but by that time you Republicans and your leaderTrump will have made America “great” again.

What?Me worry?

Manila Calling!
Guest

With the Dems luck, this would throw the election to a Republican.

Watch the panic then.

My Name Is jack
Guest
Of course the Republicans are never going to agree with that. They haven’t won the popular vote for the Presidency once since 1988. Sure the Electoral College is an anachronism , but one that works to their advantage. I have mentioned several times that in 2004 a switch of just 60 000 votes in Ohio and John Kerry would have been elected President although he would have lost the popular vote to Bush by roughly the same margin as Trump did to Hillary. Had such… Read more »
otto
Guest
The National Popular Vote bill is 61% of the way to guaranteeing the majority of Electoral College votes and the presidency to the candidate who receives the most popular votes in the country, by changing state winner-take-all laws (not mentioned in the U.S. Constitution, but later enacted by 48 states), without changing anything in the Constitution, using the built-in method that the Constitution provides for states to make changes. All voters would be valued equally in presidential elections, no matter where they live. Candidates, as… Read more »
Manila Calling!
Guest

Polls about Trump?

Ha, ha, ha!

Degenerates run these things.