The Washington Post has gone back and looked at the Presidential election numbers (and GOP Primaries) more in-depth …..
Their look reveals something that seems to be a surprise….
Trump lost the over vote…
But his so called ‘base’?
Isn’t what has been reported….
That base isn’t working class voters that where looking for jobs…
Most are people who HAVE jobs and make between $50,000 to $100,000….
Oh, an the college thing?
Most Republicans do NOT have college degree anyways….
So THAT isn’t part of the conversation at all….
For one, most 2016 polls didn’t include information about how the people surveyed earned a living, that is, their occupations — the preferred measure of social class among scholars. When journalists wrote that Trump was appealing to working-class voters, they didn’t really know whether Trump voters were construction workers or CEOs.
Moreover, according to what is arguably the next-best measure of class, household income, Trump supporters didn’t look overwhelmingly “working class” during the primaries. To the contrary, many polls showed that Trump supporters were mostly affluent Republicans. For example, a March 2016 NBC survey that we analyzed showed that only a third of Trump supporters had household incomes at or below the national median of about $50,000. Another third made $50,000 to $100,000, and another third made $100,000 or more and that was true even when we limited the analysis to only non-Hispanic whites. If being working class means being in the bottom half of the income distribution, the vast majority of Trump supporters during the primaries were not working class.
But what about education? Many pundits noticed early on that Trump’s supporters were mostly people without college degrees. There were two problems with this line of reasoning, however. First, not having a college degree isn’t a guarantee that someone belongs in the working class (think Bill Gates and Mark Zuckerberg). And, second, although more than 70 percent of Trump supporters didn’t have college degrees, when we looked at the NBC polling data, we noticed something the pundits left out: during the primaries, about 70 percent of allRepublicans didn’t have college degrees, close to the national average (71 percent according to the 2013 Census). Far from being a magnet for the less educated, Trump seemed to have about as many people without college degrees in his camp as we would expect any successful Republican candidate to have.
Trump voters weren’t majority working class in the general election, either.
What about the general election? A few weeks ago, the American National Election Study — the longest-running election survey in the United States — released its 2016 survey data. And it showed that in November 2016, the Trump coalition looked a lot like it did during the primaries…
The results of this , if proven to be true ?
Would mean that Democratic efforts going forward will have to be adjusted to go after a different voter….
This does go along with the recent piece I did here on the Romeny voter being a possible target for Democrats going ahead…
image..markettech.comShare on Facebook