Political Roundup for May 29th, 2015…Common Core loses GOP support…Red Racing Horses

by: Daniel Surman

President

Trump: The always-outspoken Donald Trump will make a ‘major’ announcement on June 16th at the ego-driven iconic Trump Tower. The next day he will be New Hampshire bound. We’ll see how far Donald Trump gets in this presidential ‘campaign, a hobby he pursues every four years with varying amounts of buzz and wasted money.

Bush / Kasich: Jeb Bush and Ohio Governor John Kasich are the last two Republican candidates for president left who support Common Core in the large primary field, now that Christie, Huckabee, Walker and Jindal have all backed off (at least partial) previous support of the education standards championed by the Obama administration.

Senate

AZ-SEN / AZ-5: According to “a source close to the representative,” Rep. Matt Salmon (R) is “taking a serious look” at primarying Senator John McCain. Already considering a primary is State Senator Kelli Ward. We’ve heard this before about the congressman though, and he himself has avoided committing to anything about his political future with the media (whether it’s a Senate run or reelection).

Governor

KY-GOV: As expected, Matt Bevin maintained his lead in the recanvass of his 83-vote victory completed yesterday (with no change in vote totals). Comer’s team will release a statement today about “the next steps he will take in this race,” which presumably will involve a recount or a concession….

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Jersey Governor Christie backs away from Common Core…

Under pressure from parents, and teacher unions….The Program that rode a wave of support in the past is being stopped in it’s tracks and rolled back slowly around the country….

The Educational program, supported by billionaire Bill Gates and sold to President Obama and others , was developed by educators and the US Education Department….

But the testing involved has developed resentment….

Jeb Bush has been supportive of the program….

But others running for the GOP nomination are NOT….

 

…..Christie finalized his slow-motion flip-flop on the issue Thursday, aligning himself with most of the other 2016 GOP presidential hopefuls.

“It has brought only confusion and frustration to our parents,” he said. “And has brought distance between our teachers and the communities where they work. Instead of solving problems in our classrooms, it is creating new ones.”

In place of Common Core, Christie called on New Jersey’s Department of Education to create “higher” standards that are more “New Jersey-based.”

Christie is the second major presidential candidate to publicly change his mind on this issue, a fractious one for the GOP. Last year, Louisiana Gov. Bobby Jindal, once an ardent supporter, announced that he would be pulling his state out from Common Core.

Other presidential candidates like Sen. Marco Rubio (R-Fla.), Sen. Rand Paul (R-Ky.), Sen. Ted Cruz (R-Texas) are also Common Core opponents….

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The 2016 GOP field and Iowa and New Hampshire….

The Hill takes a look at how the top guys in the 2016 Presidential Nomination Sweepstakes are going at the early primary states….

Candidates for the Republican presidential nomination will soon have to decide where to place their chips, as they look to keep their campaigns afloat — and avoid disastrous finishes — in the key early voting states.

Unsentimental assessments are required about which states are most favorable to their chances, and which combination of contests might unlock a path to victory. The question of whether to compete in states where a candidate has little chance of winning is just as difficult.

Earlier this week, Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker made news by suggesting to conservative radio host Laura Ingraham that he might not compete in Florida. Walker cited the likely strength of two home state candidates, Sen. Marco Rubio and former Gov. Jeb Bush. But his words were still met with consternation in the Sunshine State.

Arriving at the correct strategy is enormously difficult, especially at this distance. Get it wrong, and a candidacy can be stopped in its tracks. Just ask former New York City mayor Rudy Giuliani, who took a pass on several early states in 2008, betting the house on Florida— and losing. Get it right, however, and the big prize is suddenly within reach…..

Here for the look at the guys….

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Poll….America is More Pro-Choice…..

America changes it’s mind on abortion….

For the first time in seven years, Americans who are “pro-choice” hold a statistically significant lead over Americans who are “pro-life.”

According to a new Gallup poll, 50 percent of Americans now call themselves pro-choice, including 54 percent of women and 46 percent of men. Only 44 percent of respondents labeled themselves pro-life, the lowest response in more than five years.
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The last time pro-choice respondents held this large of a lead was 2008. In 2006, at one point, Gallup found pro-choice leading pro-life by an even larger ten percentage points, but at one point in 2012, Gallup found that pro-life respondents outweighed pro-choice respondents by 9 percentage points.

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Donald Trump Update…June 16 Announcment…

Maybe he’ll run….

Maybe Not?

WMUR.com has learned that the business executive and reality television personality will make an announcement at the Trump Tower in Manhattan on June 16, and he plans to return to the first-primary state the following day.

A source close to Trump confirmed the dates and said a “major” announcement by Trump will be forthcoming, but stopped short of saying outright that Trump will announce his candidacy for president at that time.

All signs point to a Trump declaration of candidacy, however. He has been moving in that direction for many months with steps beyond those he took in his previous flirtations….

More….

Note…

Is he selling a book…Or just pushing his ‘brand’…..

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US 1st Qtr economic shrinks a bit…But incomes up…

….from Bloomberg….

The world’s largest economy hit a bigger ditch in the first quarter than initially estimated, held back by harsh winter weather, a strong dollar and delays at ports.

Gross domestic product in the U.S. shrank at a 0.7 percent annualized rate, revised from a previously reported 0.2 percent gain, according to Commerce Department figures issued Friday in Washington. The median forecast of 84 economists surveyed by Bloomberg called for a 0.9 percent drop. By contrast, the report also showed incomes climbed, fueling the debate on whether GDP is being underestimated…

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Congress backs away from the President Obama Islamic Fight Bill…

This surprise anyone?

Congress is just being Congress….

Staying in that safe place while a President handles a tough issue…

Gone is all the posturing about Congress being a co-partner in ‘what to do in Iraq and Syria’ and the idea of a Authorization of Military Force (AUMF) bill…..

Replaced by silence….

House leaders have tangled in recent days over whether Congress needs to give President Barack Obama explicit authorization to combat the Islamic State: House Speaker John Boehner called the president’s request for such authority “irresponsible” and House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi said Boehner has “refused” to even debate the issue.

But don’t expect that heated rhetoric on the House or Senate floor anytime soon, even as militants topple major cities in Iraq and Syria at a stunningly swift pace.

In an interview with POLITICO, even the head of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, Sen. Bob Corker (R-Tenn.) called the idea of Authorization of Military Force (AUMF) legislation little more than an “intellectual exercise.”
He’s not alone.

“There’s nothing. Nothing’s happening on that. [The president] sent something down, I mean obviously they’ve been pushing it and lost interest in it. I haven’t heard anything about it except from you,” said Senate Minority Leader Harry Reid (D-Nev.). “He has the authority to do what needs to be done; I don’t think he needs it.”

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Note…..

President Obama ALWAYS Had the power to do whatever he wanted to do in this from the jump….

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New York State Senator Skelos and son indicted….

…from WNYC…..

The criminal case against former state Senate Majority Leader Dean Skelos is moving forward. On Thursday, a grand jury returned an indictment, charging the Long Island Republican and his son, Adam Skelos, with six counts of bribery and extortion. Among the charges is a new allegation that a medical malpractice insurer lobbying Senator Skelos gave Adam more than $100,000 for a no-show job.

The indictment comes weeks after United States Attorney Preet Bharara’s Office filed a complaint accusing Skelos of corruption….

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Joint Chiefs head Army Gen. Martin Dempsey leaves his finger prints on the Iraq policy….

The Washington Post does a piece on outgoing Chairman of the US Military Joint Chiefs of Staff Gen. Martin Dempsey…..

Dempsey known for his low key and persoanl; touch in working with his boss , President Obama, has been a proponent of letting the Iraq military carry the fight mostly THEMSELVES….

As the general liked to tell his aides: “Be quick, but don’t hurry.”

The recommendation underlined Dempsey’s instinct for caution — and belief in the limits of U.S. military power to counteract deep-seated sectarian and political rivalries across the Middle East. That perspective appears to have sat well with Obama, who has been determined to end the costly insurgent wars of the past decade and use force sparingly.

As Dempsey prepares to step down this fall after almost four years as chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, however, the Obama administration’s deliberative foreign policy remains an object of frustration for critics, including some Democrats. In this view, the failure of the United States to more aggressively employ its military might — an approach Dempsey has played a key role in shaping — has left a power vacuum filled by the Islamic State and Iran.

“Dempsey had been a strong voice for the limits that should be placed on U.S. military power,” said a senior administration official, speaking on the condition of anonymity to discuss a senior officer.

For the general, the caution is hard-won, derived from his own history in Iraq and across the Middle East…..

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image….defenseone.com

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Former Speaker Dennis Hastert indicted by the Fed’s

From New York, to Jersey to Illinois……

The Fed’s KEEP charging pol’s with corruption……(Or an ex-Pol this time)

But don’t think all the money in politics is going to go away…

Not when it costs a Billion dollars to get elected President and even Millions to get a Governor, Senate of even House seat’s….

The Justice Department indicted Former Speaker Dennis Hastert (R-Ill.) on multiple charges Thursday, including lying to the FBI and illegally transferring millions of dollars to a victim of undisclosed past misconduct.

The U.S. District Court of Northern Illinois handed down the indictment, laying out allegations from the DOJ and Internal Revenue Service.

According to the indictment, Hastert agreed to provide an unnamed individual $3.5 million “in order to compensate for and conceal his prior misconduct” against that individual.

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Daily Kos Elections Morning Digest 5/28/15…Is Pat Toomey in good shape for re-election? This poll says no

 Reposted from Daily Kos Elections by Jeff Singer

Senator Pat Toomey (R-PA) questions witnesses at the Senate Finance Committee in Washington May 21, 2013.  A Senate panel will try on Tuesday to pry more details out of current and former officials of the Internal Revenue Service about the agency's target

Republican Sen. Pat Toomey

Leading Off: PA-Sen: In the last few months, Republican Sen. Pat Toomey has looked like the favorite in light-blue Pennsylvania. Two polls gave him a strong job approval rating, and national Democrats aren’t happy to see their 2010 nominee, ex-Rep. Joe Sestak, making another run. However, a new survey from Public Policy Polling paints a very different picture of next year’s Keystone State contest and finds that while Toomey starts with a lead, he’s far from secure in a race that could decide control of the Senate.

44-35 vs. ex-Rep. Chris Carney 44-35 vs. state Sen. Vincent Hughes

44-34 vs. Allentown Mayor Ed Pawlowski

46-41 vs. ex-Gov. Ed Rendell

42-38 vs. 2010 nominee Joe Sestak

44-33 vs. Philadelphia District Attorney Seth Williams

Against all comers, Toomey takes between 42 and 46 percent of the vote, a bit far from the 50 percent mark he’d like to be at. PPP finds Toomey’s approval rating underwater at 30-37, not a great place for an incumbent in an unfriendly state to be. A March Quinnipiac poll and May survey from Harper Polling gave Toomey a 49-24 and 54-32 approval rating respectively, and there’s no easy explanation for why PPP finds something so different….

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Political Roundup for May 28, 2015…Get ya Hillary T-Shirt!…Red Racing Horses….

by: izengabe

Change you can believe in is coming to RRH! If you have not done so already, please read this important post about our site relaunch and check to make sure your contact e-mail is up to date (how to do so is described in the post).

President:

Hillary: The more we learn of the Clinton’s finances the shadier it seems. The Clintons used a shell corporation with no employees or assets as a way to exploit a loophole in federal law that allowed them to hide the source of income Bill was receiving while Hillary was Secretary of State and a candidate for President. Instead of directly receiving income for the “consulting” work Bill Clinton was doing for foreign corporations, foundations and who knows who else, Clinton passed the income through a shell corporation known as WJC, LLC.  This allowed the Clintons to hide the source of income from federal disclosure rules since all they were required to disclose was that Bill Clinton received income in excess of $1,000 from WJC. As a result we basically have no idea how much Clinton was being paid, from who he was getting money from or what he had to do to “earn” it.

Hillary: If you are in the market for a t-shirt with a Hospital Hillary logo on it, the Clinton campaign has got you covered. Trying to recapture the excitement of Obama’s 2008 campaign Team Hillary has opened an online store where you can purchase Hillary branded items. I perused through her store and oddly enough was unable to find a Hillary branded shredder, email server or dress stain remover. Hopefully they will update the store with more Cilnton relevant items.

Hillary: When some people change time zones they reset their watch, when Hillary does it she resets her accent. Hillary’s Southern accent is back. The Southern accent that Illinois native Hillary Clinton developed while 1st lady of Arkansas and mysteriously lost while 1st lady of the United States returned to her during a visit to South Carolina.

Santorum: Former Senator Rick Santorum launched his 2nd bid for President on Wednesday in Pittsburgh. Santorum mounted an unexpectedly strong bid for the Republican nomination in 2012 but so far has been a bit lost in the shuffle of the overwhelmingly large GOP presidential field. Santorum is hoping to reassemble his base with appeals to social conservatives and economic populist. (Editors note: do yourself a favor and trust us on this bit of news and don’t Google it yourself!)

Pataki: Former New York Governor George Pataki (R) will announce his Presidential bid today in New Hampshire. We here at RRH actually doubled checked to make sure that Pataki was announcing a run for President of the United States and not President of his local Country Club or his neighborhood block association….

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New Hampshire Senate early polling…Ayotte (R) by only 2% over Hassen (D)…

Another race that will be closly watched as Democrats look to get their majority back in the Senate….

Sen. Kelly Ayotte (R-N.H.) is a first timer and Democrats expect Hillary Clinton’s coattails to help them regain ground…and  more votes….

Sen. Kelly Ayotte (R-N.H.) holds a narrow lead over New Hampshire Gov. Maggie Hassan (D-N.H.) in a potential Senate match-up for 2016, according to a new poll.

The WMUR Granite State poll found Ayotte taking 45 percent support over Hassan’s 43 percent. Nine percent of voters in New Hampshire said they remain undecided.

Hassan has not said whether she intends to run for Senate in 2016, but she’s the prize recruit for Democrats in the state. Hassan, who just won reelection as governor of New Hampshire in November, will be up for reelection again in 2016 and will have to choose between running for Senate or running for reelection as governor.

New Hampshire is one of several battleground states where Democrats will be looking to knock off a one-term Republican as they seek to regain the majority in the Senate….

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Hillary Clinton eases into South Carolina….

Hillary Clinton visisted South Carolina yesterday….

It was an important stop….

6 1/2 years ago she was leading the Democratic primary race for President , when Barack Obama jumped up and ran over her , with her husband’s comments NOT helping things….

So Hillary went easy campaigning in the state this time….

She’ll need the black vote..

And that means attaching herself to the guy who beat her and became her boss…

In 2008, black voters — who make up about half of the Democratic primary electorate and a quarter of general-election voters — defected en masse to Obama, propelling him to a 55 percent-27 percent victory over Hillary Clinton. Worse still, the Obama campaign masterfully leveraged Bill Clinton’s bluster into a crafty, sotto voce argument that the Clintons had lost touch with black voters who had been their bedrock supporters. One Obama 2008 campaign official told POLITICO recently that “we really did a number on them” — by inflaming anger of Bill Clinton’s attack on the then-freshman senator from Illinois.

The speech Wednesday provided a rhetorical preview of how Clinton plans to handle the potentially combustible task of differentiating herself from Obama without angering or demobilizing his base. In Columbia, she emphasized their collaboration when she was secretary of state — and talked about how both Obama and Bill Clinton saw their hair turn white in office. “You are not going to see me turn white in the White House,” she said. “I may not be the youngest candidate in this race, but I have one big advantage: I’ve been coloring my hair for years.”

And the line that elicited the most enthusiastic response was one of her most subtle, a call for civility and respect for Obama — which deeply resonates with black voters who feel that white conservatives have disrespected Obama because of his race….

Clinton’s soft reentry, her campaign believes, is a critical first step to rekindling her family’s once-robust lifeline to grass-roots black voters nationwide, who fled in droves following her bruising 2008 primary here….

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Illegal Immigration drops to record lows…Why are we talking about the border?

The Republicans are countering President Obama’s efforts to reform immigration policy in the United States by calling for MORE enforcement at the Southern border….

Why?

The Billions spent to hire border cops and construct walls HAS paid off…

That and the drop in the US economy recently has cut the immigration by almost 90%….

Why are people still taking about pouring more money into this?

Why is the immigration issue being looked at in terms of what it WAS…Instaed of what it IS?

As the Department of Homeland Security continues to pour money into border security, evidence is emerging that illegal immigration flows have fallen to their lowest level in at least two decades. The nation’s population of illegal immigrants, which more than tripled, to 12.2 million, between 1990 and 2007, has dropped by about 1 million, according to demographers at the Pew Research Center.

A key — but largely overlooked — sign of these ebbing flows is the changing makeup of the undocumented population. Until recent years, illegal immigrants tended to be young men streaming across the Southern border in pursuit of work. But demographic data show that the typical illegal immigrant now is much more likely someone who is 35 or older and has lived in the United States for a decade or more.

Homeland security officials in the Obama and George W. Bush administrations — who have more than doubled the Border Patrol’s size and spent billions on drones, sensors and other technology at the border — say enhanced security is driving the new trends.

“We have seen tremendous progress,” said R. Gil Kerlikowske, commissioner of U.S. Customs and Border Protection, which is part of the Department of Homeland Security. “The border is much more secure than in times past.”

The issue of border security is central to the broader debate over immigration reform that has roiled Washington in recent years and is emerging as a flash point in the 2016 presidential campaign. Congressional Republicans have insisted on greater border security before they consider legalizing any immigrants who came to this country without proper documents.

President Obama says the border has never been more secure and is urging a series of legislative steps to legalize millions of undocumented immigrants, streamline the visa system and further fortify the border….

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Rick Santorum jumps in again…

And ANOTHER one who ain’t gonna win ….

Jumps in….

The Republican Party has a habit of rewarding its second-place finishers with a presidential nomination their next time around. But as Rick Santorum launches his second bid for the presidency, he seems poised to be an exception.

The former Pennsylvania senator, who announced his campaign in this Pittsburgh suburb on Wednesday, is missing key staffers and supporters from his 2012 bid. The GOP field is deeper this time, and there are more credible candidates competing for his base of religious and social conservatives.
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Polls reflect his predicament: It’s not even clear he’ll make the cut for the first debates this year.
His allies, though, are undeterred.

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