Political Roundup for March 30th, 2015…Will Nevada Governor Brian Sandoval (R) run for the Senate?… Red Racing Horses

by: Greyhound

President:

Cruz: Even Ted Cruz is sounding like he’s going to take a softer line on immigration than people first thought. The Texas Senator says he’s not ruling out a pathway to legal status for illegal immigrants, though he has opposed similar measures in Congress previously. This is quite a shift from Romney’s “Self-deportation” policies in 2012, and the fact that even the candidate running hard right is softening up suggests that Republicans are taking that particular aspect of the 2012 post-mortem to heart.

Rubio: It seems like the junior Senator from Florida is planning on announcing a run for president after all.  Rumors are that he plans to announce April 13th.

Senate:

Banks $: A Number of Wallstreet banks are considering withholding symbolic funding for the Democrat Congressional Committees over Elizabeth Warren’s repeated calls for them to be forcibly broken up. This might be the most tone-deaf effort ever, as it’s doing nothing but giving Warren more credibility with the progressive left that the banks are trying to stifle, most of whom probably didn’t know that the banks were donating to the Democrats to start with.

NV-Sen: Governor Brian Sandoval (R) remains elusive as to whether or not he plans to run for the now-open Nevada Senate Seat. The Governor is massively popular, especially for a swing state, but the unexpected state Republican majorities swept in by the 2014 elections might convince him to stay in Carson City.

Congress:

IL-18: Bobby Schilling, the former Republican Congressman from IL-17, has announced he isn’t going to move to the now-open IL-18. Instead, he endorsed State Senator Darin Lahood, son of the former representative here. LaHood is quickly becoming the consensus candidate for this seat, though his father’s famously moderate record will probably unnerve Conservatives who have no need to settle in this staunchly Republican downstate district.

KY-1: Ed Whitfield (R) is under investigation by the House Ethics Committee over whether or not he improperly used his position to aid in his wife’s lobbying efforts. This has been a long time coming, and relates to a horse-welfare bill backed by the American Humane Legislative Fund, which employs his wife….

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Sen Warren carries her Progressive flag into the House…

In a situation that seems to echo shades of Republican Sen Ted Cruz forays into his parties House internal politics…. Senator Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass) is going into the US House to lobby against some international trade moves by the President’s White House, Other Democrats and Republicans….

Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) is meeting with House Democrats in an effort to push back against President Obama’s trade agenda.

The liberal senator met Tuesday with a group of House Democrats before administration officials were to meet with a larger of group of Democrats to discuss the investor-state dispute settlement (ISDS) process, one of the most controversial issues in two trade deals that the Obama administration is negotiating.

Warren was seeking to push back at administration claims in what was described by one source familiar with the meeting as a “strategy session.”

Backed by labor unions, liberals argue the dispute settlement panels would tilt the playing field for corporations by letting them sidestep judicial systems — including U.S. laws — to pursue their interests through international panels.

But the administration, centrist Democrats and many Republicans argue the panels help protect U.S. jobs by allowing a forum for U.S. businesses to litigate trade disputes internationally.

The meeting with Warren underscores the deep rift between the Democratic base and the administration on trade and highlights Warren’s growing influence in the House among progressive members.

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There is a rising worry by centralist and and establishment Democrats that like Cruz….

Warren may be trying to move things to the left for the party….Establishment Democrats like their establishment Republican ‘s woory that America is NOT a Left or Right country , but somewhere in the middle and going to far to the elft could hurt Democrats as much and going to far to the right has hurt Republicans….

Both parties seem to now have rookie Senator’s trying to use the emdia to derirve power for their agenda’s…

In this case Warren seem ‘s to be fighting against American investor’s getting around US Regulations…and giiving profits atainment legal statnding for foreign countries…

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Scott Walker Update…Stay away from the Media…

A old Walker hand says what is apparent….

To keep the Wisconsin Governors rookie mistakes from being reported…The 2016 Presidential candidate is being kept away from camera’s and reporter’s….

Last month, Scott Walker seemed readily available to any reporter who had a question for him. He was basking in the limelight, holding media scrums and granting impromptu interviews.

But in the wake of a few controversial, headline-grabbing quotes about evolution and President Obama’s religion, the Wisconsin governor and likely Republican presidential candidate has put brakes on his media availability, reporters who follow him say.

On Friday, Walker toured the Texas-Mexican border with Texas Gov. Greg Abbott. The tour was closed to the press, and Walker did not take part in a media avail afterward. Similarly, Walker visited Greenville, S.C., last weekend but refused to take questions from the media. Of the six likely Republican candidates to visit the state in the last two months, Walker was the only one to pass on the press….

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The ‘Why’ of the Indiana Religious law….

Indiana does NOT have a law AGAINST discrimination against Gays….

A Federal Court just told the state that same-sex marriage have to go on in the state..

Period….

Indiana GOP Governor Mike Pence was asked a direct question yesterday on a TV program if his NEW law would Ok discrimnation against Gays

He would NOT answer it…..

The Indiana law is actually the same as the Federal Law and something in 19 other states….

The Indiana law is so vague that it COULD very well be used by private people, business and others to stop offering the same services that America offers at Rights…Was the passage of the law a way to try get around the Federal Courts ruling?

THAT is the issue….

Indiana became ground zero for the fight over LGBT rights last week when it passed its Religious Freedom Restoration Act, also more commonly known as RFRA. Opponents painted the law as allowing LGBT discrimination. Backers of the bill said the act would protect religious people from having to violate their religious commitments (especially by having to provide services to same-sex couples during a wedding or similar event).

Both sides are overselling the law’s impact, the proverbial case of a fire with more heat than light.

Under different circumstances, Indiana’s new RFRA would not be a controversial expansion of government protection of religious liberty. The law is a virtual copy of the federal RFRA that was enacted 20 years ago with near-unanimous support in Congress. The federal RFRA ensured that government could not burden religious exercise unless it was absolutely necessary.

For years, RFRA was uncontroversial. In 1997, many states passed their own versions of RFRA after the U.S. Supreme Court ruled that the federal RFRA did not apply to state and local laws. Like the federal law, these state laws were passed with little opposition and with the support of a broad coalition that included civil rights groups and churches.

So what’s so controversial about Indiana’s RFRA? Timing.

Indiana enacted its law after the federal courts ruled that same-sex marriage was now legal in the Hoosier state. Indiana not only didn’t have same-sex marriage, it didn’t (and still doesn’t) have a law that protects against discrimination based on sexual orientation….

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Note…

This morning we have had several Republican Indiana State legislators try to ‘clarify’ what they voted on …..

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Ted Cruz Obamacare Update…Enroll Me….

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Cartoonist Jack Ohman examines the Texas Republican….Boston Globe

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New York State Budget deal struck…Cuomo feel’s he got what HE wanted….Teacher Eval’s up to the State….

Here’s the times-union Capital Confidentail quick review of the tendtitiove deal…..

New York appears poised to extend its record of on-time budgets into a fifth consecutive year.

While the details were scant, Gov. Andrew Cuomo, Senate Republican Majority Leader Dean Skelos and Democratic Assembly Speaker Carl Heastie announced a three-way deal on the plan just after 9:30 p.m. Sunday — slightly more than 48 hours ahead of the expiration of the current fiscal year.

Heastie spoke with reporters shortly before the official announcement of the framework agreement, and said the sticky question of who would handle the reform of the teacher evaluation system would be handled by the state Education Department. Teacher tenure will now be available after four years of service, up from the current three years, and will be tied to evaluations.

Cuomo administration officials said those evaluations will be tied to both state testing and observations.

Teachers who pass both requirements will be eligible for highly effective and effective ratings (making them eligible for tenure and bonuses).

Teachers who fail one round of testing evaluations would be eligible for a second round, which, if they pass it, will leave them rated as developing. If the teacher fails that second round, he or she is automatically rated ineffective. The officials said teachers rated ineffective in consecutive years would face termination hearings.

While details of the ethics package in the fiscal plan were not yet fully available, Cuomo insisted that it would include the five categories of fixes he had demanded: increased disclosure of outside income including legal clients, better tracking of “independent expenditure” campaign dollars, pension-stripping for corrupt officials, restricting the personal use of campaign funds and reforming the per-diem system for lawmakers’ expenses….

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Hillary Clinton Update…Backing Israel…

It’s campaign season folks….

The presumptive Democratic Presidential nominee for 2016 really cannot say anything else but express support for the Jewish State….

American Jews vote overwhelmingly for Democrats….

This is a no-brainer….

Former Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton told a representative of a group of prominent Jewish leaders on Sunday that she wanted to put the relationship between the United States and Israel back on “constructive footing,” the representative said.

Mrs. Clinton’s comments, made in a phone call to Malcolm Hoenlein, executive vice chairman of the Conference of Presidents of Major American Jewish Organizations, contrasted in tone from recent remarks by members of the Obama administration, who have publicly criticized Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu of Israel amid tensions over a nuclear deal with Iran and comments Mr. Netanyahu made in the final days of his re-election campaign this month.

“Secretary Clinton thinks we need to all work together to return the special U.S.-Israel relationship to constructive footing, to get back to basic shared concerns and interests, including a two-state solution pursued through direct negotiations between Israelis and Palestinians,”

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Note….

The Israeli Prime Minister has in fact been walking back his anti-Arab statements of desperation that got him a majority in his countries parliamentary election recently….

Netanyahu is still complaining about the terms of a deal with Iran on a bomb, but he does NOT sit at the negotiating table….

I’m sure Hillary is briefed in on the deal making from the White House….

image….solidarity-us-org

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How the U.S. got the Arabs to fight their own war…

As we watch the approaching conflict between the Sunni Saudi’s , Egyptian’s and other Middle eastern and North African countries against the Shia Iran leaders

One has to make some observations…..

As one has repeatedly pointed out?

The fight has been set up by American attempts to import something to the Middle East and North Africa that doesn’t work….

Democracy

We have seen how the sweeping out of autocratic leadership in the Middle East and North Africa leaves a vacuum that  political opponents Rush in to fill (The Arab Spring that has proved to be not much if anything )

We have also seen that the U.S. policy makers have overlooked a basic in these area’s….

Religion

The Muslim world has had a push – pull going on for centuries

It is still present today

The ambitious Iranian leadership is seeking thru it’s proxies to extend its influence

That effort cost American lives in Iraq in its post 9/11 efforts there…The same Shia militias that America and NATO fought and neutralized, before leaving,  are now fighting against ISIS

Not for President Obama but for Iran

Iran associated groups have turned up in Lebanon, Syria and Libya these days…

 

Saudi Arabian leaders , THE major U.S. ally for decades have watched as Iran extended it’s grip outside its borders

Looking to the U.S. to provide it cover

But American troops have left the region….

President Obama, at first, declared this a good thing and goal achieved….(Even though he wanted to station about 5,000 troops in Iraq)

The Iraq’s told America, after ‘liverating’ their country to leave…They’d handle things themselves united a feeling of nationalism that NEVER really existed there…

President Obama has resisted sending ‘combat’ troops back to fight the fight again even though the Republican ‘s want to do it again…(Instead there are ‘advisors’ schooling the Army in that country that turned and ran the second the Americans left the place….

 

The Saudi’s find themselves looking at a Shia resurgence all around its borders by Shia (Iranian) groups popping up…And have decided after things have gotten out of hand in Yemen…That they….Along with other Sunni Arab nations must act , and stop waiting for America, which is worried about the Islamic State and NOT much of anything else…..

So NOW, with their American brought and equipped military

and the same mostly American trained Egyptian one

(Egypt tried democracy….they didn’t like it…Obama wisely left things alone)

They have the Arab Sunni nations now warming up to do something unthinkable

fight their own fight against Iran

No, American troops are in the forefront….

Who would dream that America could pull this off without knowing it?

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Saudia Arabia led action comes down hard on the Houthis in Yemen…

An Update from CNN….

Yemen Foreign Minister Riyadh Yaseen told CNN on Saturday that he believes Saudi Arabia-led coalition troops will be in Yemen within days. The Houthi rebels’ capture of Sanaa and other areas of the country in recent weeks has forced the legitimate Yemeni government to ask for Saudi intervention, Yaseen said.

Former Yemeni President Ali Abdullah Saleh still holds influence over large parts of the Yemeni army, which also made the Saudi-led intervention necessary, according to Yaseen.

Just days before the Saudi-led intervention, Saleh’s son, Ahmed Ali Abdullah Saleh, traveled to Riyadh to broker a deal with Saudi officials, Yaseen said. The deal he presented included turning his factions against Houthi rebels, but the Saudis refused, according to Yaseen.

A senior diplomat in Yemen said rumors of a ground invasion are circulating.

“The bottom line is — I do not see any political or military forces on the ground in the country now that could confront the dominant force — the Houthis,” the diplomat said.

Saudi naval special forces invaded to rescue 68 diplomats out of Aden and take them to Saudi Arabia, and the kingdom has attempted to remove a U.N. delegation from the country, the Saudi adviser said.

The diplomat said a majority of U.N. staff left the country on three planes Saturday. Leaders of key humanitarian agencies stayed behind to assess needs and coordinate a response.

In the area of the southern port city of Aden, opposing Yemeni military forces — those allied with the Houthis, and those supporting Hadi — have fought for more than a week. Loyalists to Hadi gained control of the airport on Saturday, the diplomat said.

Mayhem was reported in Aden.

“We are hearing reports of summary executions, looting” in Aden, the diplomat said.

Talk of boots

Saudi Arabia has locked the Houthis down with a blockade, effectively cutting off their supply lines, and its air force controls Yemeni airspace. Saudi Arabia and Egypt have both spoken about the possibility of putting boots on the ground.

The Arab League is expected to give its official blessing to Determination Storm on Saturday, which could clear the way for a ground invasion, CNN’s Becky Anderson reported……

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Martin O’Malley Update…In Iowa…Who?

CNN does the obigatory story on possible OTHER Democrats for the 2016 Democratic nomination besides Hillary Clinton…

Image result for martin Omalley

Marcia Keefer watched Martin O’Malley methodically work the room at a recent Democratic fundraiser in Davenport, Iowa, and readily acknowledged she knew nothing about the former Maryland governor.

“I have to ask, is he running for something or is he something already?” said Keefer, a retiree attending the Scott County Democratic Party’s fundraiser.

Keefer, who said she planned to support Hillary Clinton in next year’s Democratic caucus, wasn’t alone. Almost everyone at the dinner said they knew very little, if anything, about O’Malley.

That confusion crystallizes the central challenge O’Malley faces if he decides to pursue a long-shot run for the Democratic presidential nomination. He must find a way to dent the Clinton political machine and prove that he’s a competitive candidate — not just a backup for progressives who would rather see Elizabeth Warren in the White House….

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image…- minnpost.com

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Bill Clinton Update….Let your wife lead…..

The New York Times sent a couple of reporter’s to spend some time with Bill Clinton recently….

The assignment one gathers was to gauge what the ex-President would be doing for the next year and half while his wife was running for his old job….

It seems that the message was that William Jefferson Clinton would make himself available to work on getting Black and Hispanic voters to come out and vote, to help his wife raise money and make sure he did NOT say out loud things that angered him when people say bad things about her….

The piece points to closer tabs that will be kept on the aging, but still robust senior , who loves politics and people….

This time, advisers and political associates say both Clintons understand how critical it is to harness both the rare gifts and rash impulses of a former president on behalf of a potential one. Whether this will work is a great unknown of the 2016 race: If Mr. Clinton veers far off script with just one stunner of a comment, the campaign could stumble.

Some plans are already forming, the couple’s advisers say. Mrs. Clinton, who is expected to announce her candidacy next month, will shoulder most retail campaign events without him this year, even though Mr. Clinton is more of a natural at them. Putting her in close-in settings with voters at house parties and diners will allow her to avoid Mr. Clinton’s shadow, while underscoring the message that she is taking no voter for granted.

Mr. Clinton has talked to friends about courting a demographic group that he sees as crucial in the next election — Latinos — as well as reaching out to other key constituencies like African-Americans, to elected officials and to high-dollar donors.

In hopes of collaborating with Mr. Clinton better than in 2008 — if not controlling him outright — advisers to Mrs. Clinton are involving him more closely in early campaign planning, and they are discussing whether to deploy a senior aide to travel with him to keep him focused on his wife’s central message. The strategy would channel his myriad political talents, such as synthesizing polling data with ground operations in important states like Florida, which he is preoccupied with winning in 2016….

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image….freebeacon.com

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GOP Indiana Gov Mike Pence is defiant on religious freedom law…

The States new relgious freedom law is so vague that people are wondering if it couldn’t be stretched to be used against gays and just about anybody else , if someone used reglion as a basis for their discriminatory actions….

Once the story on the bill hit social media this got serious….

Severeal oraginaztions and businesses have stepped up and declared that they would boycott the state….

So while Governor Pence says he’s NOT gonna clarified the laws intent?

The busiensses in his state are gonna start losing money….

Usually when THAT happens ?

People lose jobs…..

When THAT happens?

Governors go about changing whatever started the problem….

Ther’s gonna be more to come o0n this….

I’m sure…

Gov. Mike Pence (R-Ind.) on Sunday vowed his state would not alter its religious freedom legislation after criticism that it may permit discrimination based on sexual orientation.

“George, look, we’re not going to change the law, OK?” Pence told host George Stephanopoulos on ABC’s “This Week.”

“I stand by this law,” he continued. “It represents a fundamental protection for individuals.”

Pence, a possible 2016 GOP presidential candidate, also criticized most of the debate over the law as “shameless rhetoric.”

Many of the law’s critics, he added, have used the “red herring” of discrimination to mischaracterize the bill’s intent.

“Hoosiers don’t believe in discrimination,” Pence argued. “Anyone who has been to Indiana for five minutes knows Hoosier hospitality is not a slogan, it’s a reality.”

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The Arab Spring = An Arab Middle East War?

The fight is escalating between Sunni Saudia Aarbia and other Middle East countries  and Shia Iran and its proxies…..

The meltdown in Yemen is pushing the Middle East dangerously closer to the wider regional conflagration many long have feared would arise from the chaos unleashed by the Arab Spring revolts.

What began as a peaceful struggle to unseat a Yemeni strongman four years ago and then mutated into civil strife now risks spiraling into a full-blown war between regional rivals Saudi Arabia and Iran over a country that lies at the choke point of one of the world’s major oil supply routes.

With negotiators chasing a Tuesday deadline for the framework of a deal to curb Iran’s nuclear program, it seems unlikely that Iran would immediately respond militarily to this week’s Saudi airstrikes in Yemen, analysts say.

But the confrontation has added a new layer of unpredictability — and confusion — to the many, multidimensional conflicts that have turned large swaths of the Middle East into war zones over the past four years, analysts say.

The United States is aligned alongside Iranian-backed militias in Iraq and against them in Yemen. Egypt and the United Arab Emirates, who have joined in the Saudi offensive in Yemen, are bombing factions in Libya backed by Turkey and Qatar, who also support the Saudi offensive in Yemen. The Syrian conflict has been fueled by competition among all regional powers to outmaneuver one another on battlefields far from home.

Not since the 1960s — and perhaps going back even further — has there been a time when so many Arab states and factions were engaged in so many wars, in quite such confusing configurations, said Frederic Wehrey of the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace.

“It’s so dangerous,” he said….

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The ‘Warren Effect’ in the Senate…

Anybody who still thinks theDemocratic  Senator from Massachusetts , Elizabeth Warren, should run for President should read the Politico piece I’ve linked below….

Warren, unbound by the limits she would have running for President NOW has BOTH parties thinking about her when they approach ANY thing having to do with Banks….

That doesn’t mean that she gets her way all the time….

She doesn’t most of the time….

But with her political clout in the media , supported by Democratic Progressives , and her connection to the soon to be new Democratic head Chuck Schumer?

She IS a force to be reckoned with RIGHT WHERE SHE IS in the US Senate…..

Some on the Hill quietly acknowledge that there is a grain of truth to Republicans’ accusation that Warren has spooked Democrats away from supporting even modest changes to the law out of fear progressives groups will tag them as Wall Street shills. Democrats who had been receptive to relaxing some financial regulations in the past appear less interested now.

When it comes to these smaller proposals, lawmakers, staffers and lobbyists are increasingly eager to find out, behind the scenes, where Warren may possibly stand on any changes to Dodd-Frank regulations. If they feel she’ll blast it as a Wall Street giveaway, its chances of getting backing from Democrats drops.

While Democrats roll their eyes at the idea Warren is calling the shots, some concede the public outcry she led over the year-end spending bill has set the tone for this year’s debate.

“I’ve known Elizabeth Warren for a long time. She has not committed an act of violence against anyone I know, so I doubt my colleagues feel intimidated by her,” said Rep. Brad Sherman, a California Democrat on the House Financial Services Committee who has worked with Republicans on the panel.

But he suggested things have become a little more sensitive following last year’s intra-party dust up. “We shouldn’t be afraid to make changes to Dodd-Frank as conditions warrant,” he said.

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The fight for the Nevada US Senate Seat begins….

Another Senate seat enters the equation for 2016….

And Harry Reid has HIS choice ……

Senate Minority Leader Harry Reid’s (D-Nev.) retirement is triggering a free-for-all for his seat — with big implications for control of the Senate in 2016.

Senate Republicans see Nevada as their best chance at a pickup this election cycle, and whether Democrats can hold Reid’s seat in the swing state will go a long way in determining which party controls the Senate after next cycle.

Reid moved quickly on Friday to throw his support behind former Nevada Attorney General Catherine Cortez Masto (D), telling KNPR that he’ll support her if she runs and discouraging anyone from opposing her.

“Whoever runs against Catherine I think will be a loser,” he predicted.

A fresh face could be the best thing for Silver State Democrats. Reid’s favorability is low in the state, and while he’s a ferocious campaigner, someone less polarizing could help them hold onto the seat in a presidential election — if they can avoid a contentious primary.

“I think this is actually a good thing for the Democrats,”

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image….kenvtv.com

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Bush leads in New Hampshire Poll….

While it appears Scott Walker is ahead in Iowa…..

Polling shows that Jeb Bush leads in New Hampshire AND South Carolina RIGHT NOW….

This may give Scott Walker a short shelf life something THIS Dog believes will occur along the way to giving Jeb Bush the Republican nomination eventually….

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