Political Roundup for March 31, 2015…Red Racing Horses

by: shamlet


IL-Sen: With Rep. Tammy Duckworth (D) now in the race to take on Sen. Mark Kirk (R), we have three different reactions from the other three Democratic Illinois House members who had been considering the contest. Rep. Cheri Bustos (D) seems all but ready to get behind Duckworth, shifting from her prior consideration of a bid to now say such a run is “unlikely”. At the other end of the spectrum, Rep. Robin Kelly (D) reiterated that she is still considering the race. And the final possible contender, Rep. Bill Foster (D), is taking yet another route by keeping his mouth shut entirely on the matter.

NV-Sen: Though outgoing Sen. Harry Reid (D) has made it clear in no uncertain terms that he wants ex-AG Catherine Cortez-Masto (D) to succeed him, Rep. Dina Titus (D) is considering a bid. Titus has a history of battling with Reid, beating back his prefered candidate in both 2006’s Gov and 2012’s NV-1 nomination contests, and she would likely start out as a formidable primary candidate if she ran.


KY-Gov: Here’s a good recap on 2014 Senate candidate Matt Bevin’s (R) attempts to remake himself into a credible gubernatorial candidate, which so far are falling quite flat. Whereas Bevin got steam last year by being the only serious opponent to Sen. Mitch McConnell (R), he also incurred the wrath of McConnell’s campaign apparatus. Thus, Bevin now has high name recognition, but also a highly unfavorable image, which has kept him from getting much traction against the other major candidates in the race, ex-Louisville councilman Hal Heiner (R) and Ag Commissioner James Comer (R). Ex-State Supreme Court Justice Will Scott (R) is also running but trails the field. The primary winner will face AG Jack Conway (D) in the general.

LA-Gov: The Louisiana Democratic Party has voted to back State Rep. John Bel Edwards (D) as their official endorsed candidate. The move is important as it reduces to near-zero the likelihood that a bigger-name Democrat (read: New Orleans Mayor Mitch Landrieu (D)) would make a late entry into the race. The biggest beneficiary of the move, though, might be overall front-runner Sen. David Vitter (R). That’s because if Edwards is the only Democrat, he is likely to make the runoff. And Vitter, who is likely to come in first place overall, would much rather face the liberal Edwards one-on-one in the conservative state than either LG Jay Dardenne (R) or Public Service Commissioner Scott Angelle (R), who each could build a successful anti-Vitter coalition of Chamber-of-Commerce Republicans and Democrats far better than Edwards.

MO-Gov: Ex-State House Speaker Catherine Hanaway (R) has resumed her gubernatorial campaign, which she suspended after the suicide of her main primary rival, Auditor Tom Schweich. Instead of Schweich, Hanaway is now facing veteran and nonprofit founder Eric Greitens (R) in the primary, and the field looks likely to grow. In a new twist to the increasingly weird story, Schweich’s spokesman, Spence Jackson, has also killed himself as well….