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AR-Sen: Rep. Tom Cotton (R) leads Sen. Mark Pryor (D) 47%-43% in a new Rasmussen poll. This is the first recent poll to show Cotton in the lead since a stream of polls showing Pryor leading, some showing him with a double digit lead. Rasmussen took a hit to their credibility after the last election cycle, so some skepticism may be warranted with this poll, but it at least blunts the narrative that the race was starting to get away from Cotton somewhat.
IA-Sen: The US Chamber of Commerce is running an ad supporting state Sen. Joni Ernst for the Republican nomination for Senate. The $400,000 ad buy, a fairly significant sum for a relatively cheap media state like Iowa, may be geared more for the general election against Rep. Bruce Braley (D) as Ernst is the favorite to win the nomination next Tuesday. Notably, this also represents a rare convergence of support between the Senate Conservatives Fund and the COC in this cycle.
MS-Sen: The Senate race is splitting the prominent Barbour family. While former Gov. Haley Barbour is backing Sen. Thad Cochran in the Republican primary, his brother Jeppie is backing state Sen. Chris McDaniel. Jeppie’s sons Henry and Austin Barbour are also actively involved in Cochran’s campaign, creating an even more awkward situation for the family.
NC-Sen: A Civitas poll shows state House Speaker Thom Tillis (R) with a 46%-41% lead on Sen. Kay Hagan (D) in a two way race. Tillis has a slightly narrower 3 point lead, 39%-36% on Hagan when Libertarian candidate Sean Haugh is included in the poll-Haugh gets 8% in the 3 way race.
OK-Sen: Former Rep. J.C Watts (R) has endorsed former state House Speaker T.W. Shannon in his bid for the Republican nomination for Senate. The endorsement is no surprise as Shannon once worked as a field director in Watts’ congressional office. The endorsement also illustrates that despite Shannon receiving support from national conservative groups, he also retains ties to the state’s political establishment as well.
OR-Sen: In the first poll following her Republican primary win, neurosurgeon Monica Wehby trails Sen. Jeff Merkley (D) by 14 points. Merkley takes 50% to Wehby’s 36% in the poll. Although this race was never high on the list of seats likely to flip, Wehby attracted some initial excitement about her candidacy, but some recent bad publicity dealing with her ex-husband and her lack of command of the issues has likely hurt her and pushes this race down on the list for Republicans…..
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