Florida & Ohio Governor Races: Good and Bad News for Republicans…

Morning all!

Two new Polls in the important Governor Elections this Fall brings GOOD & BAD News for Republicans.

A new Quinnipiac Unversity Poll shows former Governor Charlie Crist (D) leading Governor Rick Scott (R) 48-38.

Quinnipiac Unversity Florida Poll

General Election

Former Governor Charlie Crist (D) 48 %
Incumbent Governor Rick Scott (R) 38 %
Someone else 2 %
Wouldn’t Vote 3 %
Undecided 9 %


Meanwhile a new Survey USA Poll in Ohio for the TV Station WCMH in Columbus shows Ohio Governor John Kasich (R) leading his Reelection Bid 46-36 over Democrat Ed Fitzgerald (D).

WCMH-TV Survey USA Ohio Poll

General Election

Incumbent Governor John Kasich (R) 46 %
Cuyahoga County 36 %
Anita Rios (Green Party) 4 %
Undecided 14 %

OH Voters Are Focused on Job Creation, Opposed to Affordable Care Act, Split on Same-Sex Marriage, In Favor of Medical Marijuana:
One week to the 05/06/14 Ohio Primary, Buckeye voters are focused on job creation, ahead of health care and taxes, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for WCMH-TV in Columbus. Job creation is especially driving the ballot-box decisions of lower-income voters, men and middle-aged voters. Healthcare is on the mind of seniors, and Republicans, though for different reasons. Taxes are motivating young voters, conservatives, and voters with children.
Ohio voters oppose the Affordable Care Act, also known as Obamacare, 54% to 37%. Whites and blacks, and Democrats and Republicans, see the issue in stark contrast.
Ohio voters support the medical use of marijuana, 56% to 37%, with opposition coming from seniors and conservatives.
Ohio voters split on the issue of same-sex marriage. 43% support legalizing gay marriage. 49% oppose. 48% say Ohio should recognize same-sex marriages that have been performed in other states; 45% say Ohio should not recognize such marriages.
Heading into the final week before the 05/06/14 Primary:
* 46% approve of the job that Republican John Kasich is doing as Governor. 39% disapprove.
* 33% have a favorable opinion of Democratic candidate Ed Fitzgerald; 23% have an unfavorable opinion; significantly: 45% have no opinion of Fitzgerald.
* 46% of voters say Ohio is on the right track; 43% say Ohio is on the wrong track.

In a hypothetical election today for Governor of Ohio, 46% would vote for incumbent Republican Kasich, 36% would vote for Democratic challenger Fitzgerald. In a separate hypothetical election today for Governor, 50% would vote for Kasich if he were opposed by Democratic challenger Larry Ealy, who gets 25%.

Cell-phone and home-phone respondents included in this research: SurveyUSA interviewed 900 state of Ohio adults 04/24/14 through 04/28/14. Of the adults, 810 were registered to vote. Of the registered, 618 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely voters. This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone (71% of likely voters) were interviewed on their home telephone in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone (29% of likely voters) were shown a questionnaire on their smartphone, tablet or other electronic device.


KEY FINDING: Ohioans oppose the Affordable Care Act by a 54-37 Margin

Daniel G.

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17 thoughts on “Florida & Ohio Governor Races: Good and Bad News for Republicans…”

  1. I told james that you have to treat the Affordable Care Act “State by State” and not generelize it. I was RIGHT. Kasichs 10-Point lead is surely fueled by Voters opposing the ACA in Ohio.

    Contrary in Kentucky Voters are split of the ACA and that’s why Grimes is currently edging McConnell.

    Other Polls in Florida have shown the Governor Race much tighter.

  2. I told you the ACA is different in each State. Sometimes Republicans benefit (Ohio), sometimes Democrats benefit politically (Kentucky).

    BUT generally saying the ACA helps Democrats everywhere is just plain wrong.

    1. I’ll agree issues in general play different state TO state….but the ACA IS losing its OVERALL effect as a wedge issue….
      Look at the like/dislike margins drop in general….

  3. james,

    That’s more a Demographic Problem. The South as well as the Plains are more rual and those folks don’t want a Government HealthCare Program around their throats. You gonna have to accept that james.

    1. Oh, I accept it….

      I understand the ‘can do no handouts’ thing….

      Even if it HURTS some of these people…
      But ya know what Daniel?
      First they DO get S/S checks…
      Second…When they get sick they’re gonna need help….
      Politics be damn….

  4. They are against it because it has Obama’s name on it.

    The NY Times even did a story quoting rural white Kentuckians who admitted they were benefiting from the ACA but scoffed when asked about “Obamacare”

    Frankly I’m getting sick of it. As long as these folks are going to vote for the party that is far more concerned with cutting billionaire’s taxes maybe they ought to be forced to live with the consequences.

    1. I had the same conversation with my wife this morning on the raising the minimum wage….
      WTF would you vote somebody that WON’T HELP YOU make MORE MONEY????

      It makes NO SENSE!

  5. SE-779,

    Wrong, the DEEP SOUTH like SC, GA, AR, LA has very different People compared to KY.

    The Kentucky folks are basically Clinton & Reagan Democrats.

  6. james,

    These folks what their Independence and it isn’t “Independent” when a Government FORCES a Goverment-Run Program around their throats.

    1. The program relies on volume Daniel….
      Like the stimulus?
      Come back in few years and all 50 will be in…
      That ‘a my feeling…
      This reluctance to join is going hit the 14 states not signed up in the pocketbook one way or another
      Wait and see….

  7. The Program doesn’t rely on Volume.

    There are some States who doesn’t need the ACA particular those folks who are happy what they have now. That’s why the ACA is so devastating for them.

    Didn’t Obama say quote “You can keep what you have” That is nowehere near true and those folks who have Insurance and want to keep it because there’re happy with it can’t do it now and a FORCED TO BUY a completely new Health Insurance.

    This Problem needs to be fixed but Democrat refusing doing so.

    And don’t tell me this crap that these folks are only a small amount in this Country. Quite to the contrary. These are lots of folks.

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