Daily Real Clear Politics Polling Numbers 3/27/14 to 3/31/14…

Monday, March 31
Race/Topic   (Click to Sort)PollResultsSpread
President Obama Job ApprovalGallupApprove 45, Disapprove 50Disapprove +5
President Obama Job ApprovalRasmussen ReportsApprove 49, Disapprove 50Disapprove +1
2014 Generic Congressional VoteRasmussen ReportsDemocrats 39, Republicans 38Democrats +1
Public Approval of Health Care LawABC News/Wash PostFor/Favor 48, Against/Oppose 50Against/Oppose +2
Mississippi Senate – Cochran vs. ChildersRasmussen ReportsCochran 48, Childers 31Cochran +17
Mississippi Senate – McDaniel vs. ChildersRasmussen ReportsMcDaniel 47, Childers 35McDaniel +12
Sunday, March 30
Race/Topic   (Click to Sort)PollResultsSpread
2016 Republican Presidential NominationWPA Research (R)Huckabee 13, Paul 13, Christie 9, Bush 11, Ryan 6, Cruz 9, Rubio 6, Walker 5, Perry 1, Jindal 3Tie
Friday, March 28
Race/Topic   (Click to Sort)PollResultsSpread
Public Approval of Health Care LawAssociated Press/GfKFor/Favor 26, Against/Oppose 43Against/Oppose +17
Georgia Senate – Republican Primary (May 20)Landmark/Rosetta StonePerdue 21, Kingston 15, Broun 15, Gingrey 13, Handel 10Perdue +6
Thursday, March 27
Race/Topic   (Click to Sort)PollResultsSpread
Public Approval of Health Care LawFOX NewsFor/Favor 40, Against/Oppose 56Against/Oppose +16
Iowa Senate – Jacobs vs. BraleyRasmussen ReportsBraley 41, Jacobs 38Braley +3
Iowa Senate – Ernst vs. BraleyRasmussen ReportsBraley 40, Ernst 37Braley +3
Iowa Senate – Whitaker vs. BraleyRasmussen ReportsBraley 40, Whitaker 36Braley +4
Iowa Senate – Clovis vs. BraleyRasmussen ReportsBraley 44, Clovis 31Braley +13
Virginia Senate – Gillespie vs. WarnerQuinnipiac*Warner 46, Gillespie 31Warner +15
California Governor Primary (June 3)PPICBrown 47, Donnelly 10, Kashkari 2, Blount 2Brown +37
Virginia: Christie vs. ClintonQuinnipiacClinton 45, Christie 41Clinton +4
Virginia: Paul vs. ClintonQuinnipiacClinton 48, Paul 42Clinton +6
Virginia: Bush vs. ClintonQuinnipiacClinton 47, Bush 39Clinton +8
Virginia: Huckabee vs. ClintonQuinnipiacClinton 49, Huckabee 41Clinton +8

…from RealClearPolitics….

‘Why? Why would I bother to vote?’ ”…The Problem with some Latino’s

This response to Latino’s try to organize and get out the votes stands against Older Right leaning Americans who are only TOO GLAD to go to the polls to hold on to their way of life….

The young do NOT understand that VOTING COUNTS.….

That failure to vote , Giving up…..

Only will make things stay the same, or make things worst for them….

The ONLY real power they can have against the rich and the rightwingnuts is their vote as a collective….Politicians NEED votes to keep their jobs and they will act accordingly to get those votes…

To give up their vote is to leverage their increasing numbers away…..

Across the country, immigrant-rights advocates report mounting disillusionment with both parties among Latinos, enough to threaten recent gains in voting participation that have reshaped politics to Democrats’ advantage nationally, and in states like Colorado with significant Latino populations. High hopes — kindled by President Obama’s elections and stoked in June by Senate passage of the most significant overhaul of immigration law in a generation, with a path to citizenship for about 11 million people here unlawfully — have been all but dashed.

Lisa Duran, Ms. Chacon’s supervisor, said some Latinos felt “nowhere to turn.” CreditMatthew Staver for The New York Times

Latinos mainly blame Republicans, who control the House and have buried the Senate bill, but they also have soured on Mr. Obama. The federal government has so aggressively enforced existing immigration laws that one national Hispanic leader recently nicknamed the president “deporter in chief” for allowing nearly two million people to be deported.

A day after that widely reported gibe in Washington, at Denver’s Spanish-language radio station KBNO (“Que Bueno” to its audience), the host Fernando Sergio devoted his three-hour talk show to asking listeners whether they agreed with the criticism, or “has President Obama done the best he can against Republican opposition?”

“The majority were very angry at the president,” Mr. Sergio said in an interview at the station, where pictures of John and Robert Kennedy, Bill Clinton and Mr. Obama hang on the walls. “People feel like he’s made some promises that he hasn’t fulfilled, that he can do more” — like expand his 2012 order that deferred deportations of young people brought to the country as children, a group known as Dreamers……

More….

BREAKING NEWS: Republican Chairman of House Ways & Means Cmt. Dave Camp (R-MI)

Camp to RETIRE at the end of his Term; Not seeking Reelection. 

Props to POLITICO who has had a Scoop of it this Morning…..

Dave Camp is shown. | Getty

photo….Getty

“Serving in Congress is the great honor of my professional life,” Camp said in a statement released by the Ways and Means Committee. “I am deeply grateful to the people of the 4th Congressional District for placing their trust in me. Over the years, their unwavering support has been a source of strength, purpose and inspiration.”

Camp, 60, said he will spend the remainder of this 113th Congress on efforts to “grow our economy and expand opportunity for every American by fixing our broken tax code, permanently solving physician payments for seniors, strengthening the social safety net and finding new markets for U.S. goods and services.”

The retirement was widely expected on Capitol Hill. Over the last few weeks, senior Republican officials were skeptical Camp would run for reelection.

After this Congress, term limits would prohibit Camp from serving another two years as chairman of the Ways and Means Committee. Without special dispensation from Boehner, the Michigan Republican would go back to being in the rank and file — a rough assignment for a veteran like Camp.

In Michigan, candidates must file for reelection by April 22, and Camp had not yet filed…..

More from Politico…..

Other links…

https://twitter.com/pkcapitol/status/450738389764280320

http://atr.rollcall.com/dave-camp-announces-retirement/?dcz=

Who is next? Don’t tell me it’ll be either Fred Upton (R) or John Conyers (D) because that’s what I am beginning to suspect now.

Daniel G.

Note…..

Didin’t rep Paul Ryan want House Ways and Means to rewrite the countries tax bill?

The Dog….

Putin tell’s Germany’s Merkel he’s pulling some troops from the Ukraine border…

(CNN) — Potentially easing a diplomatic standoff with the West, Russian President Vladimir Putin told Germany’s chancellor Monday that he’d ordered a partial withdrawal of Russian troops from his country’s border area with Ukraine, German Chancellor Angela Merkel’s office said.

Putin made the comment to Merkel in a phone call about Ukraine, her office said. The Kremlin made no mention of a withdrawal in its own description of the call, but said the two leaders discussed Ukraine, including “possibilities for international assistance to restore stability.”

Further details about Putin’s reported order weren’t immediately available. But a withdrawal may ease tensions simmering since Russia annexed Ukraine’s Black Sea peninsula of Crimea this month — a move that has led to the worst East-West standoff since the Cold War.

Earlier Monday, Russian media reported that one Russian infantry battalion was being moved from the border area to its base deeper into Russia.

Ukrainian and Western officials for weeks have voiced alarm about Russia’s reported military buildup on Ukraine’s eastern border, which has raised fears that Russian troops would enter the Ukrainian mainland. Russia may have 40,000 troops near its border with eastern Ukraine and another 25,000 inland who are on alert and prepared to go in, two U.S. officials have told CNN….

More….

Democrats will cut down the number of Presidential debates for 2016 also….

The talk in political circles have been about the GOP cutting down and excerpting more control over debates for the 2016 Presidential Primaries…

It seems that the Democrats are looking to do the same thing ….

If Hillary Clinton is going to be the censuses Democratic nominee…..

Why have her getting beat up by someone that has no chance?

(This Dog has been FOR someone challinging her to sharpen her skills for the contest with the GFOP nominee come the summer and fall)….

Republicans have been working on ways to cut down what was over 20 primary debates in 2012 down to a manageable number with more limitations on moderators and media outlets presenting the debates. It now appears that many within the Democratic Party are having similar thoughts.

Report from Reuters:

Some veterans of Democratic presidential campaigns believe that their party, which will have no incumbent running in 2016, would be well advised to follow the Republicans’ lead in limiting the number of same-party debates.

During the early stages of a primary, such debates can benefit candidates who have little chance of winning their party’s nomination, much less a general election.

The Republicans’ primary season last year often was a race to show which candidate could please the party’s most conservative members, resulting in situations that analysts said wound up hurting Romney in the November election.

At a September 2011 debate, the crowd booed a question from a gay soldier about the military’s policy that had excluded openly gay soldiers. Some of the most stinging attacks on Romney’s background as a wealthy private equity executive were given their earliest airings by fellow Republicans in debates.

Democratic strategist Tad Devine, who advised John Kerry and Al Gore in their presidential campaigns, said that Democrats likely will try to limit their debates in the 2016 campaign.

“That’s a reform that the Democrats will join in,” Devine said……

More….

If the Republicans control the House and Senate?

If you think President Obama has problems Now?

Could they?

Would they get busy trying to UNDO anything and EVERYTHING  Obama and the Democrats have done in the last five and half years?

The Worst Case scenario’s predictions are looked at…..

There would be a big push for the Regulations from the Executive in Need of Scrutiny Act, which requires congressional approval for all major regulations.

Appointments: Senate confirmation for all but the most routine nominations would be a slog. Republicans might repeal the so-called nuclear option rule, which requires only 51 votes (not 60 to break a filibuster) to confirm an executive or judicial appointment short of the Supreme Court.

It’s difficult to envision a Republican-run Senate confirming any Supreme Court appointment by Obama.

Foreign Policy: The biggest issue might be a nuclear deal with Iran. Odds are the current negotiations will be extended until the end of this year or next year. For now, only the strong hand of Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid prevents legislation that might scuttle the negotiations from coming to the floor.

If a deal is reached, a Republican Congress would probably refuse to repeal the sanctions imposed on Iran. The president can waive some of these measures by executive order. But Congress would still have latitude to complicate any arrangement.

As to investigations of alleged administration misconduct, take the current number and double it. Democrats, when not in a state of panic, predict that such a scenario would lead to Republican overreach, paving the way for a Democratic president — and Senate — two years later. If so, the agenda of that new president would be to undo much of what had been done the previous two years…..

More….

Daily Kos Elections Morning Digest 3/31/14…Mike Rogers’ retirement opens up a potentially swingy House seat

Reposted from Daily Kos Elections by David Nir

Daily Kos Elections Morning Digest banner

Want the scoop on hot races around the country? Get the digest emailed to you each weekday morning. Sign up here.

Leading Off:

 MI-08: Seven-term Republican Rep. Mike Rogers announced on Friday that he’s retiring to pursue a career in radio broadcasting. Rogers will host a nationally syndicated show starting in January, and as Jed Lewison points out, he’s long been a media creature: Rogers has been the most frequent congressional guest of any on the Sunday talk shows for the past two years, more popular even than John McCain.

The district that Rogers leaves behind, Michigan’s 8th, stretches from Lansing in the west to the outer Detroit metropolitan area in the east. It’s also theoretically swingy, on paper: It went for Mitt Romney 51-48, but Barack Obama beat John McCain here 52-46. Democrats, however, haven’t seriously challenged Rogers since his very first election, when the district was several points bluer, and the GOP bench is much deeper here.

What’s more, the fundamentals favor Republicans this year, if for no other reason than the familiar problem of Democratic voters turning out in smaller proportions during midterm elections as opposed to presidential years. For these reasons, we’re moving this race from Safe Republican to Lean Republican, reflecting the advantage the GOP has. However, it’s still very early and candidate chatter has only just begun, so the quality of each side’s recruitment efforts may change our outlook.

And it may be a while before we get a sense of the playing field. As is typically the case when a seat like this opens up, the Great Mentioner has sprung into high gear, and one Republican, Rochester Mayor Bryan Barnett, has already announced a bid. As for everyone else, here’s the most comprehensive roundup of potential candidates available:

Republicans:Former state GOP chair Saul Anuzis (“looking at” it)
Ex-state Senate Majority Leader Mike Bishop (“never say never“)
Oakland County Sheriff Mike Bouchard
Ex-state House Speaker Craig DeRoche
State Sen. Gail Haines
State Sen. Joe Hune (will “look strongly” at it)
State Sen. Rick Jones
State Sen. Jim Marleau
State Rep. Bill Rogers (Mike’s brother, who is term-limited)

Democrats:Ingham County Clerk Barb Byrum (“seriously considering it“)
State Rep. Sam Singh (considering, per spokesman)
Lansing Board of Education President Peter Spadafore (something “to think about“)

Three Democrats have already apparently said no: state Senate Minority LeaderGretchen Whitmer, Lansing Mayor Virg Bernero, and former state Sen. Dianne Byrum, who is Barb Byrum’s mother and almost beat Rogers in 2000 when this seat was last open. (Bernero seems to be hedging, though, saying “I intend to continue serving the people of Lansing.”) As always, we’ll keep following all developments as they unfold…..

Continue Reading

Political Roundup for March 31, 2014…Red Racing Horses…..

by: BostonPatriot
Happy Opening Day!Senate

IA-Sen: Bruce Braley’s farmer/lawyer gaffe keeps making its way into GOP ads, and this spot from businessman Mark Jacobs (whom the polls say is leading the primary field) does the best job yet. The problem with Braley’s comments is that they’re always going to take up the bulk of a 30-second spot, and if I had Jacobs’ money, I’d have gone for 60 seconds (after buying myself a house on the Cape and a Ferrari, of course).

NE-Sen: FreedomWorks switched its endorsement from Shane Osborn to Ben Sasse in the wake of the controversy regarding Osborn’s Navy records–although they insist the switch has nothing to do with that, merely Osborn’s ties to Mitch McConnell (who is only the freakin’ Senate floor leader of Osborn’s party). The move apparently caused serious internal strife at FreedomWorks, as one of its VP’s swiftly resigned in protest.

SC-Sen-G: Just before the filing deadline, Dems found a candidate who can give the correct answer to “Have you ever been convicted of a felony?”: State Sen. Brad Hutto, a white moderate who represents a black-majority district. Hutto gives Dems someone credible in case the GOP primary goes to hell (which looks very unlikely).

House

MI-08: The field has been relatively slow to develop considering we’re only 3 weeks from the filing deadline. Rochester Hills mayor Bryan Barnett is the only declared Republican, but three more significant names are considering: Livingston County State Sen. Joe Hune, Oakland County former State Sen. Mike Bishop, and former MIGOP chairman Saul Anuzis of Lansing. The Heir Force candidate, Bill Rogers, is out (although he make seek Hune’s Senate seat if that opens up), as is popular Oakland Sheriff Mike Bouchard. On the Dem side, Ingham County Clerk Barb Byrum (daughter of the woman Mike Rogers barely beat back in 2000), is considering. Check out this great diary by Republican Michigander for more on all four candidates.

NJ-01: Former Philadelphia Eagle Gary Cobb is running as a Republican in this safe blue district. I’m surprised Cobb didn’t run just to the north in NJ-03, which has already elected a Republican ex-Eagle, and where Jon Runyan and Cobb could have executed the first ever tackle-to-linebacker handoff.

RI-01: Republicans got a warm body in the race against ethically-plagued-but-recovering Rep. David Cicilline, a young military vet named Cormick Lynch. Under normal circumstances, this is a hopeless district, but Cicilline hasn’t quite entrenched himself yet, winning by 13% in 2012 in a race that was intially expected to be closer.

TN-03: Congressional progeny Weston Wamp and dairy magnate Scottie Mayfield bonked heads in this GOP primary in 2012, allowing incumbent Chuck Fleischmann to slip through with a plurality (as he had in 2010). Now Wamp is running again, and Mayfield is supporting Fleischmann, citing an odd incident during which Wamp angrily confronted him and secretly recorded a conversation. I’m not sure why Fleischmann continues to draw such intense primary opposition each year, but he always comes out looking like the reasonable one…..

More….

68,000 illegal immigrants with criminal convictions let go in 2013….

Seems like U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement officials are pushing back on getting beat up for the record number of deportations they have done during the Obama administration….

“ICE released 68,000 criminal aliens in 2013, or 35 percent of the criminal aliens encountered by officers. The vast majority of these releases occurred because of the Obama administration’s prosecutorial discretion policies,” Jessica Vaughn, director of policy studies at the Center for Immigration Studies, wrote in a memo summarizing the DHS document.

ICE classifies illegal immigrants as criminal if they have been convicted of a crime, not including traffic offense, Vaughn noted.

Sen. Jeff Sessions (Ala.), the ranking Republican on the Budget Committee, blasted the administration’s record.

“The preponderance of the evidence demonstrates that immigration enforcement in America has collapsed. Even those with criminal convictions are being released. DHS is a department in crisis,” he said in a statement Sunday.

“Secretary Johnson must reject the president’s demands to weaken enforcement further and tell him that his duty, and his officers’ duty, is to enforce the law – not break it,” he added in reference to Homeland Security Secretary Jeh Johnson.

A spokeswoman for ICE did not immediately respond to a request for comment.

Advocacy groups on both sides of the immigration debate have fired salvos back and forth over Obama’s track record enforcing the law.

Republicans say they cannot trust Obama to enforce the law and Speaker John Boehner (R-Ohio) cited that as an obstacle to passing immigration reform through the House.

Pro-immigrant groups argue Obama has enforced the law too zealously.

More…

Nate Silver polls Wisconsin to win the March Madness Basket Ball Title….

Nate Silvers Five Thirty Eight takes a bean counter look at the NCAA Mens basketball Championship final four teams…

A look at performance vs. point spread to show why the @UWBadgers are heading to Texas with the most momentum. pic.twitter.com/8ENeTrj0zH

Washington DC has a Mayor’s Race Dem Primary….

photo of the Democratic Primary DC Mayor candidates ….Washington Post….

The winner of the Democratic Primary will get the job….

District of Columbia Mayor Vincent Gray’s job isn’t the only thing at stake in Tuesday’s Democratic primary.

The city’s relationship with Congress could change significantly, depending on the results of the eight-person race.

Since Washington was granted the right to hold local elections in 1973, the city’s ties to Congress have often triggered anxiety. But this election is particularly fraught as federal prosecutors allege that Gray knew of an illegal fundraising scheme during his last race and could indict the mayor.

Gray has vigorously denied any wrongdoing and insists he won’t step down — even if he is indicted.

It’s a level of drama that hasn’t surrounded a citywide election at least since the days of Marion Barry’s administration, a period in which Congress established a board to oversee the city’s finances. Congress has taken a somewhat more hands-off approach in recent years, and for now key lawmakers expect it to stay that way.

“I realize there is a controversy, but we stay out of the election,” said House Oversight and Government Reform Committee Chairman Darrell Issa (R-Calif.), whose panel has jurisdiction over the city’s affairs. “If there is a new mayor, we would hope that he or she would continue the same level [of communication] we’ve enjoyed under” Gray.

Washington’s delegate to Congress, Eleanor Holmes Norton, said the city should resolve the controversy on its own.

“District officials and the people of the District are attending to their own business well, and the mayoral election should have no effect on congressional business,” a spokesperson for Holmes Norton said in a statement. “The congresswoman is pleased that the Congress and its oversight committees have observed home rule and have allowed the District to work out its own issues through the electoral and legal processes.”

More….

“We are faced with a field of candidates that almost make making a decision a mockery, and nearly an act of futility,” said the Rev. Graylan Hagler, the politically active senior pastor of Plymouth Congregational United Church of Christ in Northeast, who contributed $100 to Gray as recently as last week. From the pulpit, Hagler all but urged his congregation not to vote, saying no candidate was worthy of support.

That perspective, coupled with the dismal early voting numbers, increased urgency among the candidates to turn out supporters on Tuesday. The weather gave the weekend’s campaigning a desultory feel.

Gray took a languid caravan ride through Ward 7 on Saturday, then stumped from the pulpit of an African American church in Ward 8 on Sunday, trying to perk up his most devoted supporters.

Bowser (D-Ward 4) stood with her hair tucked under a drenched baseball cap and her heels sunk two inches into mud outside a Northeast polling place Saturday, appealing to the trickle of voters there.

 More….