The race for New York City Mayor IS a two person race with Anthony Weiner steady gaining on the front runner NYC Council Leader Christine Quinn…
And contrary to those who focused on Anthony Weiner’s Social Media foibles….
That will be a none issue….
There is a very good chance that if Weiner keeps getting good press from the national media that he will catch Quinn in the polls because she has been losing approval numbers steadily since Weiner started letting the media know he was doing a run for Mayor….
This Dog smells a underdog race….
“The Democratic primary for mayor remains wide open,” says Dr. Lee M. Miringoff, Director of The Marist College Institute for Public Opinion. “It is likely to come down to who can punch their ticket for the runoff.”
In April, amid speculation Weiner would enter the race for mayor, he garnered the support of 15% of registered Democrats. Quinn at that time received 26%, a lead of eleven points. 12%, last month, indicated they would vote for John Liu. Bill de Blasio and Bill Thompson each received 11%. Sal Albanese had 2%, and 1% mentioned another candidate. 22% were undecided.
The race continues to be fluid although slightly more Democrats are committed to their vote than in April. 39% of Democrats who have a candidate preference are strongly committed to their choice, and an additional 35% are somewhat behind their candidate. 25% might vote differently, and 2% are unsure. In April, only 34% strongly supported their choice, 30% somewhat supported their candidate, and 35% reported they might vote differently. Two percent were unsure.
Intensity of support varies for the two frontrunners. Among those who support Christine Quinn, 30% are strongly behind her, and 42% somewhat support her. 24% say they might vote differently, and 4% are undecided. Anthony Weiner’s supporters are a bit stronger in their backing. 43% strongly support him while 38% are somewhat supportive. 17% might vote differently, and 2% are unsure.
Among Democrats who are likely to vote in September’s primary, Quinn receives 24% followed by Weiner with 19%, de Blasio with 14%, Thompson with 13%, Liu with 8%, Albanese with 1%, and Salgado with less than 1%. 21% of likely Democrats are undecided…..Share on Facebook