I have said here that Mitt Romney was told during the weekend before the election that he was going to lose the election….
I was wrong…
Mitt Romney…...7:39am Tue November 6th…photo…politicalscrapbook.net
The piece below from The New Republic describes how if you WANT to believe something….
You believe it…
A Problem that Mitt Romney HAD and the Republican’s STILL Have….
Neil Newhouse , the Romney pollster made NUMEROUS suppositions that where WRONG during the last weekend of the campaign…
We have the state total’s below and Newhouse now admits that the Obama voter numbers actually where significantly higher than they thought it would be….
The interesting thing is that the media is reporting that a lot of Romney lower level staff member KNEW that Newhouse numbers where skewed and they where NOT surprised with the Vote outcome….
They never entered the ‘Alternate Universe’ thing that infected others….
So much for ‘intrenal polls, eh?’
It’s no secret that the Romney campaign believed it was headed for victory on Election Day. Ahandful of outlets have reportedthat Team Romney’s internal polling showed North Carolina, Florida, and Virginia moving safely into his column and that it put him ahead in a few other swing states. When combined with Ohio, where the internal polling had him close, Romney was on track to secure all the electoral votes he needed to win the White House. The confidence in these numbers was such that Romney even passed on writing a concession speech, at least before the crotchety assignment-desk known as “reality” finally weighed in.
Less well-known, however, are the details of the polls that led Romney to believe he was so close to the presidency. Which other swing states did Romney believe he was leading in, and by how much? What did they tell him about where to spend his final hours of campaigning? Why was his team so sanguine about its own polling, even though it often parted company with the publicly available data? In an exclusive to The New Republic, a Romney aide has provided the campaign’s final internal polling numbers for six key states, along with additional breakdowns of the data, which the aide obtained from the campaign’s chief pollster, Neil Newhouse. Newhouse himself then discussed the numbers with TNR.
The numbers include internal polls conducted on Saturday, November 3, and Sunday, November 4, for Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Minnesota, Iowa, Colorado, and New Hampshire. According to Newhouse, the campaign polled daily, then combined the results into two-day averages. The numbers for each day along with the averages are displayed in the chart below, followed by the actual result in each state:
If I was Romney…
I’d want my money back from Newhouse…..Share on Facebook