Open thread October 31, 2012

Five days out

the storm is gone

the polls  and excuses

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104 thoughts on “Open thread October 31, 2012”

  1. With the seemingly slow returning of power on LI
    The Governor of NY
    Cuomo
    Is setting up to drop the blame on the LI Power
    Auth
    A LI based semi- Govt Org that was invented to save us money
    But isn’t real good at unusual situations
    Cuomo is gonna let them take the political heat
    It looks like from all us waiting to get power back
    He cleans house and looks good in the
    LEADERSHIP
    Department

  2. I wonder if Tim Tebow will with the Jets come next year

    I hoping for power tomorrow so I can start posting
    Again

    I’ll try to be back later

  3. RealClearPolitics’ no-tossup map has flipped Colorado back to Obama, so it and Election*Projection both predict 290-248, inc. Colo, Nev, NM, Iowa, Wisc, Ohio & NH for Obama and Ind, Va, NC & Fla for Romney.

    Electoral-Vote.com counts N.H. & Fla as ties (33), but puts Va into Barely Obama, so its total varies by +9 for Obama (+ 13 Va – 4 NH) and –42 for Romney (– 29 Fla – 13 Va) to give:

    299 Obama
    206 Romney
    _33 Tied (NH & Fla)

    I haven’t yet tabulated Jack’s calls.

    See also my post in this thread:

    http://www.politicaldog101.com/2012/10/29/electionprojection-update-for-oct-29-2012-obama-leads-in-evs/comment-page-1/#comment-182978

  4. Of course, that could be a two-edged sword if Mayor Bloomberg (or Pres. Obama or Gov. Christie) is blamed for doing too little to alleviate the loss, suffering and difficulties caused by Sandy.

    An endorsement by Ray Nagin or Kathleen Babineaux Blanco wouldn’t have helped too many candidates in 2005.

  5. Chrysler Executive Calls Out Trump

    The Detroit Free Press reports Donald Trump tweeted today that President Obama “is a terrible negotiator. He bails out Chrysler and now Chrysler wants to send all Jeep manufacturing to China–and will!”

    The comment drew a heated tweet from Chrysler Group Vice President for Product Design Ralph Gilles: “You are full of shit!”

  6. DSD, I don’t see this crisis being handled anywhere near as incompetently as Bush/Blanco/Nagin handled Katrina.

    The Bloomberg endorsement will help.

  7. Dave, don’t you think it is a little too early to assign blame for hurricane recovery before election day? Especially, since the President has such a great reception in New Jersey.

    Oh, I noticed that Daniel never answered the question, dumbass or liar Daniel?

  8. Why do you think I was assigning blame to anyone for anything, Keith? You can’t see expressions on my face or intonations in my voice, so read my words instead.

    I was saying that if by Tuesday, voters are assigning blame more than credit, fairly or unfairly, then Bloomberg’s endorsement might not help Obama.

    Bloomberg, Christie, Obama and Andrew Cuomo might all be looking very good by Tuesday. I have no way of knowing.

    Staten Islanders are already feeling overlooked and abandoned, wondering why effort is being put into preparing for Saturday’s New York Marathon.

  9. Clearly all the polls show Obama with a lead, and now the Post has the President moving into the lead in their daily tracking poll. Peaking at the right time I think.

    But, I go with enthusiasm. Today Romney had a tepid and relatively small reception in Virginia, and Obama had a massive, very loud, and raucus reception in Wisconsin. Romney’s supporters said they were praying for him to win, Obama’s supporters were assigned precincts to walk.

  10. Maybe Bloomberg wants to be Treasury Sec?

    I mean really?
    The guy started of as a Democrat
    Got in bed with the GOP
    SO he could run and get the Mayors job x ‘s 3
    And NOW he back’s Obama?

  11. A trusted Democratic operative sent us some data on the early and absentee ballot vote in Florida so far to make the point that Barack Obama is crushing Mitt Romney when it comes to banking the votes of sporadic and infrequent voters before election day. So far more than 3 million Floridians have cast a ballot by absentee, mail-in ballot or in-person early vote ballot. Democrats lead by more than 60,000 votes, but it’s the unlikely voter numbers that jump out:

    Of the nearly 414,000 Floridians who did not vote in the last three general elections, Democrats have an advantage of more than 53,000 votes. Of the more than 482,000 Floridians who have only voted in one of the last three general elections, Democrats lead by more than 77,000

  12. I DO NOT LIKE
    Mike Bloomberg
    Who I look at as
    ANOTHER
    Rich Guy
    Who thinks he knows
    And can buy
    EVERYTHING
    Really
    The people of NYC
    Vote for only 2 terms for their
    And this guy worms a 3rd term
    ANYWAYS?

  13. Keith, Thanks for sharing those interesting and encouraging numbers.

    James, I’m a Bloomberg fan, and I’m certainly not going to hold it against him for being rich. I think this is a nice catch for Obama – especially since he is now running ads about the Powell endorsement.

  14. Sorry
    Going back
    DSD has a
    IMPORTANT POINT
    It’s Thursday night
    I’m on my iPhone
    My wife and oldest son are in the house
    We have no electricity
    Except for the power from our generator
    We’re lucky to have one
    But my wife IS already pissed at Cuomo
    LIPA and the gas people
    If things ain’t right in about 24 hours a
    LOT OF NEW YORKERS are gonna want a piece
    Of SOMEONE’s ASS

    Obama will NOT be that person

  15. During Hurricane Hugo, I didn’t have power for about 10 days. I managed, but NC in October is much warmer than NY in November.

  16. He was appealing to a rural crowd in Virginia Zreebs, he really is stuck in the 50s.

    Early voting certainly has taken off and shows no sign of abating in Virginia, or Florida for that matter. They have extended early voting in Maryland (not that it matters, but we should pick up a house seat there), and not sure of what is going on in Pennsylvania. New Jersey will have to scramble to get polling places set, New York seems in better shape.

    Finally, I have decided that our friend Daniel is a cross between Corey and Ethan (we all remember millionaire Ethan right). Poor Corey, his dream candidate seems to slipping away.

    Saturday will be big in Northern Virgina, teams of Obama volunteers are going out from the District to campaign. At last count there are over 5,000 people signed up for work in Fairfax county alone. It will be a busy day.

  17. Obama ISN’T WINNING VIRGINIA. The Information I have is that Obama is underperforming his Strongholds from 2008…

    Regarding Florida:

    Look at Orange County (Orlando). 25 % of the Vote is already in there and Romney leads 60-40.

    I don’t know from which Region did Keith have this Information in Florida. Should that be Palm Beach, Broward and Miami-Dade Counties that isn’t surprising. Dems trend to do well on the Florida Gold Coast.

    However, Republicans doing well were it matters and were Elections are being decided in the State of Florida and THAT’S THE I4-CORRIDOR.

    I don’t gave a damn how Obama does on the Florida Gold Coast.

  18. Well, Daniel says the things that Corey only alludes to and that Ethan came right out and said. They are all cut from the same cloth. For example, Daniel is on here cheering on voter suppression efforts by the Republicans (and clearly at this point they can only win the election if they engage in wholesale voter disenfranchisement). And, Corey, would find subtle reasons in support those efforts, while, of course, never admitting that his Party was even engaged in any of those activities.

    Think about it. Yesterday Daniel even threatened to hack this site. How many times has he said he wants the economy to collapse so the Republicans can win the next election, or talked about how white voters hate Obama. He is out of control like Ethan was out of control in his anger and racism.

    The only difference between Daniel and Corey is that Daniel is at least honest in his anger. Both of them know exactly what their party stands for and will do to gain power.

  19. Excellent jobs report. 171,000 new jobs, 184,000 private sector new jobs, but unemployment rate ticks up to 7.9%. Stock futures are up as a result of the better-than-expected news.

  20. Rasmussen now has Obama tied with Romney, clearly they are now self-correcting to both reflect the Obama surge and save their reputation.

    The jobs report will continue the swing to Obama.

  21. The situation has gone political
    Cuomo
    Has been on the air
    I’m on LI
    But SI is actually worst
    Two things
    If the gas situation in the NY metro area continues
    Things will come to a halt
    That’s gonna generate POLITICAL PROBLEMS
    For Bloomberg, the LI polls and Cuomo

    The next problem is for Obama
    The President Will carry ny and nj
    But his margins are sure to drop is voting locations are closed
    And people can’t drive anyways

  22. Daniel G., the liberal folks on the Dog need to realize that 7.9 is NOT good news for them especially Obama, who is desperate to distract voters with non-story shit.

    I’m so looking forward to Romney winning the presidency and accomplishing what his late father couldn’t do….WIN the White House.

  23. It seems that the polls are ALL
    Morning to confirm OBAMA’s EV leads
    In the end
    People will only remember if your poll is correct
    In its final call
    I was hoping to post up today
    Maybe
    Maybe not
    I will put up a new thread

  24. James B, remember in 1980 when the unemployment rate was at 7.5, but it wasn’t enough to save Carter, who was doomed two years in advance ?

    He should have know full well that folks from DC weren’t working with him period because in their viewpoint, he was an outsider who had no business being President.

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