Open Thread for October 29, 2012…Campaign on hold for Obama and Romney….

Well a LOT of us are gonna be sitting the house for the next 48 hours…

The East Coast of the United States is closed down due to Hurricane Sandy….

Winds, Rain and water surges are starting to be felt from the storm….

This ole Dog just came back from making sure stuff is tied down in the back of the house….

I’ll be typing away here and NOT making any money from work which is closed down….

(As long as I have power..Cross ya fingers!)

I can use the rest….

I’ll have to give up the money….

At least the NY Football Giants won yesterday , right?

The polls are one thing these days…

The Republicans are selling something else….

There are 8 days until election day …November 6, 2012

(And the Big guys ain’t campaigning till Wednesday at the earliest!)

October 29, 2012

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146 thoughts on “Open Thread for October 29, 2012…Campaign on hold for Obama and Romney….”

  1. The power is back on here in DC Jack. New Jersey and Long Island is the problem now. Interesting that the first people focus on is what might happen to early voting in Northern Virginia.

  2. Cicilline, Doherty attacked in new party-funded TV commercials

    October 30th, 2012 at 1:56 pm by Ted Nesi under Nesi’s Notes, WPRI (CBS/Fox), Providence-Fall River-New Bedford

    Both national parties dropped new TV attack ads Tuesday in a last-minute effort to bolster the campaigns of Democrat David Cicilline and Republican Brendan Doherty in the 1st Congressional District.

    The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee moved first, releasing a 30-second spot that echoes Cicilline’s efforts to tie Doherty to the national GOP, suggesting he’d support allowing insurers to deny coverage to individuals with preexisting conditions and noting his general praise for Paul Ryan’s budget plan.

    The National Republican Congressional Committee followed hours later with a brutal 30-second spot targeting Cicilline’s former career as a lawyer. “What do a child molester, a murderer and a violent attacker all have in common?” the narrator says over photos of mugshots. “Defense attorney David Cicilline.”

    With the two candidates locked in a tight race, both party committees said last week they’d jump into the race with independent advertising campaigns of their own. The NRCC is spending $280,000 and the DCCC is spending $315,000. WPRI 12 will release a new poll on the race at 6 p.m.

    Update: Doherty’s campaign released its own new TV ad late Tuesday afternoon, a 30-second positive spot called “What is Right” where Doherty and his wife, Michele, makes his closing argument to voters. The ad is a stark contrast to the hit on Cicilline released earlier by Doherty’s national GOP allies.

    http://blogs.wpri.com/2012/10/30/cicilline-doherty-attacked-in-new-party-funded-tv-commercials/

    1. Morning people!

      We’ll be back to posting stuff a little later

      Gonna hook into the generator and get up and running since I haven’t much of people up on poles turning power back on

  3. Poll: Cicilline clings to 1-point lead over Doherty

    (RI 1st Cong. Dist.)

    ¶ Independents swing to GOP; David Vogel is a wild card

    Updated: Tuesday, 30 Oct 2012, 10:51 PM EDT
    Published : Tuesday, 30 Oct 2012, 5:49 PM EDT

    By Ted Nesi, WPRI.com Reporter
    By Tim White, Target 12 Investigator

    PROVIDENCE, R.I. (WPRI) – Democratic Congressman David Cicilline is clinging to a wafer-thin lead over Republican challenger Brendan Doherty with just a week to go before voters head to the polls, according to an exclusive WPRI 12 poll released Tuesday night.

    The new survey of 300 likely voters in Rhode Island’s 1st Congressional District shows Cicilline at 43%, Doherty at 42% and independent David Vogel at 6%, with 8% of voters undecided. Doherty has slashed Cicilline’s lead from six points to just one since the previous WPRI 12 poll a month ago.

    “That lead has evaporated,” WPRI 12 political analyst Joe Fleming said. “Right now the race for Congress is a dead heat. … It looks like it’s coming down to the 8% undecided voters who will make a decision in this race come Nov. 6th.”

    Interactive: Breakdown of poll results
    Related: Whitehouse, Langevin ahead

    “Traditionally undecided voters tend to go toward the challenger, so that would be a plus for Brendan Doherty at this point,” Fleming said. “But again it’s a very Democratic district, and because it’s a Democratic district you really are not that sure.” In 2010, Cicilline defeated Republican John Loughlin 51% to 45%.

    The telephone interview poll with 601 likely Rhode Island voters was conducted Oct. 24 to 27 by Fleming & Associates of Cumberland, R.I. The survey has a margin of sampling error of plus or minus approximately 4 percentage points on statewide questions and 5.66 points on questions in a congressional district…

    More details and analysis at http://www.wpri.com/dpp/news/local_news/nesi/campaign-2012-exclusive-poll-oct-mon-6

  4. BREAKING

    Mason-Dixon has finished Polling in Florida saying Romney will win there.

    M/D is the 2nd Major Pollster to pull out of the State after Suffolk.

  5. CD,

    It’ll be a long, long Election Night. I hope Romney pulls off the Upset.

    Romney has FLORIDA despite Keith, james, etc. saying otherwise. Romney is leading in the I4 (the Swing Area of the State) and modern History suggest that you can’t win the State when you’re trailing there.

  6. CD,

    A LOT OF Pollsters are missing the Point.

    a) They think that there will be another WAVE Election.
    b) They think that the Electorate will be as favorable to Obama as it was in 2008.

    C) PPP will be out of Polling Business come Wednesday Nov. 7th.

  7. The Daily Odds
    October 31
    Purposefully Fair and Balanced

    Obama 52%
    Romney 48%

    Obama maintains lead in Ohio.With Nevada(which I called for Obama last week)and the usual Blue states,that gets him to 271,REGARDLESS of what happens in NC,Florida(both of which I called Monday for Romney),Colorado,Iowa,Virginia and NH.Obama +1.

  8. Terry,

    WHO CARES?

    More IMPORTANT for me personally is that my Family is safe.

    Regarding Politics:

    There is NO CONCEIVABLE WAY that Obama can win Florida without carrying the Swing Part of the State.

    Likewise there is no way Obama can win Virginia without carry the Independent Vote.

    I WILL BE RIGHT ON THOSE TWO STATES and Keith & james will be LOSERS as they predicted Obama would carry those two States.

    2008 was a anomaly as a Black Man carried Southern States like VA, NC and FL.

  9. Daniel is showing his racist side this afternoon.

    And, who cares? You do, oh great predictor, you have been on here for months cheering on Romney. So stop re-writing history.

  10. Florida ?

    MEANINGLESS

    It’s all about OHIO

    If Romney loses all the so called “swing” Blue staes(Michigan,Wisconsin and Pennsylvania ) which now appears likely

    And Obama takes Nevada. Also likely

    Then an Obama victory in Ohio ends it

    Florida?

    Just gravy really

  11. I agree with Jack on this. Although it would be nice to win Florida. Seems Ohio is slipping away from Willard, and Virginia is leaning Obama. But, it is too close to call. I do appreciate Quinnipiac, they have a great track record.

  12. Romney Pollster Neil Newhouse calls Q-Pac Ohio Poll a “Piece of Crap”

    “Mitt Romney’s pollster lashed out Wednesday at a new Ohio poll showing President Obama up five in the state, calling the survey “a piece of crap.”

    Neil Newhouse, in a conversation with Washington supporters, was harshly critical of a Quinnipiac-New York Times-CBS survey that has raised concerns among Republicans about whether Romney can win the crucial state, according to a source familiar with the conversation.

    The poll, which was released Wednesday morning, shows Obama taking 50 percent of the vote to Romney’s 45 in battleground Ohio.

    Newhouse’s complained that the poll’s model projected both a broader pool of Ohioans as likely voters than is realistic and was based on a partisan composition of the electorate that was far more favorable to Democrats than he thinks is plausible. In an afternoon call with reporters, Newhouse made a similar case.

    But in his discussion earlier in the day with the GOP insiders, Newhouse made clear his frustration with the drumbeat of polling that have showed Obama enjoying a narrow advantage in such key states as Ohio.

    The pollster complained broadly about each day bringing another unfavorable public survey. Romney’s campaign and others in the GOP believe the samples in the media polls show a partisan breakdown that is overly favorable to Democrats and is therefore misrepresenting the electorate. Most pollsters don’t weight by party, but rather attempt to gauge partisan identification along with other preferences. The new Quinnipiac Ohio poll was made up by 37% of Democrats, 30% independents and 29% Republicans. That’s comparable to what exit polls showed as the composition of the Ohio electorate in 2008”

  13. What else would Newhouse say, the poll is spot on? This is hysterical. Romney is now sinking in any number of polls, so little Neilly will have his work cut out for him tomorrow.

  14. If Nelly starts using the term “CRAPTASTIC”, I will become concerned. Otherwise, I am enjoying his outrage.

  15. Jack, You think Chris Christie’s (the GOP’s keynote speaker and top Romney surrogate) effusive praise of Obama is only worth one point? My new prediction: Obama 70%, Romney 30%.

  16. LOL Zreebs, even I think that is too optimistic, but I like to see you think so.

    It appears things are now flowing to Obama. The raw early voting numbers indicate that the Democrats are voting in big numbers.

    And, I am enjoying the President’s Bro-mance with Christie.

  17. Daniel G., I’ve seen the internal polls of Independents and Romney still LEADS by double digits: 51 percent to 39 percent and the early voting numbers show Romney leading 52 percent to 46 percent.

    Romney will carry Florida, Virginia, North Carolina, New Hampshire. He also needs both Wisconsin (GOP massive ground game remember in the Walker recall) and Ohio (Kasich thinks Romney will squeak by there).

  18. The Economist: “As a result, this election offers American voters an unedifying choice. Many of The Economist’s readers, especially those who run businesses in America, may well conclude that nothing could be worse than another four years of Mr Obama. We beg to differ. For all his businesslike intentions, Mr Romney has an economic plan that works only if you don’t believe most of what he says. That is not a convincing pitch for a chief executive. And for all his shortcomings, Mr Obama has dragged America’s economy back from the brink of disaster, and has made a decent fist of foreign policy. So this newspaper would stick with the devil it knows, and re-elect him.”

  19. Morning folks. I just saw the unemployment numbers, rose to 7.9, which is NOT good news for the President.

    Remember in 1980 when Carter was sent packing, the unemployment rate was 7.5 percent, but nobody wanted to talk about that, it was his HORRIBLE handling of the Hostage Crisis that sealed his doom.

  20. Business people who look at the jobs report will view it favorably. Jobs growth was quite strong. If we keep getting job growth like that, the unemployment rate will come down steadily. But because this is a survey, sometime you get numbers that overstate the improvement (such as last month when the unemployment rate fell from 8.1% to 7.8%) and sometimes, the unemployment rate will understate the improvement (such as this month).

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