A strong majority of likely voters now expect President Obama to win a second term after an abrupt shift in perceptions about the state of the race, according to The Hill’s latest election poll.
The survey found 53 percent of voters believe Obama will triumph on Nov. 6, a huge swing from the 43 percent who held that view immediately before the Democratic convention early last month.
During the same period, the proportion of voters who think GOP challenger Mitt Romney will win shrank from 46 percent to 41 percent, The Hill’s poll found.
The doom-laden numbers for Romney reflect the fact that 50 percent of voters say the president and the Democrats have run a better campaign, while only 41 percent give the nod to Romney and Republicans.
The poll, conducted Sept. 27 for The Hill by Pulse Opinion Research, highlights the pressure Romney will be under to deliver a strong performance at his first debate with Obama on Wednesday in Denver.
Eighty-five percent of voters said they are likely to watch the opening debate, compared to 12 percent who said they were not likely to tune in.
The Republican candidate has endured a difficult four-week stretch on the campaign trail, while Obama’s Gallup approval rating over the same period has risen to its highest level in more than a year….
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