Share on FacebookAND not by a wisker BUT by 5+ Points…So the Polls in Ohio aren’t so far off as Conservative Crappies like Rush Limbaugh & Karl Rove think…Here is an Eye-Popping Article from Walter Sharpiro how things stand in Ohio….There are only two plausible explanations for what is going on this week in this swing state central to virtually allMitt Romney’s victory strategies.Either many top Ohio Republicans are in the grips of the worst panic attack since an Orson Welles 1938 radio drama convinced thousands that the earth was under attack by Martians. Or more likely, judging from the comments of these GOP insiders, Romney’s hopes of carrying Ohio are fast dwindling to something like the odds of winning the Powerball jackpot.
Presidential candidates have rebounded from downbeat polls before, especially when we are still five weeks from Election Day. So Romney’s problem is not just the recent Ohio surveys that show him losing to Barack Obama by as many as 10 percentage points. Instead, what is striking is the funereal interpretation that downcast Ohio Republicans derive from these numbers. Maybe Romney isn’t down by 10 points, they argue, but the GOP presidential nominee seems destined to lose by a solid 5 points – and in closely divided Ohio that represents a loss of nearly landslide proportions. (That would mean that Obama would slightly improve his 2008 victory margin against John McCain.)…..
Many Republican Operatives in the Buckeye State (Ohio) saying Obama will win….Daniel
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I’m saying it AGAIN: This thing is OVER.
AND james…
Don’t say it ain’t so.
Ha, ha, ha……
Daniel you don’t wanna wait for at least the FIRST DEBATE?
Walk away?….
You was NEVER with Romney…..
Actually, swings of 6 points this late in the campaign are not unusual, and in most cases, Republicans have outperformed Democratic Presidential candidates in the last month of the campaign. For example, Clinton was winning by double digits at this stage in both campaigns.
I think this year is different because the polls have been reatively even all year until now, and because relatively few people are saying they are undecided. With that said, I would still only give Obama 75% odds, although that number will increase if Obama breaks even or wins the first debate.
Obama WILL take the 75% !
And here come the debates
Of course deep down everyone knows the “debates” are no longer of ANY significance as to laying out policies or even elucidating much of anything about the candidates
With the advent of the Internet plus totally saturated coverage on twenty four hours a day very few persons who will actually vote don’t know more than anyone would ever want toknow about the candidates
In recent years the debates have become PURE gotcha television entertainment
Nobody is watching to “find out” how a candidate stands on issues
Instead they are watching to try to catch the magical word or phrase where they can say(preferably of the candidate they oppose)
AHA!
Further there is little evidence that these what have now become “rituals” have any significant effect on the election
Indeed the overwhelming verdict even among Bush supporters is that John Kerry”won” all three debates in 2004
Still they have become a part of the filament
To be endured and over analyzed for days afterwards always in search of that aha moment
Just so everyone knows I haven’t watched one of these spectacles since 1988 nor do I intend to break my pattern this year
And I’m sure I will miss nothing of substance but perhaps I will miss that AHA! Moment
Come to think of it
No I won’t
Because if it occurs it will be rebroadcast a hundred times in the ensuing days
Maybe I’ll catch it
Maybe I won’t
Enjoy everyone!
Not watching presidential debates is sacrilegious! You would rather debate Manilla than watch a presidential debate? Different strokes…
Jack is…..
Jack…
I’ll be live blogging the debate Wednesday night…
Well damn Dog
If you’re going to be on to enlighten the heathen like I?
Live blogging – yeay!
And I’m thinking Mittens will do himself a good deal of damage in the debates, as he does every time he opens his mouth – and people get to know him a little bit better.
And maybe he’ll get aggressive and red!
He, he, he….
Yea….
I’ll be here …AFTER 9:15 or so…
I’ll need help from someone for the beginning till I man the chair….
He, he, he
RED?
I thought the guy has a permanent Orange
Body tan tattoo?
James, If u re going to be live blogging like you did for the other debates, then I’ll make sure I am not on pdog that night. And somehow I don’t think Jack or anyone else will be following your live blog that night either. People might be on the blog, but no one wants to hear you narrate.
I don’t know Zreebs
I might tune in
ONLY for the purpose of finding some fallacy in the Dogs narration so I can say
AHA!!!!
Restrictive voting laws inspire minority backlash
¶ Restrictions now a rallying cry
By Alan Wirzbicki
| Boston Globe Staff
CLEVELAND — On a hip-hop radio station in northeast Ohio, a swing state where turnout among black voters may decide the presidential election, listeners are being exhorted to vote this year — not just for a candidate, but to send a message.
“There are forces at work that don’t want you to vote,” intones an ad produced by the station that mentions no parties or candidates, “and will do anything they can to make it difficult for you to vote. You’re stronger, you’re smarter than that.”
Those “forces,” in the eyes of many minority voters in Ohio and other battleground states, are Republican state legislators who have sought to limit early voting and impose voter identification requirements — moves widely seen as an effort to tamp down turnout by African-Americans.
In Ohio, that effort has mostly failed, with many new restrictions either overturned by the courts or hastily repealed by the Legislature itself in the face of popular uproar. But in the process, Republican legislators seem to have handed a powerful rallying cry to those seeking to maximize minority-voter turnout…
… continued at
http://www.bostonglobe.com/news/nation/2012/09/28/ohio-voter-suppression-efforts-may-galvanizing-african-american-voters/wEaaMnxD2fFhm87Pkp5t4M/story.html
Zreebs ole buddy make sure
YOU DO NOT PEEK BY ACCIDENT!
He, he
Ok
Jack
Z says he doesn’t like my live blogging
Says you won’t either
So you won’t be able to say A HA!
A HA!
He, he, he
…as if this were the only place that those who choose to follow live blogging might go.
Well Jack
Might
But Zreebs just cancelled HIS ticket
The BEST THING
about this place
Is the POSITIVE ENERGY!
a regular love-in and mutual admiration society, one might say ;-)
Comes with the blog
I know how Obama feels
With people nipping at you ankles all the time
Voter suppression is a poor excuse for a effective
Political campaign
It is underhanded
I’m glad that it HAS been exposed and the judges around the
As they should
Are striking the efforts down
Or delaying the restrictions until
AFTER the November 6 elections
America
The country that sends its young to war
In OTHER countries
So that the people of THOSE countries
Can embrace democracy
And VOTE
Has one of its major political parties
Working overtime to deny
IT’S CITIZENS
THE RIGHT TO VOTE
Ain’t THAT A BITCH?
James’s version of live blogging is just summarizing what the candidates say. if it were analysis, there might be some value.
The Voting Rights Act of 1965, supported by the Republican Party of the day, even after Goldwater’s campaign and Thurmond’s switch, is already 47 years old. The vote for 18 to 21 year olds is already 40 years old. I get the feeling, however, that today’s state GOP’s are regretting both of those; if you’re the Koch Bros. you may have libertarian theories but still secretly hanker to restore the property qualification for voting.
And that same party would let kids vote …..ONLY if they pledge to vote Republican
there was a Republican official (don’t remember his name) on “Up with Chris Hayes” last week who suggested that the voting age should be raised to 35. Shameful what some people would do for a political advantage, and I would argue that that the voting suppression laws are built entirely on the objective of helping the the GOP. Otherwise we would be seeing outrage over the latest GOP scandal.
Zreebs, they have admitted that they wrote those laws to favor Romney, they said so on national television. They don’t give a crap, as long as they win.
We should have mandatory voting in this country and fine the lazy slugs who don’t go. One way to reduce the deficit.