You KNEW the right was gonna question the results and the speed in which the Wisconsin Senate poll was done and released….
Even THIS Dog questioned the positive number for Akin…..
PPP IS acknowledging it’s business for Democratic interests and the fact that Democrats WANT Akin to keep his damaging story to keep on going …
Look for a few NEW polls to come out in the following days with Democratic Senator Claire McCaskill AHEAD….
I’m gonna be VERY surprised if Akin lasts in the race until September 25th….
If he does , sympathy vote or not ….
The race switches to McCaskill to LOSE…..
When the Democratic polling firm Public Policy Polling released a flash poll late Monday evening showing Missouri Rep. Todd Akin with a slim 44-43 edge over Sen. Claire McCaskill, the results immediately aroused suspicions on the right.
“If I were a cynic, I might suggest that PPP — a Democratic pollster – did the flash poll knowing it was too soon for the effect of the controversy to make its way into the electorate in the hope of keeping Akin’s hope alive before he makes his decision overnight whether to step aside,” wrote William Jacobson of the conservative Legal Insurrection blog.
National Review’s Jim Geraghty and American Thinker’s Thomas Lifson also questioned PPP’s motives and methodology the next day.
“Anyone suspect that the Democrat polling firm might be trying to get the result they want, to ensure Akin stays in, so that he can get pummeled in November?” asked Geraghty.
The gist of the criticism is that PPP – a lightning rod for criticism from the right — skewed its sample to advance Democratic interests, which in this case meant a result suggesting Akin could win despite the furor over his “legitimate rape” remarks.
And, of course, on Tuesday Akin pointed to the PPP poll as part of his justification for remaining in the race….
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“PPP IS acknowledging it’s business for Democratic interests and the fact that Democrats WANT Akin to keep his damaging story to keep on going …”
That is WRONG from “The Dog”….
Before “The Dog” are posting such things he should carefully read THE WHOLE PIECE and not just that WHAT HE WANTS TO READ….
Here is the Write-Up from PPP:
”
1) We don’t weight our polls for party, ever. If somebody wants to accuse of intentionally skewing something they need to go for the gender, age, or race breakdown because those are the variables we weight for. I don’t think you’ll find any of those unusually Republican leaning on our Missouri poll.
2) In addition to providing the party breakdown for the poll we also broke it down by self reported 2008 vote. It’s a McCain +5 sample. Obviously that’s a 5 point drop from the tie in 2008, but that’s consistent with the higher level of enthusiasm Republicans have for voting compared to 2008 this year. Our Wisconsin poll today showing Romney ahead- which conservatives loved- was an Obama +8 sample, a 6 point drop from 2008. No complaints that we were intentionally skewing that one.
3) We also asked about the Presidential and Gubernatorial races on our poll. I think we’ll release those publicly tomorrow, but what we found was Romney up by 10 and Nixon up by 9. Those numbers track pretty closely with what Mason Dixon got in Missouri three weeks ago. If Republicans think we lowballed McCaskill by 10 points or whatever then Missouri is a sheer toss up for President and Jay Nixon’s up by 20 points and the race for Governor is over. Don’t think you’re going to see them making either of those arguments tomorrow.
4) Even if you want to fixate on the difference between the party ID on this poll and on our May poll, note that we switched from registered to likely voters about a month ago, which probably makes a difference. And party ID is overrated anyway. Our national poll today found an even split between Democrats and Republicans. The NBC/WSJ poll found a 6 point Democratic identification advantage. Yet both polls found Obama up by 4 points. You can be surveying the same people and come to the same conclusions over time and still have very different party ID breakdowns on a poll.
If you really delve into our poll I think the findings are pretty reasonable. People didn’t like what Akin said, but that doesn’t change the fact that McCaskill is a deeply unpopular incumbent. We found that Akin’s comments weren’t enough to make Republicans who hate McCaskill actually decide to vote for her. In all the news the last couple days I still don’t think you’ve heard many/any Republicans say they’re going to vote McCaskill because of this and our numbers reflect that. I think McCaskill was probably going to lose by a good 6-8 points before this and now I think the race is a toss up. McCaskill could well win but if she does it’s going to be by 3-4 points, not 13-14. And Akin if he really stays in could just as easily win by 3-4.”
“The Dog” better reads the last sentence of this Piece…
McCaskill may well win BUT it would be only 3-4 Points….also Akin could easily win by 3-4 Points…
PPP notes that McCaskill is DEEPLY unpopular….
SECONDLY: The Headline of this Post is WRONG. That PPP Poll was done in Missouri, not Wisconsin.
I know I’m in a minority here
But I’m not sure Aken is finished
Let’s wait and see how this develops
Rasmussen came out with a poll showing Linda Mcmahon 3 points ahead of Murphy. Rasmussen is a rightwinger for sure. He almost always have Republicans ahead. Opp maybe biased but so is rasmussen
If he stays on the ballot there will be those who won’t vote for Akin because he’ll make the state look bad.
I think he gets 45% of the vote for just not being McCaskill and not being a Democrat
But to get to 50% will be near impossible for him in the end I think.
And the Republican Party knows it.
Well I’m sure you have a better feel for Missouri than I do
So I’ll trust your judgment on this one
What’s disturbing is that ANYBODY would vote for such an OBVIOUS
NUT!!!!!
Scott,
This isn’t about who wins.
This is about “The Dog’s Nonsense” who claimed PPP was fabricating the Poll for Akin so that he would stay in the Race.
Quite the Opposite did happen. PPP’s Tom Jensen made UNMISTAKABLE clear that they didn’t “Game or fabricated” the Poll…
I hate it when “The Dog” posts a PIECE but doesn’t read it fully and then spins it wrongly.
Yeah Jack
The idea he could even come close to winning is scary enough.
That’s why I’m sort of ambivalent about him staying on as the GOP nominee–even if it means McCaskill is more likely to win
The fact this nut has even a chance–no matter how slim– is unsettling.
In yet another attempt to keep herself vaguely relevant Sarah Palin has said she wants Sarah Steelman to run as a third party candidate for Senate
This would definitely hand the race to McCaskill.
I am all for it!
Daniel
If you CARFULLY READ my posted comment you will see that I NEVER SAY PPP dummies the poll
I quite CLAERLY say there WHERE. Questions on the RESULTS
I point out the PPP HAS DONE DEM work and IS considered a Democratic shop
BUT I DO NOT SAY THEY DOCTORED THE POLL
I SAY PEOPLE MAY HAVE THE THOUGHT
If you got the impression that I was dissing the poll
That is
INCORRET
I AM questioning the release of a poll 24 hours into the situation
Because I and I believe PPP CONCORS believe that the issue has grown….
I have respect for PPP
Certainly
MORE than Rasmussen
Furthermore
I point to the EXTENSIVE pushback by PPP on the issue
That is NOT NORMAL
Daniel
You and other’s will question
The results question from Dem’s
And try to throw it back at PPP AND ME
GOOD LUCK
As I say in the piece
Let’s see some polling in a day or two
Palin is trying to salvage her endorsement of Steelman
Who lost
I thought Daniel had already declared PPP “a crap pollster, period!” Why is he now defending PPP? Is this just another grand example of a Daniel flip-flop??