from the Blogging Caesar at Election Projection…..
| EP update for August 22 – Brown regains lead in MA, GOP in Senate |
Republican Scott Brown is locked in an unavoidable showdown in deepest blue Massachusetts. Any attempt for a Republican to win re-election in the Bay State is fraught with challenges, and Brown’s battle against Democrat Elizabeth Warren will be no exception. However, Public Policy’s latest survey of the race shows Brown ahead by 5 percentage points. Since the only other recent poll on this race gives Warren a smaller 2-point edge, Brown is projected to win in today’s calculations. The flip is a critical one because it gives the Republicans a 51st seat and the projected Senate majority.In the aftermath of Missouri Republican Senate candidate Todd Akin’s boneheaded remarks earlier this week, Public Policy also released a survey of his race against incumbent Democrat Claire McCaskill. Remarkably, Akin retains the exact one-point lead he held in PPP’s last poll released by in May. Even so, the jury is still out how much – not if – Akin’s comments will hurt his once-stellar chances to defeat a sitting Democratic senator. Let me take this opportunity as a conservative to call for Akin to step aside, take one for the team and give way for another GOP who, hopefully, isn’t so boneheaded.
| August 22 Election Projection Update |
| Electoral Votes |
Current |
Previous |
Change |
| Barack Obama |
332 |
332 |
no change |
| Mitt Romney |
206 |
206 |
no change |
| Party switchers: none |
|
| Popular Vote |
Current |
Previous |
Change |
| Barack Obama |
50.1 |
50.1 |
no change |
| Mitt Romney |
48.4 |
48.4 |
no change |
| Party switchers: none |
|
| U.S. Senate |
Current |
Previous |
Change |
| Republicans |
51 |
50 |
+1 |
| Democrats |
47 |
48 |
-1 |
| Independents |
2 |
2 |
no change |
| Party switchers: Massachusetts |
|
| U.S. House |
Current |
Previous |
Change |
| Republicans |
241 |
241 |
no change |
| Democrats |
194 |
194 |
no change |
| Party switchers: none |
|
| Governors |
Current |
Previous |
Change |
| Republicans |
32 |
32 |
no change |
| Democrats |
17 |
17 |
no change |
| Independents |
1 |
1 |
no change |
| Party switchers: none |
|
|
|
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