Akin 44 to 43 over McCaskill 24 hours into the Akin ‘rape’ comments….NO Change in PPP Polling from May

stltoday.com

The 1% point number is where it STOOD 24 hours into the time time the media got the Rep Todd Akin (R-Mo) story…..

The comments have NOT changed the numbers from the PPP May survey….

But….

I expect a drop in  Akin’s poll number in the NEXT 24 hours as a result of  his GOP money being pulled and every prominent Republican walking  AWAY from his comments 

on rape and abortion….

Akin’s Approval numbers ARE taking a hit though in the state…

He’s at 24%….

The next week will be critical Rep Akin , who has up to the while I typing this has steafastly REFUSED to drop out of the US Senate race in the state…

That’s because PPP thinks GOP voters ‘hate’ McCaskill so much, Akin’s comments STILL won’t break them loose…

Akin 44 McCaskill 43

Missouri voters strongly disagree with the comments Todd Akin made about abortion over the weekend, but it hasn’t moved the numbers a whole lot in the Senate race. Akin leads Claire McCaskill by a single point, 44-43. That’s basically identical to our last poll of the contest in late May, which found Akin ahead by a 45-44 spread.

It’s not that Missouri voters are ok with or supportive of Akin’s comments. 75% of voters, including even 64% of Republicans, say they were inappropriate to only 9% who consider them to have been appropriate. 79% of voters say they disagree with what Akin said, including 65% who express ‘strong’ disagreement with him. 51% of GOP voters say they strongly disagree with him.

All of that is taking a toll on Akin’s image. Only 24% of voters have a favorable opinion of him to 58% with a negative one. He’s pretty universally disliked by Democrats (3/85) and independents (21/61) and even with Republicans (43/34) he’s on only narrowly positive ground.

But for all of that the overall numbers in the race have moved very little. When we polled in May McCaskill was getting only 8% of the Republican vote, and even with the controversy around Akin she’s only pushed up to 10% of it. GOP voters dislike McCaskill so much they’re not going to vote for her no matter what their nominee does. Independent voters haven’t moved at all either. In May they supported Akin 45-41, and even though they don’t like him on tonight’s poll we still found him leading 45-41 with them.

The lack of movement speaks to a couple of things. One is the hyper polarization these days in American politics. Voters just aren’t inclined to vote cross party lines with their voters regardless of the circumstances. And the other thing it speaks to is McCaskill’s continued unpopularity. Only 41% of voters approve of the job she’s doing to 53% who disapprove and for many voters their dislike of McCaskill trumps their concerns about Akin….
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  1. here’s the PPP Poll post….

  2. From what I have been told PPP cooked the books to keep this moron in the race. The poll was over weighted to Republicans for starters. Good move. Let’s see what happens at 5 pm this afternoon. Karl Rove must be shitting himself at this point.

  3. And you always attack daniel for his strident opposition to PPP polls.

    I guess it helps that they’re in the tank for your causes.

  4. Maybe the polls are cooked, but it also takes a little bit for this to sink in to a lot of voters

    I’m hearing a few MO Republicans compare the concept of Akin as Senator to the situation Louisiana had 20 yrs. ago with David Duke. That he would make the state an embarrassment.

    One thing for sure ole Todd sure locked up the all important racist vote!

    And did Corey in his pity party ever address this or the skinny dippin’ yahoo from Kansas?

    Like Jack I remember the ole piss and vinegar Corey that would have screamed bloody murder if a Congressman swam naked in the Sea of Galilee–well if he was a Democrat of course.

  5. Oops–meant to say Todd locked up the all important rapist vote

  6. I think pollsters should just ask likely Independent voters who their preference is.

    Asking someone of either political persuasion is, in effect, cooking the books for one side or the other.

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