Daily Kos Elections Polling Wrap: Do today’s polls hint at improving Democratic odds for the House?

by Steve Singiser

Reposted from Daily Kos Elections by Steve Singiser

We get quite a dollop of polling on this Wednesday, and a couple of House polls have to be seen as optimistic news for Democrats. Democrats lead a sitting Republican incumbent (albeit one long thought vulnerable, hold a narrow edge in another race that looked somewhat problematic after the June primaries in California, and they hold a venerable Republican incumbent under 50 percent in another race that had been left off the target list for most in the pundit class.Coupled with other recent polling, Democrats have to feel reasonably pleased that they have a puncher’s chance at making gains, given that there is a fairly broad list of races that appear, at this point, to be competitive.

On to the numbers:

PRESIDENTIAL GENERAL ELECTION TRIAL HEATS:

NATIONAL (Gallup Tracking): Romney d. Obama (46-45)NATIONAL (Rasmussen Tracking): Romney d. Obama (47-44)

NATIONAL (YouGov): Romney d. Obama (45-44)

MICHIGAN (Mitchell Research): Romney d. Obama (45-44)

MICHIGAN (PPP): Obama d. Romney (53-39)

NEW YORK (Quinnipiac): Obama d. Romney (55-32)

PENNSYLVANIA (PPP): Obama d. Romney (49-43)

DOWNBALLOT POLLING:

CA-26 (Tulchin Research for Brownley): Julia Brownley (D) 48, Tony Strickland (R) 44FL-13 (DCCC IVR Polling): Rep. Bill Young (R) 49, Jessica Ehrlich (D) 35

MI-SEN (Rasmussen): Sen. Debbie Stabenow (D) 46, Pete Hoekstra (R) 40; Stabenow 47, Clark Durant (R) 39

MI-14—D (Foster McCollum White for Fox 2 News Detroit): Rep. Gary Peters 45, Rep. Hansen Clarke 27, Brenda Lawrence 10, Mary Waters 1, Bob Costello <1

NY-SEN (Quinnipiac): Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand (D) 57, Wendy Long (R) 24

NY-24 (Normington Petts for House Majority PAC): Dan Maffei (D) 44, Rep. Ann Marie Buerkle (R) 40

NC-GOV (National Research for Civitas—R): Pat McCrory (R) 47, Walter Dalton (D) 37, Barbara Howe (L) 6

A few thoughts, as always, await you just past the jump…
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