| Friday, July 06 |
| Race/Topic (Click to Sort) | Poll | Results | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| General Election: Romney vs. Obama | Rasmussen Tracking | Obama 44, Romney 46 | Romney +2 |
| California: Romney vs. Obama | Field | Obama 55, Romney 37 | Obama +18 |
| President Obama Job Approval | Rasmussen Reports | Approve 49, Disapprove 50 | Disapprove +1 |
| Thursday, July 05 |
| Race/Topic (Click to Sort) | Poll | Results | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| General Election: Romney vs. Obama | Gallup Tracking | Obama 48, Romney 44 | Obama +4 |
| President Obama Job Approval | Gallup | Approve 45, Disapprove 47 | Disapprove +2 |
| Direction of Country | Rasmussen Reports | Right Direction 30, Wrong Track 63 | Wrong Track +33 |
Romney is doing better in California than I thought he would.
Maybe he should put resources into winning the state?
He won’t win by any stretch, but he just might pave the way for an eventual GOP victory out there.
The change in California’s presidential voting is just as striking (and much more important) than West Virginia’s in the opposite direction. Gov. Pete Wilson’s anti-immigration Prop. 187 had much to do with it, just as coal, guns, God and abortions help to explain W. Virginia’s switch back to the GOP in 2000-2008.
Even with Calif. Gov. Earl Warren on his ticket, Tom Dewey didn’t carry the Golden State in 1948, but thereafter California voted for 9 out of 10 GOP presidential tickets, all except Goldwater-Miller in 1964. It didn’t hurt seven of those nine non-Goldwater tickets included a Californian (either Nixon or Reagan).
1952 & 1956 Ike and Nixon (Calif.)
1960 Nixon (Calif.) – Lodge
1964 LBJ-Humphrey over Goldwater-Miller
1968 & 1972 Nixon (Calif.) – Agnew
1976 Ford-Dole
1980 & 1984 Reagan (Calif.) and Geo. H.W. Bush
1988 Bush-Quayle
But since then, it’s been:
1992 & 1996 Clinton – Gore
2000 Gore – Lieberman
2004 Kerry – Edwards
2008 Obama – Biden