Cruz Wins the Texas GOP Senate Primary and Dewhurst and Governor Rick Perry lose….

Gov Perry working the phones for Dewhurst….


Things have gone south since the Governor came home from campaigning for President….

Tonight’s second biggest loser

David Dewhurst is obviously the biggest loser in the Texas Senate election tonight. When we first polled a hypothetical runoff match up between him and Ted Cruz the week before the primary, he led59-34. In just over two months he managed to turn that into a pretty substantial defeat.

There’s another big loser tonight though and it has major implications for Texas politics looking toward 2014: Rick Perry.

Our final pre-election poll on this race found that two times more Texas Republicans considered an endorsement from Rick Perry to be a negative than a positive. 35% said they were less likely to vote for a candidate endorsed by Perry, 15% said they were more likely to, and 50% said they didn’t care either way. Dewhurst’s choice to spotlight his support from Perry so heavily is curious against the backdrop of those numbers.

The result tonight provides real world evidence of something that we’ve been finding in our polling for a while now: that Perry’s standing has been significantly diminished in Texas after his failed White House bid and that he could be in serious trouble if he tries for another term in 2014….


Red State on Rep. Steve LaTourette (“R”- OH)….Bye!…We won’t miss ya….

The depature of moderate Republican’s continues unabated …..

They will NOT be missed by the rightwingnuts….

Best News of the Century: Steve LaTourette Retires

Posted by Daniel Horowitz (Diary)

“To the extent that we have not reached the level of fiscal dissoluteness of Greece, it is precisely because of the uncompromising “extremists” like the Tea Party.”

Most people outside of Congress never heard of 9-term liberal Congressman Steve LaTourette (“R”- OH).  But his surprise announcement that he will retire at the end of the year is a big relief to all those who desire limited government.  Whether his seat is won by a Democrat or (hopefully) a conservative Republican, we will be better off with LaTourette out of Washington.

Steve LaTourette is an example of a Rockefeller Republican who not only voted the wrong way, but viewed his mission in Congress as one of undermining conservatives and limited government principles.  LaTourette is a senior member of the appropriations committee and uses his seniority and friendship with John Boehner to interject himself into every major legislative battle in a negative way. He is not happy to merely quietly vote with the left; he seeks to reshape the party in his image. He referred to some of the conservative freshmen who opposed his statist highway bill as “knuckle-draggers.”



Daily 2012 Polling for July 31st, 2012

Tuesday, July 31
Race/Topic   (Click to Sort)PollResultsSpread
General Election: Romney vs. ObamaGallup TrackingObama 47, Romney 45Obama +2
General Election: Romney vs. ObamaRasmussen TrackingObama 44, Romney 47Romney +3
Florida: Romney vs. ObamaPPP (D)Obama 48, Romney 47Obama +1
Missouri: Romney vs. ObamaRasmussen ReportsRomney 50, Obama 44Romney +6
Wisconsin Senate – Republican PrimaryWeAskAmericaHovde 23, Thompson 23, Neumann 17, Fitzgerald 12Tie
Connecticut Senate – McMahon vs. MurphyPPP (D)Murphy 50, McMahon 42Murphy +8
President Obama Job ApprovalGallupApprove 46, Disapprove 46Tie
President Obama Job ApprovalRasmussen ReportsApprove 47, Disapprove 52Disapprove +5

These polling dates are from RealClearPolitics…..

Race of the Day: Connecticut U.S. Senate…Corey

Chris Murphy….photo…wiki….

July 31, 2012
98 Days Until Election Day

Status: Independent Democrat Open
2008 Presidential Result: Blue State (East)

Outlook: Likely Democrat

While current polling shows a potentially close race in the Nutmeg State for an open Senate seat, the political dynamics of the state lead me to believe that the numbers will not be too tight at the end and that Republicans have far more favorable pick-up opportunities elsewhere.

The seat is being vacated by Joe Lieberman, who was first elected back in 1988. For years, Lieberman was considered a rising star in his party, and was a popular choice as Al Gore’s running-mate in 2000. Soon thereafter though, he greatly fell out of favor with his party’s increasingly dominant liberal wing who disliked many of the votes he cast and the centrist rhetoric he espoused. By the time he sought reelection in 2006, it was a national cause celebre on the left to defeat him, and they actually succeeded in beating him in a primary for his seat that year. Nonetheless, Lieberman took advantage of his state’s election laws to seek the seat in a general election as an Independent. Heavily dependent on GOP votes that year, Lieberman kept the seat after all. Many believed he would eventually switch parties formally, but for the whole six years, Lieberman has called himself an “Independent”, while also voting to have Democrats organize the Senate. Still, he supported his friend John McCain in the 2008 Presidential race and appears likely to be officially neutral both in this year’s Presidential race and in the contest to replace him.

Democrats had planned openly on once again taking on Lieberman had he sought another term in 2012, while Lieberman flirted with running as a Democrat, an Independent, or even a Republican. It appears likely that the GOP, both on Capitol Hill and back home would have welcomed party switch and attempt to run for another term under their banner, despite usually still voting left of center, but early last year, Lieberman decided that it would be in his best interest to make his current term his final one.

With Lieberman leaving the scene, many Democrats expressed interest in replacing him in a contest in which they would be favored. Four candidates are currently in the primary race that will be decided in two weeks. Only two of them have any chance of winning though. They are Congressman Chris Murphy who seems to have an edge over his main opponent, former Secretary of State Susan Bysiewicz.


Continue reading Race of the Day: Connecticut U.S. Senate…Corey

LA Mayor Villaraigosa would like to run for Governor….

Then President……

When Los Angeles Mayor Antonio Villaraigosa gavels the 2012 Democratic National Convention into session in Charlotte, N.C., this September, his role as prominent cheerleader for President Barack Obama will be clear.

It is less clear, for now, if Villaraigosa has designs on the ultimate convention role in 2016—taking center stage to accept his party’s nomination on the final night.

Despite running the country’s second largest city and coming from the fastest growing voting demographic in America, the mayor himself is quick to wave off talk of a presidential run.

“The answer is no,” Villaraigosa replied when asked by Yahoo News if he wanted to be president one day. “I want to finish this job with a bang. I want to go out with my head up high. I want to say to this city, ‘I put everything into this job,'” he added.

“The job I’ve said to people I would like is I would like to be governor of the state of California,” he said. (Paging Jerry Brown.)



Obama leads PPP Florida poll by 1% point….Florida IS in play….

Unless Mitt Romney adds Rubio or Condi Rice (don’t bet on it)…

The President is gonna take this state right down to the wire I’d think….

Republican Governor Rick Scott isn’t helping his party and the President could very well take this Southern state AGAIN just like he did four years ago….

Good news for the Obama campaign…

Romney is playing catch-up in ANOTHER state less than 100 days from election day and less than 60 days probably till early voting…

from PPP Poliing…..

Tight race in Florida

PPP’s first likely voters poll of Florida finds that it’s likely to take its customary place as one of the most closely contested states in the country this year. Barack Obama leads Mitt Romney by the slightest of margins, 48-47, but Romney would take a small advantage in the state if he added either Marco Rubio or Condoleezza Rice to his ticket.

Speaking to the general discontent of the electorate this year Florida voters aren’t terribly enamored with either Obama or Romney. Voters narrowly disapprove of the job Obama’s doing, with 50% giving him poor marks to 47% who think he’s doing a good job. But they’re not terribly fond of Romney either, with 46% rating him favorably to 49% with a negative opinion. Still this parity between Obama’s approval and Romney’s favorability numbers is notable- Obama has tended to run well ahead of Romney on that front.

Obama and Romney are holding their party bases at basically equal levels, with 84% of Democrats supporting Obama and 83% of Republicans committed to Romney. Romney’s holding a 47-40 lead with independents. Obama’s up 51-44 with women, 61-34 with Hispanics, and 58-35 with young voters while Romney’s ahead 50-45 with men, 56-39 with whites, and 52-44 with seniors….



Does Romney’s C+ on his European trip REALLY matter?

As I type this Mitt Romney is on his way back to the good ole US of A….

The media has dubbed the trip by Romney to England, Israel and Poland a disaster…

I’ve give the GOP candidate a C+….

Chris Cillizza over at the Washington Post does a piece that asks ‘does it matter what WE think now?’

“I find this entire trip borderline lunacy,” said one senior Republican strategist granted anonymity to speak candidly. “Why on earth is he seeking to improve his foreign policy cred when there will not be a single vote cast on that subject?”Ed Rogers, a longtime Republican operative, was more measured, but acknowledged that the trip was something short of a unqualified success.

“Romney abroad is the same as Romney at home,” said Rogers. “His performance is uneven at times, but overall, pretty good.” Added Rogers: “Let’s face it, Romney can’t win, but Obama can lose.”

Another veteran Republican political consultant reached for a golf metaphor when asked to explain Romney’s performance in Europe — and whether it will hurt his campaign domestically.

“He’s like the guy who is a competent-but-not-gifted athlete who learns to play golf,” said the GOP source. “He works really hard at it, and most of the time he’s perfectly competent, if not stellar. But once each round he is going to shank one and break a window on a house lining the golf course.”

Those aren’t the sort of impressions Romney wanted to create when he left for Europe at this time last week. The goal of the trip seemed obvious — a chance for Romney to prove to doubters that he was more than up to serving as the face of America on the world stage.

Those close to the Romney campaign reject even the idea that the foreign trip was a net negative for them. Yes, the candidate made a few errors, they acknowledge, but they were minor when compared to the overall message — praise from Israeli prime minister Benjamin Netanyahu and an endorsement from Poland’s Lech Walesa — that the average American voter received from Romney’s travels over the last week.


The ‘fiscal cliff’ Theatre is playing Again….Get your seats !

We go thru this act EVERY TIME Congress has to vote on spending….

And the thing plays the SAME each and EVERY TIME….

Congress has to vote on spending…

We get told both parties will work together…

The elders in both parties get a deal framework…

The hard left and right of the parties come back and say NO DEAL…

The media goes batshit crazy with dire warnings of layoffs and recessions ….

And at the LAST minute…

Congress passes a deal…

There is NO REASON to believe that this won’t be the case again….

But it does get old….

And it IS serious for employers and the people that could lose their jobs over political jockeying and theatre

WTF do these people DO ALL Year, huh?

By law, all but the smallest companies must notify their workforce at least 60 days in advance when they know of specific job cuts that are likely to happen.

Obama administration officials say that the threat of layoffs is overblown and that Republicans are playing up the possibility rather than trying to head it off. The Labor Department said Monday that it would be “inappropriate” for contractors to send out large-scale dismissal notices, because it is unclear whether the federal cuts will occur and how they would be carried out.

Republicans reacted with fury, saying it is the White House that is playing politics.

“The president is focused on preventing advance notice to American workers that their jobs are at risk and on perpetuating uncertainty,” said Rep. Howard P. “Buck” McKeon (R-Calif.), chairman of the House Armed Services Committee.

The prospect of widespread layoff notices before Election Day — potentially hitting the swing state of Virginia hardest — underlines how the looming “fiscal cliff” at the end of the year is shaping the economy and politics many months in advance.

Economists say the threat of deep cuts in domestic and defense spending, coupled with automatic increases in taxes, is already a drag on economic growth and a source of enormous uncertainty for businesses, which are holding back on hiring and helping to keep the nation’s unemployment rate above 8 percent.

Republicans have seized an opportunity to attack President Obama over the planned cuts to defense spending, while Obama is pointing at the GOP, saying he will not roll back the spending reduction without Republicans agreeing to higher taxes on the wealthy to help tame the nation’s debt.

The far-reaching reductions in domestic and defense spending, along with the sharp tax increases, will take effect automatically at the start of the new year unless Obama and Congress act.

Marco Rubio is doing fine Thank You….

Marco Rubio on his phone on the Hill. | AP Photo

Photo…AP /Politico

The Republican darling is doing his thing with the spotlight following him….

And could be a breakout contender for the 2016 Presidency run….

from Politico….

just as it seemed his vice presidential star was dimming, prominent Republicans, including Jeb Bush, Rudy Giuliani and Iowa Gov. Terry Branstad, began promoting Rubio, keeping his name in the mix, and in the media, as Romney’s possible No. 2.

“Obviously, if it was offered to him, he’d jump at it. On the other hand, I think being in the mix, being talked about in terms of his own future political ambitions is important … because he’s looking beyond 2012,” said Philip Williams, a political science professor at the University of Florida.

“If Republicans lose in 2012, then being in the mix, being talked about and promoted, that could certainly help him in 2016.”

Added a GOP strategist: “This could be one of those times when you’re better off being the one everybody wants rather than being the one who actually gets picked.”

Rubio insists he’s not stoking the flames on his vice presidential buzz, and endorsements are unsolicited.

“Those are friends and obviously they’re supporters of mine and have been for a long time,” he told POLITICO, “and I’m always honored when people say nice things.”


Daily Kos Elections Morning Digest: An instant contender for craziest campaign ad of the year

byDavid Nir

Reposted from Daily Kos Elections by David Nir

Daily Kos Elections Morning Digest banner

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Leading Off:• MO-Sen: Whoa. Have you seen this new Todd Akin ad yet? It’s like he had a serious attack of aphasia. The transcript in case you can’t watch (and honestly, your brain might melt if you do):

America was founded on the unique vision that our creator gave us life, the foundation of freedom, liberty, to speak as you choose and own what you earn, and the pursuit of happiness, the call to fully and courageously live the dream God puts in our hearts. Times of crisis, when the dream seemed lost, great patriots turned to God, gave their all and rekindled freedom’s flame. This now is our duty and our time.

You’ll miss Akin’s crazy melodramatic delivery (complete with weird emphases and strange cadences) if you don’t click through, though. Easily an instant contender for craziest campaign ad of the year…..

Oversea’s Staffing for Presidential Candidate trips….

Obama 2008 European trip staff count…..14

Romney 2012 European trip staff count……3

Obama trip in general  …….A+

Romney trip in general ……C+

photo… washingtonpost

Did Staffing Make the Difference in Overseas Trips?

The Washington Post compares the campaign trips abroad taken by Barack Obama in 2008 and Mitt Romney in 2012.

“So what’s the difference — other than four years and two vastly different candidates? Here’s one big distinction: the Obama campaign loaded up on staff firepower while the Romney camp had a relative ghost crew.”

“For his trip, Obama got assists from at least 14 top staffers and advisors, many of whom were heavy hitters with serious foreign policy and economic credentials… Romney, on the other hand, has only three senior staffers with him for the entire trip: policy director Lanhee Chen; foreign policy aide Alex Wong; and press secretary Andrea Saul.”


The traveling press secretary for Mitt Romney’s campaign cursed at reporters on Tuesday who were attempting to ask the presumptive GOP nominee about some of his missteps during his foreign policy trip.

The incident occurred as Romney made his way to his vehicle after visiting the Tomb of the Unknown Soldier in Warsaw. Reporters from the traveling press corps accompanying Romney attempted to shout questions at the candidate, who ignored their calls.

But when reporters began shouting questions about whether gaffes — including comments about Britian’s Olympic preparedness and Israeli culture that leaders in the United Kingdom and Palestine denounced publicly — had overshadowed the foreign trip, traveling press secretary Rick Gorka admonished them to “show some respect.”


Morning Political Roundup for July 31, 2012…Red Racing Horses…Obama Up in Florida

by: Right Reformer
Welcome to the last day of the month, folks. It’ll be a busy news cycle, with the Texas primary runoffs and plenty of polling data to be released.And now your morning stories …


Obama: The President expressed confidence at a fundraiser last night that if the election were held today, he’d win. Of course, if the election were held today, Mitt Romney would have made a huge mistake not ever having picked a VP candidate, and not even being in the country on the day of the election!

Romney: In Israel, Romney made remarks that some countries have an economic culture that benefits their development. He compared Israeli per capita GDP with that of the Palestinian Authority’s, which then prompted charges of … racism(?) against the Palestinians. The Obama camp is gleeful that Romney can’t seem to catch his footing on his international trip.

Corruption: A federal court has ruled that Obama appointees interfered with a DOJ investigation into a Black Panthers incident in Philadelphia during the 2008 election. A FOIA request by Judicial Watch revealed substantial evidence of interference and stonewalling by the Administration. Romney has a smoking gun if he can find a way to use it.

Pres-FL: PPP will be releasing a Florida poll today, and teased yesterday that it shows Obama slightly up over Romney. They also indicate that Obama is down to a single digit lead in Connecticut, despite his 23-point win over McCain in 2008. This will be their first set of numbers with a likely voter model.