A new ABC News/Washington Post poll finds a sharp advance among women “has boosted Mitt Romney to his highest favorability rating of the presidential campaign – albeit still an unusually weak one – while President Obama’s personal popularity has slipped.”
“Obama still beats Romney in favorable ratings overall, by an 11-point margin, 52% vs. 41%. But that’s down from 21 points last month… All Romney’s gains have come among women — up by 13 percentage points in personal popularity from last month, while Obama’s lost 7 points among women. (Views among men have been more stable.) Obama’s rating among women, 51% favorable, still beats Romney’s 40% — but again that margin is far smaller than what it was six weeks ago.”
Campaign Still Entirely on GOP Turf
First Read looks at “this week’s 10 hottest advertising markets in the presidential campaign and notes they’re all in states that George W. Bush carried in 2004 (and three that John Kerry never contested).”
“Six of the top 10 advertising markets are in North Carolina and Virginia… (Still don’t think that North Carolina is a true battleground?) The other four markets are in Colorado, Ohio, and Iowa.”
Meanwhile, the New York Times confirms that Romney has placed “a priority on winning Florida, North Carolina, Ohio and Virginia,” plus an additional one.
GOP Groups Plan $1 Billion Push for Romney
“Republican super PACs and other outside groups shaped by a loose network of prominent conservatives — including Karl Rove, the Koch brothers and Tom Donohue of the U.S. Chamber of Commerce — plan to spend roughly $1 billion on November’s elections for the White House and control of Congress,” Politico reports.
“That total includes previously undisclosed plans for newly aggressive spending by the Koch brothers, who are steering funding to build sophisticated, county-by-county operations in key states… Koch-related organizations plan to spend about $400 million ahead of the 2012 elections — twice what they had been expected to commit.”
Alexander Burns: “Democrats have been raising the alarm about outside spending for some time and clearly have reason to be afraid. It’s anyone’s guess how heavily all that money will influence the election: these groups are not all equally effective or equally committed to the same set of message points.”
Wisconsin Officials Predict Big Turnout for Recall Election
Wisconsin election officials “are predicting that between 60 to 65 percent of the voting age population, or about 2.6 to 2.8 million people, will cast regular and absentee ballots in the June 5 recall election,” the Wisconsin State Journal reports.
“That level of turnout would be higher than the 49.7 percent of voters who turned out in the November 2010 gubernatorial general election, in which Gov. Scott Walker beat Milwaukee Mayor Tom Barrett, his current challenger, by about five percentage points. It would not be as high as the 2008 general election for president, when some 69.2 percent of Wisconsin voters turned out to vote.”
Former Rep. Artur Davis (D-AL) confirmed on his blog that he’s left the Democratic party that he’s mulling a future bid for Congress as a Republican.
Wrote Davis: “If I were to leave the sidelines, it would be as a member of the Republican Party that is fighting the drift in this country in a way that comes closest to my way of thinking: wearing a Democratic label no longer matches what I know about my country and its possibilities.”
Politicalwire….
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