The Battleground states for 2012….

While this list from First Read via Pwire is 19 months out…..

I cxan already see that Labor Issues, Demographics  and Cut…Cut..Cut could profound influences on the ‘Toss-Up’ states….

Obama looks real good right now…


I really see the fight occuring in the GOP…

How far right are they gonna go in primaries…

And if they go too far…

Would they be able to come back to the middle for the general election in November next year….


The 2012 Battleground

With President Obama announcing his re-election campaign today, First Read takes a look at the battleground map for the 2012 election. It shows Democrats with 232 electoral votes either in the solid, likely, or lean column, and it has Republicans with 191 electoral votes. There are 115 electoral votes in the Toss-up column.

Solid Dem: DC, DE, HI, MD, MA, NY, RI, VT (67 electoral votes)
Likely Dem: CA, CT, IL, ME, WA, OR (105)
Lean Dem: MI, MN, NJ, PA (60)
Toss-up: CO, FL, IA, NV, NH, NM, NC, OH, VA, WI (115)
Lean GOP: AZ, GA, MO, MT, NE (one EV) (41)
Likely GOP: AL, AR, IN, LA, MS, NE (four EVs), ND, SC, SD, TX (97)
Solid GOP: AK, ID, KS, KY, OK, TN, UT, WV, WY (53)

Key states to watch: AZ, GA, and TX. “All three are long shots, but all three showed significant population gains for minorities in the last 10 years. And the campaign is going to attempt to at least experiment with organizing in these three states to see if any of them are worth truly battling for when the calendar turns from 2011 to 2012.”

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