Polls for Sunday, October 31, 2010….OH, PA, NH, NM, KY, NY, AR, IA, Gen Congress

From Realclearpolitics….

Sunday, October 31
Race Poll Results Spread
Ohio Governor – Kasich vs. Strickland PPP (D) Kasich 49, Strickland 48 Kasich +1
Pennsylvania Senate – Sestak vs. Toomey Susquehanna Toomey 46, Sestak 44 Toomey +2
Florida Governor – Scott vs. Sink Florida Poll/NYT-USF Scott 44, Sink 39 Scott +5
New Hampshire Governor – Stephen vs. Lynch Rasmussen Reports Lynch 51, Stephen 45 Lynch +6
Pennsylvania Governor – Corbett vs. Onorato Susquehanna Corbett 48, Onorato 41 Corbett +7
Pennsylvania Governor – Corbett vs. Onorato Rasmussen Reports Corbett 52, Onorato 43 Corbett +9
New Mexico Governor – Martinez vs. Denish Albuquerque Journal Martinez 53, Denish 43 Martinez +10
Iowa Governor – Branstad vs. Culver Des Moines Register Branstad 50, Culver 38 Branstad +12
Vermont Governor – Dubie vs. Shumlin Rasmussen Reports Shumlin 50, Dubie 45 Shumlin +5
Ohio Governor – Kasich vs. Strickland Columbus Dispatch* Kasich 49, Strickland 47 Kasich +2
Kentucky Senate – Paul vs. Conway PPP (D) Paul 55, Conway 40 Paul +15
New York Governor – Paladino vs. Cuomo SurveyUSA Cuomo 55, Paladino 33 Cuomo +22
New York Governor – Paladino vs. Cuomo Siena Cuomo 58, Paladino 33 Cuomo +25
New York Senate Special Election – DioGuardi vs. Gillibrand SurveyUSA Gillibrand 56, DioGuardi 36 Gillibrand +20
New York Senate Special Election – DioGuardi vs. Gillibrand Siena Gillibrand 57, DioGuardi 37 Gillibrand +20
Ohio Senate – Portman vs. Fisher PPP (D) Portman 57, Fisher 39 Portman +18
Ohio Senate – Portman vs. Fisher Columbus Dispatch* Portman 56, Fisher 40 Portman +16
Arkansas Senate – Boozman vs. Lincoln Rasmussen Reports Boozman 55, Lincoln 36 Boozman +19
Iowa Senate – Grassley vs. Conlin Des Moines Register Grassley 61, Conlin 30 Grassley +31
New York Senate – Townsend vs. Schumer SurveyUSA Schumer 62, Townsend 32 Schumer +30
New York Senate – Townsend vs. Schumer Siena Schumer 64, Townsend 32 Schumer +32
Pennsylvania Senate – Sestak vs. Toomey Morning Call Tracking Toomey 45, Sestak 43 Toomey +2
Pennsylvania Governor – Corbett vs. Onorato Morning Call Tracking Corbett 48, Onorato 41 Corbett +7
New Mexico 1st District – Barela vs. Heinrich Albuquerque Journal Barela 49, Heinrich 46 Barela +3
New Mexico 2nd District – Pearce vs. Teague Albuquerque Journal Pearce 48, Teague 45 Pearce +3
Generic Congressional Vote Pew Research Republicans 48, Democrats 42 Republicans +6
Generic Congressional Vote ABC News/Wash Post Republicans 49, Democrats 45 Republicans +4
Generic Congressional Vote CNN/Opinion Research Republicans 52, Democrats 42 Republicans +10
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24 Comments.

  1. GREAT, GREAT NEWS out of Pennsylvania. PPP has just released their FINAL POLL of the State showing Toomey ahead by 5 (51-46) and Corbett up by 7 (52-45)

    This also might be the Final Poll of the State by any Pollster

    Breathing a little bit easier now.

    http://publicpolicypolling.blogspot.com/

  2. BTW keep your eyes peeled on the PPP Site:

    They’re going to release Results also for West Virginia, Illinois, Washington State, Nevada, California, Colorado, Florida, North Carolina and Alaska THROUGHOUT the Night.

    Next up is West Virginia. I’m anxiously awaiting this Poll cause if the GOP wants to take the Senate they have to win that Seat.

  3. One interesting thing about the PPP PA POLL:

    Obamas JA is 40/54

    Obama maybe even have hurt Sestak’s Chances by coming to PA on the Final Weekend.

  4. Getting better and better in PA:

    The Muhlenberg/Morning Call Tracker also has Toomey up 48-44. Sounds like there quite some late Movement towards Republicans.

    http://twitter.com/DCMorningCall/status/29326273910

    Geez, I’m very happy especially because of “The Dogs” ludicrous Assumptions Toomey could lose.

    In your face james.

  5. I’m holding out turn out as Sestak’s last chance…..

  6. james,

    Rumors are that Q-Pac will also release a Final Poll for PA tomorrow Morning.

    Do you know what I think james: OBAMA just like with the Massachusetts Senate Race in January has HURT Sestak more than he helped him by coming to PA. The PREZ Job Approval in that State is 40/54.

    Dems could lose 4-5 House Seats in that State. Can’t wait for Tuesday.

  7. WOW, just WOW

    Gallup is out with THEIR FINAL Generic Poll

    Higher Turnout

    GOP 52 %
    Dems 42 %

    Lower Turnout

    GOP 55 %
    Dems 40 %

    http://www.gallup.com/poll/144125/Republicans-Appear-Poised-Win-Big-Tuesday.aspx

    BLOODBATH for the Dems is coming. YEEEES

  8. Gallup is assuming 45 % Turnout AND EVEN that is higher than the Average in recent Midterms like 2002 and 2006.

  9. I saw that….

  10. No Randel hurt Sestak more that Obama ever could…..You see his numbers?

  11. Still 40/54 Job Approval for a sitting President is pretty bad in that State IMO.

    What nonsense james!

    Rendell has nothing to do with the Senate Race. Rendell will hurt Onorato BUT not Sestak.

  12. DID YOU READ THE PPP POLLING INFO???

    Did you read Randel’s numbers?…..They are…and have been…. at least 20% BELOW Obama’s and he IS the Governor of the state….

    Daniel….Give me a Damn Break!

  13. PPP West Virginia

    Manchin (D) 51 %
    Raese (R) 46 %

    http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_WV_10311205.pdf

    Ok, Manchin should be favoured now BUT here is what PPP had to say about it:

    “This race is still close enough that an upset Tuesday is not impossible- but it appears likely that Manchin will survive the tide.”

    PPP leaves some wiggle.

    That being said even if we don’t win the Senate it’ll be a pretty good Night for us.

    Now waiting on Illinois, Colorado, Nevada and Washington State.

    In his first Tweet today Tom Jensen said: “We will keep the Senate” which leads me to my Assumption that Murray in ahead all all other 3 go GOP.

  14. Ok, what’s a little bit fuzzy about the WV is that PPP has Manchin winning 20 % !!! of Conservatives in a Conservative State. Doesn’t pass the smell test for me.

  15. You bet It will be a good day….There is 20% chance my low GOP prediction works for the House and a 80% that the House GOp numnbers will be above my 44 seats….What’s wrong with that for you?

    I STIL say….WV, ILL, and Washington state go Blue…..Harry is a REAL long shot…like Toomey he win live or go down based on turnout….In any case the Dem’s keep the senate….

  16. I have this conversation every day with someone here!…….

  17. Daniel not everyone votes based on ideology. A lot of folks who consider themselves “conservative” will vote for Democrats–especially moderate ones like Manchin.

  18. The Dems will do well in the senate they could win as many as 55 seats if things go well. The House will be a total disaster at least a 50 seat loss.

  19. probably….daniel is well aware of this….Brandon…

  20. Sestak, Reid, Alexi, Bennett could all win plus the dems could surprise in Alaska. PAtty Murray will win in my view.

  21. james b,
    Cook agreed with my view on Meet the Press today. He sees a national wave like you would see in Parliment elections in Europe in the house. In the Senate people are more likely to vote people than party.

  22. The Dems have the better candidates in the senate in his view and mine too.

  23. HOLY SHIT.

    IL Brandon, could Lynch fall down in an unexpected upset in NH after 6 years in office ?

    However, I’m hoping he can crack 55 percent this year.

    In Massachusetts, I see Patrick winning reelection as governor to a 2nd unprecedented 4-year term with 49 percent while Baker gets 37 percent and Cahill gets 13 percent.

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