| Ohio Governor – Kasich vs. Strickland |
PPP (D) |
Kasich 49, Strickland 48 |
Kasich +1 |
| Pennsylvania Senate – Sestak vs. Toomey |
Susquehanna |
Toomey 46, Sestak 44 |
Toomey +2 |
| Florida Governor – Scott vs. Sink |
Florida Poll/NYT-USF |
Scott 44, Sink 39 |
Scott +5 |
| New Hampshire Governor – Stephen vs. Lynch |
Rasmussen Reports |
Lynch 51, Stephen 45 |
Lynch +6 |
| Pennsylvania Governor – Corbett vs. Onorato |
Susquehanna |
Corbett 48, Onorato 41 |
Corbett +7 |
| Pennsylvania Governor – Corbett vs. Onorato |
Rasmussen Reports |
Corbett 52, Onorato 43 |
Corbett +9 |
| New Mexico Governor – Martinez vs. Denish |
Albuquerque Journal |
Martinez 53, Denish 43 |
Martinez +10 |
| Iowa Governor – Branstad vs. Culver |
Des Moines Register |
Branstad 50, Culver 38 |
Branstad +12 |
| Vermont Governor – Dubie vs. Shumlin |
Rasmussen Reports |
Shumlin 50, Dubie 45 |
Shumlin +5 |
| Ohio Governor – Kasich vs. Strickland |
Columbus Dispatch* |
Kasich 49, Strickland 47 |
Kasich +2 |
| Kentucky Senate – Paul vs. Conway |
PPP (D) |
Paul 55, Conway 40 |
Paul +15 |
| New York Governor – Paladino vs. Cuomo |
SurveyUSA |
Cuomo 55, Paladino 33 |
Cuomo +22 |
| New York Governor – Paladino vs. Cuomo |
Siena |
Cuomo 58, Paladino 33 |
Cuomo +25 |
| New York Senate Special Election – DioGuardi vs. Gillibrand |
SurveyUSA |
Gillibrand 56, DioGuardi 36 |
Gillibrand +20 |
| New York Senate Special Election – DioGuardi vs. Gillibrand |
Siena |
Gillibrand 57, DioGuardi 37 |
Gillibrand +20 |
| Ohio Senate – Portman vs. Fisher |
PPP (D) |
Portman 57, Fisher 39 |
Portman +18 |
| Ohio Senate – Portman vs. Fisher |
Columbus Dispatch* |
Portman 56, Fisher 40 |
Portman +16 |
| Arkansas Senate – Boozman vs. Lincoln |
Rasmussen Reports |
Boozman 55, Lincoln 36 |
Boozman +19 |
| Iowa Senate – Grassley vs. Conlin |
Des Moines Register |
Grassley 61, Conlin 30 |
Grassley +31 |
| New York Senate – Townsend vs. Schumer |
SurveyUSA |
Schumer 62, Townsend 32 |
Schumer +30 |
| New York Senate – Townsend vs. Schumer |
Siena |
Schumer 64, Townsend 32 |
Schumer +32 |
| Pennsylvania Senate – Sestak vs. Toomey |
Morning Call Tracking |
Toomey 45, Sestak 43 |
Toomey +2 |
| Pennsylvania Governor – Corbett vs. Onorato |
Morning Call Tracking |
Corbett 48, Onorato 41 |
Corbett +7 |
| New Mexico 1st District – Barela vs. Heinrich |
Albuquerque Journal |
Barela 49, Heinrich 46 |
Barela +3 |
| New Mexico 2nd District – Pearce vs. Teague |
Albuquerque Journal |
Pearce 48, Teague 45 |
Pearce +3 |
| Generic Congressional Vote |
Pew Research |
Republicans 48, Democrats 42 |
Republicans +6 |
| Generic Congressional Vote |
ABC News/Wash Post |
Republicans 49, Democrats 45 |
Republicans +4 |
| Generic Congressional Vote |
CNN/Opinion Research |
Republicans 52, Democrats 42 |
Republicans +10 |
GREAT, GREAT NEWS out of Pennsylvania. PPP has just released their FINAL POLL of the State showing Toomey ahead by 5 (51-46) and Corbett up by 7 (52-45)
This also might be the Final Poll of the State by any Pollster
Breathing a little bit easier now.
http://publicpolicypolling.blogspot.com/
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_PA_10311118.pdf
BTW keep your eyes peeled on the PPP Site:
They’re going to release Results also for West Virginia, Illinois, Washington State, Nevada, California, Colorado, Florida, North Carolina and Alaska THROUGHOUT the Night.
Next up is West Virginia. I’m anxiously awaiting this Poll cause if the GOP wants to take the Senate they have to win that Seat.
One interesting thing about the PPP PA POLL:
Obamas JA is 40/54
Obama maybe even have hurt Sestak’s Chances by coming to PA on the Final Weekend.
Getting better and better in PA:
The Muhlenberg/Morning Call Tracker also has Toomey up 48-44. Sounds like there quite some late Movement towards Republicans.
http://twitter.com/DCMorningCall/status/29326273910
Geez, I’m very happy especially because of “The Dogs” ludicrous Assumptions Toomey could lose.
In your face james.
I’m holding out turn out as Sestak’s last chance…..
james,
Rumors are that Q-Pac will also release a Final Poll for PA tomorrow Morning.
Do you know what I think james: OBAMA just like with the Massachusetts Senate Race in January has HURT Sestak more than he helped him by coming to PA. The PREZ Job Approval in that State is 40/54.
Dems could lose 4-5 House Seats in that State. Can’t wait for Tuesday.
WOW, just WOW
Gallup is out with THEIR FINAL Generic Poll
Higher Turnout
GOP 52 %
Dems 42 %
Lower Turnout
GOP 55 %
Dems 40 %
http://www.gallup.com/poll/144125/Republicans-Appear-Poised-Win-Big-Tuesday.aspx
BLOODBATH for the Dems is coming. YEEEES
Gallup is assuming 45 % Turnout AND EVEN that is higher than the Average in recent Midterms like 2002 and 2006.
I saw that….
No Randel hurt Sestak more that Obama ever could…..You see his numbers?
Still 40/54 Job Approval for a sitting President is pretty bad in that State IMO.
What nonsense james!
Rendell has nothing to do with the Senate Race. Rendell will hurt Onorato BUT not Sestak.
DID YOU READ THE PPP POLLING INFO???
Did you read Randel’s numbers?…..They are…and have been…. at least 20% BELOW Obama’s and he IS the Governor of the state….
Daniel….Give me a Damn Break!
PPP West Virginia
Manchin (D) 51 %
Raese (R) 46 %
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_WV_10311205.pdf
Ok, Manchin should be favoured now BUT here is what PPP had to say about it:
“This race is still close enough that an upset Tuesday is not impossible- but it appears likely that Manchin will survive the tide.”
PPP leaves some wiggle.
That being said even if we don’t win the Senate it’ll be a pretty good Night for us.
Now waiting on Illinois, Colorado, Nevada and Washington State.
In his first Tweet today Tom Jensen said: “We will keep the Senate” which leads me to my Assumption that Murray in ahead all all other 3 go GOP.
Ok, what’s a little bit fuzzy about the WV is that PPP has Manchin winning 20 % !!! of Conservatives in a Conservative State. Doesn’t pass the smell test for me.
You bet It will be a good day….There is 20% chance my low GOP prediction works for the House and a 80% that the House GOp numnbers will be above my 44 seats….What’s wrong with that for you?
I STIL say….WV, ILL, and Washington state go Blue…..Harry is a REAL long shot…like Toomey he win live or go down based on turnout….In any case the Dem’s keep the senate….
I have this conversation every day with someone here!…….
Daniel not everyone votes based on ideology. A lot of folks who consider themselves “conservative” will vote for Democrats–especially moderate ones like Manchin.
The Dems will do well in the senate they could win as many as 55 seats if things go well. The House will be a total disaster at least a 50 seat loss.
probably….daniel is well aware of this….Brandon…
Sestak, Reid, Alexi, Bennett could all win plus the dems could surprise in Alaska. PAtty Murray will win in my view.
james b,
Cook agreed with my view on Meet the Press today. He sees a national wave like you would see in Parliment elections in Europe in the house. In the Senate people are more likely to vote people than party.
The Dems have the better candidates in the senate in his view and mine too.
HOLY SHIT.
IL Brandon, could Lynch fall down in an unexpected upset in NH after 6 years in office ?
However, I’m hoping he can crack 55 percent this year.
In Massachusetts, I see Patrick winning reelection as governor to a 2nd unprecedented 4-year term with 49 percent while Baker gets 37 percent and Cahill gets 13 percent.