5 Reasons Americans Are So Wrong About Major Economic Facts….

Another piece that points out why the Democrtas inability to get the facts out to voters before this election…Is gonna cost them…..

bloomberg poll americans dont understand economy.png

According to a new Bloomberg poll, six in ten Americans think most of the money spent to rescue banks will be lost forever. Six in ten think the economy shrunk over the past year. One in two think federal income taxes have gone up in the past two years.

Wrong. Wrong. And wrong.

In fact, most of the $245 billion TARP money spent on banks will be recovered, and the program expects to turn a small profit, according to the latest report (Treasury Sec. Tim Geithner: “The direct budget cost of the program and our full investment in the insurer AIG is likely to come in well under $50 billion.”) The economy has been growing, steadily if slowly, since the summer of 2009. The Obama administration has cut taxes by more than $240 billion in the last two years, including rebate checks worth up to $800 for almost all families.

So why do two in three Americans not know this? Here are five potential culprits for American misconceptions about the economy:

1) Blame Democrats
Pollster Ann Selzer said: “The public view of the economy is at odds with the facts, and the blame has to go to the Democrats. It does not matter much if you make change, if you do not communicate change.” This is a limited explanation. The idea that Democrats’ communication determines the public’s views on the economy assumes that everybody is sitting around listening to Democrats’ press releases and speeches and sound bites. To be sure, some people are. But many Americans couldn’t tell you the last time they listened meaningfully to a presidential address or gave a hoot about Harry Reid’s views on Making Work Pay. It’s important to communicate your achievements, but Democratic “messaging” alone isn’t responsible for a nationwide 2-1 misconception of economic realities.

2) Blame the Conservatives…..

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Theodore C. Sorensen, 82, Kennedy Counselor, Is gone…..

George Tames/The New York Times

Theodore C. Sorensen with President John F. Kennedy in the Oval Office in 1961. More Photos »

Theodore C. Sorensen, one of the last links to John F. Kennedy’s administration, a writer and counselor who did much to shape the president’s narrative, image and legacy, died Sunday in Manhattan. He was 82.

His death, at NewYork-Presbyterian Hospital, was from complications of a stroke he suffered a week ago, his wife, Gillian Sorensen, said.

Mr. Sorensen once said he suspected that

the headline on his obituary would read “Theodore Sorenson, Kennedy Speechwriter,” misspelling his name and misjudging his work, but he was much more. He was a political strategist and a trusted adviser on everything from election tactics to foreign policy.

“You need a mind like Sorensen’s around you that’s clicking and clicking all the time,” Kennedy’s archrival, Richard M. Nixon, said in 1962. He said Mr. Sorensen had “a rare gift”: the knack of finding phrases that penetrated the American psyche.

He was best known for working with Kennedy on passages of soaring rhetoric, including the 1961 inaugural addressproclaiming that “the torch has been passed to a new generation of Americans” and challenging citizens: “Ask not what your country can do for you, ask what you can do for your country.” Mr. Sorensen drew on the Bible, the Gettysburg Address and the words of Thomas Jefferson and Winston Churchill as he helped hone and polish that speech….

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Nate Silver on 5 reasons the GOP COULD have a really good day on Tuesday…..

Maybe…..

Here he muses about if EVERYTHING went the GOP’s way in Tuesday’s election….

Tomorrow he promises to do a post on if the Democrats where to have a good day on Tuesday…..

***

5 Reasons Republicans Could Do Even Better Than Expected

By NATE SILVER

Dawn breaks over New York City on Wednesday, Nov. 3. Democrats catching the early train to work are thinking about adding a little whiskey to their morning coffee. Because the headlines they are reading are truly terrible.

Not only did Republicans take over the House, but they also did so going away — winning a net of 78 seats from Democrats. Seven seats in New York State changed hands; so did six in Pennsylvania, five in Ohio and four in North Carolina. Party luminaries like Jim Obertsar and Raul Grijalva were defeated. Barney Frank and Dennis Kucinich survived, but they did so by just 2 points apiece, and their elections weren’t called until 1 a.m. Democrats picked up just one Republican-held seat — the open seat in Delaware — but Joseph Cao somehow survived in his very Democratic-leaning district in New Orleans. Virtually every race deemed to be a tossup broke to the Republican.

The news isn’t much better in the Senate. The Democratic candidates in North Dakota, Arkansas, Indiana, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Colorado and Illinois all lost, flipping those seats to red from blue. So did Harry Reid in Nevada and Joe Manchin in West Virginia; both of them lost by 7 points, in fact. Washington State isn’t finished counting its ballots, but Dino Rossi has about a 30,000-vote lead over Patty Murray, and looks likely to prevail. California isn’t done counting either, and the race between Barbara Boxer and Carly Firoina remains too close to call. It might not matter anyway: Joseph I. Lieberman has scheduled a press conference for later that afternoon, and is expected to announce that — after seeing the strength of the mandate the voters have given the G.O.P. — he’ll begin conferencing with Republicans when Congress reconvenes in January.

Races for governor provide little respite. Jerry Brown beat Meg Whitman in California — one of the few positives that Democrats can take out of the night. But Democrats lost the close races in Ohio, Florida, Illinois, Minnesota, Oregon and Connecticut, and were blown out in Pennsylvania and Michigan. Rick Perry, while expected to win in Texas, did so by a surprisingly large margin — nearly 20 points — and is making the rounds on the morning shows; the whispers are that he could be a Presidential contender.

Pundits are running out of metaphors to describe what just happened. Not a wave, a hurricane. Not a hurricane, a tsunami! Not a tsunami; a tsunami from a magnitude 9.5 earthquake. Or by a meteor strike!

Democrats knew it was going to be bad. But they didn’t think it was going to bethis bad. So, what happened?


( If a situation like the one I described above transpires, it’s going to catch a lot of people by surprise. It really shouldn’t; it’s well within the realm of possibility. If Republicans do turn out to do even better than expected — and mind you, expectations are pretty lofty — here are five explanations that we’ll want to think carefully about on Nov. 3 and beyond. )

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Polls for Sunday, October 31, 2010….OH, PA, NH, NM, KY, NY, AR, IA, Gen Congress

From Realclearpolitics….

Sunday, October 31
Race Poll Results Spread
Ohio Governor – Kasich vs. Strickland PPP (D) Kasich 49, Strickland 48 Kasich +1
Pennsylvania Senate – Sestak vs. Toomey Susquehanna Toomey 46, Sestak 44 Toomey +2
Florida Governor – Scott vs. Sink Florida Poll/NYT-USF Scott 44, Sink 39 Scott +5
New Hampshire Governor – Stephen vs. Lynch Rasmussen Reports Lynch 51, Stephen 45 Lynch +6
Pennsylvania Governor – Corbett vs. Onorato Susquehanna Corbett 48, Onorato 41 Corbett +7
Pennsylvania Governor – Corbett vs. Onorato Rasmussen Reports Corbett 52, Onorato 43 Corbett +9
New Mexico Governor – Martinez vs. Denish Albuquerque Journal Martinez 53, Denish 43 Martinez +10
Iowa Governor – Branstad vs. Culver Des Moines Register Branstad 50, Culver 38 Branstad +12
Vermont Governor – Dubie vs. Shumlin Rasmussen Reports Shumlin 50, Dubie 45 Shumlin +5
Ohio Governor – Kasich vs. Strickland Columbus Dispatch* Kasich 49, Strickland 47 Kasich +2
Kentucky Senate – Paul vs. Conway PPP (D) Paul 55, Conway 40 Paul +15
New York Governor – Paladino vs. Cuomo SurveyUSA Cuomo 55, Paladino 33 Cuomo +22
New York Governor – Paladino vs. Cuomo Siena Cuomo 58, Paladino 33 Cuomo +25
New York Senate Special Election – DioGuardi vs. Gillibrand SurveyUSA Gillibrand 56, DioGuardi 36 Gillibrand +20
New York Senate Special Election – DioGuardi vs. Gillibrand Siena Gillibrand 57, DioGuardi 37 Gillibrand +20
Ohio Senate – Portman vs. Fisher PPP (D) Portman 57, Fisher 39 Portman +18
Ohio Senate – Portman vs. Fisher Columbus Dispatch* Portman 56, Fisher 40 Portman +16
Arkansas Senate – Boozman vs. Lincoln Rasmussen Reports Boozman 55, Lincoln 36 Boozman +19
Iowa Senate – Grassley vs. Conlin Des Moines Register Grassley 61, Conlin 30 Grassley +31
New York Senate – Townsend vs. Schumer SurveyUSA Schumer 62, Townsend 32 Schumer +30
New York Senate – Townsend vs. Schumer Siena Schumer 64, Townsend 32 Schumer +32
Pennsylvania Senate – Sestak vs. Toomey Morning Call Tracking Toomey 45, Sestak 43 Toomey +2
Pennsylvania Governor – Corbett vs. Onorato Morning Call Tracking Corbett 48, Onorato 41 Corbett +7
New Mexico 1st District – Barela vs. Heinrich Albuquerque Journal Barela 49, Heinrich 46 Barela +3
New Mexico 2nd District – Pearce vs. Teague Albuquerque Journal Pearce 48, Teague 45 Pearce +3
Generic Congressional Vote Pew Research Republicans 48, Democrats 42 Republicans +6
Generic Congressional Vote ABC News/Wash Post Republicans 49, Democrats 45 Republicans +4
Generic Congressional Vote CNN/Opinion Research Republicans 52, Democrats 42 Republicans +10
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It’s hard times out there..In NYC if you beat the ticket…You STILL have to pay…

My wifes’ friend got a ticket for talking on a cell phone while driving in New York City…..

She actually was NOT holding phone….

She was on a bluetooth ear piece….


But she got a ticket anyways…

She was so pissed that she decided to take a day off from work and contest the ticket….

She went to traffic court a bit worked up….

After appearing and stating her case ….She felt pretty good ….

The Administrative Judge agreed with her…..

She was NOT guilty…

But…

She had to pay a $50 fee ANYWAYS

Say what?

Yep..

Not guilty…Pay the fine…..


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Happy Halloween!

Halloween

Jack-o’-lantern

Halloween (or Hallowe’en) is an annual holiday observed on October 31, primarily in IrelandScotlandCanadaand the United States. It has roots in the Celtic festival of Samhain and the Christian holiday All Saints’ Day, but is today largely a secular celebration.

Common Halloween activities include trick-or-treating, wearing costumes and attending costume parties, carvingjack-o’-lanternsghost toursbonfiresapple bobbing, visiting haunted attractions, committing pranks, tellingghost stories or other frightening tales, and watching horror films…..

More from Wiki……

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Rep. Peter King (R-NY) of the House Homeland Committee praises Obama on bomb plot….

The outspoken Irish-American HGouse memeber from New York gives the President a thumbs up….

(He made sure to give a thumbs down… on the company line… on spending help from the GOP )

It has been interesting to see Obama generally get high marks for his handling of emergency situations….

His staff seems to be up on their stuff….

Remember Hillary’s 3:00 AM ad?

Rep. Peter King, R-N.Y., on _Face the Nation,_ Sunday, Oct. 31, 2010.

[CBS]

“The administration handled it perfectly,” said New York’s Peter King, who is expected to become chairman of that committee in a GOP House. “I give them full credit.”

In an appearance with two Democrats and Minnesota  Republican Gov. Tim Pawlenty, however, King made it clear that bipartisanship in foreign affairs wouldn’t extend to the rest of the Republican agenda.

Sen. Amy Klobuchar (D-Minn.) was asked by host Bob Schieffer whether there was any chance of Democrats and Republicans agreeing on important issues in the next two years.

“I do, because I think that is what the American people want right now,” said Klobuchar. “I think courage is not necessarily going to be standing up alone in the coming years; it is going to be standing next to someone you don’t always agree with.”

Klobuchar said that President Barack Obama stood ready to work with Republicans on issues such as education reform, but King indicated that the common ground might not be so large.

“Obviously, on issues of foreign policy, [and] Sen. Klobuchar mentioned education reform, there is room for working together, but on basic issues of spending, we see it as our mandate to get spending under control.”

King said that if Republicans are fortunate enough to win the House, their reign might be brief if they compromise with Obama on spending.

More…

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First televised Inauguration: Harry Truman Jan 20th 1949….Talkandpolitics…

The resources available at the web these days.. seems like huge archives are put out on youtube in just the last two years. Studying history is more fun and fulfulling than ever – with pics, text, audio and video available right at your fingertips.

Anyways – here’s Harry being inaugurated after winning his first Presidential Election in ’48, after enduring a 22.000 miles criss-cross Whistle-Stop tour around the country (about the circumference of the earth) in the campaign – and beating all conventional wisdom in papers and pollings about the Republican candidate Dewey winning the race by a landslide.

The resources available at the web these days.. seems like huge archives are put out on youtube in just the last two years. Studying history is more fun and fulfulling than ever – with pics, text, audio and video available right at your fingertips.

Anyways – here’s Harry being inaugurated after winning his first Presidential Election in ’48, after enduring a 22.000 miles criss-cross Whistle-Stop tour around the country (about the circumference of the earth) in the campaign – and beating all conventional wisdom in papers and pollings about the Republican candidate Dewey winning the race by a landslide.

More..

Talkandpolitics….

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Karl Rove – An Obligated Soul?…The Oligarch Kings….

It’s everywhere, first with the Daily Telegraph, and then to Uncle Tom Cobblers and  all points west.  It’s not even been knocked off by the UPS bomb.  It is the astonishing news that Karl Rove (known as Turd Blossom to his friends and employers) has said right out loud that he thinks that the beatified Sarah is shallow, trite and a light weight. Or lacking gravitas as he poshly put it.

Shock horror, hold the front page.

“There are high standards that the American people have for it [the Presidency] and they require a certain level of gravitas, and they want to look at the candidate and say “that candidate is doing things that give me confidence that they are up to the most demanding job in the world”.

And with a straight face too!  This man pushed GW onto us, the man who dragged his country and others into worthless wars, condoned illegal prison camps, tortured numberless people, ran a gulag of secret prisons in other people’s countries so that he could avoid his own laws and press, took away such regulation as the banks had, and crashed the financial system of the entire planet.  Him.

But instead of getting angry, tempting as that is, we might ask ourselves why he should be the one to choose to come out with such stuff, and why he chooses now to say it. ‘Cos with these guys it’s never by accident…..

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2 Days out…..This from Dailykos…..Early Voting States, Obama will study Clinton, Meek, Boxer, Halloween, Bette Davis

by brooklynbadboy

  • There are 2 days until the November 2 elections. Early voting is now taking place in AlaskaArkansas,FloridaIdahoIndianaKansasMaineMontana,NebraskaNorth DakotaOklahomaOhioSouth DakotaVermontWisconsin, and Wyoming. Virginiaallows early absentee voting under certain circumstances — check here and see if you qualify. And New Jersey allows voting by mail — apply here. And if you vote in Oregon orWashington, mail in your ballot today.
  • The recently thwarted package bomb plot by Al Qaeda is another textbook example of why good intelligence and smart law enforcement are just as, if not more important than military action in our efforts to defeat the militant terrorist organization.
  • Anne Kornblut of The Washington Post believes President Obama will follow President Clinton’s example over the next two years. She quotes Obama:

    “We’ve tried what they’re doing and it didn’t work,” Obama said at a campaign stop in Minnesota earlier this month. “We wouldn’t get a different result if we went back to it.”

    I feel the same way about bipartisanhsip.

  • Divisions between Democrats over the candidacy of Democratic nominee for Florida Senate Rep. Kendrick Meek have been sharp, including between me and my publisher. Meek himself has been reported as being conflicted. According to Politics365, the reason has something to do with Meek’s rearing:

    The paradox here is that while Liberty City, where Meek grew up, has a reputation for eating its young – turning whole generations of Black kids into sobering crime, drug, school dropout and statistics – it would also expect Meek to bull ahead to the very end at all costs.  It’s the unwritten, yet widely known and stubborn first rule of street credibility, to avoid defeat, particularly in public battles where everything hinges on reputation.  On many levels, Meek is caught between a rock and a hard place: dropping out of the race may please party leaders all the way to the White House wincing at the thought of a Rubio win, but it also ruins Meek’s image as the tough-minded legislator who took on former Gov. Jeb Bush (R) in a sit-in over civil rights.

    Maybe, maybe not. Who knows. I will say this though: when times are tough, it is only natural to turn to the safe arms of the FAMiliar for support. Oh, and Charlie Crist offered him a shiny trinket to drop out, which is more than he offered Democrats all year up until last Friday. Meek declined.

  • If there is one Senator who I absolutely did not want to lose this year, it is Barbara Boxer. I am extremely pleased that Senator Boxer is confident of victory over Carly Fiorina. Nothing pleases me more than seeing her stick her Chariman’s gavel right in the face of the odious Jim Inhofe.
  • Today is Halloween. Me and my wife are going out to the parade in the Village as Al & Peg Bundy. Those of you who, like me, loved the show might enjoy this site,Bundyology.
  • This week’s classic movie recommendation is Dark Victorydirected by Edmund Goulding and starring the incredible Bette Davis. Ms. Davis is a force of nature in this film. Humphrey Bogart appears as her lower-in-the-pecking-order distant lover as Ms. Davis plays a rambunctious socialite suddenly stricken with a deadly disease. I enjoyed this picture very much, but I’ll admit to being quite biased towards the amazing and unforgettable Bette Davis.
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Cornyn: Will probabaly take two cycles for GOP to get Senate

Maybe if they get luck y ?

Then …maybe not…..

The actions of the House (and the GOP )  in the next two years will be critical…..

***

“President Obama himself said Republicans have come along for the ride, but they have to sit in the back of the bus,” Cornyn said. “But really what we need to be focusing on are jobs, spending and debt. That’s what’s created this coalition of support, disaffected Democrats, independents and Republicans that are going to sweep many Republicans into office on November 2nd.”

Menendez countered that Republicans took a stance against the Obama administration before any proposals were sent to Capitol Hill.

“We reached out to Republicans from the very beginning,” he said. “It’s not about being at the back of the bus. But when President Obama came to Capitol Hill when we were trying to get this economy moving on the Recovery Act, before he got to the Capitol, Republican leaders were saying dead on arrival, before he even got to engage them.”

The agenda shouldn’t be about making Obama a one-term president but “I thought it was about creating jobs and growing the economy,” he said.

Any Republican gains on Tuesday should give the GOP a chance to generate an agenda on jobs and deficits.

“The administration and Democrats, who have been in charge now in the House and Senate for four years and in the White House for two years, don’t want to seem to accept any responsibility,” Cornyn said. “I think that’s what this election is about, is assigning responsibility, and giving Republicans a chance now to deal with the matters that concern them most.”

More…

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The GOP signals they can live with Murkowski….

That’s because Lisa Murkowski is probably going to win with a write- in vote up in the Alaska Senate race…

Miller has crashed and is burning and may actually end up in third place….

Democrat  Scoot McAddams is trying to capitalize on Miller also…..

NRSC Chairman John Cornyn this morning acknowledged that the GOP Senate nominee in Alaska, Joe Miller, is in real trouble. But, he added, his party will be satisfied if incumbent Repbulican-turned-independent Lisa Murkowski prevails as a write-in candidate.

“We are supporting the nominee of our party, which is Mr. Miller, and — but are concerned,” Cornyn said. “I think that polls are very close now between Senator Murkowski and Joe Miller, and what we want to make sure of is that the Democrat doesn’t win.” Murkowski and Miller are running against Democratic nominee Scott McAdams.

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If it’s 10% or 4%…The Republicans still lead in the generic Congressional approval ratings…

But they still DO NOT hold the Majority  favorible approval ….

Republicans Hold Big Lead Heading Into Election

A new CNN/Opinion Research poll indicates finds Republicans have a 10-point lead over the Democrats in the generic congressional ballot, 52% to 42% — slightly larger than the seven point lead Republicans had in 1994 when they took control of the House of Representatives.

Said pollster Keating Holland: “But unlike 1994, when polls indicated the public had a positive view of the Republican party, a majority of Americans now do not have a favorable view of the GOP.”

Key finding: 46% of those surveyed have a favorable view of the Democratic party while just 44% have a favorable view of the GOP.

Also interesting: House Minority Leader John Boehner (R-OH) has an approval rate of 25%, one point less than House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-CA).

Meanwhile, a new ABC News/Washington Post survey finds a closer generic ballot with Republicans leading by just four points, 49% to 45%.


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From the mouth of Jon Stewart…..’Hard time’s’ and media hype….

Quote of the Day

“But we live now in hard times, not end times… The country’s 24 hour politico pundit perpetual panic conflictinator did not cause our problems, but its existence makes solving them that much harder… If we amplify everything, we hear nothing… The press is our immune system; if it overreacts to everything, we actually get sicker and perhaps eczema.”

— Jon Stewart, host of the Daily Show, in his closing address at the “Rally to Restore Sanity and/or Fear,” taking aim at the media.


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Update on the UPS ‘suspious packages’…The Yemen connection….

President Ali Abdullah Saleh of Yemen on Saturday                                         Khaled Abdullah/Reuters

John O. Brennan, the president’s chief counter-terrorism advisor …..has been makin the rounds of the American Sunday talk shows to inform the public that the series of suspicious packages found in the UK, Dubai, and Chicago where sent from Yemen…..

The search in the US was launched when Saudi intelligence notified Brennan of their suspicions about the situation…..

Brennan has made his thoughts known that he believes the packages where sent to harm airborne aircraft…..

One of the packages was address to a synagogue in the President’s home town Chicago…….

****

“We’re looking at the potential that they would have been detonated en route to those synagogues aboard the aircraft as well as at the destinations,” he said in an interview on CBS’s “Face the Nation.” “But at this point we, I think, would agree with the British that it looks as though they were designed to be detonated in flight.”

His analysis came as investigators on three continents conducted forensic analyses of two bombs shipped inside computer printers from Yemen and intercepted Friday in Britain and Dubai. American officials said evidence was mounting that the top leadership of Al Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula, including the radical American-born cleric Anwar al-Awlaki, was behind the attempted attacks.

One of the bombs traveled on two passenger planes within the Middle East before arriving in Dubai. A spokesman for Qatar Airways said that the package arrived first at the Qatar Airways hub in Doha, Qatar, on one of the airline’s flights from the Yemeni capital of Sana. It was then shipped on a separate Qatar Airways passenger plane to Dubai in the United Arab Emirates, where it was discovered by authorities late Thursday or early Friday.

More….


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Tea Party Kingmaker Jim DeMint (R-SC)….Becomes Power Unto Himself

The man Alvin Greene is running against has a big stake in Tuesday’s elections…..

The former marketing man has developed himself into a brand that his party leaders aren’t to happy about….

He’s a anti-GOP establishment rebel……

Arry Hamburg/Associated Press

Financing Tea Party candidates and rallying the Tea Party faithful, Mr. DeMint has established himself as an alternate power center in Washington. And his rapid ascent has spawned a parlor game: what does Jim DeMint want?

Supporters in Tea Party straw polls and at conservative conferences have urged him to run for president. Other fans suggest that with several of his candidates poised to win, he could run for Republican leader, making official conservatives’ ascendancy within the party.

Mr. DeMint is coy about running for president — and there are plenty of others eyeing the water in the pool of conservative voters where Mr. DeMint would draw his support.

He would lack the votes to win as Senate leader; even if all the Tea Party candidates win, their caucus will be small. And many of his colleagues blame him for backing less viable Tea Party candidates who may cost the Republicans a Senate majority, making it unlikely they would give him any leadership position.

The role he seems to like best is as his party’s chief antagonist, holding up budget bills he does not agree with and supporting challengers to colleagues he deems ideologically impure.

Once the owner of a marketing business, Mr. DeMint has promoted himself as the establishment friend of the anti-establishment crusade. He cheerfully tells people around the country he is “in the doghouse” in Washington, casting himself as the only principled voice in a clubby chamber of big spenders and earmarkers.

His Republican colleagues say it is his showboating, not his ideology, that annoys them…..

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