Clinton Media Rules…..

Vox does a piece on the Clinton Foundation story by AP that actually shows NOTHING ILLEGAL…..

The Vox piece points to something the media won’t admit….

There is a Double, maybe even a TRIPLE Standard for the Clinton’s vs EVERYBODY else….

A case study in Clinton Rules reporting

More than a year ago, Jon Allen wrote for Vox about the special “Clinton Rules” that have governed much reporting on Bill and Hillary Clinton over the past 25 years. On the list are the notions that even the most ridiculous charges are worthy of massive investigation, that the Clintons’ bad faith will always be presumed, and that actions that would normally be deemed banal are newsworthy simply because the Clintons are involved.

The blockbuster AP story released Tuesday afternoon fits the model to a T.

Start with this card the AP used to promote the story on social media:
The point of a card like this is that it will be seen and shared by many more people than click through and read the story itself.

The AP’s teaser tweet, similarly, will be more widely seen and shared than the underlying story.

….twitter….

AP Associated Press @ AP

BREAKING: AP analysis: More than half those who met Clinton as canbinet secretary gave money to the Clinton Foundation.
And within the story itself, of course, the most-read part will be the lead paragraph, which reads:

More than half the people outside the government who met with Hillary Clinton while she was secretary of state gave money — either personally or through companies or groups — to the Clinton Foundation. It’s an extraordinary proportion indicating her possible ethics challenges if elected president.

The basic allegation here, that the majority of the people Clinton met with as secretary of state were Clinton Foundation donors, is remarkable. And the implication that the investigation that unearthed this striking fact has also revealed “ethics challenges” is important. The many Americans who already have a negative view of Clinton will see these facts ricocheting through their feeds and appearing on Fox chyrons and will further entrench their negative views.

Only a relatively small handful of people will actually read the story from beginning to end and see that there’s no there there.

Hillary Clinton has met more than 154 people

The stark fact highlighted in the AP’s tweet and social share card is, for starters, totally false.

If you read that and thought to yourself that it seems wrong for the secretary of state to be spending so much time in meetings with Clinton Foundation donors rather than talking to US government officials and representatives of foreign countries, then you are in luck. To generate the 154 figure, the AP excluded from the denominator all employees of any government, whether US or foreign. Then when designing social media collateral, it just left out that part, because the truth is less striking and shareable.

Even so, the number 154 is preposterously low, as Clinton would routinely meet dozens of civil society leaders, journalists, and others on any one of her many foreign trips as secretary of state. In the campaign’s official response to the AP, they argue that the data is “cherry picked” from a “limited subset” of her schedule.

But regardless of that, the AP’s social media claims are simply false — ignoring well over 1,000 official meetings with foreign leaders and an unknown number of meetings with domestic US officials….

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image cnn.com

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Open Thread for August 21, 2016…Trust Donald Trump?

Just a little reminder…..

Do NOT Trust a guy who says who continues to say he’s gonna change ….

And doesn’t….

Donald Trump is gonna be Donald Trump….

Just about Donald Trump….

Still saying he’s gonna build a wall…

Still talking about setting up a ‘Deportion Force’

Still talking about how President Obama and then Sec Clinton gave ‘birth’ to ISIS….

Still saying he doesn’t want immigration from ANY country that has had a terrorist act in it…

Still calling Obama and Clinton names

Still saying he’s running a campaign , when he has NO ONE that has ever run a campaign running things….

Still NOT listening much to anyone but himself….

Still not gonna tell you about where he owes money and how much he’s on the hook for ….

And the list can go on…..

Donald Trump ain’t gonna change….

And people TRUST him a whole LOT less than Hillary Clinton….

Can you image THAT?

image…theatlantic.com

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Political Roundup For Wednesday, August 24, 2016…Trump people fighting the polls?..RRH Elctions

Presidential News:

Clinton: It turns out that Hillary Clinton, while Secretary of State, had quite a pattern of meeting with Clinton Foundation donors. While the evidence of “pay to play” is only circumstantial, even liberals are admitting that the facts don’t look good. And Trump doesn’t necessarily need to win disaffected Clinton voters. Getting them to stay home is a half victory.

Romney Donors: Clinton is making a concerted effort to reach out to large Romney donors for cash and support. Obviously Clinton likes the money and the press from gaining big Romney folks, but the pitch to donors that they can only save the GOP by electing Hillary is a ruse. My sense is that Clinton is dog-whistling here, and that the message is that if these donors want political appointments or federal judgeships, they ought to recognize that they need to play the game.

Colorado: (No link) A source within the Trump campaign tells me they have an internal showing them down only 2 or 3 points to Hillary Clinton, depending on whether Johnson and Stein are included in the poll. Take with a grain of salt, given the source and the rough 6-point rule on internal polls…..

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Note….

There appears to be a campaign going on by the Trump people to dispute the overwhelming poll findins that their guy is losing….

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Merkel says the EU will wait on the UK’s Brexit direction…

All the pressure from France and other countries to get the UK out of the European Union as soon as possible is going nowhere…

Newly minted UK Prime Minister May was actually against leaving….

So German Chancellor Merkel is told everyone slow down…Ther isn’t even a request on paper…

She’s all right with letting PM May try to  figure out what the UK is actually going to do….

German Chancellor Angela Merkel said she “can allow the time” for the U.K. to decide what it wants from the European Union in Brexit talks, signaling that the other 27 member countries will press ahead with “the European project” in the meantime.

Starting off three days of talks with fellow European leaders on the EU’s way forward, Merkel suggested there’s no advantage in pressing Prime Minister Theresa May’s government for now because the EU can’t negotiate new relations until the U.K. government’s position is clear.

“As we have said, as long as Britain hasn’t submitted its application, we can’t answer the question of what kind of a relationship we envision,”…..

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The Upshot gives Democrats a 60% chance for a US Senate Majority…

2016 is a chance for the Democrats to regain a Majority in the US Senate for Senator Chuck Schumer to lead…..

But it may only last for 2 years and be very close, or a tie to come to Democrats by virtue of the Vice President;’s vote there…

Democrats have a LOT of US Senate seats to defend come 2018….

The Upshot’s new Senate election forecast gives Democrats a 60 percent chance of winning control of the chamber in November.

Included within this 60 percent is a 17 percent chance that the Senate ends up evenly split with a Democratic vice president providing the tiebreaking vote.

By our count, the Democrats need to win five seats among the 11 most competitive races. (The Democrats will need to win six if Donald J. Trump wins the presidential race; we put Mr. Trump’s chances of winning at only 11 percent). Ten of these seats are held by Republicans, and one by a Democrat, Harry Reid of Nevada, who is retiring.

That the Democrats are favored in this election should not be surprising.

The 2016 Senate elections boded well for the Democrats without any consideration of a possible Trump effect on down-ballot races. In recent history, Democrats have done better in presidential election years than in midterm years, when turnout is lower. Most of the senators up for re-election last went before the voters in the Republican wave election of 2010 — when the G.O.P. made big and broad gains in an anti-Obama environment — leaving Republicans with several potentially vulnerable incumbents….

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Trump wants ‘Tough Cops’ going after Crime….

A guy who has NO IDEA WTF Crime is like is advocating what?

Check Trump’s comments to Bill O’Reilly….(Mostly about Cops in Chicago where there IS a serious crime problem)

In the end he wants them to ‘counterattack’ to raise their ‘spirits?

“You have unbelievable—how? By being very much tougher than they are right now,” Trump said. “They are right now not tough. I mean, I could tell you this very long and quite boring story but when I was in Chicago, I got to meet a couple of very top police. I said, ‘How do you stop this? How do you stop this? If you were put in charge,’ to a specific person, ‘Do you think you could stop it?’ He said, ‘Mr. Trump, I would be able to stop it in one week.’ And I believed him 100 percent.”

Further efforts to clarify what exactly this “specific person” would do and what “tough police tactics” are did not get far.

“You have to have a warrant to arrest people,” O’Reilly said. “You can’t beat them up.”

Trump replied that he didn’t ask for an exact plan because he’s “not the mayor of Chicago.”…

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Trump ‘s Winning because of ‘Undercover Voters’?

That’s what Trump campaign manager Kellyanne Conway is peddling to the UK’s Media….

Anybody remember how Mitt Romney THOUGHT he WAS winning back in the last month of 2012 until he found out that he wasn’t?

More and more 2016 is turning out to be a re-play of 2012 with SOME GOPer’s NOT wanting to believe the polls….

It’s that Alternate Universe thing….

Trump campaign manager Kellyanne Conway told the UK’s Channel 4 that Donald Trump is actually winning the election, but every poll is wrong because Trump voters are undercover.

Conway denied on the Channel 4 special “President Trump: Can He Really Win?” that Trump was losing and denounced the polls that showed him down to Hillary Clinton as “cherry-picked polling numbers that are put out there by media outlets that are also bent on his destruction.”

“Donald Trump performs consistently better in online polling where a human being is not talking to another human being about what he or she may do in the election,” she argued…..

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The Clinton Foundation won’t save Trump…

Donald Trump and the Republicans have tried throwing all sorts of things , except policy,  against Hillary Clinton….(they’ve been doing THAT for decades!)

Yet….She is STILL about 5% or 6% in the popular vote and around 320 Electoral Votes ahead of Donald Trump ….

Now we have the Clinton Foundation….

A LOT of people donated to the Foundation in the name of Bill Clinton , who IS a private citizen…

Yup, his wife WAS the Sec of State and Yes from the outside it really  could make you wonder…

But NO ONE has come forward with one incident of someone getting  a favor from  the then Sec of State…

The fact is ?

There are 75 days to the General Election….

And Donald Trump has less than a 20% chance of becoming President….

Republican strategists believe attacking Hillary Clinton over her family’s charitable foundation is the best way for Donald Trump to turn around his underperforming campaign.

Trump and his allies have made the potential for corruption posed by the Clinton Foundation the basis for an all-out assault on the Democratic nominee this week to drive up her unfavorable ratings in key swing states.

“It’s an obvious weakness in her candidacy,” said Whit Ayres, a Republican pollster.

Trump on Monday called for the Clintons to shut down their foundation immediately, alleging, “the Clintons have spent decades lining their own pockets and taking care of donors instead of the American people.”

More….

Note…

We have DAILY stories of Trump paying HIMSELF from campaign funds, but THAT isn’t gonna derail HIS campaign?

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Hillary Clinton wants to help Small Businesses….

She has been saying this for awhile

That is….

She wants to help small businesses , whicle do a majority of American business , most people do NOT know….

Helping Small Businesses should give a BIG Boost to the American Economy….

Trump just talks about tax breaks…Clinton wants that also.

But much more ….

Democrat Hillary Clinton on Tuesday vowed to make starting a small business in the United States as easy as opening a lemonade stand if elected president, targeting a large economic sector and a significant voting bloc.

Her flagship proposal is to establish a standard tax deduction for small businesses, previously only available to individuals, allowing owners to get tax relief without filing additional forms.

Clinton would also expand healthcare tax credits in the Affordable Care Act for small businesses that employ up to 50 workers and create new federal incentives for local and state governments to streamline the business licensing process, according to background provided by her campaign.

Since launching her campaign in April 2015, Clinton has said she wants to be the “small business president” if she wins the Nov. 8 election against businessman Donald Trump, the Republican nominee…..

“They tell me more dreams die in the parking lots of banks than anywhere in America,” Clinton said of the feedback she has received from small business owners.

“I’d like to get rid of the unnecessary red tape,” Clinton said of regulations on credit unions and small banks that make it difficult to lend to would-be entrepreneurs.

Clinton’s campaign said she also wants to guarantee that small businesses with questions about U.S. government regulations receive an answer within 24 hours.

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Polling Update August 23rd, 2016…A Repeat of 2012?

Sam Wang looks at the polling up to now and outs something that some of our mores astude politiocal junkies might have deduced….

2016 looks more and MORE like a 2012 ‘Do Over’.….

……It is now apparent that 2016 is more like 1996-2012 than it is like 1952-1992. Data points for 2016 are included in the graph above. Even though the breakdown of the Republican Party and the advent of Donald Trump have made 2016 a crazy political year, public opinion is more stable than ever.

The Princeton Election Consortium’s initial assumption was that 2016 would be as volatile as typical campaigns since 1952 (SD=6%). This was a conservative assumption with lots of uncertainty. It was consistent with claims by pundits – and by Republican candidate Donald Trump – that the electoral map was scrambled. However, that scrambling has not materialized. Obama blue states are still Clinton blue states, and with a few exceptions, Romney red states are still Trump red states. This again shows that voters are highly entrenched in their views…..

Sam Wang….

Real Clear Politics Presidential margin….+5.5 Cliton

Same Wang Election Consortium Presidential margin…+6.3 Cliton

Election Projection Presidential margin….+5.4 Clinton

Five Thirty Eight

Clinton …85%

Trump…..15%

The Upshaot

Clinton …89%

Trump…..11%

 

Tuesday, August 23

General Election: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

NBC News/SM

Clinton 43, Trump 38, Johnson 11, Stein 5    Clinton +5

Virginia: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

Roanoke College

Clinton 48, Trump 32, Johnson 8, Stein 3     Clinton +16

Missouri: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson Monmouth

Trump 44,

Clinton 43, Johnson 8      Trump +1

Utah: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

PPP (D)*

Trump 39, Clinton 24, Johnson 12, Stein 1     Trump +15

Missouri Senate – Blunt vs. Kander

Monmouth*

Blunt 48, Kander 43     Blunt +5

Missouri Governor – Greitens vs. Koster

Monmouth*

Koster 51, Greitens 40     Koster +11

…for more info on the above pols…Real Clear Politics.

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President Obama in Louisiana

….from Daily Kos….

President Obama speaks on Louisiana flooding from Baton Rouge

President Obama is in Baton Rouge, Louisiana, where he’ll make a statement on the deadly and damaging floods that have hit the area. Noted disaster expert Donald Trump has assailed the president for not going to Louisiana sooner, but Gov. John Bel Edwards had specifically asked Obama not to visit until the situation was well enough controlled for presidential staffing and security needs not to detract from the disaster response.

The federal government has been actively involved in monitoring and assistance:

  • More than 979 housing inspectors are on the ground in Louisiana verifying damages reported by survivors who have registered for assistance. The number of inspectors is expected to increase rapidly over the next several days.
  • FEMA established an Incident Support Base in Camp Beauregard in Pineville, Louisiana to distribute supplies such as water, meals, cots and blankets to the state of Louisiana. These include over 800,000 liters of water, over 800,000 meals, over 20,000 cots, and 42,000 blankets.
  • FEMA Mobile Emergency Response Support (MERS) personnel and equipment are deployed to the Incident Support Base in Pineville to support the state with secure and non-secure voice, video and information services to support emergency response communications needs.
  • After the state requested a Federal Urban Search & Rescue task force, FEMA has deployed Texas Task Force 1 to Louisiana.
  • Six FEMA Incident Management Assistance Teams are deployed to Louisiana to support response activities and ensure there are no unmet needs.

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Political Roundup For Tuesday, August 23, 2016…Trump Sick?…RRH Elections

Presidential News:

Clinton/Trump: On Monday, Trump did a fair job hitting Hillary on her email scandal, using the FBI’s discovery of 15,000 new emails that were never produced and the fact that Colin Powell won’t take a bullet for Clinton against her.

Judicial Watch: Conservative organization Judicial Watch released a treasure trove of over 700 emails yesterday, many of which show cozy relationships between Hillary Clinton during her tenure as Secretary of State and Clinton Foundation donors. Busted!

Huma: It also appears that Clinton aide Huma Abedin left classified materials in the front seat of her vehicle in India. Whoops!

Trump sick?: Trump has cancelled events in Colorado, Nevada, and … Oregon for this week. It’s a little strange, the speculation is that Trump must be sick. Hopefully his health is ok.

Johnson: Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson isn’t much of a libertarian. He’s now endorsed a carbon tax as a means of stopping carbon emissions and tackling global warming. While there is disagreement as to whether taxes are a legitimate part of a libertarian utopia, there aren’t many who suggest that new taxes are a good way of paternalistically changing social and commercial behavior. Frankly, Johnson is just a moderate, not a libertarian.

McMullin: Surprisingly, independent candidate Evan McMullin failed to turn in the required 275 signatures necessary to get onto the Tennessee ballot. This seems like a low threshold to miss…..

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Trump is now campaigning in Safe Red States?

Ok….Why?

Are the crowds friendlier?

With fewer than 80 days to go and lagging in the polls, the Republican nominee will host a rally Tuesday in Austin, Texas, and another on Wednesday in Jackson, Mississippi. Both cities sit inside strongly Republican states that are safe and uncompetitive.

These visits follow a recent trip by Trump into heavily Democratic Connecticut, a choice that enraged and confused Republicans.
“I have never known a general election campaign in my adult life, a Republican campaign, to spend time in Mississippi outside of raising money,” said Austin Barbour, a Mississippi-based Republican operative. “Donald Trump’s going to win Mississippi by at least double digits.”

But Trump is behind, several polls show, in North Carolina, a state that has gone Republican in eight of the past nine presidential elections. Georgia, which hasn’t voted Democratic since 1992, is competitive, with the latest poll showing a tied race. And more traditional battleground states have moved away from Trump: Ohio, which polls showed was a tied race last month, is now tilting in Hillary Clinton’s direction. Meanwhile, he is up in Mississippi by double digits, one recent survey shows.

“Going and doing a big event, that takes a lot of valuable time, that’s another stop you could make in Pensacola, Florida,” Barbour said. “Georgia’s close this year, North Carolina, there’s lots of places … It’s a confusing strategy. You only have a certain number of days.”

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Donald Trump double’s down on Deportation Force….

His NEW campaign manager is gonna learn what his previous ones have learned…

DO NOT SPEAK FOR HIM….

His new campaign manager Kellyanne Conway on Sunday tried to give him some wiggle room on the deportions issue…

That resulted in the last 24 hours of media questions as to was Trump trying to ‘soften’ his anti-Immigration position ?

After reports emerged over the weekend that he might soften his stance on immigration, Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump confirmed Monday that he will not back down on what has become his campaign’s signature issue.

Speaking to Fox News’ Bill O’Reilly, Trump reiterated that he would deport undocumented immigrants en masse if elected president…

In his interview with O’Reilly, Trump asserted that while he would not back down on mass deportations, he would handle them in “a humane manner.” He also said that he would not place immigrants in detention centers and claimed that he has “very, very good relationships” with “a lot of Hispanic people.”…..

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Post Sanders campaign group effort has internal staff problems…

Hmmmm?

Troble in paradise as Bernie sending HIS guy Jeff Weaver in to lead the efforts results in  a lot of the staff leaving….

At least five people have left Sen. Bernie Sanders’s (I-Vt.) new political group after Sanders brought in his campaign manager to lead it, Politico reported Tuesday.

Weaver, who ran Sanders’s presidential campaign that ended last month, was made president of the group Our Revolution, causing the exodus before the group officially launches.

Digital director Kenneth Pennington and four other team members departed over Weaver’s addition, Politico said.

“A majority of the staff quit as a result of Jeff joining,” one person told the news outlet, adding they had joined the group with a promise from Sanders that Weaver would not be involved.

“Over the last few days, almost the entire staff resigned from the organization because they would not work for Jeff Weaver or help to enact Jeff’s vision for the organization in any way,” one of the former staffers added Monday…..

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Hillary Clinton Health problems?

The Democratic Presidential candidate put any question to rest last night on the ‘Jimmy Kimmel Live’ show ….

Hillary Clinton Laughs Off Health Rumors by Opening a Jar of Pickles on Jimmy Kimmel| 2016 Presidential Elections, Jimmy Kimmel Live, Hillary Rodham Clinton, Jimmy Kimmel

In her bid for the White House, Hillary Clinton is already dealing with an email scandal that won’t go away, but now there are rumors that she may be ill. So, the Democratic presidential nominee decided to fight the speculation head on — during her visit Monday to “Jimmy Kimmel Live.”…

….joking aside, the former secretary of state tried to make sense of why her political rivals would suggest that she’s sick. “I don’t know why they are saying this,” Clinton said. “On the one hand, it’s part of the wacky strategy: just say all these crazy things and maybe you can get some people to believe you. On the other hand, it just absolutely makes no sense, and I don’t go around questioning Donald Trump‘s health.”

But it was all a mere prelude to the true test of Clinton’s vitality: Could she open with an untampered-with jar of pickles? With a growl and a hearty twist, she did just that....

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image…ABC

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Typical Trump…Ups his campaigns rent in HIS Trump Tower when Donation’s climb…

Anybody think this guy ain’t running to MAKE money off his supporters?

It’s already been reported that his campaign money is going to pay for his OWN jet and helicopter….

After bragging for a year about how cheaply he was running his campaign, Donald Trump is spending more freely now that other people are contributing ― particularly when the beneficiary is himself.

Trump nearly quintupled the monthly rent his presidential campaign pays for its headquarters at Trump Tower to $169,758 in July, when he was raising funds from donors, compared with March, when he was self-funding his campaign, according to a Huffington Post review of Federal Election Commission filings. The rent jumped even though he was paying fewer staff in July than he did in March.

The Trump campaign paid Trump Tower Commercial LLC $35,458 in March ― the same amount it had been paying since last summer ― and had 197 paid employees and consultants. In July, it paid 172 employees and consultants.

“If I was a donor, I’d want answers,” said a prominent Republican National Committee member who supports Trump,…

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