Open Thread for June 18, 2016….Donald Trump probably don’t Want to be President…

Lotta reason to come to that conclusion….

Donald Trump can’t afford the pay cut…..

The President of the United State makes about $400,000 a year…..

Donald Trump SAYS he’s a Billionaire?

President’s actually don’t HAVE to give private business work I just found out…

But the media and Congress would change THAT ten minutes after Trump would win the job….

Donald Trump won’t give up his taxes…..

The Democrats are gonna work this into the ground….

Trump probably won’t show them….Why?

Could it be that the guy doesn’t pay ANY taxes?

Could it be that the guy is NOT as rich as he says he is?

Donald Trump is NOT spending a nickel more than he has to for the nomination and general election….

Could be the guy is NOT as rich as he says he is?

Donald Trump has little or NO genera; election campaign…Why?

Cause he ain’t worried about winning….

He doesn’t have a serious polling or data  operation either…

Donald Trump is STILL out there pissing off whole groups of people, who he says ‘like’ him ….

They don’t…They won’t vote for him either

Donald Trump is running like he’s still in the primaries….

He isn’t….

And he don’t care….

Donald Trump REALLY thinks he can pull a fast one on people

He isn’t ANYMORE….

Here’s some crazy thoughts….

What is Trump gonna do after the first debate in which the media questioners and Hillary Clinton KEEP asking him for concrete answer’s?

After he realizes that he can’t bull shit his way like with the GOP guys?

Will he decide NOT DO anymore….

With people on to his crazy comments ranted for media coverage?

And having the media people try to pin him down?

Will he escalate his ‘make believe’ pronouncements?

Will Trump get up one morning BEFORE the general election and just say’ I don’t want to do this anymore….I QUIT?’

Finally…..

After he loses on Election day in November?

Will he spend the next day laughing at ALL the dumb people who voted for him?

And will he finally announce that the whole Trump thing was just help him laugh the ‘Trump’ Cable News Channel ?

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Some GOP business bosses give their support and money to Hillary Clinton…

I guess this people don’t trust fellow businneesman Tump, eh?

Dozens of business leaders, including a handful of Republicans, endorsed Hillary Clinton on Thursday, as her campaign seeks to challenge Donald Trump’s assertions that he is the best candidate for U.S. businesses.

Republicans backing Clinton include Dan Akerson, former chairman and chief executive officer of General Motors Co., and Jim Cicconi, a former Reagan and George H.W. Bush White House staffer who is a Washington executive at AT&T Services Inc.

Cicconi has supported every Republican candidate for president since 1976 but can’t do the same this year because “it’s vital to put our country’s well-being ahead of party,” he said in a statement. “Hillary Clinton is experienced, qualified, and will make a fine president. The alternative, I fear, would set our nation on a very dark path.”

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The EU wants the Brit’s out ASAP….The United Kingdom may not be united for long…

The European Union leaders have reacted with swift demands that the Britisih get moving on leaving…They are NOT happy with the vote….

And Scotland may want to leave England to stand alone….

Things may turn out to be MUCH worst for the British then they thought….

Britain was under pressure on Saturday to set out a quick timetable for a divorce from the European Union after the country’s historic vote to leave the bloc sent shockwaves around the world.

Global stock markets plunged on Friday, and sterling saw its biggest one day drop in history after Britons voted by 52-48 percent to exit the EU, which it joined more than 40 years ago.

Ratings agency Moody’s downgraded its outlook for Britain, saying its creditworthiness was now at greater risk as the country would face substantial challenges to successfully negotiating its exit from the bloc.

European Commission President Jean-Claude Juncker said he wanted to begin negotiating Britain‘s departure immediately.

“Britons decided yesterday that they want to leave the European Union, so it doesn’t make any sense to wait until October to try to negotiate the terms of their departure,” Juncker told Germany’s ARD television station….

The United Kingdom itself could also now break apart, with the nationalist leader of Scotland, where nearly two-thirds of voters wanted to stay in the EU, saying a new referendum on independence from the rest of Britain was “highly likely”.

Scottish government ministers were meeting on Saturday to decide their next move….

There was euphoria among Britain‘s eurosceptic newspapers.

“Birth of a new Britain,” the Daily Telegraph said, while the Daily Star tabloid borrowed from Donald Trump’s campaigning message with its headline “Now Let’s Make Britain Great Again”.

The Daily Mail hailed it as a victory by “the quiet people of Britain“ over an arrogant, out-of-touch political establishment and a contemptuous Brussels. Those which backed staying the bloc were more circumspect. “Brexit earthquake,” the Times said.

Britain has always been ambivalent about its relations with the rest of post-war Europe. A firm supporter of free trade, tearing down internal economic barriers and expanding theEU to take in ex-communist eastern states, the UK opted out of joining the euro single currency and the Schengen border-free zone.

Cameron’s ruling Conservatives in particular have harbored a vocal anti-EU wing for many years, and it was partly to silence such figures that he promised the referendum in 2013.

His party is now left with deep divisions after an often bitter and personal campaign with rows over immigration which critics said at times unleashed overt racism, while there are angry recriminations among lawmakers in the opposition Labour Party about the role of its leftist leader Jeremy Corbyn.

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The Obama Admin is still deporting illegal’s….

The Republicans may say over and over that President Obama is soft on enforcing immigration laws….

(The President lost on his excutive order on immigrants this week to afford some of the illegals some sort ability to apply for working papers )

But THAT is simply NOT true….

The numbers may have dropped …

But over 200,000 illegal’s have been deported last year…..

The NY Times point to the fact that unlike what President Obama has been saying outloud?

Some of those deported aren’t hardcore criminals….

Some are kids and some are those who have been in this country for a long time….

…..deportations continue, thousands every week.

In November 2014 when Mr. Obama first announced the protection programs, he also set new priorities for enforcement. Since then, immigration authorities say, their focus is on removing convicted criminals and foreigners who pose national security threats. But the administration’s priorities also include deporting migrants from Central America, including children, who came in an influx since 2014. And immigrants who committed minor offenses — or none at all — are often swept up in the operations.

After Thursday’s Supreme Court decision, the president’s protections are gone, but the enforcement plan remains in effect. It is part of a particularly edgy moment for immigrants and their supporters framed by the Supreme Court ruling, Donald J. Trump’s presidential campaign and Britain’s surprise vote, influenced in part by anti-immigrant sentiments, to leave the European Union.

Last year, immigration authorities deported 235,413 people, according to official figures. Of those, 59 percent were convicted criminals, and 98 percent fit within the administration’s priorities, Department of Homeland Security officials said. The top priority includes foreigners who pose a threat to national or border security or to public safety. Other priorities are for people with serious criminal records, but they also include any migrant caught entering the country illegally after Jan. 1, 2014.

Homeland Security officials said Friday that the Supreme Court decision would have no effect on the pace or strategy of enforcement….

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Ted Cruz applauds the Brexit vote….

Anyone surprised at this?

Ted Cruz’s Statement On Brexit Is A Call For The United States

by streiff @ Red State

Texas Senator Ted Cruz weighed in on the successful BREXIT vote yesterday in which the UK chose freedom over the Brussels-led nanny state:

The British people have spoken clearly: They choose to leave the European Union.

The results of the ‪#‎Brexit‬ referendum should serve as a wake-up call for internationalist bureaucrats from Brussels to Washington, D.C. that some free nations still wish to preserve their national sovereignty.

The British people have indicated that they will no longer outsource their future to the EU, and prefer to chart their own path forward. The United States can learn from the referendum and attend to the issues of security, immigration and economic autonomy that drove this historic vote.

In addition, we should treat the #Brexit as an opportunity to forge a closer partnership with our historic friend and ally, including immediately starting negotiations for a targeted US-UK free trade agreement.

To a great extent the #Brexit vote was a metaphor for our own struggle over federalism. Just as Brussels permeated every facet of daily life in the UK, from business practices and product labeling to family law, so, too, has Washington run roughshod over the historic autonomy of states and municipalities. The anxiety and anger expressed by the voters in 2010, 2014 and during the 2016 primary campaigns is no different that the anxiety and anger expressed by the voters in Britain yesterday. #Brexit was a vote for freedom and personal autonomy and against rule by a self-anointed elite….

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Daily Kos on Brexit…Trump and Barack Obama…

Brexit is not a warning about an advent of Trump, and the reason is Barack Obama

By Laurence Lewis  @ Daily Kos

You’re going to be reading a lot of stories about the Brexit vote being a warning that Donald Trump can win. Those stories will be wrong.

Brexit apparently has won, and the primary reason is the economic turmoil wrought by the greed and at times open cruelty of British austerity, as imposed by David Cameron and George Osborne. Labour didn’t run against austerity in the last British election, and was punished for it. The British people were punished with more austerity. A brutal economy always feeds extremism, and that is how Britain got Brexit. The irony was that Cameron and Osborne had to fight desperately against the consequences of their own policies. And if you think I’m ignoring Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn, that’s because he was almost invisible during the Remain campaign, and his support was tepid if not feigned. Britain has austerity and no credible national leaders. Hence Brexit.

While much of Europe was electing right wing governments that imposed austerity, the United States was electing Barack Obama. The Obama stimulus was a starkly different approach from European austerity. A larger stimulus would have done more to fuel a robust recovery, but the stimulus that was enacted stopped the economic free fall, and got the United States back on the right track. More needs to be done, and will be done, but the difference with Europe and particularly Britain is obvious. The extremism fueling the Trump campaign is neither as broad or deep as the extremism fueling Brexit. Because President Obama and Congressional Democrats ensured that the United States did not end up with the sort of brutal economic program the Republicans would have imposed, and that Cameron and Osborne in Britain did impose.

Simply put, the extremism fueling Brexit does not have the same resonance in the United States. Because our economy is not suffering the way Britain’s economy is suffering. And the economic agenda of Hillary Clinton is very deliberately designed to build on the success of the Obama economic agenda. The United States has alternatives that Britain did not have. And the United States will not follow Britain’s path into extremism because it hasn’t been on a parallel economic path….

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Hillary Clinton should make gains from the Brexit…

While some in the media have covered Donald Trump’s attempt to make the separation of the UK from the EU as a plus for him?

I don’t think that will be the case…

The media outlets in the UK and here in American are still running highly negative and  frightening pieces about the vote…

They are NOT portraying it as something good…

While they ARE defining it as pushback by angry voters….

The results are uncertain and could turn out to be wildly damaging to the Brit’s….

Hillary Clinton has been careful to keep her comments are arms length while things develop…

Cooler heads maybe the answer from America…

Especially a person who probably will have to lead  America’s way in dealing with the altercation from the vote….

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The Clinton campaign doubles down on fund raising….

Hillary Clinton’s campaign effort HAS money….

The Trump campaign is just beginning to raise some….

But between now and the GOP Convention a few donors are concerned that Donald Trump might not even the GOP nominee….

With that in mind?

The Clinton campaign presses on raising even MORE money on-line in small donations and sending Bill Clinton out on the road to talk to big traditional Democratic donors….Other Democrats across the country are also pitching in now that Bernie Sanders is not a factor….

Hillary Clinton will be making the rounds which throwing down at Trump in her early effort to define him and keep the spotlight off her negatives…

So far Mr. Trump has been helpful in working to keep his negative higher than her…

Loading up Bill Clinton’s schedule with fundraisers in the run-up to the convention is a source of relief to some Clinton allies, who want the presumptive Democratic nominee to use the critical window before the conventions to define herself on her own terms. On the evening of June 7, the night she clinched the nomination, Hillary Clinton notably made no mention of her husband or President Obama in her victory speech from the Brooklyn Navy Yard.

“It makes a lot of sense for the campaign to assign Bill Clinton a more behind-the-scenes role,” said Democratic strategist Lis Smith, a former top official on Martin O’Malley’s campaign. “He has — at times — been an unwelcome distraction when he’s lost his cool with protesters. But more importantly, Hillary needs to put some distance between her vision and the 1990’s Clinton-era policies that haven’t worn well, namely NAFTA, Wall Street deregulation, and the 1994 crime bill.”

Hillary Clinton, meanwhile, has also slowed her campaign schedule since the primary season ended June 14. While she has campaigned in key battleground states like Pennsylvania and Ohio — on Monday, she is scheduled to campaign in Cincinnati with Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren — she is also busy raking in the cash.

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Note….

Donald Trump is in Scotland these days….

Taking a rest and selling his Golf Courses, which have pissed off a lot of people there…Too bad they don’t vote, eh?

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Dump Trump efforts doesn’t have the votes…..

Says Politico….

According to the all the talk about denying Trump the nomination is just that….

Talk…

Republicans looking to dump Donald Trump at next month’s convention have passion, energy and a fierce sense that their party will suffer unless Trump is unseated. What they appear to lack, however, are the votes to make it happen.

POLITICO reached out to all 112 members of the committee that will write the rules of the national GOP convention. This is the panel that anti-Trump activists hope to jam a proposal through to free convention delegates to spurn Trump and select another candidate instead.

What emerged from the survey, though, is a portrait of a committee with little interest in the dump Trump crowd. In fact, most members may be eager to stop them.

“I support DJT 100%,” said Alabama rules committee member Laura Payne in an email. “I ran to support … Trump & to represent the voters of Alabama. It may or may not be an attempt, but the voters will prevail.”

“Trying to change the rules in mid-game because you don’t like the outcome is tantamount to saying you are going to take your ball and go home because you are losing,” said Christine Serrano-Glassner, a Rules Committee delegate from New Jersey. “I will be supporting our Nominee, Donald J. Trump.”

It was a common sentiment. Among the 32 committee members who responded, 25 said they would fight efforts to stop Trump’s nomination. . Another 33 members of the panel have been previously on record as endorsing Trump or rejecting efforts to rip the nomination away from him at the convention.

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How should Hillary Clinton handle the Brexit question?

Right from the jump Donald Trump has tried to turn the British vote into a plus for HIM….

In Scotland to promo HIS Golf Course’s ….

Not gain some knowledge of Foreign Affairs….

Trump says the vote plays to his anti-establishment show….

Maybe…

But in a country where the British voters more mirror the GOP Primary ones…

Things are different in the general election…

Here we have more than double the amount of non-white voters and they are firmly behind the Democrats…

Hillary Clinton has been circumspect in her response to the vote…

Pointing to her experience and leaning more and more on Bernie Sanders campaign talking points that go to the voter anger by those American’s who feel they want more, like the feelings in the UK….

For now?

Everybody will have to wait for the dust to settle…

Hillary Clinton included…

The Democratic candidate who prides herself on being a wonk — one who embraces policy details, compared to her opponent whom she paints as a self-congratulating empty suit — notably steered clear Friday of the gritty details of what Britain’s stunning exit from the European Union means for the economy, or for her centrist, establishment campaign.

“This time of uncertainty only underscores the need for calm, steady, experienced leadership in the White House to protect Americans’ pocketbooks and livelihoods, to support our friends and allies, to stand up to our adversaries, and to defend our interests,” Clinton said in a brief statement, underscoring her own campaign themes as well as her contrast message with Trump. “It also underscores the need for us to pull together to solve our challenges as a country, not tear each other down.”

Clinton campaign operatives distanced the problems abroad from those at home, noting that a vote on whether or not the UK left the European Union was “profoundly” different from a vote on who should serve as commander-in-chief of the United States.

“Britain and the United States are different countries,” said Clinton’s communications director, Jennifer Palmieri. While the far right in Europe has fanned the flames of anti-immigrant nationalism, a Clinton aide pointed out that the non-white population in the United Kingdom is 13 percent, compared to twice that — 26 percent — at home.

Clinton’s senior policy adviser Jake Sullivan also said his boss had not spoken to any European leaders Friday, noting they “had their hands full dealing with the crisis.”

“The American people need a steady hand at the wheel in times of uncertainty,” Sullivan repeated multiple times on a conference call with reporters Friday afternoon, a few hours after Trump lauded the vote as a “great thing” and noted it would only increase business at his Turnberry golf course if the pound faltered. “Every time there is a significant national and global event, he proves again that he is temperamentally unfit for the job,” Sullivan said. “Donald Trump actively rooted for this outcome, and he’s rooting for the economic turmoil in its wake. He actually put his golf business ahead of the interests of working families in the United States.”

Even with Democrats watching the Brexit vote with some consternation, Clinton’s team claimed it is already fully addressing those economic issues fueling populist resentment at home and abroad. “She has heard and felt the sense of frustration,” Sullivan said, “the sense that our economy is not working for everyone. She’s made clear that she intends to make the kinds of bold investments and policy reforms to make the economy work for everyone.”…

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Brit’s Google Afterwards ….‘What Is The EU?’

People REALLY know what they are doing, eh?

Hours after the United Kingdom voted to leave the European Union, its residents wondered, what is the EU, anyway?

People in the U.K. sought answers to some very basic questions following the Brexit referendum, according to Google Trends data, which measures how popular recent queries are on the world’s most popular search engine.

The top question was a good one that many experts now struggle to answer — “What does it mean to leave the EU?” But others, to put it charitably, are the sort voters might have asked prior to the world-shaking decision to abandon the European project.

“What is the EU?” they asked Google. “Which countries are in the EU?”

If one thing’s certain, the answers to each are about to be quite different than they were just 24 hours ago…..

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Hillary Clinton on British EU vote isn’t about selling Golf Courses….

WASHINGTON, DC - JUNE 22: Accompanied by House Minority Leader Rep. Nancy Pelosi (D-CA) (L), Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton arrives to meet with House Democrats June 22, 2016 on Capitol Hill in Washington, DC. Clinton joined the House Democratic Caucus meeting as she continued to campaign for the election. (Photo by Alex Wong/Getty Images)

While Donald Trump contemplated its impact on his golf courses, Hillary Clinton responded to the United Kingdom’s vote to leave the European Union by talking about the economy and international relationships:

“We respect the choice the people of the United Kingdom have made. Our first task has to be to make sure that the economic uncertainty created by these events does not hurt working families here in America. We also have to make clear America’s steadfast commitment to the special relationship with Britain and the transatlantic alliance with Europe. This time of uncertainty only underscores the need for calm, steady, experienced leadership in the White House to protect Americans’ pocketbooks and livelihoods, to support our friends and allies, to stand up to our adversaries, and to defend our interests. It also underscores the need for us to pull together to solve our challenges as a country, not tear each other down.”

Imagine that.

But no, really, let’s not let ourselves get distracted from the important questions. What about Donald Trump’s golf courses?

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Political Roundup for June 24, 2016…Clinton Up in Ariz/Trump ties in NC…RRH Elections

UK EU Referendum: In a result that defied most predictions, expectations and polls, the UK has voted to leave the EU by a margin of 52%-48%. In light of the results, David Cameron has announced his resignation as Prime Minister and a successor will be chosen sometime before the Conservative Party conference in October.

President:

Arizona: A new poll shows Trump in trouble in reliably red Arizona. Clinton leads 47-42(with rounding from decimal points) in a poll from Phoenix-based OH Predictive Insights. The state has gone Democratic only once since 1948-Bill Clinton won it in 1996 by 2 points.

North Carolina: Clinton and Trump are tied at 43% each in a PPP poll. Those numbers are with Libertarian Gary Johnson and Green Party candidate Jill Stein included-in a head to head matchup, Trump leads Clinton 48-46.

Endorsements: Two prominent Republicans in the national security community are making opposite endorsements. Former Defense Secretary Don Rumsfeld is endorsing Trump, while former National Security Advisor Brent Scowcroft is endorsing Clinton….

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Sanders WILL vote for Hillary Clinton….

Slowly Bernei Sanders is easing into the post primary season…..

He is coming around to letting people know that he will help the Democrats to defeat  the presumtive GOP Presidential nominee…..

He will NOT obstruct Hillary Clinton’s campaign….

Bernie Sanders on Friday said he will cast his vote for Hillary Clinton in November. But he’s not all the way with her — at least, not yet.
“Yes,” the Vermont senator said when asked on MSNBC’s “Morning Joe” if he would vote for the former secretary of state this fall. “I think the issue right here is I’m gonna do everything I can to defeat Donald Trump.”

Sanders told “CBS This Morning” that his campaign and Clinton’s have been communicating and working closely together, but he hasn’t endorsed her “because I haven’t heard her say the things that I think need to be said.”…..

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The British vote was close…The World WILL Continue….

The media is pushing the feeling that the WORLD has come to End…..

It WON’T….

The vote in England was close…..

The drop out of the European Union will take years…..

The vote does NOT mean that the country is putting a wall around themselves…..

The everyday lives of the Brit’s and the rest of Europe probably won’t change much…..

But if you read ALL of the Media reports?

It’s about the MONEY people….

( The impact in the US COULD be felt by pension savings )

Now on the political front?

Donadl Trump is already working with the Media to try to pimp some of news into a plus for HIM….(His presser was about HIS Golf Course, while he praised the British people for ‘taking their country back’…

British Prime Minister  David Cameron will step down….

President Obama has expressed support to the country and  Scotland is now talking about a second vote for independence from the United Kingdom ….

Less than an hour after the markets opened in London, Mark J. Carney, the governor of the Bank of England, stood in front of television cameras to announce that the central bank had earmarked 250 billion pounds, about $344 billion, to unleash as needed for stability. Stock markets took some solace, paring back their losses for the day.

Whatever happens, a long, confusing period now unfolding seems certain to yank Europe back into acute anxiety just as it seemed to be finally recovering from a punishing economic downturn, one that had thrust Greece and Spain into veritable depressions while erasing years of wealth across the Continent.

The vote to leave, a so-called Brexit, raised the prospect of sustained anxiety in the global economy as investors struggle to surmise what is happening.

Markets crave known facts and fret about variables, seeing potential risks in all unknowns. An enormous portion of the map is now draped in uncertainty, effectively impervious to calculation.

The vote appears likely to prompt multinational banks to shift significant numbers of jobs from Britain to competing financial centers in the European Union, led by Paris, Frankfurt, Dublin and Amsterdam. Many experts assume Brussels will move quickly to restrict trading of euro-denominated assets — a major business for Britain. Prominent banks including JPMorgan Chase and Citigroup warned during the campaign that an exit would cause them to transfer some operations elsewhere.

As investors pulled back in fear on Friday, entrusting their money only to the safest places like United States Treasuries, the moves appeared to foreshadow a tightening of credit for many. Emerging markets may find it difficult to secure investment, limiting economic growth. Borrowing costs are likely to rise in heavily indebted nations, including Greece, Italy and Portugal, as investors demand extra inducements to put their money in riskier locales.

Most broadly, the vote is likely to resonate as a sign that major democracies are increasingly vulnerable to the influence of populist political movements that curry favor by demonizing immigrants and external forces such as officials in Brussels and Washington, low-wage workers in China and Mexico…..

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Note….

One of the Biggest selling points on this was that the Britis  where sending Billions of Euro’s TO the Union and not getting it Back….

The vote was also along age ……

Young FOR….

Older AGAINST….

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Larry Sabato look at the 2016 Presidential Electoral College numbers…June 2016

It ain’t much different than their March map….

And THAT didn’t look good for Trump vs Clinton then…..

And it STILL doesn’t….

Donald Trump is deep trouble  folks….

(That is if he actually becomes the nominee….)

He is just starting to fund raise and is saying he does NOT expect to get anywhere near Clinton in campaign money….

Clinton’s nation general election staff is upwards of 700….Trump ‘s is maybe 30 or 40…..The same party he ran against ?…He is lookig to support him, give him money, and essentially carry his campaign for him…

Clinton leads in every poll we feature in todays polling update except North Carolina….

Trump right now isn’t campaigning…He’s in Scotland promoting a losing Golf Course  that has pissed off the Scots…..

And finally ?

Donald Trump is TRY to relaunch his fleddling general election campaign AGAIN after firing his campaign manager , who will now help him by working for CNN…..

Currently, we show every Obama 2012 state at least leaning to Clinton, along with North Carolina, the one state won by Mitt Romney where we currently see a Democratic edge. Obama carried North Carolina in 2008 along with Indiana, a traditionally conservative state that has long been the most Republican state in the Midwest. If Clinton’s national lead does grow further, it’s far from impossible that she might be able to carry Indiana, as well as Missouri, which Obama did not carry in either of his elections. But as of now, we think that is unlikely, and Trump remains the favorite in both.

Two Republican-leaning states where Democratic chances might be better are Arizona and Georgia. Both states typically vote several points more Republican than the nation, but they are both becoming more diverse: Arizona has a growing Hispanic population that will in all likelihood be quite hostile to Trump, an anti-immigration hardliner, while Georgia has a significant and deeply Democratic bloc of African-American voters as well as a growing, educated, white-collar professional class that might be turned off by Trump. While Trump is still a favorite in both places, we see Clinton having the potential to grab one or both if she ends up winning a big national victory, so we’re moving Arizona and Georgia from Likely Republican to Leans Republican.

Our ratings are premised to a large degree on a belief that we are not going to see dramatic changes in the electoral performance of the states this year. In other words, we think the states that have been the most Democratic in recent elections will continue to be among the most Democratic, the most Republican states will continue to be the most Republican, and the states that have voted closest to the national average in recent elections — the swing states — will continue to reflect the national average.

Table 2 shows the average two-party presidential performance in each state from 2000-2012. Note that the states that have been consistently the most Democratic in that timeframe all have Safe Democratic designations, while the most Republican states in that timeframe are almost exclusively rated as Safe Republican. Could Clinton win Texas, as she has suggested? Maybe, but only if she is winning nationally in a blowout. The same is true of Trump in California and New York: They only come into play for him if he is rolling up a huge national margin, which at this point is essentially unimaginable. As long as the election is decided by less than 10 points nationally — and we haven’t had a 10+ point margin since Ronald Reagan’s 49-state landslide in 1984 — none of these states should be all that competitive…..

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Polling Update June 22 and June 23, 2016….Clinton stays ahead….

Hillary Clinton continues lead in the polling for President…..

President Obama stay at 50% approval….

And Marco Rubio polls up …He’s gonna Run to keep his Senate Seat ..

Oh, yea John McCain has some good news in the latest Arizona US Senate poll….
Thursday, June 23

General Election: Trump vs. Clinton

Rasmussen Reports

Clinton 44, Trump 39 ….Clinton +5

General Election: Trump vs. Clinton

Reuters/Ipsos

Clinton 44, Trump 34 ….Clinton +10

General Election: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

Reuters/Ipsos

Clinton 43, Trump 34, Johnson 6, Stein 5 ….Clinton +9

North Carolina: Trump vs. Clinton

PPP (D)

Trump 48, Clinton 46… Trump +2

North Carolina: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

PPP (D)

Trump 43, Clinton 43, Johnson 4, Stein 2… Tie

North Carolina Senate – Burr vs. Ross

PPP (D)*

Burr 40, Ross 37 ...Burr +3

President Obama Job Approval

Reuters/Ipsos

Approve 50, Disapprove 46… Approve +4

President Obama Job Approval

Gallup

Approve 49, Disapprove 46 …Approve +3

President Obama Job Approval

Rasmussen Reports

Approve 50, Disapprove 49 …Approve +1

President Obama Job Approval

Monmouth

Approve 49, Disapprove 46 Approve +3

Wednesday, June 22

General Election: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson

Economist/YouGov

Clinton 43, Trump 39, Johnson 4 ….Clinton +4

Pennsylvania Senate – Toomey vs. McGinty

Quinnipiac

Toomey 49, McGinty 40 …Toomey +9

Ohio Senate – Portman vs. Strickland

Quinnipiac

Strickland 42, Portman 42…. Tie

Florida Senate – Rubio vs. Murphy

Quinnipiac

Rubio 47, Murphy 40… Rubio +7

Florida Senate – Rubio vs. Grayson

Quinnipiac Rubio 48, Grayson 40…. Rubio +8

Arizona Senate – McCain vs. Kirkpatrick

Behavior Research Center

McCain 40, Kirkpatrick 31 …McCain +9

President Obama Job Approval

Economist/YouGov

Approve 47, Disapprove 49… Disapprove +2

…for more information on the above  Real Clear Politics….

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